Expired Rx's (Recent Picks)

Picks normally go public seconds after start time. Read the write-up right away. It will appear to you the same way before the game starts, once you purchase a pick plan.

Like my chart notes when I'm playing real doctor, write-ups follow the "SOAP" format:

Subjective = Motivational, Emotional, Situational Factors.

Objective = Statistical, Fundamental, Match-up Factors.

Assessment = Reason(s) for the Bet.

Plan = Specifics of the Bet.

Explanations of abbreviations and lingo are in the Glossary.

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Pittsburgh vs Green Bay	February 06, 2011	4:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective: Super Bowl Propositions: Field Goal Props: Will both teams make a field goal at least 33 yds? #1411 Yes. +159 First Half Props: Will the first half end in a tie? #4221 Yes. +698 Player to Score First TD: Which player will score the first TD of the game? #3219 Jordy Nelson +1859 Various Comparison Props: Will either team score 3 unanswered times? #1502 No. +161 Will there be a score in last 2:00 of 1st half? #1508 No. +236 The 1st score will be? #1540 Any other score. +153 All 1% Bankroll each.
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Green Bay -4 1/2, +145		4% BR

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Green Bay @ Chicago	January 23, 2011	1:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Green Bay -5, +114

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	NY Jets @ Pittsburgh	January 23, 2011	4:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
NY Jets +183 and Under 38 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Seattle @ Chicago	January 16, 2011	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Seattle +396

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	NY Jets @ New England	January 16, 2011	2:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Under 42 1/2, +116

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Baltimore @ Pittsburgh	January 15, 2011	2:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Pittsburgh -5, +126

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Green Bay @ Atlanta	January 15, 2011	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Green Bay +100 and Over 43 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Oregon vs Auburn	January 10, 2011	6:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Auburn -4, +153

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Baltimore @ Kansas City	January 09, 2011	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Kansas City +9 and Under 46 1/2 6 Pt Teaser

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Green Bay @ Philadelphia	January 09, 2011	2:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Green Bay +120

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Boston College vs Nevada	January 09, 2011	7:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Nevada -1 1/2 and Over 49 6 Pt Teaser

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	New Orleans @ Seattle	January 08, 2011	2:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Over 46 1/2, +103

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	NY Jets @ Indianapolis	January 08, 2011	6:05 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
NY Jets +115 and Over 44 1/2 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Kentucky vs Pittsburgh	January 08, 2011	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Kentucky +155

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Texas A&M vs LSU	January 07, 2011	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Texas A&M +118

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	MTSU vs Miami-Ohio	January 06, 2011	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Miami-Ohio +115

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Arkansas vs Ohio St	January 04, 2011	6:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Arkansas +140

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Oakland @ Kansas City	January 02, 2011	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Kansas City -5, +116

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Miami @ New England	January 02, 2011	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Miami +205

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Pittsburgh @ Cleveland	January 02, 2011	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Cleveland +195 and Under 37 1/2 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Cincinnati @ Baltimore	January 02, 2011	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Cincinnati +393

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Chicago @ Green Bay	January 02, 2011	2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Green Bay -11 1/2, +113

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Arizona @ San Francisco	January 02, 2011	2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
San Francisco -7 1/2, +125

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	San Diego @ Denver	January 02, 2011	2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Over 48 1/2, +106

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	St Louis @ Seattle	January 02, 2011	6:20 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Over 43, -102

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Dallas @ Philadelphia	January 02, 2011	2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Dallas +135 and Over 43 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Northwestern vs Texas Tech	January 01, 2011	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Northwestern +281

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Penn St vs Florida	January 01, 2011	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Penn St +235 and Under 48 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Michigan vs Mississippi St	January 01, 2011	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Mississippi St -3 1/2 and Under 59 1/2 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	TCU vs Wisconsin	January 01, 2011	3:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Under 54, +120

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Connecticut vs Oklahoma	January 01, 2011	6:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Connecticut +500

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Michigan St vs Alabama	January 01, 2011	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Alabama -8 1/2 and Under 51 1/2 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	South Florida vs Clemson	December 31, 2010	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Over 43, +125

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Notre Dame vs Miami-Fla	December 31, 2010	Noon PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Miami-Florida -5, +138

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	UCF vs Georgia	December 31, 2010	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Georgia -9, +134

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Florida St vs S Carolina	December 31, 2010	5:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
S Carolina -3 and Over 54 1/2 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Army-SMU, Kansas St-Syracuse, N Carolina-Tennessee	December 30, 2010	10:00 AM, 1:20 PM, 4:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
6 1/2 Pt Teaser: SMU -1/2, K St +7 1/2, Tenn +7 1/2 and Overs 45, 41 1/2 and 43 1/2

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Washington vs Nebraska	December 30, 2010	8:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Washington +404

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	E Carolina vs Maryland	December 29, 2010	12:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Maryland -7 1/2 and Over 67 1/2 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Illinois vs Baylor	December 29, 2010	4:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Over 65, +119

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Arizona vs Oklahoma St	December 29, 2010	7:15 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Over 69, +117

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Minnesota @ Philadelphia	December 28, 2010	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Over 43 1/2, +110

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	N Carolina St vs W Virginia	December 28, 2010	4:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
N Carolina St -1, +137

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Missouri vs Iowa	December 28, 2010	8:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Missouri -5, +147

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	New Orleans @ Atlanta	December 27, 2010	6:35 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Atlanta -2 and Over 49 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Georgia Tech vs Air Force	December 27, 2010	3:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Georgia Tech -1, +133

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Detroit @ Miami	December 26, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Miami -5, +119

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	San Francisco @ St Louis	December 26, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
St Louis -2 1/2, -111

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	New England @ Buffalo	December 26, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Buffalo +297

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	NY Jets @ Chicago	December 26, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Chicago -1 1/2, -130 and Over 36 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Tennessee @ Kansas City	December 26, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Under 41 1/2, +100

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Indianapolis @ Oakland	December 26, 2010	2:05 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Oakland +110 and Over 47 1/2 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	NY Giants @ Green Bay	December 26, 2010	2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Green Bay -4 1/2, +119

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	FIU vs Toledo	December 26, 2010	6:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Florida International +1 1/2 and Over 56 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Dallas @ Arizona	December 25, 2010	5:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Over 46 1/2, +112

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Navy vs San Diego St	December 23, 2010	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
San Diego St -5 1/2, +132

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Utah vs Boise St	December 22, 2010	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Utah +553

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Louisville vs S Miss	December 21, 2010	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Louisville -5, +138

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Chicago @ Minnesota	December 20, 2010	6:35 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Minnesota +300 and Over 33 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Hou-Tenn, Wash-Dal, NO-Bal, NY Jets-Pitt, Den-Oak	December 19, 2010	3 Early, 2 Later
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
OVERS in 10 x 2-Team RR Parlays		1% BR each

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Jacksonville @ Indianapolis	December 19, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Jacksonville +191

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Arizona @ Carolina	December 19, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Carolina -4, +137

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Cleveland @ Cincinnati	December 19, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Cincinnati -2 1/2, +105

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Detroit @ Tampa Bay	December 19, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Tampa Bay -5 1/2, +114

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Atlanta @ Seattle	December 19, 2010	2:05 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Seattle +200 and Over 46 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Green Bay @ New England	December 19, 2010	6:20 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Green Bay +671

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Baltimore @ Houston	December 13, 2010	6:35 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Houston +130 and Over 46 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh	December 12, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Over 41, +115

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	New England @ Chicago	December 12, 2010	2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Chicago -1, +129

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	St Louis @ New Orleans	December 12, 2010	2:05 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
St Louis +360 and Over 47 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Seattle @ San Francisco	December 12, 2010	2:05 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
San Francisco -6 1/2, +114

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Philadelphia @ Dallas	December 12, 2010	6:20 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Dallas +180 and Over 51 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Cincy-Pitt, Cle-Buff, GB-Det, Atl-Car	December 12, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
6 1/2 Pt Teaser: Pitt -2 1/2, Cleveland +7 1/2, GB Pick 'em, Atlanta -1

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Navy vs Army	December 11, 2010	12:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Army +239

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Indianapolis @ Tennessee	December 09, 2010	6:20 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
6-Pt Teaser: Tennessee +9 and Under 51

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	NY Jets @ New England	December 06, 2010	6:35 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
New England -3 1/2 and Over 44 1/2 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Buffalo @ Minnesota	December 05, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Buffalo +193 and Under 44 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Cleveland @ Miami	December 05, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Cleveland +204 and Over 43 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Jacksonville @ Tennessee	December 05, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Jacksonville +158 and Over 43 1/2 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	San Francisco @ Green Bay	December 05, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Green Bay -9 and Under 41 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Den-KC, NO-Cincy, Oak-SD, Dall-Indy, St Louis-Ari	December 05, 2010	2 early, 3 later
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
OVERS in 10 x 2-Team RR Parlays		1% BR each

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Atlanta @ Tampa Bay	December 05, 2010	2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Tampa Bay +127

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Pittsburgh @ Baltimore	December 05, 2010	6:20 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Pittsburgh +149 and Over 39 1/2 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati	December 04, 2010	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Pittsburgh +113

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Utah St @ Boise St	December 04, 2010	1:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Utah St +7000

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Nevada @ Louisiana Tech	December 04, 2010	1:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Louisiana Tech +264

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	USC @ UCLA	December 04, 2010	8:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
UCLA +205

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Washington @ Washington St	December 04, 2010	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Washington St +205

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Oregon @ Oregon St	December 04, 2010	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Oregon St +527

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Troy @ Florida Atlantic	December 04, 2010	Noon PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Florida Atlantic +180

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Midd Tenn St @ FIU	December 04, 2010	4:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Middle Tennessee St +177

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	SMU @ UCF	December 04, 2010	Noon PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Central Florida -11 1/2, +125

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Auburn vs S Carolina	December 04, 2010	5:45 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
S Carolina +177

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Nebraska vs Oklahoma	December 04, 2010	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Oklahoma -7, +141

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Miami-Ohio vs N Illinois	December 03, 2010	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
N Illinois -20, +123

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Illinois @ Fresno St	December 03, 2010	8:15 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Illinois -7 1/2, +138

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Houston @ Philadelphia	December 02, 2010	6:20 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Philadelphia -2 1/2 and Over 45 6-Pt Teaser

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Tennessee @ Houston	November 28, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Tennessee +217 and Over 47 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Philadelphia @ Chicago	November 28, 2010	2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Philadelphia -3 and Over 42 1/2 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Miami @ Oakland	November 28, 2010	2:05 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Oakland -4, +140

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Kansas City @ Seattle	November 28, 2010	2:05 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Seattle +110 and Over 44 1/2 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	St Louis @ Denver	November 28, 2010	2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
St Louis +170 and Over 44 1/2 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	San Diego @ Indianapolis	November 28, 2010	6:20 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Indianapolis -1 and Over 50 1/2 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Minn-Wash, Pitt-Buff, Jax-NY Giants, GB-Atl	November 28, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
OVERS in 6 x 2-Team RR Parlays		1.5% BR each

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Saskatchewan vs Montreal	November 28, 2010	4:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Saskatchewan +145 and Over 51 1/2 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Mississippi St @ Mississippi	November 27, 2010	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Mississippi -1, +131

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Kentucky @ Tennessee	November 27, 2010	10:20 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Tennessee -5 1/2, +149

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Iowa @ Minnesota	November 27, 2010	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Minnesota +472

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Virginia @ Virginia Tech	November 27, 2010	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Virginia +1025

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Kansas vs Missouri	November 27, 2010	10:30 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Kansas +22, +123

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Hawaii @ New Mexico St	November 27, 2010	1:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
New Mexico St +24 1/2, +122

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Michigan St @ Penn St	November 27, 2010	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Penn St -2, +119

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Washington @ California	November 27, 2010	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
California -9 1/2, +123

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	BYU @ Utah	November 27, 2010	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
BYU +252

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	LSU @ Arkansas	November 27, 2010	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Arkansas -6, +131

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	TCU @ New Mexico	November 27, 2010	2:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
New Mexico +43

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Kansas St @ N Texas	November 27, 2010	2:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
N Texas +442

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	W Kentucky @ Troy	November 27, 2010	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
W Kentucky +388

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Buffalo @ Akron	November 26, 2010	Noon PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Akron -3 1/2, +150

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	C Michigan @ Toledo	November 26, 2010	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Toledo -6 1/2, +119

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	N Illinois @ E Michigan	November 26, 2010	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
E Michigan +21 1/2, +125

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Ohio @ Kent St	November 26, 2010	9:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Kent St +158

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Auburn @ Alabama	November 26, 2010	12:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Auburn +144

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Boise St @ Nevada	November 26, 2010	8:15 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Nevada +423

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	New England @ Detroit	November 25, 2010	10:30 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Detroit +255 and Over 50 1/2 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	New Orleans @ Dallas	November 25, 2010	2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Over 51 1/2, +126

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Cincinnati @ NY Jets	November 25, 2010	6:20 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Over 45, +112

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Denver @ San Diego	November 22, 2010	6:35 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
San Diego -2 1/2 and Over 43 1/2 Teaser

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Wash-Tenn., Det-Dall, Ari-KC, Indy-NE, NY Giants/Philly	November 21, 2010	3 Early, 1 Later, 1 SNF
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
OVERS in 2 x 10 Team RR Parlays		1% BR each

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Green Bay @ Minnesota	November 21, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Minnesota +144

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Buffalo @ Cincinnati	November 21, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Cincinnati -6 1/2, +123

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Cleveland @ Jacksonville	November 21, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Cleveland +121

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Atlanta @ St Louis	November 21, 2010	2:05 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
St Louis +158 and Over 43 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Toronto @ Montreal	November 21, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Under 51

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Saskatchewan @ Calgary	November 21, 2010	2:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Calgary -1 1/2 and Over 48 1/2 6-Pt Teaser

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Tennessee @ Vanderbilt	November 20, 2010	5:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Tennessee -11 1/2, +129

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Virginia @ Boston College	November 20, 2010	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Boston College -10, +122

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Rutgers @ Cincinnati	November 20, 2010	5:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Rutgers +423

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Missouri @ Iowa St	November 20, 2010	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
		Iowa St +346

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	UTEP @ Tulsa	November 20, 2010	Noon PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Tulsa -20, +121

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	N Carolina St @ N Carolina	November 20, 2010	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
N Carolina -5, +141

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Virginia Tech @ Miami-Fla	November 20, 2010	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Miami-Fla -1 1/2, +117

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Kansas St @ Colorado	November 20, 2010	12:10 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Colorado -1, +117

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	New Mexico St @ Nevada	November 20, 2010	2:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
New Mexico St +37 1/2

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Notre Dame vs Army	November 20, 2010	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Notre Dame -11, +123

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Nebraska @ Texas A&M	November 20, 2010	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Nebraska -4 1/2, +146

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	USC @ Oregon St	November 20, 2010	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Oregon St +140

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Mississippi @ LSU	November 20, 2010	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Mississippi +550

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Utah @ San Diego St	November 20, 2010	8:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
San Diego St -1, +124

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Philadelphia @ Washington	November 15, 2010	6:35 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Washington +162

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Cincy-Indy, Hou-Jax, Tenn-Mia, Det-Buff, Car-TB, KC-Den	November 14, 2010	4 early, 2 later
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Indy -1/2, Houston +7 1/2, Tennessee +7 1/2, Detroit +7 1/2, Tampa Bay -1/2, Denver +7 1/2 6 1/2-Pt Teaser

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Tenn-Mia, Det-Buff, Dal-NY Giants, NE-Pitt	November 14, 2010	2 early, 1 later and SNF
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Overs in 2-Team Round Robin Parlay		1.5% BR each

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	NY Jets @ Cleveland	November 14, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Cleveland +162

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Toronto @ Hamilton	November 14, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Hamilton -1/2 and Under 53 1/2 Teaser

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	BC @ Saskatchewan	November 14, 2010	2:35 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Saskatchewan -4, -104

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Boston College @ Duke	November 13, 2010	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Boston College -6, +136

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Michigan @ Purdue	November 13, 2010	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Purdue +423

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Texas Tech @ Oklahoma	November 13, 2010	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Oklahoma -17, +108

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Texas A&M @ Baylor	November 13, 2010	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Baylor +129

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	South Carolina @ Florida	November 13, 2010	5:15 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Florida -9, +128

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Mississippi St @ Alabama	November 13, 2010	5:15 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Mississippi St +422

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Army @ Kent St	November 13, 2010	Noon PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Army -2 1/2, +123

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Utah @ Notre Dame	November 13, 2010	12:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Notre Dame +180

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Oregon @ California	November 13, 2010	5:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
California +720

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Oklahoma St @ Texas	November 13, 2010	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Texas +183

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Virginia Tech @ N Carolina	November 13, 2010	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
North Carolina +153

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	South Florida @ Louisville	November 13, 2010	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Louisville -5, +155

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	UL-Monroe @ LSU	November 13, 2010	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
UL-Monroe +31, +119

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Baltimore @ Atlanta	November 11, 2010	6:20 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Baltimore +7 1/2 and Over 37 Teaser

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	E Carolina @ UAB	November 11, 2010	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
UAB -4 1/2, +146

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati	November 08, 2010	6:35 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Cincinnati +248 and Over 41 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	San Diego @ Houston	November 07, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Houston +135

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	New Orleans @ Carolina	November 07, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Carolina +239 and Under 40 1/2 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	TB-Atl, NY Jets-Det, Mia-Balt, Indy-Philly	November 07, 2010	3 Early, 1 Later
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
TB-Atlanta Under 45 1/2 and NY Jets-Detroit Over 42 1/2 and Miami-Balt Over 40 1/2 and Indy-Philly Over 46 1/2 all in 2 x 6 Round Robin Parlay		1.5% BR each

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	NY Giants @ Seattle	November 07, 2010	2:05 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Seattle +277

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Dallas @ Green Bay	November 07, 2010	6:25 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Dallas +273 and Over 45 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Toronto @ Montreal	November 07, 2010	2:05 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Toronto +220 and Under 49 1/2 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Air Force @ Army	November 06, 2010	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Army +214

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Virginia @ Duke	November 06, 2010	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Duke -2 1/2, +123

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Florida @ Vanderbilt	November 06, 2010	10:20 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Florida -16 1/2, +119

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Hawaii @ Boise St	November 06, 2010	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Hawaii +865

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Texas @ Kansas St	November 06, 2010	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Texas -6, +126

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Fresno St @ Louisiana Tech	November 06, 2010	2:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Louisiana Tech -5, +148

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Arizona St @ USC	November 06, 2010	8:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
USC -7 1/2, +142

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Troy @ N Texas	November 06, 2010	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
N Texas +365

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	BC @ Hamilton, Edmonton @ Saskatchewan	November 06, 2010	12:05 and 5:05 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Hamilton +160, BC-Ham Under 52, Saskatchewan -1, Edm-Sask Under 52 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	MTSU @ Arkansas St	November 02, 2010	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Middle Tennessee St -4 1/2, +146

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Houston @ Indianapolis	November 01, 2010	6:35 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Indianapolis -7, +132

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Den-SF, Jax-Dal, Wash-Det, GB-NY Jets, Buff-KC, Sea-Oak	October 31, 2010	5 early, 1 afternoon
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
6-Pt Teaser: Den +8 1/2, Dall -1/2, Wash +8 1/2, NY Jets Pick, KC -1, Sea +8 1/2

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Jacksonville @ Dallas	October 31, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Over 45 1/2, +119

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Carolina @ St Louis	October 31, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
St Louis -2 1/2, -103

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Buffalo @ Kansas City	October 31, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Over 47 1/2, +110

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Minnesota @ New England	October 31, 2010	2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Minnesota +205

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Pittsburgh @ New Orleans	October 31, 2010	6:25 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Under 43, +121

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Saskatchewan @ BC	October 31, 2010	3:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Saskatchewan +152

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Northwestern @ Indiana	October 30, 2010	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Indiana +153

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Clemson @ Boston College	October 30, 2010	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Boston College +231

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Auburn @ Mississippi	October 30, 2010	4:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Mississippi +244

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	UTEP @ Marshall	October 30, 2010	1:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Marshall -5, +154

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Stanford @ Washington	October 30, 2010	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Washington +252

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Duke @ Navy	October 30, 2010	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Duke +400

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Washington St @ Arizona St	October 30, 2010	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Washington St +19, +129

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Ohio St @ Minnesota	October 30, 2010	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Minnesota +22 1/2, +132

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Michigan @ Penn St	October 30, 2010	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Penn St +132

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Oregon @ USC	October 30, 2010	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
USC +205

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	TCU @ UNLV	October 30, 2010	9:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
UNLV +34 1/2, +101

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	N Texas @ W Kentucky	October 30, 2010	1:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
North Texas +206

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Montreal @ Toronto	October 29, 2010	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Montreal -3 1/2 and Under 48 1/2 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Hamilton @ Calgary	October 29, 2010	8:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Calgary -4, -105

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Florida St @ N Carolina St	October 28, 2010	5:45 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Florida St -6, +126

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Cincinnati @ Atlanta	October 24, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Under 42, +106

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Jacksonville @ Kansas City	October 24, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Over 39, +106

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Cleveland @ New Orleans	October 24, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Cleveland +516

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	San Francisco @ Carolina	October 24, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Carolina +126

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	St Louis @ Tampa Bay	October 24, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Tampa Bay -4 1/2, +123

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Arizona @ Seattle	October 24, 2010	2:05 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Over 41 1/2, +119

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	New England @ San Diego	October 24, 2010	2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
San Diego -4, +147

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Ari-Sea, Oak-Den	October 24, 2010	2:05 & 2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Seattle -1 & Denver -1 1/2 6-Pt Teaser

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Minnesota @ Green Bay	October 24, 2010	6:20 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Green Bay -2 1/2 and Under 44 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Marshall @ E Carolina	October 23, 2010	2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Marshall +400

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Mississippi @ Arkansas	October 23, 2010	10:20 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Arkansas -12 1/2, +121

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	UAB @ Mississippi St	October 23, 2010	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
UAB +816

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Houston @ SMU	October 23, 2010	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Houston +289

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Oklahoma @ Missouri	October 23, 2010	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Oklahoma -5 1/2, +141

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Arizona St @ California	October 23, 2010	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
California -5 1/2, +136

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Alabama @ Tennessee	October 23, 2010	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Tennessee +545

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Hawaii @ Utah St	October 23, 2010	3:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Utah St +149

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Colorado St @ Utah	October 23, 2010	4:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Colorado St +28, +127

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Washington St @ Stanford	October 23, 2010	3:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Washington St +35 1/2, -105

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Georgia @ Kentucky	October 23, 2010	5:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Georgia -6 1/2, +121

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Texas Tech @ Colorado	October 23, 2010	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Colorado -1, +133

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Florida Atlantic @ Arkansas St	October 23, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Florida Atlantic +239

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Saskatchewan @ Edmonton	October 23, 2010	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Edmonton +110

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Montreal @ Hamilton	October 22, 2010	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
		Hamilton +110

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	UCLA @ Oregon	October 21, 2010	7:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
UCLA +1900

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Tennessee @ Jacksonville	October 18, 2010	6:35 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Jacksonville +125 and Over 45, +100 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Kansas City @ Houston	October 17, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Kansas City +180

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Baltimore @ New England	October 17, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
New England -4, +145

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	New Orleans @ Tampa Bay	October 17, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Under 42 1/2, +114

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Atlanta @ Philadelphia	October 17, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Atlanta +110 and Under 42 1/2 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Seattle @ Chicago	October 17, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Seattle +222

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Miami @ Green Bay	October 17, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Under 43, +117

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	NY Jets @ Denver	October 17, 2010	2:05 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Denver +170 and Over 43 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Oak-SF and Dall-Minn	October 17, 2010	2:05 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
San Francisco -1 and Dallas +7 1/2 Teaser

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Indianapolis @ Washington	October 17, 2010	6:20 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Washington +149

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Winnipeg @ Montreal	October 17, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Under 57, -105

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Calgary @ Saskatchewan	October 17, 2010	2:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Calgary +100 and Under 57 1/2 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Pittsburgh @ Syracuse	October 16, 2010	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Pittsburgh -4, +145

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Illinois @ Michigan St	October 16, 2010	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Illinois +244

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Baylor @ Colorado	October 16, 2010	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Colorado -1 1/2, +117

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	UNLV @ Colorado St	October 16, 2010	Noon PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Colorado St -6, +129

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Idaho @ Louisiana Tech	October 16, 2010	2:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Louisiana Tech -2, +118

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	BYU @ TCU	October 16, 2010	2:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
BYU +2500

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	UTEP @ UAB	October 16, 2010	2:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
UAB -5, +140

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Oklahoma St @ Texas Tech	October 16, 2010	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Texas Tech -5, +140

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Missouri @ Texas A&M	October 16, 2010	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Texas A&M -6, +132

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Air Force @ San Diego St	October 16, 2010	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
San Diego St -2, +117

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Nevada @ Hawaii	October 16, 2010	9:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Hawaii +222

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Edmonton @ BC	October 16, 2010	8:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
BC -6, -105

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Cincinnati @ Louisville	October 15, 2010	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Louisville +129

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Hamilton @ Toronto	October 15, 2010	5:35 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Toronto +109

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Minnesota @ NY Jets	October 11, 2010	6:35 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Minnesota +197

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Calgary @ Montreal	October 11, 2010	11:05 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Montreal -3 1/2 and Under 56 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	BC @ Winnipeg	October 11, 2010	2:35 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Winnipeg -3 1/2 and Over 51 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Kansas City @ Indianapolis	October 10, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Kansas City +289

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	St Louis @ Detroit	October 10, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Detroit -3, -105 and Over 42 1/2, -110 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Atlanta @ Cleveland	October 10, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Under 39 1/2, +109

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	NY Giants @ Houston	October 10, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Houston -4 1/2, +132

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	San Diego @ Oakland	October 10, 2010	2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Over 46, +109

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Tennessee @ Dallas	October 10, 2010	2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Tennessee +273

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Philadelphia @ San Francisco	October 10, 2010	6:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
San Francisco -4 1/2, +112

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Den-Bal, NO-Ari, SD-Oak	October 10, 2010	1 early, 2 late
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Baltimore -1, New Orleans -1/2, San Diego Pick 6-Pt Teaser

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Temple @ N Illinois	October 09, 2010	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Temple +151

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Navy @ Wake Forest	October 09, 2010	4:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Wake Forest +139

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	E Michigan @ Vanderbilt	October 09, 2010	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
E Michigan +22 1/2, +129

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	E Carolina @ S Miss	October 09, 2010	5:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
S Mississippi -10 1/2, +122

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Colorado St @ Air Force	October 09, 2010	Noon PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Colorado St +21 1/2, +126

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	LSU @ Florida	October 09, 2010	5:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Florida -9, +141

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Army @ Tulane	October 09, 2010	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Army -2 1/2, +123

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Utah St @ La Tech	October 09, 2010	2:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Louisiana Tech -3 1/2, +138

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	San Diego St @ BYU	October 09, 2010	4:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
BYU +184

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Oregon @ Washington St	October 09, 2010	3:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Washington St +35 1/2, -105

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Purdue @ Northwestern	October 09, 2010	5:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Purdue +289

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	USC @ Stanford	October 09, 2010	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
USC +322

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Tulsa @ SMU	October 09, 2010	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Tulsa +218

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Hawaii @ Fresno St	October 09, 2010	8:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Hawaii +310

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Arkansas St @ N Texas	October 09, 2010	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
N Texas +151

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Connecticut @ Rutgers	October 08, 2010	5:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Rutgers +184

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Oklahoma St @ UL-Lafayette	October 08, 2010	7:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
UL-Lafayette +21 1/2, +120

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Edmonton @ Hamilton	October 08, 2010	5:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Hamilton -6 1/2 and Under 52 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Nebraska @ Kansas St	October 07, 2010	5:45 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Kansas St +346

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	New England @ Miami	October 04, 2010	6:35 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Miami -2 1/2, +109

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Denver @ Tennessee	October 03, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Denver +246

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Cincinnati @ Cleveland	October 03, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Cleveland +126

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	NY Jets @ Buffalo	October 03, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Buffalo +221 and Over 36 1/2, -105 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Indianapolis @ Jacksonville	October 03, 2010	2:05 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Jacksonville +293

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Houston @ Oakland	October 03, 2010	2:05 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Over 44 1/2, +114

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Washington @ Philadelphia	October 03, 2010	2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Washington +197

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Chicago @ NY Giants	October 03, 2010	6:20 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Over 45 1/2, +115

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Hamilton @ Edmonton	October 03, 2010	2:35 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Hamilton -1 and Under 50 1/2 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Saskatchewan @ Toronto	October 02, 2010	1:05 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Toronto +152 and Under 49 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Montreal @ Calgary	October 01, 2010	7:05 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Calgary -3 1/2, -105 and Under 56 1/2, -115 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Green Bay @ Chicago	September 27, 2010	6:35 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Over 47, +110

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Tennessee @ NY Giants	September 26, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Tennessee +143 and Over 43 1/2 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Pittsburgh @ Tampa Bay	September 26, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Tampa Bay +129

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Cincinnati @ Carolina	September 26, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Carolina +149

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Atlanta @ New Orleans	September 26, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Atlanta +148 and Under 49 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	San Francisco @ Kansas City	September 26, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
San Francisco -4 1/2, +144

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Philadelphia @ Jacksonville	September 26, 2010	2:05 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Jacksonville +125 and Over 44 1/2 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	San Diego @ Seattle	September 26, 2010	2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Seattle +193

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	NY Jets @ Miami	September 26, 2010	6:20 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
NY Jets -1 1/2, +124

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Va Tech @ Boston College	September 25, 2010	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Boston College +162

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Oklahoma vs Cincinnati	September 25, 2010	4:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Oklahoma -16 1/2, +115

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Alabama @ Arkansas	September 25, 2010	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Arkansas +231

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Stanford @ Notre Dame	September 25, 2010	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Notre Dame +171

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	UCLA @ Texas	September 25, 2010	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Texas -18, +128

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	USC @ Washington St	September 25, 2010	1:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Washington St +20, +128

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Kentucky @ Florida	September 25, 2010	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Kentucky +469

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	W Virginia @ LSU	September 25, 2010	7:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
West Virginia +322

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	N Carolina @ Rutgers	September 25, 2010	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
N Carolina -5, +132

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Saskatchewan @ Hamilton	September 25, 2010	4:35 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Hamilton -1 1/2, -115 and Under 52 1/2, -110 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	BC @ Calgary	September 25, 2010	7:35 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Over 54, -107

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Montreal @ Winnipeg	September 24, 2010	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Winnipeg +201

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	New Orleans @ San Francisco	September 20, 2010	6:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
San Francisco +190 and Under 43 1/2 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Baltimore @ Cincinnati	September 19, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Cincinnati +128

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Pitt-Tenn, Chi-Dal, Ari-Atl, Mia-Minn, Jax-SD	September 19, 2010	11:00 AM and 1:15 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
5-Team Teaser: Tenn, Dal, Atl, Minn, SD

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	NY Giants @ Indy	September 19, 2010	6:20 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Under 47, +118

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Arkansas @ Georgia	September 18, 2010	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Georgia -5, +153

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	N Illinois @ Illinois	September 18, 2010	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Illinois -9 1/2, +124

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	E Carolina @ Va Tech	September 18, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Va Tech -21 1/2, +126

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Alabama @ Duke	September 18, 2010	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Duke +21 1/2, +116

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Ohio @ Ohio St	September 18, 2010	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Ohio +27, +132

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Florida @ Tennessee	September 18, 2010	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Tennessee +423

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Washington St @ SMU	September 18, 2010	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Washington St +20 1/2, +1265

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Fresno St @ Utah St	September 18, 2010	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Utah St +155

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	UNLV @ Idaho	September 18, 2010	8:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
UNLV +235

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	N Texas @ Army	September 18, 2010	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
N Texas +181

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	FIU @ Texas A&M	September 18, 2010	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
FIU +25 1/2, +126

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Calgary @ Saskatchewan	September 17, 2010	7 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Under 55 1/2 , -105

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Cincinnati @ NC St	September 16, 2010	5:45 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Cincinnati +114

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Carolina @ NY Giants	September 12, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Carolina +230 and Under 41, -115 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Atlanta @ Pittsburgh	September 12, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Pittsburgh -1 1/2, +113

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Cleveland @ Tampa Bay	September 12, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Cleveland +141

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Oakland @ Tennessee	September 12, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Tennessee -6, -115 and Over 40, -105 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Den/Jax, SF/Sea, Ari/StL, Bal/NYJ	September 12, 2010	1 early, 2 late and MNF
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Overs in 2-Team Round Robin Parlay		1.5% BR each

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Dallas @ Washington	September 12, 2010	6:20 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Washington +162

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Saskatchewan @ Winnipeg	September 12, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Winnipeg +143 and Over 55 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Florida St @ Oklahoma	September 11, 2010	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Oklahoma -7 and Over 58 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	E Michigan @ Miami-Ohio	September 11, 2010	Noon PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Miami-Ohio -16 1/2, +117

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Buffalo @ Baylor	September 11, 2010	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Buffalo +498

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	NC St @ UCF	September 11, 2010	5:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Central Florida -5 1/2, +131

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Ole Miss @ Tulane	September 11, 2010	7:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Mississippi -23, +128

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Rice @ N Texas	September 11, 2010	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
North Texas -5 1/2, +133

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Toronto @ BC	September 11, 2010	2 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Toronto + 175 and Over 48 Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Calgary @ Edmonton	September 10, 2010	7:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Edmonton +355

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Minnesota @ New Orleans	September 09, 2010	6:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Over 50, +109

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	C Michigan @ Temple	September 09, 2010	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Temple -10, +128

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Auburn @ Mississippi St	September 09, 2010	5:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Miss St -2, +118

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Maryland vs Navy	September 06, 2010	2:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Maryland +210

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Boise St vs Virginia Tech	September 06, 2010	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Over 53 1/2, +114

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Toronto @ Hamilton	September 06, 2010	12:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Toronto +165

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Edmonton @ Calgary	September 06, 2010	4:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Under 54, -105

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Winnipeg @ Saskatchewan	September 05, 2010	2:05 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Under			58, +100

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Purdue @ Notre Dame	September 04, 2010	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Notre Dame			-13, +119

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	UConn @ Michigan	September 04, 2010	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Michigan			-5 1/2, +137

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Washington @ BYU	September 04, 2010	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Washington			-2, +120

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	N Carolina vs LSU	September 04, 2010	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
N Carolina $			+318

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Wisconsin @ UNLV	September 04, 2010	9:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Wisconsin			-22 1/2, +134

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Bowling Green @ Troy	September 04, 2010	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Troy			-16 1/2, +113

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Arizona @ Toledo	September 03, 2010	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Arizona-Toledo Over			Sell points @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	BC @ Montreal	September 03, 2010	5:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
BC $-line			+435 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	S Miss @ S Carolina	September 02, 2010	5:30 PM Mountain
Subjective:
Objective:
Assessment:
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
S Carolina			Sell to -16 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Boston @ LA	June 17, 2010	7:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Believe the edge Lakers had for LG now gone. Perhaps give slight nod to Celtics in bounce-back and for "circle-the-wagons" mentality with #2 playoff rebounder Perkins out.
Objective: So... while LA looked a bargain at < -7 in G6, not the same here at -7. Tough to foresee B2B big W's. We got our reversion to mean from Celtics LG with starters' shooting dropping from 61 to 41%; their bench even worse at 4 of 26. G6 waayyy Under at 155, but lines maker only reduced Total by a pt to 187. Referees put the whistles away starting G3 and FT attempts have gone steadily down with 48, 45, 39 and 29 L4G for average of 173 ppg. G7's usually have a "let them play" mentality too. Series now 5-1 Under, including L4 straight.
Assessment: We'll bet that these two teams cannot score the required 30-plus more pts than LG to beat the Under.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Boston-LA Under	Monitor	4% BR	At present I'd sell to 185 1/2, +100 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Boston @ LA	June 15, 2010	7:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Significant edge to Lakers back H off 2 SU L, while Celtics know they have to 2 chances @ series.
Objective: Combo of +4 on IQ, +9 on O Reb's, +13 FT attempts and +7 FG attempts should bode well, right? Hmmm... not if you shoot 39% and your opponent shoots 56%. Take away Kobe's G5 13 of 27 and it was 33% vs 61% for the starters. Thinking some major reversion to mean in order. Opening Total @ 188 and heading up a bit. Boston D a notch worse Away (96 vs 89 ppg L10G) and G1/2 did average 194 pts; however, a lot of those pts came from 67 FT attempts each G. Gonna pass on Total after 3 straight Unders.
Assessment: Odds are Lakers bounce back.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
LA	Monitor	4% BR	At present, sell to -7 1/2, +113

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	LA @ Boston	June 13, 2010	6:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Pendulum swings to Lakers in back-and-forth series.
Objective: They had a shot at G4 W but were hurt by C Bynum's 2H absence; 36 pts allowed 4Q (63% FG's) and -8 O Reb's/-10 2nd chance pts/-20 pts in paint for G. Key player had injured knee drained and with 2 full days off vows he'll play tonight. That reverts Celtics to primarily outside shooting once again. LG deceptively close to Total by virtue of 63 pt 4Q; think TG will be more like 1st 3Q in which D's yielded only 122. Lines down only a little side and Total. Boston now Under L7 HG.
Assessment: We'll take the odds with LA in relatively low scoring G.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
LA $-line and Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+125 and 187 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	LA @ Boston	June 10, 2010	7:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Giving Boston the edge here off HL and trying to avoid 3-1 series hole.
Objective: Celtics are 5-1 ATS/SU off playoff L TY. However, Lakers an identical 5-1 SU/ATS L6 as playoff AD. Given our Lakers in 5 series bet, we have what is in essence a G4/G5 parlay paying >7:1. With Boston -3 1/2, there's really no viable hedge that could also get us a middle (e.g. a Boston 5 1/2 Teaser only gets them to +2 and not much chance of a Celtics SU L with a cover). I'm sitting out the side on the G. However, in their 5W off L above the Celtics are an average of +7.8 in 1Q. Our G3 Under a function of more normal officiating as total FT attempts were down by 19 from G1/2. Box score "dissection" shows woeful 3's of 6 for 33 LG... reversion to mean? Well... maybe not as if we take out Allen's G2 8 of 11, teams are 19 of 80 for only 23% and perhaps this is the mean?? Throw out the aberrant 124 pts by Cleveland and Boston allowing 82 ppg @ H in playoffs with Push Score currently 97-93. Been sifting through the Prop's this A.M. and found one I like. Lakers had a lot of one-on-one dribbling 2H LG with Kobe hoisting difficult shots to beat 24 second clock. He and HC Jackson ought to adjust with more ball/player movement. Bryant's assists are 6, 6, 4 G1-3 and we can get Over 6 1/2, +138.
Assessment: As above.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
1. Boston 1stQ 2. LA-Boston Under 3. Bryant Assists Over	Monitor	4%, 4%, 2% respectively	1. -1 1/2, -115 @ CRIS 2. Currently sell to 188 1/2, +103 @ Pinnacle 3. Over 6 1/2, +138 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	LA @ Boston	June 08, 2010	7:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Once again, about a wash here with Lakers looking to bounce back and Celtics returning H.
Objective: Boston's back-court the story in G2 with almost a quarter of their pts coming on Allen's 3's and Rondo big down the stretch. In contrast, LA's front-court combo of Gasol/Bynum shot 65% (46 pts) as Kobe plagued with foul trouble. Excepting those 3, remaining cast a brutal 19%. The charity stripe the biggest factor in an Over with 67 FT attempts as overall shooting was only 42%. Expect Lakers to take away Allen TG and their front-court not so easy to take away. Bryant bound to have a better G. Boston D obviously solid and on 5G H Under streak (non-OT).
Assessment: Given the plus odds, we'll take Lakers in a lower scoring G.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
LA $-line and Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+125 and 192 1/2 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Boston @ LA	June 06, 2010	6:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: With 2-3-2 format, calling emotions a wash.
Objective: Line up 1/2 a pt off G1. Laker's D and rebounding the keys to W with 9 extra FG attempts and 8 extra FG made. Not something I think Celtics are capable of turning around. Officiating helped them keep it respectable LG; >83% on 36 FT's. That a big factor in Total as well with 77 FT's overall as Kobe's last shot 3 was either a Push or got the Over for many. However, don't foresee a repeat of the combined 5 of 20 on 3's. Lines maker's opener of 191 looks about right.
Assessment: We'll go with Laker's advantages again at a reasonable price.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
LA	Monitor	4% BR	Right now, I'd sell to -7, +114 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Boston @ LA	June 03, 2010	7:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Perhaps slight edge Lakers given 2008 Finals L to Celtics in 6G (0-6 ATS).
Objective: LA 3-1 SU (2-1-1 ATS) since with only L TY by 1 pt @ H in G Kobe DNP. Improved record a result of 2 upgrades; Bynum @ C, allowing Odom to come off bench, and Artest for Radmanovic/Ariza. Three interesting trends in TY Playoffs: 1. Fav's 44-29 ATS (only 85-80 L2Y) and 50-23 SU; in only 6G TY has the G-winner not covered. 2. Much less Under-ish @ 37-34 (101-69 L2Y). 3. H team 12-2 SU in series' G1's (10-4 ATS). Lakers undefeated @ H in post-season and -5 1/2 their cheapest so far TY. In 2008 they were -9 1/2, -7 1/2 and -7 1/2 in 3 HG vs Boston. Big part of trend #2 above is LA @ 10-5 Over, including a 10-1-1 Over run until L2G vs Suns. Lines maker trying to somehow split the difference between the 217 Total of those 2G and TY season series which averaged only 176 ppg. He settled on an opener of 194 which the typically Over-loving GBP has bet down 2 1/2 pts as I write. We'll sit this Total out. However, think Lakers improved vs 2008 squad, have HFA and are significantly less expensive; especially given TY H G1 trend. Series-wise, think there's value in LA as well; although we'll skip the overall @ -187. With 2-3-2 format, tough to envision a sweep, but like the +733 and +330 for 5G and 6G respectively. And could be some hedging options along the way.
Assessment: Lakers likely to get their 2008 revenge.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
1. LA G1. 2. LA series	Monitor	1. 4% BR 2. 1% each on W in 5 and 6	1. Currently would sell to -6 1/2, +114 @ Pinnacle 2. $-lines as above

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	LA @ Phoenix	May 29, 2010	6:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Edge Suns after big G5 comeback with fluky last second L.
Objective: Their only HL in playoffs was in G1 Round 1. Lakers continue to struggle vs zone D shooting <42% LG. Line a reasonable -1 1/2, which is < G3 and only a half pt higher than G4, with PSPR @ -7. Phoenix with #2 O Reb% and LA now #27 D Reb%. Although G looking Under-ish, Total is 8 pts lower than G4 opener and if Suns lead down stretch we might get another G4-like foul-fest.
Assessment: Suns likely to take this series to G7.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Phoenix	Monitor	4% BR	At present, sell to -2 1/2, +115 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Orlando @ Boston	May 28, 2010	6:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Magic Mojo definitely back; will another Boston team become infamous?
Objective: Uncharacteristic lines moves as Celtics opened 4 1/2 pts cheaper than LG closing line here. PSPR has it Magic -2 1/2, but I'm leery of the #29 vs #1 IQ match-up. Orlando still -9 on that stat even in G4 W. Calling LG an aberration with teams combining for 20 made 3's and 1.45 pts/shot (league mean about 1.02!). #1 @ #4 D with #1 and #2 D Reb%'s. Lines maker helping a bit by bumping OT to 189.
Assessment: I'm passing on side and taking Under.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Orlando-Boston Under	Monitor	4% BR	Current best to sell to 187, +100 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Phoenix @ LA	May 27, 2010	7:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Tough call here with Lakers back H off B2B AL and Suns with some momentum.
Objective: Odds the big equalizer with highest spread, and $-line giving Phoenix little better than a 20% shot. Series is looking for both its 1st "service break" and Under. Laker's O struggling somewhat in both G vs Sun's zone D; only 106 LG despite 1.73 pts/shot from Kobe. Would expect LA to turn up its D here. LG only crawled Over because Lakers wouldn't quit fouling; 17 pts in last 1:38. With series now 2-2 our 2% BR on Suns in 6 or 7 still alive.
Assessment: I don't mind almost 8:1 odds on another Parlay.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Phoenix $-line and Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+345 and 217 1/2, -105 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Boston @ Orlando	May 26, 2010	6:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Celtics a little overconfident G4, perhaps allowing Magic to find their Mojo.
Objective: Even though they're @ their cheapest @ H so far, not prepared to lay mid-SD vs Boston team that's 5-2 SU Away in playoffs including G1 & 2 here. Once again, GBP looking for an Over in this series with opener up a 1/2 pt despite fact it's 11 of L12 Under. I'm not counting our bet-killing LG OT BTW; regulation mean pts in series are 176. L3Q G4 averaged 38 pts/Q.
Assessment: Thinks Under's they play again.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Boston-Orlando Under	Monitor	4% BR	At present, sell to 185, +111 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Orlando @ Boston	May 24, 2010	6:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Orlando might give full effort to avoid another embarrassment, Boston certainly looking focused.
Objective: Magic seem lost on O and after G3, the IQ discrepancy is now #29 vs #1. However, with Celtics currently 6 pts more expensive than LG OL, I'll pass on side. Nowhere near the same adjustment on Total which is only a pt lower than LG OT. It'll take 23 more pts TG to top that. 10 of L11 in series Under.
Assessment: Odds with another one.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Orlando-Boston Under	Monitor	4% BR	I think we can get a better number than current 188, -115 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Orlando @ Boston	May 22, 2010	6:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Giving edge to pre-series Fav Magic in 0-2 hole.
Objective: Review of series history certainly in order. HFA virtually non-existent as visitor on 7-0 ATS/6-1 SU streak (only HW by 2 pts); Celtics L L3H. And 9 of L10 Under with only Over by 1/2 pt. Despite these facts, GBP has taken OL and OT up 2 full pts. Orlando comes in with #1 Away D and #1 D Reb%. PSPR has them -4 1/2.
Assessment: Odds with visiting getting another W in another Under.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Orlando $-line and Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+150 and 190 1/2 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Phoenix @ LA	May 19, 2010	7:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Must give edge to Suns after Monday's blowout L.
Objective: It was a G of multiple aberrations. Lakers shot 58% overall vs 49% in TY 4G series. They also hit 8 of 17 3's vs a 15G H moving average of 33%. On the other hand, Phoenix's 5 of 22 was less than half their current norm of 46%. Current numbers a pt more on side and a full 5 pts on Total than G1 closing lines.
Assessment: With reversion to means expected, value looks to again be on the same play as Monday.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Phoenix $-line and Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+270 and 215 1/2 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Phoenix @ LA	May 17, 2010	7:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Long lay off for both. Suns enter on 6G SU/ATS streak.
Objective: Season series 3-1 Lakers with +30 pts. I'm downplaying that as 1st 3G were well before All-Star break and Phoenix had league's #3 record Post vs Pre-All Star. PSPR has them +3 TG and would have them -9 @ H. A couple statistical discrepancies pointing to Suns; the most glaring of which is tonight's 3's shooting % of #1 vs #30. D's (#7 vs #5 tonight) and IQ's about even. Back H, Phoenix has a #1 vs #23 O vs D Reb% edge. They're allowing 96 ppg Away L10G and Lakers 93 ppg H same span; well Under the 109-102 Push Score.
Assessment: Suns have a decent shot @ G1 and series upsets. Total looking high.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
1. Phoenix $-line and Under Parlay 2. Phoenix series	Monitor	1. 4% BR 2. 1% each on W in 5, 6, 7G	1. +260 and 210 1/2 @ CRIS 2. +2865, +754, +1104 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Boston @ Orlando	May 16, 2010	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Magic very well-rested, but Celtics had 2 full days off. It took Orlando until G7 to put away Garnett-less Boston in LY playoffs.
Objective: Magic 3-1 SU in TY series, but pt differential only a total of +5. However, PSPR currently -10 with line of -6 1/2. I'm sitting out the side and series bets so far. G pits #5 @ #1 D's and 7 of L8 in series Under with a high score of 191. Normally the lines maker will add a playoff "premium" that reduces the Total given that post-season G's are often lower scoring. Not so here as OT was 190, basically the same as TY regular season Totals.
Assessment: Think there's value in a continuation of series history.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Boston-Orlando Under	Monitor	4% BR	At present, I'd sell to 188, +103 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Cleveland @ Boston	May 13, 2010	6:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: In G5 post-G, Garnett adamant about taking TG as Celtic's G7. Cav's looking to bounce back, which they did in G3. However, Boston took them lightly and doubt that repeats.
Objective: Excepting that G3, when Lebron had 3 full days of elbow rest, if not for blown lead in G1 this series would be done. Biggest constant through 5G has been Celtic's D. Once again, line of only -1 calling Cleveland the better team. Highest Total of series so far.
Assessment: Odds with Boston's D helping them close out series.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Bostonand Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	-1 and 196 1/2 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	LA @ Utah	May 10, 2010	8:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Frustrated Jazz in 0-3 hole losing by a grand total of 14 pts.
Objective: Unlike LG, where Utah's OL was bet up a pt to -4 1/2, in TG they're back down in the small HF price range. 5-0 SU/ATS in that role TY, including 2-0 in playoffs. PSPR makes them -3.
Assessment: Acceptable value on great H team with emotional edge and better than their 0-3 record in this series.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Utah	Monitor	4% BR	At present, I'd sell to -3 1/2, +104 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Orlando @ Atlanta	May 10, 2010	6:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: I want no part of Atlanta, even though I think they'll probably put out a big effort to avoid getting booed off their own court like in G3. GBP sure loves them!
Objective: However, think a 4 1/2 pt increase in price has taken the value out of Orlando. Same Total dynamics as LG; Hawks must do it with D. Basically, looking like an Under that Atlanta will keep closer, but Magic's W streak continues.
Assessment: So... I think there's value in doing this...
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Orlando, Atlanta, Under Teaser (i.e. the 4 1/2 Sides, 6 1/2 Totals option)	Why wait?	4% BR	Pinnacle paying 9-to-5 on Orlando -1 1/2, Atlanta +10 1/2 and Under 199 1/2. Meaning we need a Magic W by between 2 and 10 pts.

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Cleveland @ Boston	May 09, 2010	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Edge Celtics off worst H playoff L in franchise history.
Objective: G3 "perfect storm" for Cleveland who were 60% from the field and the league's worst FT shooting team went 31 of 34 from the line. Not very risky to predict that those numbers will revert to the mean. Looks like Boston will go off as a HD TG and lines maker bumped Total by 4 pts and GBP has taken it another 2 so far.
Assessment: Basically a contrarian/revert to the mean play.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Boston $-line and Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+100 and 197 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Phoenix @ San Antonio	May 09, 2010	6:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Tough to fathom vet 4-time champion Spurs getting swept with G4 on H court.
Objective: Finally see some value in them as lines maker dropped G3 closing line by whopping 4 pts and it's still currently 3. Hard luck for us LG as Dragic went nuts as part of 63 pt 4Q capped by his last seconds 3 that killed our Under. Technically, G did go Under closing line of 207, even though teams combined to shoot 55% beyond the arc for 23 3's. More reversion to mean in order.
Assessment: We'll take the offer of a much lower line on San Antonio and a still relatively high Total.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
San Antonio and Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	Should be -3 1/2 and 207 everywhere

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Orlando @ Atlanta	May 08, 2010	3:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Probably Hawks best chance @ a W.
Objective: However, Magic W L11 and 26 of L29 SU. They're only laying 2 pts with a PSPR of -4. They have #1 D Reb% and shoot 3's @ #2 %. Highest Total of series, but G pits #3 vs #1 D's. While allowing Orlando 113 ppg on the road L2Y, it's 88 ppg L3 @ H. That's well below Push Score of 99-96.
Assessment: Orlando likely to continue their SU streak, but probably in a lower scoring G.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Orlando and Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	-2 and 195 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Cleveland @ Boston	May 07, 2010	5:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Celtics back H off a blown lead and a lead that was too big to blow.
Objective: If current line holds, they'll be a HD for only 4th time TY; a split with Cavs (the L was sans Pierce) and a push with Lakers. "Big 3" a misnomer as Boston has had at least 4 scoring in DD L4 of series. D wins championships and Cleveland's is a mediocre #16 on road allowing 100 ppg L15 and 107 L5 with 5 straight Overs. LG here (April 4) totaled 230. With Rondo @ the helm, Celts are league's "smartest" H team with #1 IQ.
Assessment: Given that and their balanced O, they look like a formidable HD.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Boston (probably $-line) and Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+100 and 191 1/2 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Phoenix @ San Antonio	May 07, 2010	7:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Edge Spurs back H off SU L and in 0-2 hole.
Objective: However, not going to take the worst of it with this line of -6 1/2. That's significantly more than was laid vs Mavs and PSPR is Suns -1/2. San Antonio did W L2 in series here, but by only 3 and 5 pts. Phoenix also dangerous down-the-stretch with #1 Away 3's %. We have highest Total of series so far and while Spurs capable of "D'ing up", Sun's D "Under" the radar @ #6 allowing 91 ppg L5A and a 6G Away Under streak.
Assessment: High Total with not one, but two solid D's.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Phoenix-San Antonio Under	Monitor	4% BR	At present, 204, +105 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Atlanta @ Orlando	May 06, 2010	6:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: After allowing 114 pts in G1 L, would expect a better D effort from Hawks.
Objective: However, OL only up a 1/2 pt from LG, requiring a 34 pt turnaround for a cover. PSPR -13. Magic with #2 D and have held Atlanta's O to 81 ppg L7 in series. Currently a 2 1/2 pt adjustment to G1 Total means a Push Score of 100-90.
Assessment: Think Hawks unlikely to get their share again.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Orlando and Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	Should be -9 1/2 and 189 1/2 everywhere

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	San Antonio @ Phoenix	May 05, 2010	7:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Perhaps a mentally tougher Phoenix team TY as they pulled away for G1 W despite twice blowing DD leads. Interesting sidelight will be the wearing of "Los Suns" jerseys in celebration of Cinco de Mayo and in opposition to a recently passed state immigration law.
Objective: Significant line adjustments from G1 with OL down a pt and OT up 3 pts. GBP has taken that 1 and 1/2 more in same directions respectively. At -2 1/2, HFA more than canceled out and basically calling the #7 seed the better team. Big discrepancy in 3's % with #27 @ #3. Spurs "big 3" can't play much better than the 50% they shot in G1 and they still L. PSPR -6.
Assessment: Surprisingly small HF looks like the play.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Phoenix	Monitor	4% BR	At present. I'd sell to -3 1/2, +113 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Boston @ Cleveland	May 03, 2010	6:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Edge to veteran Celtics who blew 11 pt 3Q lead G1.
Objective: Expect their focus to be on D after allowing a 58 pt 2H. Deceptive G1 final as James' 3 with 26 seconds remaining turned a potential Boston/Under parlay into a Cavs/Over result. PSPR only -3 1/2 and Celtics have IQ edge.
Assessment: G1 Potential realized?
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Boston $-line and Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+250 and 192 1/2 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	San Antonio @ Phoenix	May 03, 2010	8:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: No sneaking up on Suns TG after allowing Blazers to steal G1 in Round 1. It was the only series G1 H SU L in playoffs TY, with teams 7-3 ATS as well.
Objective: TY season series to Suns 2-1 with 11 and 12 pt HW's. Lowest Total was 213 and lowest closing Total @ H of 209. GBP has taken Phoenix down a full pt to -3 1/2. As usual, they will try to push the tempo and should be aided by Spurs #29 IQ. Suns also shooting #2 3's % @ H. PSPR of -5 1/2.
Assessment: We'll go with what looks to be under-valued G1 H team in historically high scoring series.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Phoenix and Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	-3 1/2 and 203 1/2 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Atlanta @ Milwaukee	April 30, 2010	5:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Calling this close to a saw-off with Hawks facing elimination. However, with 3G W streak, Bucks ought to be the more confident team.
Objective: Atlanta now on 1-10 SU Away playoff run and yet they're still favored?? OL of -1 basically the same as G3 and 4 and has been bet to -2 by GBP. Little adjustment to Total either, despite 2 Overs in Milwaukee with Bucks avergaging 109 ppg. Push Score of 96-94...
Assessment: Series history indicates they should get their share, so...
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Milwaukee $-line and Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+105 and 189 1/2, -105 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	LA @ Oklahoma City	April 30, 2010	7:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Back H off blowout L, edge Thunder.
Objective: Obviously, tough to overcome a 0 for 13 start vs defending Champs. OKC wants to use their speed and quickness. Potential key stat is Laker's H vs A IQ disparity of #6 vs #28. If Thunder gets the TO's/steals they won't be shooting all jumpers and doubt we get a repeat of the 14 for 48 performance by their starters in G5. PSPR of -4 with line a slim 1 pt.
Assessment: Likely that H team holds serve for 6th straight time.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Oklahoma City	Monitor	4% BR	At present I'd sell to -2, +109 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Dallas @ San Antonio	April 29, 2010	6:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Slight edge Spurs back H off SU (blowout) L?
Objective: However, their highest price yet, a PSPR pf only -4 and H series winning margins of 4 and 3 pts making line look just about right. Distinct Totals pattern has developed @ 4-0-1 Under, making it 7-1-1 Under L9G. The 2G here were lowest, averaging 182 1/2.
Assessment: 191 leaves enough room for another Under.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Dallas-San Antonio Under	Monitor	4% BR	189 1/2, +108 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Phoenix @ Portland	April 29, 2010	8:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Edge Blazers back H off blowout L and facing elimination.
Objective: Pace the key here. Said Aldridge after LG: "Even when we were winning, we were playing their game...We should have slowed it down and played more of a half-court game." Think they can do it too, with #1 D, #3 D Reb% and #3 IQ. Despite a G4 final of only 183 pts, lines maker has come back with a repeat Total of 202.
Assessment: If they control pace @ H again, odds favor...
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Portland and Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	-1 and 201 1/2 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Milwaukee @ Atlanta	April 28, 2010	6:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Edge Hawks who are back H off B2B SU L's.
Objective: They have W L13 SU here... however, they're pushing -9 and with G1 and 2 margins both 10 pts, don't see that as a bargain. Like last night, Total is highest of series due to 2 Overs at another venue. Expect Atlanta's focus to be on D after allowing 51 and 55% shooting G3 and 4 respectively. You wouldn't know it, but TG pits #1 @ #3 D's.
Assessment: Think there's value in the Under.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Milwaukee-Atlanta Under	Monitor	4% BR	189 1/2, +108 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Utah @ Denver	April 28, 2010	8:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Huge edge Nuggets off 3 SU L; can't fathom LY Conference Finalists going out with a whimper @ H (35-8 SU TY).
Objective: Current line same as G2 which Jazz stole after sucking it up without Okur and Kirilenko. Denver's break point for success as HF above this margin, as they're a brutal 4-13 ATS laying DD, but 13-8 ATS @ SD. They should be able to capitalize on a nice #5 vs #20 IQ edge.
Assessment: Reasonable price for great H team with significant emotional edge.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Denver	Monitor	4% BR	-7 is a key number, but think the 20 cent difference for selling to -8 (-105 vs +115) is worth it @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Miami @ Boston	April 27, 2010	5:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Boston back H off SU L in which monster 46 pt G from Wade helped Heat avoid elimination.
Objective: Celtics @ their most expensive price in series and PSPR only -1 1/2 so passing on side. Total also @ its highest after 2 Overs in Miami. Push Score of 97-91. However, Heat only averaged 76 1/2 pts G1 and 2 with teams combining for 172.
Assessment: Think we're more likely to see better Boston D back H.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Miami-Boston Under	Monitor	4% BR	186 1/2, +108 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Atlanta @ Milwaukee	April 26, 2010	6:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: I see G3 as giving Bucks hope and Hawks doubts.
Objective: Atlanta's blowout L makes their Away playoff record 1-9 SU L3Y. Milwaukee went off @ -1 LG and opened as +1 1/2 for tonight. That's asking for a 20 pt turnaround to get a Hawk's cover. Bucks spread the O around nicely in G3 with 6 scorers in DD and woke up from behind the arc (10 of 23 3's).
Assessment: Think TG will be closer to LG than G1 and 2.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Milwaukee $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+111 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Portland @ Phoenix	April 26, 2010	8:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Roy's early return and B2B blowout L's gave Blazers the edge LG. Now Suns back H off SU L in which they were held to a season low in pts.
Objective: Currently, we've got the lowest Total of the series and Phoenix 2 1/2 pts cheaper than G 1 and 2, and below the key # of -7. They learned the hard way in G4 that they have to play @ their tempo to win and Nash will do all he can to speed things up. Expecting much better than LG 6 of 23 from 3, as Sun's shoot the #2 % @ H.
Assessment: That likely means a higher scoring G with odds favoring a Phoenix cover.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Phoenix and Over Parlay	Waiting on Pinnacle	4% BR	It's -6 and 202 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Dallas @ San Antonio	April 25, 2010	5:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Looks like saw-off as Mavs try to even series, but Spurs with HFA.
Objective: San Antonio a pt cheaper than Friday's closing line. Spur's O consistent (50, 48, 49 FG% G1-3) and diversified with 4 players scoring 15-plus L2W. Averaging 7 of 18 on 3's L15G @ H they W G3 despite a 0 for 7 night. PSPR -5.
Assessment: Spurs playing better with lower price than LG and likely to hit some 3's.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
San Antonio	Monitor	4% BR	At present -3 1/2, +106 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Denver @ Utah	April 25, 2010	7:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Nuggets on ropes, Jazz now rolling?
Objective: They're a 1/2 pt cheaper than G3, which was a 12 pt W they led by 23 mid-4Q. That moved them to 6-0 SU/ATS in small HF/HD price range TY. PSPR -8 1/2. Same stats as G3 apply with Utah getting edges on D, Rebounding, 3's and IQ. Jazz had +11 FG attempts LG.
Assessment: Odds not good for Denver making this big of a turnaround from G3.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Utah	Why wait?	4% BR	-3, +118 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Phoenix @ Portland	April 24, 2010	2:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Gotta give edge to H team that has laid 2 eggs in a row.
Objective: However, with a PSPR of Suns -5 1/2, passing on side. Despite a 66 pt 1H by Phoenix, LG still went Under. Suns a ridiculous 1.54 pts per shot (league mean is about 1.00). At least expecting the Blazer D to be more like the one in 2H which allowed only 42 pts.
Assessment: We'll repeat the part of Wednesday's Parlay that worked.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Phoenix-Portland Under	Monitor	4% BR	200 1/2, +108 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	LA @ Oklahoma City	April 24, 2010	7:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Upstart Thunder rode good situation to W in G3. Now thinking edge goes back to defending Champs as a Dog in B2B G's.
Objective: Lakers were a perfect 7-0 SU/ATS off SU L in playoffs LY. Ominous sign for OKC is fact they shot only 41%, but were +22 in FT attempts.
Assessment: Like Lakers off L as Dog.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
LA $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+113 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Orlando @ Charlotte, Atlanta @ Milwaukee	April 24, 2010	12:05 and 5:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Last 2 chances @ the back H off SU L situation.
Objective: While they're the worst road team in the playoffs, Bobcats solid @ H (31-10 SU) and took the Magic to OT here in January with their current line-up. Charlotte with the #3 D and #1 3's %. They should be more aggressive (-17 FT's LG) and smarter (19 TO's LG). Similar to Denver last night, Atlanta's record built mainly @ H as they are a mediocre 19-22 SU Away. Bucks should be encouraged by G2 Box score; 10 more FG attempts based primarily on +10 O rebounds. Hawks have #27 D Reb%. Milwaukee shooting likely to revert to mean as team went 4 of 24 in 3's and now-leading scorer Jennings an uncharacteristic 3 of 15.
Assessment: We'll take the small HD and small HF returning H.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Charlotte $-line, Milwaukee	Monitor	4% BR each	+120 and look to sell to -2, +105 or so @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Boston @ Miami	April 23, 2010	5:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Combo of back H off SU L, post-blowout L and Celts LD with return of Garnett gives Heat the edge. Expecting rest of team to finally step up and give Wade some help...
Objective: He's shooting 61% (22 of 36) and they're a pathetic 32% (38 of 118). Miami played well at times in Boston leading G1 61-47 mid-3Q and 29-25 early 2Q G2 before their O meltdowns.
Assessment: While our series plays look to be going down the tubes, we'll go for a W tonight.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Miami	Monitor	Only 2% BR as another 2% is already in play on series	Currently, I'd sell to -5, +110 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Dallas @ San Antonio	April 23, 2010	7:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Calling this a wash emotionally with Mavs looking to bounce back and Spurs with HFA.
Objective: Ditto for PSPR which says -5 (current line -3 1/2). Totals of 194, 194 and now 193 1/2 with a G1 Push and a G2 Under. However, G2 saw only 13 pts in the last 6:30 as San Antonio milked the clock on every possession. Teams averaging 103 ppg Away and 108 ppg Home L15G respectively. Push Score only 99-95. Both are in league's top 6 in 3's attempted and made. Pendulum swings back for Nowitzki and the other Dallas starters who were only 32% (18 of 56) LG. S.A. O doing its share @ 50% G1 and 48% G2.
Assessment: Teams scoring patterns favor Over.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Dallas-San Antonio Over	Monitor	4% BR	At present, 195, +105 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Denver @ Utah	April 23, 2010	8:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Jazz H off confidence-building AW. Nuggets likely need a split this weekend.
Objective: However, they're the worst on the road of the West's playoff teams (19-22 SU). GBP likes them though taking OL down a half pt to only -2. The 2 previous match-ups here were -10 and -7 1/2, although neither Anthony nor Billups played in either. PSPR makes it Utah -7. Denver's D a mediocre #21 and D Reb% worse @ #25 with leading rebounder Martin ? and <100%. Jazz with big edge in 3's % (#4 vs #25). TY Utah a HD twice and small HF (i.e. -3 1/2 or less) three times; record of 5-0 SU/ATS vs likes of Cle., LA, Orl., and SA x 2.
Assessment: Line value and some stats with the H team vs a mediocre road team.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Utah	Monitor	4% BR	-3, +105 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Cle-Chi, LA-OKC, Pho-Port	April 22, 2010	5:05, 7:35, 8:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Best situational play in the NBA playoffs gets 1st showcase tonight (i.e. a team returning H off a SU L); 48-15 SU/36-25 ATS L2Y.
Objective: Majority of GBP's bets on the "public" teams of Cle. and LA, and the Suns off their blowout. However the line moves are to the H team in 2 of 3G. Probable explanation is a high number of small bets vs a lower number of bigger bets. Likely Bull's best chance for a W in series and they do have #2 D Reb% and shoot the 3 much better @ H (#13 vs #30). Excepting 1Q's (outscored 53-31) Thunder ahead of Lakers 140-129 rest of series. Their D holding LA to 39% from field and the Lakers a scary #29 Away IQ. Blazers found out Tuesday they'll have to control tempo for W without leading scorer Roy. They have the #1 D, #3 D Reb% and #3 IQ to recommend them. Both my Totals systems have the score mid-1980's. PSPR's close to the line in all 3G.
Assessment: Given that, some favorable stats and the historical situational edge, we'll take the 3 H teams with the last one as part of a parlay.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
1. Chicago $-line. 2. Oklahoma City 3. Portland $-line and Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR each	-3 1/2 to -4 1/2 not a key number, so at current line I'd sell a pt @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	San Antonio @ Dallas	April 21, 2010	7:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Slight edge Spurs after G1 L.
Objective: Not often a team shoots 50% in the playoffs and loses. San Antonio was done in by a 24 of 26 (FG and FT) night by Nowitzki and a -20 on FT attempts; doubt a repeat of either. Spurs still with #3 D and are -2 on PSPR.
Assessment: Could be a coin flip G and we'll take the 1.5:1 odds.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
San Antonio money line	Why wait?	4% BR	+149 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Portland @ Phoenix	April 20, 2010	8:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Possible LD from Blazers in G2 off W without Roy. Big effort from Suns to avoid 0-2 hole @ H.
Objective: However, fundamentals the same as Portland has the higher ranked D/D Reb%/IQ and line a steep -8 1/2 (PSPR -4 1/2). Suns shot poorly in G1 (<42%) and were -15 pts in scoring and -8 FT's off their 15G H averages. Despite that, Total squeaked Over. Lines maker posted same OT and GBP has taken it down a pt.
Assessment: Reversion to mean in order from a likely more aggressive Phoenix O.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Portland-Phoenix Over	Monitor	4% BR	206, +112 currently available @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Oklahoma City @ LA	April 20, 2010	8:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Expected G1 L by Thunder was unexpectedly close. It was one of 6 weekend covers for H teams by a mean of 3 pts.
Objective: Early G playoff virgin jitters costly in a 13 pt 1Q. That keyed a Total that went way Under as teams shot a collective 40.6% with OKC only 2 of 16 from downtown. Lines maker stepped out a lot by slicing 6 1/2 pts off OT and GBP has knocked off another 1 1/2 pts. Unusual to see an 8 pt difference in a Total from one G to the next.
Assessment: Thunder got their playoff "baptism" and now expecting some reversion to the mean from both O's with a significantly lower Total.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
OKC-LA Over	Monitor	4% BR	190 1/2, +104 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Chicago @ Cleveland	April 19, 2010	6:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Bulls looking for a better start. Would expect some D adjustments from Cleveland on Rose who had 28 pts G1.
Objective: Lines maker basically standing pat with OT of 191 despite 179 pts on Saturday. GBP following suit as there's no line movement yet.
Assessment: That being the case, we'll go Under again.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Chicago-Cleveland Under	Why wait?	4% BR	189 1/2, +108 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	San Antonio @ Dallas	April 18, 2010	6:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Rematch of LY Round 1 series W by Dallas in 5G without HFA.
Objective: However, given a PSPR of Spurs -4 and a Mavs record of 7-27 ATS TY as a 4-plus pt HF I'm passing on a side today. San Antonio finished strong and has #3 D and #3 D Reb%. I'm leery of a #29 vs #5 IQ mismatch. Total looks appealing as teams have averaged 186 ppg in L9G of series going back to LY playoffs. Current line of 194 a full 6 pts higher than 2009 post-season series average closing line of 188.
Assessment: Would expect a lower Total given series history and LY playoffs Totals.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
San Antonio-Dallas Under	Monitor	4% BR	I'd sell to 192 1/2, +108 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Milwaukee @ Atlanta	April 17, 2010	3:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Hawks tied with 3 others for best H record @ 34-7 and W L11. Bucks finished #2 in post- vs pre- All Star record.
Objective: However, almost all of it with now gone Bogut; tough to replace your leading scorer and rebounder. April 12 Hawks AW probably a litmus test as they were +14 on the boards. So I'm downplaying a PSPR of Bucks only +2 1/2. G pits #1 @ #4 D's and teams relatively smart (#5 vs #13 IQ) and upper half in D Reb% (#12 vs #11). One of my Totals stats calling for both teams in the 80's.
Assessment: Think there's value in another Under.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Milwaukee-Atlanta Under	Monitor	4% BR	Again sell to 184 1/2, +109 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Chicago @ Cleveland	April 17, 2010	1:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Bulls able to squeak by Bosh-less Raptors into playoffs @ .500. Cavs are "game on" again after resting Lebron and coasting last week.
Objective: Prior to that it was W L11 SU H. However, with Cleveland 9-17 ATS as 9 pt-plus HF TY (and only -5 PSPR), little value laying DD. Chicago only able to muster 86 ppg in the 3G Cavs took seriously in series TY. Return of Shaq ought to help a D that's already #5 with #1 H D Reb%. Bulls "D'd up" lately @ #9. After early Under action, OT now up a pt to 193 with a Push Score of 102-91. Chicago O likely kept to the perimeter where their 3's shooting % is dead last. Playoff G's 101-69 Under L2Y.
Assessment: This looks like another Under.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Chicago-Cleveland Under	Monitor	4% BR	Currently I'd sell to 191 1/2, +114 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Miami @ Boston	April 17, 2010	6:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Heat hot (W 12 of L13) and Celtics not (L 7 of L10) and have #1 and #22 records post- vs pre- All Star respectively.
Objective: Boston did sweep season series, but it was all by early February and by a total of only 12 pts. Miami looking solid with #2 D, #9 IQ and a big Reb% mismatch #5 D/#7 O vs #27/#22 for Celtics. Their Away record only 1G behind Boston's H record. No surprise then that Heat a 2 1/2 pt PSPR Fav.
Assessment: Old (and fragile?) Boston looking vulnerable to league's hottest team.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Miami G1 and series	Monitor	4% BR each	Pinnacle: G1 +162. Series price a lame +154, so let's go 1% each on 4-0, 4-1, 4-2 and 4-3 (@ +1801, +1353, +468 and +673). Good chance we'll have hedging opportunities along the way.

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	New Orleans vs Indianapolis @ Miami	February 07, 2010	4:25 PM Mountain
Subjective: Edge Colts, due to experience, with Saints a SB "virgin"? Maybe... teams in 1st SB vs a team with a past history are 6-11 ATS. Or maybe not... teams returning to a SB within L3Y are 1-7 ATS. Today's scenario is a repeat of LY, with the virgin Cardinals covering vs the experienced Steelers. During the '90's and early "oh-oh's", conventional wisdom had the SB as a blowout, but since then the Dog is on a 6-2 ATS run.
Objective: If you have been with me all year you should have a "live" pre-season future bet on the Saints @ about 20:1. Obviously that will be a factor in our strategy; but TG itself: It has been an off year for my PSPR. My favorite scenario (a +3 or more Dog that is a PSPR favorite) went only 23-23 ATS TY after 37-17 ATS L2Y! That scenario rears it (ugly?) head again here with New Orleans -3 on PSPR. We can divide the Saint's season into 3 segments; all TO-related. Their 1st 12G they got 36 takeaways (12-0 SU), next 4G 3 takeaways (1-3 SU) and 7 takeaways in 2 playoff G (2-0 SU). An aggressive D regressed in large part due to injuries as a DL, 3 LB's and the 2 starting CB's returned for the post-season. The Colts started a somewhat surprising and somewhat fortunate 14-0; 8 of those W were by SD. TY there were 5 teams that finished in the top half of the league on O in both run and pass; Dallas, Green Bay, Minnesota, New England... and New Orleans (#6 and #4). Indy faced only the Patriots, allowing 477 (364 YP) in a semi-miracle HW. The only other high-powered pass O they saw was Houston who averaged 389 yds in the 2G. The Colts were fortunate to get 2 run-dependent O's (Ravens #5, Jet's #1; but #18 and #31 pass respectively) @ H in the playoffs. We'll see how their D fares vs only the 2nd well-balanced O of the year. Basically, given the match-ups, the line move (-3 to some -6's out there) and the PSPR, I think the value is in the Saints. Total-wise, this is the highest number in SB history. While TG looks Over-ish with 2 elite QB's running dangerous pass O's and a YP% of 269, I'm passing. Given the year we've had, I'm going to guaranty that I make money today! One could simply crunch the numbers, take Indy on the $-line and make the same profit regardless of the outcome; here's how: Divide the "Factor" (which is equal to Odds + 1) of one team by the other. Let's say you have $100 to win $2000 on Saints as your pre-season bet. And Indy is currently available at -200. The Saint's "Factor" is 21 (odds of 20 + 1) and the Colt's Factor is 1.5 (odds of 0.5 + 1). 21 divided by 1.5 = 14. Bet 14 times $100 on the Colts $-line (i.e. $1400) and you can kick back and party today knowing you will win $600 regardless of the SU result. Saints W = $2000 - $1400 = $600. Colts W = $700 - $100 = $600. Based on my lean to the Saints here, I am going to do something a little different and guaranty myself a 4:1 payday with a shot at 10:1 with $10 for every $1 on the Indy $-line or $1000 using our example. Saints W = $2000 -$1000 = $1000. Colts W = $500 - $100 = $400. You may want to something else in the middle. Speaking of "middling", there is another scenario and that is to take Indy on the "Alternate Low" line at +3 1/2, -300 and hope for a Saints W by 3 or less. However, you are in essence paying 100 cents to buy those 3 1/2 pts; too expensive. Super Bowl Prop's: As always, the strategy here is to find some anomaly under-represented in the line (the numbers are the prop bet's number @ Pinnacle). #106 Will there be a score in 1st 7min 30sec of 1Q? No +226. L10Y only 1 SB 1Q has topped 7 pts. #136 First Score of the Game will be? FG or Safety +197. New Orleans and Indy rank #2 and #5 in Red Zone D TY with TD% allowed of 27 and 39 respectively. #861 Will both teams make a FG of 33+ yards in game? Yes +205. Playing off the above, we should see some FG attempts. #102 Will either team score 3 unanswered times in game? No +146. With these 2 O's, a back-and-forth G would not be a surprise. #814-816 How many yards will the 1st TD of the game be? 26-39 +800, 40-59 +1001, 60-79 +2501. Given these O's and special teams (#29 and #31 in KO coverage), a big play no surprise. How about a Saint's KO return TD after the 34 yd Indy FG that came with 7:29 left in 1Q? :)
Assessment: We're going to easily cover our bar tabs today.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
I hope the above is self-explanatory	Monitor	1% BR on the Prop's, except I'd simply spread that 1% evenly over the 3 1st TD prop's	I've used Pinnacle's lines for convenience

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	NY Jets @ Indianapolis	January 24, 2010	1:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Foresee zero intimidation in favor of Colts here, what with Jets on 5G SU/ATS Away W streak and fresh off B2B playoff upsets; ending San Diego's 11G W streak LW. They're looking reminiscent of the 2007 Giants and 2005 Steelers. An Indy W would be step #1 in #1 seeds meeting in the SB for 1st time since 1993.
Objective: 1st thing to pop out is obviously the PSPR of NY -11 1/2; a 19 pt differential vs the current +7 1/2. OL of -7 the same as Week 16er that was bet down to -3; so far TW we're headed in the opposite direction. Cannot see any value in giving that many pts to a team with #2 D and #1 run O. Key matchup appears to be Manning and Co. (80% of Colt's yds L5W) vs Jet's pass D that's #1 @ 4.8 YPP. Push Score of about 23-16 and Jets have not allowed more than 15 in 8 wks. NY ran for 169 and 171 so far in playoffs vs 2 good D's designed to stop them.
Assessment: Given PSPR and match-ups, think the value is on Jets in a lower scoring G.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
NY Jets $ line and Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+310 and 39 1/2 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Minnesota @ New Orleans	January 24, 2010	4:40 PM Mountain
Subjective: Both here off blowouts sparked by key injuries; the Cardinals #1 CB and the Cowboy's LT. Saint's HFA perhaps some diminished by a dome opponent.
Objective: However, while 9-0 @ H, Vikings a different story on the road. Since waxing 3 lightweights (Cle/Det/StL) in 1st 5 wks, Minny is 1-4 SU/ATS Away. Main reason's a D allowing a minimum of 26 pts in those 5G. Viking's pass D breaks down to TD-Int ratios of 9-6 H and 17-5 away; 246 YP/G allowed L5A. The D basically begins and ends with the DL as evidenced by LW stats. Dallas had 138 yds O about 18 minutes in, but could not cope with LT Adams injury getting 110 yds the last 42 minutes. New Orleans #4 in sacks allowed TY and if Brees gets time, the Vikings probably in trouble. A healthier Saint's D looked better LW and FS Sharper could provide a little inside info. OL of -4 1/2 already through 4 to -3 1/2. TG looks Over-ish, but low 50's no bargain.
Assessment: Given Vikings poor road record, willing to ignore a slight PSPR lean (Minny -1/2) and go with Saint's O vs a suspect Minny pass D.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
New Orleans	Monitor	4% BR	At current prices, the 29 cents to buy to -3, -136 not worth it but the 15 cents to sell to -5, +108 is.

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Dallas @ Minnesota and NY Jets @ San Diego	January 17, 2010	11:00 AM and 2:40 PM Mountain
Subjective: 4 hot teams with the visitors on 4G SU/ATS W streaks, Minny W L8H covering L5 and SD W L11.
Objective: PSPR has Cowboys and Jets -9 1/2 and -3 1/2 respectively and their D's #2 and #3 yds/pt. Their opponents have the HFA, Bye and QB'ing advantages. Doubt Dallas can shut down the Vikings the way they did one-dimensional Philly. No surprise if Jets can run. However, they have had the luxury of playing teams with one dominant WR L7W. The Chargers have 2 WR in the top 11 in YPP and TE Gates @ >14 YPP; Revis cannot cover them all.
Assessment: We're going to add some cushion to the Cowboys and call for a SU SD W.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Dallas and San Diego Teaser	Why wait?	4% BR	+8 1/2 and -1 everywhere

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Baltimore @ Indianapolis	January 16, 2010	6:15 PM Mountain
Subjective: Ravens looking to carry LW momentum into TG, while Colts under pressure to prove that bailing on perfect season was the right move.
Objective: Indy and Baltimore have played once a year since 2004 with Colts 6-0 SU/ATS. They also get the nod on my TO Turnaround system, but PSPR makes them +9 1/2! It's still +3 1/2 if we throw out their L2W and use Weeks 11-15. I'm passing on the side. G1 TY featured 729 combined yds and 8.4 YPP but only 32 pts (17-15 Colts) for an out-of-whack 23 yds/pt; league mean is about 15.5. Teams went only 2 of 8 in the red zone. At present these two have the #2 and #4 O's yds/pt. Baltimore wants to run and should have success with the Colt's run D #25. The Raven's D has had trouble vs high-powered pass O's allowing 29 ppg to the likes of SD, Minny and GB. Manning threw for 299 YP in G1 on the road and has that film to study and a full 2 weeks to prepare. OT of 46 1/2 now 44.
Assessment: G1 had a deceptive score and think both team's O strength will work vs the opposing D.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Baltimore-Indianapolis Over	Monitor	4% BR	44 everywhere; at present I'd sell to 45 1/2, +119 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Baltimore @ New England	January 10, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: 3rd straight AG for Ravens, while Pats off semi-tune-up @ Houston.
Objective: Rematch of Week 4 New England 27-21 HW when GBP liked Baltimore taking them from +3, +100 to +1. TG OL of +4 now +3 1/2, with Total down 1 1/2 pts from G1 closer of 45. Patriots D that was shredded @ New Orleans is gelling and is #3 yds/pt since. Ravens pass O not that scary averaging 6 YPP, 164 YP/G and only 53% of O L5G. Believe they need to run to W. HC Belichick a playoff master and has partly rested his DL starters L3G. QB Brady fully recovered and 8-0 SU @ H in the playoffs. New England the AFC's only undefeated H team and Baltimore 2-5 SU L7A with only W's vs Cleveland and Oakland. PSPR makes it N.E. -7. While no Welker, WR Edelman had 21 receptions in the 3G he was absent. Both teams riding Under streaks; Ravens L4A, Pats L4H.
Assessment: New England too tough @ H and their D a little under the radar.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
New England and Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	-3 1/2 and 43 1/2 everywhere

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Green Bay @ Arizona	January 10, 2010	2:40 PM Mountain
Subjective: Last of the Week 17 rematches with LW winners 2-0 so far.
Objective: Tough to go against the Pack who are a 4 1/2 PSPR Fav and on 7-0-1 ATS streak and 7-1 SU L8G with only L on last play @ Pittsburgh. However, GBP likes them @ about 75% and has taken them from +2 1/2 to -1 1/2. Fact remains that Cardinals went to the SB LY and are 6-1 SU their L7 as HD including two playoff W's here LY. A huge part of Green Bay's success TY is a +24 TO margin. LW Arizona was "vanilla" from the get-go with QB Warner throwing 6 passes. Green Bay played seriously for about 2 1/2Q and were semi-vanilla themselves. The Packers have the #1 O yds/pt and despite LW 7 pts, Arizona is still @ #10. TG 275 YP%.
Assessment: Unlike LW, think we get 4Q of full O's.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Green Bay-Arizona Over	Monitor	4% BR	We might get 47; at present I'd sell to 48 1/2, +109 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	NY Jets @ Cincinnati, Philadelphia @ Dallas	January 09, 2010	2:30 and 6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: 1st 2 of 3 Week 17 re-matches this weekend. Cincy got down early and basically gave up, while with a lot to play for Philly was waxed.
Objective: PSPR leans to the Jets @ -3 1/2 and Dallas @ -7. For grins I threw out LW for Cincy and used Weeks 12-16 and they're still a Dog @ +1. The Bengals have not covered as a Fav TY (although this is the least they've been favored by), but W L5H SU. Their pass O is dependent on Mr Ochocinco (2X the YP of #2 WR) and Jet's CB Revis has yet to allow an opposing WR > 50 yds TY. NY finished #1 scoring D/run D/run O as a team for 1st time since 1986 Bears. Good thing, as I still don't think QB Sanchez is to be trusted. His mid-season 7 starts saw a 6-14 TD-Int ratio. Upon the switch to the "color code system" he "improved" to 2-4 with a whopping 119 YP/G. The Jets are not here because of his QB'ing. Dallas got the December jinx monkey off their back TY; now we'll see if they can get rid of the playoff jinx monkey too (last W 1996). Eagles have a much better playoff track record. They seemed to be hurt by the Week 16 injury to C Jackson LW and McNabb was off missing some open WR's, with at least one to Jackson a certain TD. Single season "hat tricks" are rare in the NFL. So... the Jets QB is not to be trusted, the Bengals are not to be trusted as a Fav, Dallas is not to be trusted in the playoffs.
Assessment: With Jets D, I don't envision a blowout and we have to expect a Philly bounce-back.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
NY Jets and Philadelphia Teaser	Monitor	4% BR	Currently +8 1/2 and +10; if necessary, I think it's worth going 6 1/2 pts to get Philly +10 1/2

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Texas Longhorns vs Alabama Crimson Tide @ Pasadena	January 07, 2010	6:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Longhorns may get a slight edge being the Dog, although the SEC is now going for its 4th straight championship (1st 3 as #2 seed).
Objective: Both teams dodged a couple bullets to get here; Bama vs Tennessee and Auburn, and Texas vs Oklahoma and Nebraska. The Tide should get credit for playing what I would call a significantly tougher sked @ #22 vs #43. Both D's are great with Bama #1, #4, #8 and UT #5, #3, #1 in scoring/pass/run respectively. A key discrepancy is their run O's, what with the Longhorn's leading rusher with 513 yds (Ingram 1542 YR). My numbers have the Tide with > 2:1 YR edge. Texas can be made one-dimensional and was basically shut down by the two best pass D's they faced; Nebraska (13 pts) and Oklahoma (16 pts). Florida's then #2 pass D could not do the same to Alabama. Push Score about 25-21 and each D allowed more than those amounts only once TY. Had TG been played by mid-season, I'd have given UT a sizable QB edge; not so anymore. McElroy was outstanding post-Bye capped by the game-winning drive @ Auburn and 12 of 18 for 239 vs Florida.
Assessment: Most likely that the old adage proves true that D and the running G W championships.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Alabama and Under Parlay	Monitor, although -4 may be key	4% BR	-4 and 46 everywhere

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Indianapolis @ Buffalo	January 03, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: TG shapes up somewhat like pre-season with Indy's starters perhaps getting a little action before the battle of 3rd string QB's.
Objective: Where's the value in this spread? Well... if Indy were serious, this line would probably be a TD-plus. Lines maker threw out Bills -6 and it's been taken to -8-plus; a 2 TD-plus swing. Colts -4 1/2 by PSPR, on an 8G SU/ATS Away W streak and think the 2nd/3rd stringers still play with pride.
Assessment: I've no problem taking >3:1 on a 14-1 team.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Indianapolis $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+335 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Chicago @ Detroit	January 03, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: With Bears off what was in essence their playoff G on MNF and Lions a divisional revenging HD, edge Detroit.
Objective: Prior to LW, Chicago on a 7G ATS L streak. They enter TG 1-6 SU Away TY (only W @ Seattle) with L L5 scoring <8 ppg. And they are laying points! Probably thinking only about LW, GBP likes them to the tune of 88%. G1 TY was a 48-24 MLF Bear's W, keyed by 277 return yds despite being out-FD'd 25-14 and out-yarded 398-276. Lions back H off -5 TO MLF L @ SF in which they out-FD'd 49ers 16-13. PSPR says Detroit -1/2. Total a hefty 44.
Assessment: Can't abide a 1-6 low-scoring road team laying pts.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Detroit $-line and Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+160 and 44 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	NY Giants @ Minnesota	January 03, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Off a 41-9 disgrace in LG @ their H stadium do G-men mail it in or not? Vikings with shot a #2 seed with W and Philly L this afternoon.
Objective: Both D's leaking oil @ #31 and #27 yds/pt. For Vikings, that makes it hard to cover >TD and PSPR agrees @ only -3 1/2. LG got away from Giants in part due to -4 TO. Their O still clicking with 38 ppg L3 before LW and almost 8 YPP L5. No surprise we have a "quad" @ 281 YP%. NY Over L4 and 11-4 Over TY.
Assessment: Assuming Giant's come to play value is on them in probable shootout.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
NY Giants and Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+290 and 48 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	San Francisco @ St Louis	January 03, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Edge to another divisional revenging HD.
Objective: Another crappy Away team (SF L L6); this one laying > TD. 49ers off the aforementioned +5 TO MLF W over Detroit. That's part of a huge difference of 5 on my TO Turnaround system. G1 final was 35-0, but SF got 3 D TD's, as Rams held them to 228 yds. LY in Week 16, 49ers escaped with a 17-16 W despite being out-yarded 343-273 as 4 1/2 pt AF.
Assessment: Looks like another poor Away team laying too many pts vs a more motivated divisional opponent.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
St Louis $-line and Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+290 and 40 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Baltimore @ Oakland	January 03, 2010	2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective: W and in for Ravens as Raiders play for pride.
Objective: Oakland on the road in similar position LY in week 17 and knocked Tampa Bay out of the playoffs. They're off a Bogus L LW; 389-282 yds, -2 TO. Raiders have played their best vs the best. They have 7 covers TY and 6 of them (and 4 of their 5W) were vs playoff or playoff-contending teams; Phi, Cin, Pitt, Den and SD x 2. Oakland qualifies on the TO Turnaround system. Line jacked-up due to playoff implications. Baltimore L 5 of L6 Away; only W @ Cleveland.
Assessment: No surprise if Raiders give Ravens a run for their money.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Oakland $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+450 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Cincinnati @ NY Jets	January 03, 2010	6:25 PM Mountain
Subjective: Interesting dynamic here as if Jets W, these two likely to meet again next week. Says Bengal's HC Lewis, "We're going to play to win a football game. We're going to go ahead and end this thing the right way and keep this momentum we've had".
Objective: Jets off Bogus W/belated Christmas present from Indy. They can't exactly count on a huge HFA here; 1-4 ATS L5H with 4 upset L's. Think solid Cincy run D capable of putting onus on Sanchez (91 YP LW) and if so, their pass D allowing 5.5 YPP L5G. Another line that's jacked-up and PSPR makes it Jets only -4 1/2.
Assessment: Must W does not always mean will W.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Cincinnati $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+400 multiple places

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Phi-Dal, NE-Hou, Pitt-Mia, GB-Ari, Wash-SD	January 03, 2010	2 early, 3 later
Subjective: Playoff-elimination G's (Pitt-Mia) tend Over as neither gives up. GB-Ari could meet next week so seems they're at least semi-serious.
Objective: It's been an aberrational bad year for the YP% Over system (75-43 ATS L2Y, 32-29 ATS TY), but we'll keep plugging away. All 5 qualify. Philly/Dallas O's #2 and #4 YPP. NE pass D @ 7.6 YPP; not good vs Houston. Dolphin's dead last in D YPP. GB and Arizona have #1 and #8 O's respectively. Chargers lead league in O YPP and expecting at least some pts from Redskins, even if it's vs SD 2nd stringers.
Assessment: Another collection of Overs.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Put them in 2-Team Round Robin Parlay	Monitor	1.5% BR for each of 10 Parlays	Take the best combo

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Ole Miss Rebels vs Oklahoma St Cowboys @ Arlington	January 02, 2010	Noon Mountain
Subjective: Opposite dynamics here. 2nd straight Cotton Bowl for Rebels who upset Texas Tech LY but are now favored; HC Nutt 1-3 ATS as Bowl Fav. Cowboys did not play well in 42-31 L LY as a Bowl Fav and are now the Dog.
Objective: Ole Miss favored in all 5G Away TY with pretty scary results; 2-3 SU/ATS with only W's over a pair of 2-10 teams. OSU's 3L were in LD, vs Texas and @ Oklahoma. Want no part of inconsistent Rebel's QB Snead; 10-10 TD-Int ratio on the road. Cowboy's D #9 vs pass and #7 vs run. They have #26 vs 51 sked edge and get the YR edge too.
Assessment: We'll take the consistent Dog with better D, YR record and sked.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Oklahoma St $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+148 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	N Illinois Huskies vs S Florida Bulls @ Toronto	January 02, 2010	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Will start with obvious point that if one lives in the Tampa area, Toronto is not a place you go for an early January Bowl G related vacation. What crowd there is should be decided behind the big Dog (pun intended). NIU had a Bogus 17-10 Bowl L LY (339-236 yds, -2 TO) and should be pumped to play a BCS conf opponent. USF has alternated laying eggs with blowouts in Bowls L4Y. A 56-21 2007 L was followed up with a 41-14 HW in Tampa LY. Bulls ended up here due to what is becoming an annual 2H season swoon; 2-5 SU L7 after 5-0 start.
Objective: Despite all the above, GBP has taken them from an OL of -4 to a TD. With Big-10 now 5-0 ATS in Bowls TY, Huskies 8 pt L @ Wisconsin and SU W @ Purdue looking more impressive. Their O well-balanced and they led their conf in YR. Bulls known for their good DE's, but NIU actually +15 vs -8 in sacks. My numbers have total yds almost even.
Assessment: See value in the solid more motivated Dog.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
N Illinois $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+235 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Connecticut Huskies vs S Carolina Gamecocks @ Birmingham	January 02, 2010	Noon Mountain
Subjective: Cinderella UConn a nice story what with dedicating their season to tragically murdered CB Harper. However, SC stunk in a 31-10 New Year's Bowl L LY. QB Garcia was reportedly playing non-football video games on the eve before and threw 3 early picks. An understatement that they'll be more focused TY.
Objective: Another line move that's hard to fathom with Gamecocks dropping from -7 to current 3 1/2. They own large strength of sked edge of #3 vs 45. G in the middle of SEC country so they should have the crowd edge too. On the field, think the biggest mismatch is Gamecock's pass O vs Huskies #105 pass efficiency D (SC #28); 67% completions allowed. Digging a little deeper, that poor record was fashioned vs a slate of QB's that included 6 inexperienced 1st yr starters.
Assessment: Don't think UConn can keep pace here.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
S Carolina	Monitor	4% BR	With -3 1/2 everywhere, at present I'd sell to -6, +131 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Michigan St Spartans vs Texas Tech Red Raiders @ San Antonio	January 02, 2010	7:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Off-field distractions galore here what with the Leach soap opera and numerous Spartan suspensions. MSU has L both Bowls under 3rd yr HC Dantonio and TT off poor outing LY; each should be excited to finally play the game.
Objective: Total off 1 1/2 pts perhaps due to fact that MSU's suspensions include their #2 and #3 WR's. Red Raiders down from -8 to -7 perhaps due to absence of HC Leach (DC McNeill is interim). More important missing Spartan may be #1 CB Rucker. Their pass efficiency D was already scary enough @ #100 with 60% completions allowed and a brutal 29-5 TD-Int ratio. TT should have the crowd edge playing in-state. Current Push Score about 34-26 and Spartan's O with < 24 pts only twice TY.
Assessment: Weakest link on field looks like Spartan's pass D. Expect some back-and-forth. but think pass-happy TT can pull away.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Texas Tech and Over Parlay	Monitor closely	4% BR	We might not do the better than the current -7 and 59 1/2 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Florida St Seminoles vs W Virginia Mountaineers @ Jacksonville	January 01, 2010	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: TG the mother of all HC send-offs. Bowden has devoted most of a lifetime to FSU and players will do everything possible to get him a W in LG. WV travels all right, but the rest of the sold-out crowd will be behind the Seminoles.
Objective: Their D an issue, but they played the #5 schedule vs #42 for WV. Main problem was a #104 pass efficiency D. However, pass O not Mountaineers strong suit. FSU ranks #14 in scoring O. Bowden a Bowl master @ 20-11-1 ATS.
Assessment: With plenty of prep time, think Seminole players send their legendary HC off with a W.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Florida St $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+120 most places

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Ohio St Buckeyes vs Oregon Ducks @ Pasadena	January 01, 2010	3:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Both achieved their season goals of winning their conference to get here. Situation favors OSU who are playing in 5th straight BCS Bowl. 1st Rose Bowl since 1995 for Ducks and last BCS Bowl of any kind was 2002 Fiesta.
Objective: Big coaching edge to Tressel who is 4-1 ATS as a Bowl Dog including 3 SU W's. UO's Kelly a Bowl "virgin". Buckeyes get the nod on D at #2 run and #14 pass efficiency. My numbers have them with the YR edge. As usual, Ducks much better @ H and had only 2 road covers.
Assessment: Think the value is in the decent-sized SD Dog with better D and more big stage experience.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Ohio St $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+171 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Cincinnati Bearcats vs Florida Gators @ New Orleans	January 01, 2010	6:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Cincy goes for perfection. Given LY Alabama Bowl L (31-17 to undefeated Utah) after their L in #1-#2 G, Gators should be on red alert. Added focus brought by fact it's Tebow's LG and TG a send-off of sorts as HC Meyer (5-1 ATS in Bowls) goes on leave-of-absence. Bearcats will be coached on-the-interim by an OC that's a Bowl HC virgin.
Objective: Assuming we get the UF "A" game, this looks like a mismatch. Bearcat's D has been poor vs the run most of year and they've allowed 37 ppg L4. My numbers give Florida's #12 run O an almost 3:1 YR advantage. Cincy's pass-dominated O's toughest opponent year-to-date was #26 pass efficiency D. Gators perfectly capable of shutting them down with #6 and #2 pass and scoring D respectively.
Assessment: Think Florida sufficiently motivated and they have significant edges @ HC and on both sides of ball.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Florida	Why wait?	4% BR	At present I'd sell to -15, +120 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Navy Midshipmen vs Missouri Tigers @ Houston	December 31, 2009	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Navy eager to end heart-breaking 3G Bowl L streak and has 14 Texans in their 2-deep. Missouri motivation iffy as they were passed over twice for 6-6 Big-12 teams and "demoted" to this Bowl. Tigers underwhelming in a similar Bowl LY getting a Bogus non-covering W as Fav.
Objective: Often the key for Navy's O is the element of surprise and what is on paper a great Missouri run D has not seen the triple option in years.
Assessment: Midshipmen's unique O and the motivational edge give the good shot @ upset.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Navy $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+227 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Air Force Falcons vs Houston Cougars @ Ft. Worth	December 31, 2009	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: After Sept. upsets of Okla St and Texas Tech, UH was thinking undefeated BCS-buster. Subsequent L's @ UTEP and UCF and in their conference title G dropped them all the way to a rematch of LY Bowl. In contrast, Air Force a decent-sized Dog playing with revenge.
Objective: This is actually the rubber match of 3G in about 15 months. Prolific Cougar O has masked an iffy D TY. They're #114 vs the run and #72 pass efficiency D. Falcons have the #5 run O and the ability to shorten the game and limit Houston's possessions. Air Force pass D a notch better TY @ #48. Will note that Cougars piled up their O stats vs a slate of #107 pass D's. Mountain West conf. 3-0 SU so far this Bowl season.
Assessment: Motivation and match-ups favor the upset.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Air Force $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+180 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Stanford Cardinal vs Oklahoma Sooners @ El Paso	December 31, 2009	Noon Mountain
Subjective: Stanford ecstatic for 1st Bowl since 2001. Virtually impossible for OU to match their intensity having dropped from LY National Championship G to a pre-New Year's Bowl as DD Fav.
Objective: Sooners very formful TY going 6-0 @ H with 46 ppg and 1-5 SU away from H with 16 ppg. HC Stoops 1-5 ATS as a Bowl Fav. Cardinal led by Heisman candidate RB Gerhart behind an OL that allowed 6 sacks TY. QB Luck ? as a write, but backup Pritchard a Senior with significant experience including starting in their 2007 upset @ USC as +40 1/2. OU QB Jones with TD-Int ratios of 18-4 H and 5-9 Away.
Assessment: We'll take the odds on OU's Home-Away pattern persisting vs a more motivated team.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Stanford $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+315 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Tennessee Volunteers vs Virginia Tech Hokies @ Atlanta	December 31, 2009	5:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Storied UT program excited to be Bowling after a 1 year absence. VT off B2B Orange Bowls and may be a little disappointed.
Objective: Tennessee's only poor G all year @ Ole Miss. Their other L's @ (current or former) #1-ranked Alabama and Florida and MLF's vs UCLA and Auburn. The team, in general, and QB Crompton, in particular (21-5 TD-Int ratio L9G) improved over the season despite numerous injuries. I like the extra prep time for DC Monte Kiffin. Vol's get edge on OL with 18 fewer sacks allowed. Hokie's HC Beamer an obviously a good coach, but only 7-9 SU in Bowls.
Assessment: Value in Tennessee who are better than their 7-5 SU record.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Tennessee $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+199 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Bowling Green Falcons vs Idaho Vandals @ Boise	December 30, 2009	2:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Idaho ecstatic to be playing in front of their home state fans in 1st Bowl since 1998 and only 2nd ever. However, this offset by fact that Bowling Green starts 19 upper class-men and after staying home for the holidays LY they will well remember a 2007 Bowl L of 63-7 that was school's worst ever.
Objective: These two teams come in heading in opposite directions. Vandals were a point spread darling starting 7-0 ATS and 6-1 SU with 5 upsets before losing L5 ATS and going 1-4 SU with only W by 1 pt. Falcons meanwhile ended 6-1 SU/5-2 ATS after a 1-4 SU/2-3 ATS start. Key match-up could not be much worse for Idaho as their #118 pass efficiency D (30-8 TD-Int ratio!) takes on the nation's #8 pass O. Venue edge somewhat tempered by fact BG was here LY, acquitting itself fairly well losing only 20-7 to Boise St on the "smurf turf". Push Score of 35-34 and BG topped 30 pts in 6 of L7G, while Vandal's allowed 50 ppg L5.
Assessment: Bowling Green 1 year removed from a Bowl debacle and they have big match-up edge.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Bowling Green and Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	Current best is +100 and 68 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Nebraska Corhuskers vs Arizona Wildcats @ San Diego	December 30, 2009	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Both W their Bowls LY. UA closer, but NU fans travel well. Perhaps slight edge Wildcats as small Dog given Huskers were 1 second away from upsetting #2 Texas and going to a BCS Bowl.
Objective: This Bowl has a well-deserved rep as an annual shoot-out so interesting to see that current Total of 40 1/2 is lowest on Bowl board by far. Only 1G since 1995 would have stayed Under this number. Nebraska does bring nation's #1 pass efficiency D keyed by a huge pass rush (42 sacks). We'll see if they can get it done vs an Arizona OL that only allowed 9 sacks TY; a rate of 2% on pass attempts. Normally like to look for Dogs that have a strength of sked edge and Wildcats have a significant one @ #16 vs 62. Their O averaged 5 YPC and pass D a more than respectable #31.
Assessment: Pundits predicting a Nebraska D-dominated G, but I see reasons to think otherwise.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Arizona $-line and Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+140 and 40 1/2 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Kansas City @ Cincinnati	December 27, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Chiefs L L4 SU/ATS and may be saving their best effort for divisional opponent Denver next week. Think Bengals go all out to clinch division so they don't have to worry about doing it @ NY Jets.
Objective: These two played in Week 17 LY and KC could only muster 220 yds. Cincy D has allowed 37 pts total in L4 HG. Chiefs come in with #31 D and +12 1/2 on PSPR despite playing 4 of L5H. They're allowing almost 200 YR/G L7.
Assessment: Think Bengals finally take care of business and W division.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Cincinnati	Why wait?	4% BR	-13 everywhere; at present I'd sell to -15, +120 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Houston @ Miami	December 27, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Playoff G before the playoffs as loser is out. Texans W by 1 pt @ H LY.
Objective: Primarily a PSPR play here as despite 4 of L5A, Dolphins a 12 1/2 pt Fav. GBP has taken them from OL of a FG to only -1 1/2. Houston D vulnerable to the run which is Miami's forte, but pass O coming alive too lately with 294 YP/G L3. Dolphin's O also has big edge in red zone @ #1 vs #20.
Assessment: PSPR says Miami better by more than a FG.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Miami	Monitor	4% BR	At present I'd sell to -2 1/2, -101 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Dallas @ Washington	December 27, 2009	6:20 PM Mountain
Subjective: B2B national TV G's for both, but with wildly disparate results LW. Cowboys ended Saint's perfect season, while Redskins were brutal on MNF. It's either roll over or go all out for Washington and in divisional revenge as a HD, I favor the latter.
Objective: Match-ups seem to be in their favor too as teams 3-3 L6, but Redskins 5-1 ATS. PSPR likes them @ -3. Line value there's as it was only +1 1/2 here LY. Washington a big absolute difference of 4 on my TO turnaround system; it's 10-1 ATS TY BTW. TG a "quad" of 286 YP% and Redskins Over L4 both overall and @ H.
Assessment: A contrarian play for sure.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Washington $-line and Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+285 and 41 1/2 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Seattle @ GB, Jax-New England	December 27, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Pack and Pats have chances to clinch a Wild Card and division respectively. Jaguars are L and out.
Objective: Same rationale for each play here with both G a "quad" and 291 and 275 YP%. Both visitors have poor pass D's @ 7.4 and 7.6 YPP respectively vs H teams that can throw; 7.5 and 7.3 YPP.
Assessment: One write-up, 2 separate plays.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Seattle-GB Over, Jax-NE Over	Monitor	4% BR each	At present, sell to 43, +103 and 45, +112 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Baltimore @ Pittsburgh	December 27, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Must side with Super Bowl Champs here as they're out with L, while Ravens would still be alive. Steelers also in divisional revenge due to near-miss SNF OT L with Roethlisberger out.
Objective: PSPR does make Baltimore a slim 2 1/2 pt Fav, but that's with Ravens playing 4 of L5H. They're 1-4 SU L5 Away with only W over Cleveland. Line value on Steelers who were -6 here LY. Lines maker/GBP actually calling Baltimore the better team with line @ < usual HFA of -3. Opposition (Detroit, Chicago) and TO's (+6 margin) has flattered them a bit L2G.
Assessment: We'll take Pittsburgh with their lives on the line vs a Baltimore team that has not played well Away.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Pittsburgh	Monitor	4% BR	-2 1/2 @ BetUS. At present, I'd be selling to -4 1/2, +149 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Ohio Bobcats vs Marshall Thundering Herd in Detroit	December 26, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Calling emotions a wash with each off L in their last Bowl G's which were in 2006 and 2004 respectively.
Objective: The Dog Herd warrants a significant edge for strength of schedule @ #66 vs #114. Against them is their #82 pass efficiency D. Bobcat's O a lot healthier than in their LG (which was the MAC Championship also played here) as QB/RB/WR all now close to 100%. Their D could miss shutdown CB Lawrence and Marshall likely to win the ground game. Relatively low Total already bet down 2 pts.
Assessment: Shapes up as close one between 2 excited teams with some flaws.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Marshall and Over 6-pt Teaser	Monitor	4% BR	Current +9 and 42 1/2 for 21:20 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	North Carolina Tar Heels vs Pittsburgh Panthers in Charlotte	December 26, 2009	2:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Semi-HG for UNC in same Bowl as LY; fumbled late trying to run out the clock in eventual 31-30 heart-breaker L. Pitt had eyes on a BCS Bowl but blew 21 pt lead in LHG. However, given they were shut out in their Bowl LY, think they regroup.
Objective: Tar Heel's HC Davis 5-0 ATS and 4-1 SU in Bowls and the team excelling as Dogs; 7-1 ATS L8. However, GBP has bet them from +3 down to slim +1 1/2. Panther's a much better O TY with standout RB and WR and QB Stull 21-8 TD-Int ratio. Their D leads nation in sacks but #40 pass D could be vulnerable as banged up UNC OL got healthier post-Bye; 26 ppg L6. 3rd lowest OT on Bowl board.
Assessment: Teaser route again.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
N Carolina and Over Teaser	Why wait?	4% BR	+7 1/2 and 39 for 21:20 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Boston College Eagles vs USC Trojans in San Francisco	December 26, 2009	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: BC excited to be playing a perennial powerhouse. USC obviously had bigger goal, but playing in their home state and with their team and now their conference (0-2 vs Mountain West conf in Bowls TW) getting bad-mouthed believe we get at least their "A-minus" G.
Objective: Eagles here almost entirely by virtue of a 6-1 SU H record. They're 1-4 ATS and 2-3 SU Away with the 2W over teams a combined 5-19. No surprise Trojans have a #17 vs 65 strength of schedule edge. Current -7 (down from -8) their lowest non-Away line in 3Y. USC D down a notch TY, but #13 vs pass, +16 in sacks compared to BC and only allowing 3.7 YPC. HC Carroll 6-2 ATS in Bowls.
Assessment: Trojan's A- should be enough.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
USC	Monitor	4% BR	If no -6 1/2, I'm selling to -9 1/2 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	San Diego @ Tennessee	December 25, 2009	5:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Virtual "must W" for Titans who are 1 of 6 7-7 teams trying to catch either 8-6 Baltimore or Denver. Chargers need only 1W in their L2 to clinch #2 seed.
Objective: PSPR makes it Tennessee -8 1/2, but reluctant to lay pts vs a team on 9G W streak that has now not L in December since 2005. Titans also off semi-Bogus W LW in which they almost completely blew a 24-6 lead allowing 347 YP to the run-first Dolphins. SD O still #1 in league @ 9.7 YPP. Titan's D also without both outside LB's after LW, including defensive "quarterback" Bulluck. G is a 274 YP%, but with a relatively high Total.
Assessment: We'll give ourselves 6 pt "Christmas presents".
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
San Diego and Over 6-pt Teaser	Monitor, I see one 46 1/2 out there right now	4% BR	+9 and try to get 40 1/2

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	SMU Mustangs vs Nevada Wolfpack in Honolulu	December 24, 2009	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: SMU ecstatic for 1st Bowl since "Death Penalty" in 1984. Nevada L their Bowl L3Y; "A" game too.
Objective: Biggest spread (-12-ish) and highest Total on the Bowl board TY. Hard to take the Dog vs nation's #1 run and #2 scoring O. On the other hand, leery of the #110 pass efficiency D in garbage time. Wolfpack missing their top 2 RB's, but think anyone can run behind an OL paving the way for an average of 7.6 YPC. Mustang's D #88 vs the run. Things looking good for their pass-happy O though with the Nevada D allowing a 31-8 TD-Int ratio. Push Score roughly 6-4 TD's and Nevada has topped that in 4 of L6G and SMU in 3 of L4G.
Assessment: Looks like this is highest Total for good reason.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
SMU-Nevada Over	Monitor	4% BR	At present I'd sell to 74 1/2, +114 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	NY Giants @ Washington	December 21, 2009	6:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Giants 1G back in Wild Card with W. Redskins a revenging divisional HD on MNF.
Objective: They're getting +3 when PSPR has them a 10 1/2 pt Fav. Their L5G all covers with hard luck L's to Dallas, Philly and New Orleans by a combined 7 pts. Meanwhile, NY on 1-7 ATS skid with 4 SU L as Fav. TG is the "quad" of the week at 291 YP%. Giant's D continues to be dead last in league and faces Washington's #6 O.
Assessment: Tough to be a divisional AF with the #32 D.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Washington $-line and Over Parlay	Why wait?	4% BR	+125 and 43 1/2 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	San Francisco @ Philadelphia	December 20, 2009	2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective: A 49ers W and they could easily finish 9-7 with Wild Card hopes; only Det. and StL to go. Eagles back H off Bogus W on SNF.
Objective: They allowed 512 yds but got fumble and punt return TD's. Their 4G W streak aided by similar good fortune and a +7 TO margin L3G. O's about even yds/pt with #9 vs #4. However, 49ers have #1 D and Eagles @ #30, allowing 24 ppg L5. With Philly being pass-first, we have a high "quad" of 284 YP% and Eagles 5-1 Over @ H TY. S.F. pass D decent @ 6.3 YPP. Teams played a wild one LY totaling 66 pts. Nice drop of OT from 44 1/2 to 41. 49ers getting >TD with PSPR of only +2.
Assessment: Value on the AD and Over.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
San Francisco $-line and Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+315 and 41 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Minnesota @ Carolina	December 20, 2009	6:20 PM Mountain
Subjective: Vikings still with an outside shot @ #1 seed. With Dallas W last night, Panthers officially playoff history. Regardless, as a playoff team LY and a big SNF HD, think we get their "A" game.
Objective: Minny's road credentials a little sketchy with 2L, a divisional W (GB) and then 3 other W's over teams a combined 5-34. Despite playing 4 of L5G @ H, PSPR makes them only a 1 pt Fav. Panther's hard-trying D allowing only 16 ppg L5 for #2 yds/pt. Of their 3 HL TY, one Bogus and another due to 7 TO's.
Assessment: Think their odds of upset better than the 20% of current $-line.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Carolina $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+370 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	GB-Pitt, Ari-Det, Atl-NYJ, Chi-Bal, Hou-StL	December 20, 2009	3 early, 2 later
Subjective: Probable O bounce-back from Steelers off embarrassing Thursday niter. Falcons out of playoffs after last night. In divisional sandwich G, expecting the "B" D from Bears who are much more likely to go all out on MNF next week @ H vs Minnesota.
Objective: G1 a 274 YP% and Pittsburgh D only #24 yds/pt. Other 4 of the "In-Out" variety. No surprise if Cards can score at will vs a Detroit pass D that's dead last with a brutal 9.2 YPP. Similar for Texans vs Ram's #29 D. Atlanta may get QB Ryan back and are Over L5A. The 3 outdoor venues are reporting only possible light snow. 4 of 5 OT have dropped, with GB-Pitt stable @ 41.
Assessment: Our Over Parlays.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Put them in 2-Team Round Robin Parlay	Monitor	1.5% BR for each of 10 Parlays	Current best @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Cincinnati @ San Diego	December 19, 2009	2:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: WR Henry's tragic death occurred early enough in the week for Bengals to deal with it and re-focus off their 1st poor outing of year as a Dog LW. QB Palmer reportedly gathered the team and a decision was made to dedicate the remainder of the season to their fallen teammate. Chargers back H as a sizable Fav off LW W as AD. They have 2G division lead and can do no better than their current #2 seeding.
Objective: San Diego gets 70% of their through air and think Bengal's capable of holding them in check with league's #2 pass D of 4.7 YPP. Chargers susceptible to the run holding only pass-happy Philly to < 100 YR L6G. Despite LW, Cincinnati still tied @ #2 in PSPR.
Assessment: Given match-ups and unusual emotional factor think Bengals have decent shot at the upset.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Cincinnati $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+280 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Wyoming Cowboys vs Fresno St Bulldogs	December 19, 2009	2:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Edge Cowboys who are very excited to be here, not having "Bowled" since 2004. Bulldogs have to be a little disappointed to be in the same Bowl as LY and the 1st one of the year. The fact they did lose SU in 2008 might give them some motivation, but it looks like a dud for fan support.
Objective: LY L made FSU HC Hill a perfect 0-4 SU and ATS as a Fav in Bowls (conversely, he is 5-0 as a Bowl Dog). The Dog is 8-1 SU in the Bowl games he has coached. Usually reluctant to bet on a HC Bowl "virgin", but Wyoming's Christensen does have some big Bowl experience as an OC prepping Missouri. Strength of sked TY quite even @ #69 vs 72. GBP is taking the -10 OL to 11 and perhaps higher. Significant edge to Cowboy's F7 with 4.4 YPC allowed vs 6.2. In fact, my numbers have Wyoming with close to 200 YR as the Fresno St run D is #112.
Assessment: Given Hill's formful point spread track record that's good news for the more motivated DD Dog.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Wyoming $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+370 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Central Florida Knights vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights	December 18, 2009	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: As a pre-season Big East conference title favorite, Rutgers had to be hoping for something better than this. Virtual HG for UCF whose campus only 100 miles away. Off a 4-8 2008, they'll be pumped as school is 0-2 SU in its Bowl history (7 and 1 pt L's '07 and '05 respectively).
Objective: UCF only conference L's back in September to the two teams that played in the title G. They're 9-2 ATS TY, 5-2 SU since their Bye with 2L to Miami-Fla and Texas (trailed only 21-3 4Q). Opposition like that gives them a slight #81 vs 93 strength of sked edge. Rutgers a run-first team in front of a semi-scary true Freshman QB (9-6 TD-Int ratio vs FBS). However, UCF run D #3 in the nation allowing only 2.6 YPC. Look out for their starting DE's on pass downs; 23 sacks combined TY. GBP has already moved UCF from -1 to +2 1/2.
Assessment: Match-ups, motivation and site all seem to favor the small Dog.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
UCF $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+125 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Indianapolis @ Jacksonville	December 17, 2009	6:20 PM Mountain
Subjective: With #1 seed locked up, Colt's HC Caldwell talking a bit like a politician saying all "healthy" starters will play. Jags the current #6 seed as the tie-breaker leader of 4 7-6 teams; they're a revenging divisional HD.
Objective: However, given the drop from OL of +6 to +3, a PSPR of +3 1/2 and Indy's 7G SU/ATS Away W streak, we'll pass on side. Think Total worth a look. We have a "quad" 283 YP%. Colts much more "healthy" on their #2 O, with 9 of 11 D starters on the injury report in one way or another. That could be "CYA" as if a player does not play and is not on the injury report fines will be forthcoming. Both Indy DE's look no-go. That should help the Jag's pass O as QB Garrard has the weapons (WR Sims-Walker and Holt >14 yds/reception) if he's upright (17 sacked L5G). OT of 44 dropping.
Assessment: Relatively low Total with high YP% and perhaps Indy's "B" D.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Indianapolis-Jacksonville Over	Monitor	4% BR	At present I'd take the 21 cents and sell to 44 1/2, +116 from 43, -105 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Seattle @ Houston	December 13, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Battle of 5-7 teams that still have a playoff pulse.
Objective: Significant step down in class for Texans who are on 4G L streak vs Indy x 2, Tenn. and Jax. Seahawks off Bogus HW; out-yarded 356-292. That made them 4-2 @ H, but they are 1-5 SU/ATS Away. The "1" was a Bogus one @ St Louis and even including that G, Seattle has been outscored 178-100 on the road. They have not W a non-divisional AG since 2007 (10 L). We have a YP% of 274 with a Total that's dropped from 45 1/2 through 45 to 44 1/2.
Assessment: Two teams with similar records and dissimilar talent.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Houston and Over Parlay	Monitor, but get < -7	4% BR	-6 1/2 and 44 1/2 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	New Orleans @ Atlanta	December 13, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Surprisingly, the Falcons laid an egg in a good emotional spot LW and now follow-up as a DD revenging divisional HD. Saint's HC Payton on record as saying 16-0 is important; basically an open challenge to the 4 remaining teams on their schedule.
Objective: So... we all know what New Orleans did LW. Value on Atlanta in two ways. They're +10 with a PSPR of only +4 1/2 and the line has swung 11 1/2 pts from LY; a 34-20 Falcon's W. The players that missed LW have all been upgraded to ?, so would expect that at least some will play. Atlanta also qualifies on my TO-Turnaround system with a big absolute difference of 4 (+3 vs -1). Saints +9 TO margin L3G.
Assessment: Another shot at undefeated Saints warranted.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Atlanta $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+425 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	San Diego @ Dallas	December 13, 2009	2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective: Dallas back H off a semi-Bogus L as the media gets it revved up about their December swoons. However, fact that they're playing a team that's W L7 SU, is a Dog for only 3rd time TY and is 2-0 so far vs NFC East (Philly, NYG) makes that pretty much a wash.
Objective: PSPR says Chargers a slim 1/2 pt Fav, while GBP has taken Cowboys to -3 1/2. Both D's playing well @ #4 vs #5 and have to give edge to S.D. @ QB. Clincher is that based on yds/pt L5W it's the #1 O @ #32.
Assessment: We'll take well over 1.5:1 on a G that shapes up as a toss up.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
San Diego $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+170 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	NJY-TB, Buff-KC, GB-Chi, Det-Bal, StL-Tenn	December 13, 2009	4 early, 1 afternoon
Subjective: Time of year for a specific Totals system I call "The 'Ole In-Out": meaning a match-up of two teams where one is alive-and-kicking in the playoff hunt (In) and the other is mathematically eliminated (Out). It favors Overs as the "In" keeps the pedal-to-the-metal and as with nothing to lose the "Out" team pulls out trick plays, 4th down gambles, etc.
Objective: All but the Packers-Bears above qualify. They get in with a 273 YP% (Lions-Ravens is 272 BTW) and a G1 Totals-Turnaround. Jets and Bucs have #31 and #30 D's yds/pt and T.B. off Bogus L. Bills-Chiefs combined for 85 pts here LY Week 12 with a Total of 42 1/2. Not one of the 5G has a Total of > 41 and coldest G temperature is in 40's without any significant wind.
Assessment: All have one or more Totals systems going for them with low numbers.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Put them in 2-Team Round Robin Parlay	Monitor	1.5% BR for each of 10 Parlays	Best combo at CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Cincinnati @ Minnesota	December 12, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: 9-3 @ 10-2 and each can clinch their division with a W. Would expect a better effort from Vikings off LW SNF L, but will it be enough?
Objective: Bengals have written the book TY on playing to the level of your opposition as the Dog in their G's in an amazing 12-0 ATS. Included in that is Cincy's perfect 6-0 SU record as a Dog with 3 of those on the road. Vikings have faced only 3 opponents with > .500 records (Arizona LW and GB x 2). Their D has slipped to #29 on yds/pt, while Bengals #7.
Assessment: With odds of much better than 2:1 we'll take Bengals as Dog again.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Cincinnati $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+240 multiple places

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Army Black Knights vs Navy Midshipmen @ Philadelphia	December 12, 2009	12:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Neither team can complain about a lack of prep time with Navy off a Bye and Army off 2 Byes. Must give edge to Black Knights trying to end 7G series L streak; with a W they will also go to 1st Bowl since 1996.
Objective: Do they have anything else to recommend them? Well... LY G was an ugly 34-0 L as Army's D had only 4 RS. TY they have 7 RS and have held their opposition to < 20 pts in 6G averaging <22 ppg overall. In addition, the D is allowing a lower YPC than Navy's and held the similar Air Force O scoreless in 1H. The 7L in series were under 4 different HC's and TY 1st yr HC Ellerson is already a welcome change leading the team to its most W's since 1996. GBP has taken OL of 2 TD to +16 or more, which is 2nd highest spread in L5Y.
Assessment: Thinking this line based too much on series history and not enough on TY's Army edition.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Army $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+550 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Tennessee @ Indianapolis	December 06, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Titans now half-way to RB Johnson's bold Bye week prediction of a 10W regular season finish and playoff berth. Things shaping up like the '07 Patriots except we have an undefeated in each conf; they'll get every opponent's best shot. Motivations getting iffy for Colts who have clinched division and hold 3G lead for #1 seed.
Objective: They wriggled off the hook again LW, despite FD and yds deficits. D allowing 300 YP and > 100 YR/G L4. Titans running wild with >200 YR/G during 5G W streak (4-0-1 ATS). PSPR makes them the 1/2 pt Fav.
Assessment: At well over 2:1 we'll take the more motivated Dog.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Tennessee $-line	Why wait?	4% BR	+232 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	New Orleans @ Washington	December 06, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Clear LD spot for Saints off MNF rout of Patriots; a G in which except for 1 lost fumble their play was virtually perfect. At 3-8 SU, TG amounts to Redskins "Super Bowl".
Objective: Their D still hard-trying, and in L5G they've held quality pass O's of Atlanta, Dallas and Philly twice (plus Denver) to 6 YPP. The G plan ought to be to play keep-away on O. New Orleans is susceptible, allowing 144 YR/G L6. PSPR quite favorable @ Saints by only 1 1/2.
Assessment: Washington obviously not the better team overall, but could be for TW.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Washington $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+405 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Philadelphia @ Atlanta	December 06, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Expecting Falcons to suck it up for back-up QB Redman's 1st start. With a W they pull even with Eagles in Wild Card and would have tiebreaker. In addition, Atlanta a HD for 1st time L11.
Objective: Falcons undefeated @ H TY and have W L8 and 12 of L13. OL of +3 now > +5. Neither D a bargain with Philly's banged up worse; it's #27 @ #23. Granted both O's missing some play-makers, but Total already through key # of 44 and likely headed farther down. These two a collective 9 of 12 Over in their L6G combined.
Assessment: An undefeated HD always worth a look in G between two mediocre D's.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Atlanta $-line and Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+210 and 43 1/2 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Minnesota @ Arizona	December 06, 2009	6:25 PM Mountain
Subjective: Edge Cardinals off last play L vs Viking team off 3 straight H blowout W's. They look to avenge a 35-14 Week 15 HL from LY.
Objective: SB runner-ups a HD for 1st time TY and are 4-0 SU in role since 2007. Current +3 to +3 1/2 represents a 6 1/2 pt swing from LY line. While Vikings 4-1 SU Away, only 1 of those (Green Bay) of the quality W variety; others vs Cle/Det/StL. After LW, Arizona D up to #6 yds/pt. A surprise if QB Warner not a go.
Assessment: Arizona a dangerous HD.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Arizona $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+160 most places

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	San Francisco @ Seattle	December 06, 2009	2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective: Divisional rematch in which both need a W to stay alive in Wild Card race.
Objective: This the "quad" YP% Over play @ 281. Both off Bogus W's LW as their opponent's out-yarded them. G1 an Under and 49ers went for 256 YR; play-action ought to work. Seahawk's D has dropped to #30.
Assessment: Total manageable in low 40's.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
San Francisco-Seattle Over	Why wait?	4% BR	At present I'd sell to 42 1/2, -101 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Fresno St Bulldogs @ Illinois Fighting Illini	December 05, 2009	10:30 AM Mountain
Subjective: FSU off Bye, but Illini only 1 week removed from theirs. We'll see how the California team handles a 9:30 PST kickoff in near freezing temperatures.
Objective: Illinois one of our "Bad Breaks" LW as they put 476 yds on Cincy despite missing multiple wide open WR's. That MLF getting us a little line value as this one would have been -8 to begin TY. Rare to see a FG Fav with 2:1 YR but that's what my numbers have it.
Assessment: Looks like the BCS conf team can handle this small line.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Illinois	Why wait?	4% BR	-3 everywhere; Pinnacle guys sell to -5 1/2, +146

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Cincinnati Bearcats @ Pittsburgh Panthers	December 05, 2009	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Bearcat's blessed season continued LW; out-FD'd 24-17, out-yarded 476-420. Pitt L meaningless to their post-season goals as they get Big East BCS berth with W here anyway.
Objective: LW results have GBP favoring Cincy; OL of Panthers -1 1/2 heading to +3. Bearcat's D exposed a few times TY but they've escaped with big pass and special teams plays. Once again they are almost certain to lose the ground battle; this time by about 2:1. In addition, this is arguably the best pass D they've faced TY. HD is on 8G H W streak.
Assessment: Pitt capable of playing keep-away and controlling Cincy's pass O.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Pittsburgh $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+114 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Florida Gators vs Alabama Crimson Tide @ Atlanta	December 05, 2009	2:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Slight edge 'Bama in rematch of LY SEC Championship. Tide had 2H lead vs a much more potent Gator O.
Objective: LW near-miss @ Auburn has GBP on Florida as OL of -4 approaching 6. TG of course has all the makings of a defensive war with nation's #2 vs #1 scoring D's and #3 vs #2 pass efficiency D's. Given that, looking for any points/odds we can get. Alabama a Dog for 1st time since LY G.
Assessment: Happy to take about 2:1 that Tide can even the score from LY.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Alabama $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+195 most places

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs Clemson Tigers @ Tampa	December 05, 2009	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Edge Tigers in rematch of Week 2 30-27 G.T. non-covering HW.
Objective: Yellow Jackets burst out to 24-0 2Q lead on run, punt return and fake FG TD's and then were out-scored 27-6 rest of the way as Clemson got up-to-speed on the triple option. Yellow Jacket QB Nesbitt probable, but likely < 100%. G1 was 1st road start ever for rFr Tiger's QB Parker but he went 8.4 YPP for 3 TD. GT pass D sitting @ #95 with 21-9 TD-Int ratio.
Assessment: Assuming there isn't another 24-0 hole, Clemson likely to W this one.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Clemson	Monitor	4% BR	Pick 'em most places; -2 1/2, +116 can be had @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	NY Jets vs Buffalo @ Toronto	December 03, 2009	6:20 PM Mountain
Subjective: Both off HW's. Y2 of Canadian experiment for Bills and not much crowd support LY. Perhaps even a little LD after 24-0 4Q LW got (interim?) HC Fewell his 1st W.
Objective: A look @ G1 box score required here. Jets spoiled huge 318-142 YR advantage with 6 Int's, 5 by rookie QB Sanchez on windy day @ Meadowlands. Bills covered L2 with an O uptick (46 pts) with T.O. a factor (293 yds receiving). Jets a big 9 pt Fav by PSPR. As usual looking for an opposite Totals result from G1 when teams got only 29 pts off 710 combined yds.
Assessment: G1 MLF providing value for opposite outcome TG.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
NY Jets and Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	Most places have -3, -120 and 36 1/2

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Arkansas St Red Wolves @ W Kentucky Hilltoppers	December 03, 2009	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Another outgoing HC send-off situation in LHG. Tough to see 3-8 Ark St getting motivated for a winless team and they have not played each other since 1952.
Objective: Red Wolves on 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS streaks and are 1-9 ATS as a conf. AF under HC Roberts. Since QB Leonard went down, back-up rFr Alpin only 2-6 TD-Int ratio. WKU only 1G removed from their Bye and ASU playing 7th straight (and on short week). Hilltoppers close LW in 29-23 Away L with 6.9 YPC for 3G ATS W streak.
Assessment: We'll take fresher, clearly more motivated HD vs team in poor role.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Western Kentucky $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+210 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Carolina @ NY Jets	November 29, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Panthers with 3 extra days and a Dog off frustrating MLF L to Miami; 383-326 total yds. Jet's QB Sanchez continuing to learn the hard way; 4 Int's LW.
Objective: Want no part of a team that's favored in midst of a 1-6 SU run. Carolina 4-3 SU since Bye and with a few bounces it could be 7-0. PSPR makes them a solid 4 pt Fav. The news today is Jet's D down 2 of their CB's.
Assessment: Stats show that Jet's slide continues.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Carolina $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+162 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Arizona @ Tennessee	November 29, 2009	2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective: Season starting to shape up like LY for Cardinals who have 3G division lead and 1L Vikings on deck. Tennessee circled the wagons during their Bye and are playing themselves back into playoff contention.
Objective: Streaks collide with Arizona W L5 SU Away, but Titans W L4 SU/ATS. Have to like match-up of Titans run O (209 YR/G L5) vs Cardinals now semi-suspect run D; 147 YR/G allowed L5. Other key to Titans turnaround has been a return to health for their secondary (5.7 YPP post-Bye). PSPR has picked up on all of this making Tennessee -6 1/2.
Assessment: With line < FG that's enough for a play.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Tennessee	Monitor	4% BR	Current best is -2 1/2, -105 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Indianapolis @ Houston	November 29, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: One of the best motivational scenarios in Texans favor here; the HD off a L as HF. According to the line, the team was "supposed" to W its LHG but L and now comes "supposed" to lose; definite "A" game setup.
Objective: Colt's Fairy godmother has been pretty effective lately what with a 4 pt W over S.F., the comeback vs Pats, LW squeaker @ Balt and last-but-not-least the Texans last play "Noonan" to miss OT @ Indy 3 weeks ago. Perhaps she needs a week off? Colts off a 3 TO careless W. TG a "quad" 286 YP% and normally in divisional rematches we look for a reversal in the Total result. Lines maker has obliged dropping to 47 from 50 of G1 Under. PSPR calls it a toss-up with Houston slim 1/2 pt Fav.
Assessment: That makes them a bargain @ > 1.5:1.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Houston $-line and Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+160 and 47

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Washington @ Philadelphia	November 29, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Rematch of a MLF MNF W by Eagles. Series' HFA virtually non-existent as road team W 5 of L6 SU.
Objective: Redskins also on 6-1-1 ATS run as divisional AD. Despite playing under the strain of the #30 O, their D #12 yds/pt with 15 ppg allowed L7. In G1 TY they held Eagles to 11 FD. Washington was done in by -4 TO with 17 pts off them in 27-17 L. 1H run and pass TD's from Eagle's WR Jackson represented almost 50% of their total yds for the game. There were only 7 pts in 2H. Philadelphia gets 68% of its yds via pass and Redskins only allowing 5.4 YPP. They almost shut-out a better-balanced Dallas O LW. Total up 3 pts from the deceptive 44 pts that went Over 37 1/2 in G1.
Assessment: Good role and situation for Washington's under-rated D.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Washington $-line and Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+400 and 40 1/2, -105 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Pittsburgh @ Baltimore	November 29, 2009	6:20 PM Mountain
Subjective: At this point, this is a write-up in search of a line. Loser here could at least a G out of Wild Card spot. 2 things in Steelers favor; everyone will suck it up behind 3rd string 2nd year starting QB Dixon and they'll be a substantial Dog off a major Bogus L; 515-282 yds.
Objective: Based on a huge sample size, Dixon has been a very accurate passer in his NFL career... 1 for 1 for 3 yds! :) We'd expect TG to be a defensive war. Pittsburgh swept all 3G from Baltimore LY holding them to 214 yds/G. Assuming Dixon starts, I'd expect a line of > TD with a $-line in +250-300 range and a Total in the 30's. The GBP will likely be all over the Ravens.
Assessment: So assuming it's +250 or better, we'll take the fired up SB Champs at that price. Make it a Parlay if the Total is at least the most key number of 37.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Pittsburgh $-line (possibly in Under Parlay)	Monitor	4% BR	Will somebody post a line already?

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Saskatchewan vs Montreal	November 29, 2009	4:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Montreal looking to shake Grey Cup loser tag; 1-5 SU in Championship this decade. 2007 winner Riders should relish the big Dog role.
Objective: Surprised to see a line of almost DD; I'd made a Fair Line of < TD. Montreal got 5 TO's in Week 3 to wax Saskatchewan 43-10 on the road. Week 8 rematch a different story as despite -3 TO Riders out-yarded Alouettes 423-291 in covering 34-25 MLF L. Based on fan attendance, this will be a virtual HG for Saskatchewan. Key match-up appears to be their speedy #1 D vs Montreal's potent #1 O. PSPR comes in at Montreal by only -4.
Assessment: A lot of pts/odds to be giving league's current best D.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Saskatchewan $-line and Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+305 and 55 1/2 @ CRIS; Pinnacle yet to post

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Clemson Tigers @ S Carolina Gamecocks	November 28, 2009	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Tiger's 7th straight G vs RRHD.
Objective: OL of +2 1/2 now through 3 to +3 1/2. YR about even and SC has distinct YP edge. They gave Florida big scare in their LG TY.
Assessment: Value in the rivalry HD with rest.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
S Carolina $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+145 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Ole Miss Rebels @ Mississippi St Bulldogs	November 28, 2009	10:20 AM Mountain
Subjective: 11th straight for Rebels, Bulldogs 2 weeks removed from Bye. Edge to revenging rivalry HD. H team W L5 in series.
Objective: OL of +6 1/2 now 7 1/2. Ole Miss an underwhelming 2-2 SU Away TY and only 1-2 in conf play. The 2W over teams a combined 4-20 SU. Bulldogs have the YR and total yds edges.
Assessment: Road team looks over-valued here.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Mississippi St $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+264 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Oklahoma St Cowboys @ Oklahoma Sooners	November 28, 2009	10:30 AM Mountain
Subjective: Cowboys trying to end 6G series L streak. Sooners should bounce back from blowout L @ TT.
Objective: That made them 1-5 SU in non-HG. However, they're 5-0 @ H by combined score of 249-47. Young QB Landry with TD-Int ratios of 5-9 Away and 20-4 @ H. OSU without leading WR and leading RB and QB < 100%. OU D has taken on the nation's toughest slate of opposing scoring and pass O's. They have significant YP edge. OL of -10 now a more manageable -7.
Assessment: Sooners have dominated series recently and are a much better team @ H.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Oklahoma	Monitor	4% BR	-10, +125 @ Pinnacle is best value at the moment.

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Arkansas Razorbacks @ LSU Tigers	November 28, 2009	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: LSU L L2 in series by total of 3 pts. Would expect them to bounce back from LW clock management brain fart L.
Objective: Current line of -3 1/2 least they've laid @ H in series since '90's. Only 4th true AG for Arkansas who are 0-3 SU so far. Tigers have big YR edge and #24 pass efficiency D. Their only HL TY to #1 Florida and the only allowed 13 pts in that one. LY 1 pt Away L was QB Jefferson's 1st start and we should see much better than his 9 of 21 for 143 performance.
Assessment: Small line for better rushing team @ H vs winless road team.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
LSU	Monitor	4% BR	At present I'd sell from -3 1/2, -103 to -6, +130

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	1. NM St Aggies @ San Jose St Spartans 2. SD St Aztecs @ UNLV Rebels	November 28, 2009	6:00 PM Mountain and 7:00
Subjective: 1 write-up since same system; the outgoing HC send-off. UNLV off Bye to boot and knocked out of Bowl LY with -3 TO 42-21 L @ SDSU as 9 1/2 pt Fav. NMSU has Boise St next week.
Objective: Aggies dead last in scoring O and Spartan's D has seen the #2 slate of rush O's TY. SJSU W L4 in series. After mid-season uptick, SDSU L L4 ATS and L3 SU allowing 41 ppg. Slide coincides with loss of game-breaking WR Brown (>17 yds/reception).
Assessment: 2 H teams with special motivation and match-up edges.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
1. San Jose St 2. UNLV	Monitor	4% BR each	At present sell to -13 1/2, +118 and -8 1/2, +141 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Illinois Fighting Illini @ Cincinnati Bearcats	November 27, 2009	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Both off Byes. Might get some LA from Cincy with only other undefeated team in conf play (Pitt) on deck for Big East title. Disappointing season for 3-7 Illinois, this is their Bowl G.
Objective: GBP has taken OL of -17 1/2 to 3 TD some places. A lot to lay against a prepared BCS conf. opponent. IU likely to win the run G. Their QB Williams should be healthy. Bearcats L2W @ H by only 2 and 3 pts. Illini on 8-2 ATS run as AD. Line would have been -5 to start season.
Assessment: Cincinnati better than expected TY, but looks over-rated here to me.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Illinois $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+900 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	E Michigan Eagles @ Akron Zips	November 27, 2009	Noon Mountain
Subjective: Battle of "Charlie Brown" teams. Edge to EMU as nobody wants to finish the year winless.
Objective: Do we really want to bet on an 0-11 team to win a G? Well... yeah when their getting >5:1 odds vs a 2-9 team that's L 8 of L9. With injuries, both down to freshman starting QB's. Eagles have played the tougher schedule as Zips slate of opponents ranks #106, #107 and #115 in scoring, pass and run O respectively. Looked like EMU had LY G W with blocked FG, but ball bounced to kicker who ran it for FD and a G-winning TD followed.
Assessment: Charlie Brown laying a lot here.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Eastern Michigan $-line	Why wait?	4% BR	+550 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Toledo Rockets @ Bowling Green Falcons	November 27, 2009	Noon Mountain
Subjective: Edge Rockets who a need a W for Bowl eligibility. They were waxed LY 38-10.
Objective: Interesting coaching story as Toledo's new HC Beckman lifted Bowling Green's DC and run G coordinator to be his DC and OC. Falcon's run O now #119 in nation so doubt we get anything like their LY 294-129 YR edge. In fact, my numbers have Rockets with about 2:1 YR advantage.
Assessment: That's enough for a play on more motivated rivalry Dog getting 2.5:1.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Toledo $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+252 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Alabama Crimson Tide @ Auburn Tigers	November 27, 2009	12:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: RRHD-of-the-day. GOY for Tigers who had 6G series W streak ended LY in embarrassing -3 TO 36-0 L. Although a bitter rivalry, Tide probably with some LA to SEC Championship rematch with #1 Florida next week.
Objective: Another big test for up-and-down 1st year Bama starting QB McElroy vs a #27 pass efficiency D. Tigers with decent shot @ controlling Alabama's run O. Auburn 6-1 SU @ H and 4-1 ATS since 2001 in rare HD role, including SU W over Ole Miss TY.
Assessment: Have to fire another bullet @ Bama.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Auburn $-line	Why wait?	4% BR	+318 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Nebraska Corhuskers @ Colorado Buffaloes	November 27, 2009	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Was looking @ TG as possible play in the HC "send-off" system, but Hawkins granted at least 1 more year yesterday. Buffs a disappointing 3-8 and as semi-big revenging rivalry HD, this is their Bowl G. Likely LA from Huskers who get #3 Texas in Big-12 Championship G next week.
Objective: That by virtue of LW 17-3 MLF W over Kansas St.; out-yarded 293-267. GBP has taken NU from -7 1/2 through 10 in a G that would have been pick 'em to start season. CU has fought hard all year including 3 pt near miss @ Oklahoma St LW. Other covers vs likes of Texas, WV and Texas A&M. They have 2 extra days of prep.
Assessment: Another semi-big rivalry HD vs opponent with some LA.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Colorado $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+355 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	NY Giants @ Denver	November 26, 2009	6:20 PM Mountain
Subjective: Scheduling favors Broncos who get to stay H after a blowout L and play a mid-season Thursday-niter for 5th straight year. Giants have to travel and play their 1st since '95 off OT W. GBP's opinion on Denver has basically done a 360 from "they suck", to @ 6-0... "they're pretty good"... to "they suck" again.
Objective: OL of -5 already hitting 7 most places; more than the Broncos got @ H vs San Diego, Pittsburgh, New England and Dallas. G-men 1-4 SU L5 and on 5G ATS L streak. The Bye did not seem to help their D much as LW they allowed 31 pts and blew a DD lead, escaping with a 1st-possession OT W. That D is dead last yds/pt. Despite a 32-3 final LW, Denver only out-yarded by 75 and a Moreno fumble inside the 5 was crucial. PSPR calls it a slim -2 1/2 for NY.
Assessment: Given scheduling, an expected rebound from a blown out H team and the PSPR, this line looks out of whack.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Denver $-line	Monitor	4% BR	About +250 most places

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Texas Longhorns @ Texas A&M Aggies	November 26, 2009	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: GOY for Aggies as this rivalry returns to Thanksgiving night. Off a 49-9 W LY and laying 3 TD, it's possible UT may have at least one eye on next week's Big-12 Championship G. Doubt we'll get their "B" game, but it might be "A"-minus.
Objective: Pretty ugly in Austin in '08 as A&M had -24 YR with 6 sacks allowed. Their O no push-over TY topping 30 pts in 8 of 11G. You'll recall we had winners on each of the other 3G; all non-HG. Aggies 5-1 SU @ H with only L by 5 pts to #12 Okla. St. Their D improved, especially @ H @ 17 ppg. Pass efficiency D up to #52 from 103 LY. Longhorn's QB McCoy actually only 1-2 SU vs A&M.
Assessment: Simply seems like too many points/odds for an AF in fierce rivalry.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Texas A&M $-line	Monitor	4% BR	$-lines are sparse @ this point, but +1100 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Buffalo @ Jacksonville	November 22, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Normally a mid-season coaching change provides a temporary spark. Jags back H off upset W.
Objective: So... once again they're in their worst role; L L8 ATS including 5 SU. They're laying 4 1/2 more than they did in LY 20-16 HL to Bills. Buffalo could be down a DT or two, but their B7 healthy and they held Jags to 98 YR LY. Bill's D currently #2 yds/pt and allowing < 6 YPP. Jacksonville O #27 yds/pt. Despite playing 4 of L5A, PSPR makes Bills a 2 pt Fav. They have led, been tied or within a score in 4Q of every G TY. This one an Under on 3 separate systems; O & D ratings, O & D rankings and yds/pt.
Assessment: Bills with emotional edge and PSPR edges and Jags in their worst role.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Buffalo $-line and Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+345 and 42 1/2 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Philadelphia @ Chicago	November 22, 2009	6:20 PM Mountain
Subjective: Both looking to bounce back from Bogus losses. Perhaps Eagle's the more "boguser" as they could only get 23 pts off 433 YP.
Objective: Bears got 3 1H TD LY and then needed a 4Q goal line stand to preserve a 24-20 W vs Philly as same 3 pt HD Week 4 2008. Want no part of them TY behind Int-prone QB Cutler. Chicago on 2-4 SU run with the 2W vs 1-8 Detroit and Cleveland. Despite LW, their D a lowly #31 yds/pt. PSPR slightly favors Eagles @ -4. TG another YP% qualifier @ 273.
Assessment: Eagles have the better team, D, and QB.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Philadelphia and Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	-3 and 45 everywhere

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Seattle @ Minnesota	November 22, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Seahawks look to bounce back after blowing 14-0 lead @ Arizona. 2nd of 3 straight HG for Vikings.
Objective: W our 3rd straight Over with Seattle LW and they had 472 yds of O. Unlucky with Minnesota who topped that yardage by 20, but 4 of 6 trips inside the 20 led to only 6 pts. Highest YP% number of the week @ 286 and it's a "quad". Seahawks down a starting CB or maybe two.
Assessment: More likely yards turn into points TW.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Seattle-Minnesota Over	Monitor	4% BR	At present I'd sell to 47 1/2, +103 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	San Francisco @ Green Bay	November 22, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Giving slight edge to 49ers who are off a poorly played national TV G and have 3 days extra prep. Line swings 9 1/2 pts for Packers off W as 3 pt Dog to 6 1/2 pt Fav.
Objective: SF 7-1-1 ATS as a Dog since Singletary took over. Prior to LW, GB only W's vs teams a collective 7-29 SU. Not yet sold on their D which is allowing > 7 YPP. PSPR makes 49ers a 1 pt Fav. Surprisingly bad year so far for my YP% Over system (20-17 ATS vs 75-43 L2Y). Even more so for the "quad" plays; i.e. all 4 components >65% (2-6 ATS TY vs 28-8 L2Y). We don't throw out tried-and-true systems because of some short-term lack of success. TG a "quad" @ 272 YP% and given the dearth of points in LW's G's for these two teams, Total lower than it oughta be.
Assessment: PSPR edge, good role, semi-Bye and a good Total system.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
San Francisco $-line and Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+240 and 42 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	New Orleans @ Tampa Bay	November 22, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Divisional G may hold Saint's focus better than LW, but they do have New England @ H on MNF next week. "A" G from Bucs big HD vs undefeated team.
Objective: Post-Bye switch to QB Freeman has provided an O spark with 61 pts in 2G; a W and last play L. Current line of N.O. -10 1/2 is a > 2 TD swing from +4 1/2 they were in Week 13 23-20 L here LY. PSPR has them only -4 1/2. They're off another Careless W and may have escaped LW mainly due to Ram's poor last minute clock management. Their D has slipped to #23 and will be without both starting CB's; FS Sharper probably returns, but <100%. 155 YR/G allowed L4. Total up there but down 1 1/2 pts and getting close to below key number of 51 and TG qualifies as Over on 4 different systems.
Assessment: We'll see if Saints can continue to dodge bullets.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Tampa Bay $-line and Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+425 and 51 most places (try for 50 1/2). Couldn't argue with split between point spread and $-line.

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	BC @ Montreal	November 22, 2009	11:05 AM Mountain
Subjective: With HW and 4 pt Away L vs Montreal TY, BC a dangerous Dog. Alouettes look to take advantage of their Bye.
Objective: At 9-0 SU H TY, hard to see them losing. However, with a PSPR of -9 and a line of -10 1/2 no value on either Side. G pits the league's two top rated QB's. Both teams on 4G Over streaks. Yds/pt predicted score in 60's. Montreal has #1 O. Expect BC to at least go down swinging.
Assessment: Based on recent history, Total in low 50's looks reachable.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
BC-Montreal Over	Why wait?	4% BR	52 1/2 everywhere

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Calgary @ Saskatchewan	November 22, 2009	2:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Rematch of Week 19 Rider's HW that gave them the Bye and HFA in this one.
Objective: That made Saskatchewan 2-0-1 SU vs Stampeders TY. They're favored by slim FG and PSPR calls it Calgary -2. LG in series a 30-14 MLF as Stamps out-yarded Riders 434-413. Only G in L5 where Calgary's yds (averaging 457/G) didn't turn into pts. A FG attempt that hit the upright and bonehead intentional safety on next series cost us the Teaser in that one. Lines maker standing his ground on Total posting mid-50's again.
Assessment: Should be a close one and probably higher scoring.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Calgary and Over 6-pt Teaser	Why wait?	4% BR	+9 and 48 1/2 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Arizona St Sun Devils @ UCLA Bruins	November 21, 2009	2:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Crucial G to each team's Bowl futures. Ditto LY when both stood 4-6 and ASU W perhaps the MLF-of-the-year...
Objective: ... despite being out-yarded 306-122 they got all but 6 of their pts on 4 D TD's in 34-9 W. Sun Devils a poor 2-7 SU Away TY and last. The 2W were vs 0-12 Washington LY and 1-9 Wash St TY. UCLA has the better D, passing attack and special teams.
Assessment: Bruin's had this one circled and unlike LY stats likely to be reflected in the score and they should get the W vs a poor road team.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
UCLA	Monitor	4% BR	-4 would be nice. At present numbers, I'd sell to -7 1/2, +145 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Oregon Ducks @ Arizona Wildcats	November 21, 2009	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Great PAC-10 nightcap as these are the only two remaining teams that control their own destiny for Rose Bowl berth.
Objective: While 6-0 @ H, Ducks only 2-2 Away beating 3-7 Washington off a Bye and needing TO's to rally past UCLA. 2008 year-end line would have been UA -1, so surprised to see Oregon laying almost a TD. Wildcats in by far their best role going 7-1 ATS L8 as HD with 6 SU W's. They are an undefeated HD for this one. Key of course will be keeping Duck's run O under control; Arizona does return the entire 2-deep of their DL.
Assessment: This looks like a coin flip with Arizona @ 2:1 or better in their best role.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Arizona $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+210 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Ohio St Buckeyes @ Michigan Wolverines	November 21, 2009	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Huge rivalry, but as far as post-season goes TG "meaningless" to Buckeyes who after LW OT HW are in Rose Bowl. After 4-0 start, Michigan has imploded starting with OT L @ Michigan St and sit @ 5-6 SU (1-6 Big-10). While probably not necessary to save HC Rodriguez's job, TG is a chance to save their season and go Bowling. OSU a DD Fav @ Ann Arbor for 1st time ever!
Objective: Only 4th AG for Buckeyes TY and while they were impressive as a Dog @ Penn St, they squeaked a 1 1/2 pt cover @ Indiana and L outright for us @ Purdue. A #75 pass D has been Michigan's main downfall TY, although vertical passing not the Buckeye's forte. Can the UM run D rise to the occasion?
Assessment: In any event, this shapes up as one of those rivalry games where you pore over all the stats... and then throw them out the window.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Michigan $-line	Why wait?	4% BR	+395 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Minnesota Golden Gophers @ Iowa Hawkeyes	November 21, 2009	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Rivalry G that Minnesota has had circled after gruesome 55-0 L in LHG LY; largest margin in series since 1916. Tough spot for Iowa off all-out hard-fought L in OT @ Columbus that ended their Rose Bowl hopes. They sucked it up as big Dog in start #1 for #2 QB; often that's followed by LD in G #2.
Objective: Hawkeyes have had a propensity to play close ones all year and are 1-3 ATS L4 as HF with only cover by 1/2 pt with minor miracle 28-0 4Q. Golden Gophers seemed to have adjusted to absence of leading WR Decker putting up 42 and 32 pts 3 and 2 weeks ago. Will write off LW lackluster performance vs FCS S Dakota St as LA to TG. Their only 2 Away L's TY to Penn St and Ohio St.
Assessment: Relatively big rivalry Dog in a good emotional spot.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Minnesota $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+325 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	SMU Mustands @ Marshall Thundering Herd	November 21, 2009	2:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Unfamiliar territory for SMU as with W's in L2G they can go from CUSA-West outhouse (1-11 SU LY) to penthouse. Herd still fighting for Bowl eligibility. DNP LY.
Objective: G pits Bogus winner @ Bogus loser. Mustangs dealt us another one of TY's "Bad Breaks" getting out-yarded 627-437 (allowed 231 YR) in 35-31 W. UTEP got 3 pts off 4 trips inside the 20. Marshall was +9 FD and +69 yds, but -3 TO in 7 pt HL to S Miss. OL of -4 down to a FG perhaps due to Marshall RB Marshall (not a typo) being ? Good line value as LY it would have been Herd -15. They have a solid run O (with or without Marshall) and the better D; their #49 pass D having held Bowling Green's run and shoot to 10 pts.
Assessment: Good line value on under-rated small HF.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Marshall	Monitor	4% BR	-3 everywhere. At present I'd take the 40 cents and sell to -5 1/2, +130 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Boise St Broncos @ Utah St Aggies	November 20, 2009	7:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Obvious GOY for USU as LHG is an ESPN2 telecast vs #6 Boise St. Perhaps some LA for Broncos who face a Nevada team on 7G W streak next Friday.
Objective: While still blowing teams out on the Smurf turf, BSU has struggled some on the road covering only 1 of L3; and that was with +6 TO vs a #3 QB. They were only able to beat Tulsa by 7 and led La Tech by a mere 3 pts 4Q. LW, despite +7 TO they allowed 26 FD and 514 yds (including 209 YR) @ H to a team with a back-up QB. While only 3-7 SU TY, Aggie's turnaround under 1Y HC Anderson evidenced by 7-3 ATS record. USU extending ATS W streak as Dog to 9G covering all 5 TY. Starting QB Borel missed LY G. His mobility important (632 YR 2008, 433 YR TY) and he has 12-3 TD-Int ratio TY. Boise St more pass-dependent than usual TY and I wouldn't be surprised to see them out-rushed here. Key to a potential upset likely the Aggie pass D which is up to #51 from #91 LY.
Assessment: All of that makes a 12-plus:1 shot worth it.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Utah St $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+1250 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Miami @ Carolina	November 19, 2009	6:20 PM Mountain
Subjective: Both off W on short week, but both also off HG. Two 4-5 teams; winner can start thinking possible Wild Card... loser not-so-much.
Objective: Dolphins have my #1 O yds/pt and averaging 26 ppg L5. On the flip side, their is D #28 allowing 27 ppg. No surprise they're Over 5 of L6G. If we look @ the Carolina O post-Bye and throw out their -4 TO G vs Buffalo they're averaging 24 ppg. The return of a healthy WR Muhammad (6 for 91) LW was a boost. Miami pass D below average allowing 7.4 YPP. With Panther's RB's a little banged up and Dolphin's RB Brown on IR, we may see more passing than expected. GBP has taken OT of 45 down through 44 to 42 1/2.
Assessment: Total looks too low given what the respective O's have been scoring and Miami's D allowing.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Miami-Carolina Over	Monitor	4% BR	At present I would sell to 44, +115 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Baltimore @ Cleveland	November 16, 2009	6:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Another Dog off a L and a Bye scenario; this time it's a revenging divisional HD. TG the GBP pick of week 10.
Objective: See no value in Ravens; in fact, quite the opposite. LY here they were getting 2 pts, so we have almost a 2 TD line swing. PSPR concurs making it Cleveland only + 1/2 pt. Browns only W 4G LY, but 2 were on MNF. They upset the defending SB Champ Giants here 35-14 as an 8 pt Dog and beat Buffalo on the road. Despite a poor O, Cleveland's D #4 yds/pt.
Assessment: Both PSPR and series line history say this is a lot of pts/odds for a .500 team to be laying.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Cleveland $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+455 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Jax-NYJ, Atl-Car	November 15, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Jets off Bye with 2 weeks to stew over probably the Bogus L of the year (378-104 yds). Panthers back H as small revenging divisional HD after near-miss @ N.O.
Objective: They out-yarded Atlanta G1 440-371 but were done in by a blocked punt and a key TO. Decent line value as LY in TG it was Carolina -7. Falcons off semi-MLF with only 125 YP covering via 2 big TD runs and a pick-six. Jaguars on 4G ATS L streak and their only covers are in division. PSPR calling both these about right @ Jets -9 and Panthers -1 1/2.
Assessment: I'd prefer to not lay a TD with Jets have some cushion with Carolina.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
NY Jets and Carolina 6-pt Teaser	Why wait?	4% BR	-1 and +7 1/2 generally available

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	KC-Oak, Sea-Ari	November 15, 2009	2:05 and 2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective: Pair of divisional rematches. Interesting series history in 1st G as visitor 12-0-1 ATS L13. Perhaps Cardinals should quit playing @ H where they're 1-3 SU (4-0 SU Away including 27-3 @ Seattle).
Objective: Lines maker and PSPR agreeing again with -1 1/2 and -8. Raiders "O-fer" L10 as Fav and were out-yarded 409-166 in Week 2 13-10 MLF W. However, they are off Bye and O now fully healthy (RB McFadden, LT Gallery and WR's). Similar story for Seattle who were missing 3 OL in G1 L.
Assessment: Another chance to cross the right key numbers.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Kansas City and Arizona 6-pt Teaser	Why wait?	4% BR	+8 and -2 generally available

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh	November 15, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Marquee early G of 6-2 teams. Winner gets a leg up in AFC North. Bengals W G1 Week 3, out-scoring Steelers 24-7 over final 31 minutes.
Objective: TG features my #1 @ #2 PSPR-ranked teams with Cincy 15.5 and Pittsburgh 14. PSPR line works out to a Pick 'em. GBP has taken OL from -6 1/2 to a full TD. Steelers were -11 here LY on a Thursday niter vs a very different Bengals team. Cincy's D now #3 yds/pt, while Pittsburgh #5. Will also note that Bengals a perfect 4-0 ATS and SU as a Dog TY.
Assessment: Looks to me and to PSPR that Cincy not yet getting enough credit.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Cincinnati $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+260 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	New Orleans @ St Louis	November 15, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Looks like LD Spot for New Orleans. They're off the blowout of the Giants, huge comeback @ Miami and then B2B divisional W's with another divisional G on deck. As a DD non-divisional AF, no surprise if we get their "B" game. Rams ended their L streak 2 weeks ago and are off Bye; their "A" game a virtual certainty.
Objective: With D-minded (former NYG DC) HC Spagnuolo having 14 days, St Louis should be fully prepared for Saint's O; stopping it's another matter. However, D's actually about even @ #20 vs #16, yds/pt. Would expect Rams to try and shorten TG behind RB Jackson and he may have success as New Orleans run D sagging a bit; 140 YR/G L5. PSPR (which is a 5-week moving average) has it Saints -12, but we'll temper that some as 4 of their L5G @ H.
Assessment: It's the NFL and it's probably "B" vs "A" games with a big HD that can run off a Bye.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
St Louis $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+600 generally available

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	New England @ Indianapolis	November 15, 2009	6:20 PM Mountain
Subjective: Pats look to end Indy's regular season W streak on SNF. They had a near-miss here LY in 18-15 L.
Objective: Colts underwhelming L2W squeaking by 49ers and then dodging OT vs Houston. Would expect Brady & Co. to make fill-in secondary pay some. However, wary of a New England bet on two counts. 1st, I made a Fair Line of -3 1/2 and current line < a FG with PSPR of -2. 2nd, Pat's 2 most important OL (C and LT) are both ?. G pits #1 @ #2 D's.
Assessment: We'll go Teaser route.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
New England and Under 6-pt Teaser	Why wait?	4% BR	+8 1/2 and 54 most places

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Det-Minn, Sea-Ari, Phi-SD, Dal-GB	November 15, 2009	1 early, 3 aft.
Subjective: 1st two are divisional rematches where G1's went Under. Philly left some points off the board LW. Possible LD from Dallas after big road divisional W and Packers off Bogus L.
Objective: Vikings off Bye and get to face Lion's #31 D. Cardinals O #2, Seahawks OL healthier. Eagle's and Charger's O's are #5 and #3 respectively. GB #5 in league @ 8.2 YPP. In addition, all 4 >270 on YP%.
Assessment: TW's overs.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Put them in 2-Team Round Robin Parlay	Why wait?	1.5% BR each for total of 9%	Best combo @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	BC @ Hamilton	November 15, 2009	11:05 AM Mountain
Subjective: BC backs into playoffs and looks to bounce back from egg they laid LW. Hamilton swept season series and on a roll.
Objective: That keyed by insertion of QB Glenn as a starter 4G ago; 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS. Lion's run D a concern after 260 YR allowed LW. Ti-Cats out-rushed BC 375-228 in 2G TY. Looks like Printers will start for BC; how long will he last? PSPR makes Hamilton a healthy 9 pt Fav.
Assessment: Hamilton looks like the better team at this point.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Hamilton	Why wait?	4% BR	-3 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Edmonton @ Calgary	November 15, 2009	2:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: "Battle of Alberta" #5 TY. Edmonton happy to be here, while defending Champs Calgary forced to take the "long cut" after slow early start and some questionable game management decisions LW late.
Objective: On one hand, hard to ignore the combined score of Stamps 62-15 in 2G here TY. On the other hand, hard to ignore the PSPR of Eskimos -1. Edmonton fortunate LW to get QB Printers out early and then knock out a far < 100% QB Pierce before end 1H and then run away from a team down to its #5 QB. Eskimos only averaged 75 YR/G in Calgary TY. Stamps only 2 HL TY; G1 vs Montreal and a 1-pointer to Saskatchewan.
Assessment: Think Calgary likely to get the SU W.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Calgary and Under 6-pt Teaser	Monitor	4% BR	-1/2 and 60 everywhere

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Texas A&M Aggies @ Oklahoma Sooners	November 14, 2009	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Wonder what the pre-season $-line was on these two both being 5-4 mid-November? Combo of young OL, inopportune injuries and TO's have OU scrambling for Bowl eligibility and they're pretty crabby after LW Bogus L.
Objective: They held Nebraska to 7 FD and 180 yds but were done in by -4 TO (5 Int's). That was vs nation's #1 pass efficiency D; Aggies are #63. It was ugly in College Station LY as Sooners rolled up 663 yds and 66 pts. TW they're actually laying a TD less @ H than LY Away. Amazingly, had TG been played at LY end the line woulda been -49. A&M already L by 28-plus in 2 of 4G Away from H TY.
Assessment: I'm OK laying a big number here.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Oklahoma	Why wait?	4% BR	The extra 32 cents for -22 1/2, +124 @ Pinnacle is worth it; otherwise get down while it's still < -21

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Texas Tech Red Raiders @ Oklahoma St Cowboys	November 14, 2009	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: 2nd Saturday niter in Stillwater in 2 weeks. TT off Bye and OSU off blowout of Iowa St.
Objective: Halloween 41-14 L vs Texas looked bad but it was a big-time MLF. Cowboys out-yarded Longhorns 277-275 but had 5 TO including 2 pick-sixes. Cowboy's improved pass D in evidence in that one as they held UT to 176 YP and are now up to #16. So should be a different story than LY when the #64 pass D gave up 516 YP in Lubbock. My numbers have OSU O with good balance and >200 YR. That should let them play keep-away.
Assessment: Improved Cowboy's D and running G should carry the day.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Oklahoma St	Why wait?	4% BR	I'm selling this one to -7, +140

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Auburn Tigers @ Georgia Bulldogs	November 14, 2009	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Both off "scrimmages" vs FCS opponents LW. Tigers playing 11th week in row, while UGA had Bye prior to semi-MLF (-4 TO) L to Florida 2 weeks ago.
Objective: Looks like line value again as -4 HF Bulldogs W L3 in series and laid 9 1/2 Away LY. Granted Georgia only 5-4 SU, but they've played a sked of opponents ranked #3, 5 and 8 in scoring/pass/run D's respectively. Auburn represents a step down from at least half of them. My numbers give both the YR and YP edges.
Assessment: That makes mid-SD look reasonable.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Georgia	Why wait?	4% BR	Sell to -6 1/2, +119 or get down @ -4

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	UAB Blazers @ Memphis Tigers	November 14, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: 1st chance TY to work the HC "send-off" system as Tiger's West got the axe earlier TW. The vast majority of CFB players regard their HC as a father figure and at some level feel responsible for him getting fired. They'll go all out to send him off into the sunset with a victory; typically in the LHG.
Objective: Rare AF role for Tier 4 UAB; 2-8 ATS since 2002, last time 2006, last cover 2005. They're 1-4 SU Away TY and only W a major MLF; out-FD'd 35-18, out-yarded 585-375, +3 TO @ UTEP 2 weeks ago. I like the match-up of Memphis' 6' 3", 6' 4" and 6' 8" WR's vs the #108 pass D.
Assessment: Motivated HD with match-up edge vs rare AF.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Memphis	Monitor	4% BR	+105 available; at present I'd sell to -2, +117

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	UTEP Miners @ SMU Mustangs	November 14, 2009	1:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: MLF loser as Dog vs MLF winner as Fav here. 3-6 Miners need to win out to get Bowl eligible.
Objective: +2 TO allowed SMU to squeak past 0-9 Rice 31-28 LW. Despite an almost 100 YR edge, UTEP gave up a last play tying TD and L in OT @ Tulane. They go from -7 AF to +6 1/2 AD. Even harder to ignore other line comparisons as Miners were -13 1/2 @ H in LY W over SMU and would have been -14 here end of LY. They've already beaten Tulsa TY and handed Houston their only L. I have them with the YR edge.
Assessment: SMU having a good year, but this line move looks too big.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
UTEP $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+217 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Missouri Tigers @ Kansas St Wildcats	November 14, 2009	10:30 AM Mountain
Subjective: HC Snyder-led turnaround in full swing in Manhattan TY as it looks like next week's G @ Nebraska decides Big-12 North. No LA from Wildcats who've L L3 in series.
Objective: Mizzou looks to be in rebuilding mode as after their Bye they're 1-4 SU in conf play. Surprised then to see GBP turn KSU into a HD (-1 to +1). Wildcats 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS L7. They're winning the ground wars (e.g. 266-60 YR LW) and the pass D up to #37. An added bonus is that KSU 16-3 in season H finales since 1990.
Assessment: See no reason to stop betting ON Wildcats, especially as HD B2B.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Kansas St	Monitor	4% BR	At present I'd sell to -2 1/2, +121 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Miami-Fla Hurricanes @ N Carolina Tar Heels	November 14, 2009	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Hurricanes with a shot @ ACC Coastal title if Duke upsets Georgia Tech. UNC looking to improve its Bowl possibilities. Match-up #3 between their HC Davis and his former player and assistant UM HC Shannon.
Objective: Mentor has taken 1st two both as a Dog. Tar Heels a Dog again, but would have been a 5 pt Fav at end of LY. Hurricanes get the nod on O, although think UNC RB Houston can fill in ably for injured Draughn. Believe Tar Heels already had the better D, but TW status report puts UM down as many as 8 starters/back-ups on that side of the ball. They can put onus on QB Harris and have the #32 pass D with only 4 TD passes allowed TY.
Assessment: Better D and recent series history favor the HD.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
N Carolina $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+140 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Florida Gators @ S Carolina Gamecocks	November 14, 2009	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: After LW, Gators biding their time (and trying to avoid LA) 'til SEC Championship G vs 'Bama. Obvious GOY for SC looking to avenge HC Spurrier's worst ever 56-6 L LY. With a Bye next week they go all out.
Objective: UF O that scored 44 ppg LY down a notch or two. They went 12-1 ATS LY, but TY have put up <30 pts 5 times in conf play for a 2-5 ATS record. They've dodged bullets vs Arkansas and @ both LSU and Miss St. GBP has taken Gators through 17 perhaps in part due to Gamecocks road L's L2W. However, LW a MLF and week before was -4 TO. Their D now back H where they're allowing 15 ppg.
Assessment: A lot of pts/odds to be giving what I consider to be a Tier 2 team in their GOY.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
S Carolina $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+670 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Alabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi St Bulldogs	November 14, 2009	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Tide in same boat as Florida, waiting for the big G. Bulldogs are our RRHD.
Objective: So far @ H TY, they should have beaten LSU and Houston and put major scares in Georgia Tech and Florida. New HC (former Florida OC) Mullen has had 2 full weeks to game plan against the 'Bama D. Bulldogs not lacking in confidence having beaten the Tide SU in both '06 and '07. In their L3G Alabama has been taken to late 4Q @ H by both S Carolina and LSU and was very lucky to beat Tennessee. QB McElroy's struggles continue in the pass game. MSU D certainly not in over their heads having faced a slate of run O's that ranks 6th toughest.
Assessment: Another RRHD with decent shot @ upset.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Mississippi St $-line	Why wait?	4% BR	+405 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Chicago @ San Francisco	November 12, 2009	6:20 PM Mountain
Subjective: 1st Thursday niter TY. Calling motivations about even with Bears off blowout HL and 49ers off Bogus HL (25-14 FD, 358-315 yds, -4 TO).
Objective: Little to recommend either as L4W they've got 1W between them and that was vs Cleveland. Lines maker/GBP says toss-up with OL of -3 holding steady. PSPR pretty much agrees with SF -4 1/2. Played on only 3 days of prep, Thursday G's involve a significant disruption to the team's normal routine. Seems to me it would be easier to the get the D ready than the O. Both here are off HG, so disruption is lessened and might minimize the effects on O prep. In fact, in recent history when the Thursday H team is off a HG LW, it's 21-10 Over. Thursday H teams off an AG are 16-6 Under. TG pits #29 @ #21 D's. Throw out aforementioned Browns G, and they're allowing 33 and 29 ppg respectively L4G.
Assessment: Given the above, a low 40's Total looks like a bargain.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Chicago-San Francisco Over	Why wait?	4% BR	At present I would sell for 19 extra cents to 44 1/2, +112 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Bowling Green Falcons @ Miami-Ohio Redhawks	November 12, 2009	4:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: BG still with a chance to go "Bowling" and a very slim chance @ MAC-East title. Redhawks not rolling over after 1st W 2 weeks ago, taking 7-2 Temple to wire in 34-32 L LW.
Objective: Series decidedly in Miami-Ohio favor @ 9-1 SU since 1998. Only their 4th HG TY and they've covered 1st 3 and are on 5-1 ATS streak. Falcons the most one-dimensional team in FBS with the #3 pass O and #120 run O. So how is the Redhawk pass D? At #57 TY, it's much improved from LY #111 and has already faced the #6 and #18 pass O's of Cincinnati and Boise St. They should be a Dog that wins the ground G tonight as BG cannot stop the run either @ #118. Falcons a Fav off a Bogus W getting out-yarded 311-118 1H but having 1 and 17 yd "drives" off blocked punts to hang around enough for last minute TD to W by 1 pt.
Assessment: We will take balanced under-rated HD with decent pass D vs one-dimensional Bowling Green.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Miami-Ohio $-line	Monitor	4% BR	Current best -148 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Pittsburgh @ Denver	November 09, 2009	6:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Broncos back H off an uncompetitive Away L. We'll get an all out effort from them om MNF. Steelers off a Bye, but also a Fav off a Bogus W.
Objective: Pittsburgh out-yarded 386-259 but saved by 2 4Q D TD's. They've L L5 non-HG ATS and are 1-2 SU TY on the road with only W vs Detroit. Now 6-1, Denver a Dog for 7th time TY. TG will also be their 7th time as HD since 2002 and they have a 5-1 ATS record including SU W's over Dallas and New England TY. Despite the Bye, it looks like Pittsburgh will be missing 3 season starters from the F7 and FS Clark. Denver ought to be able to run and use subsequent play-action. QB Orton with 9-1 TD-Int ratio. Expect Broncos D to pressure Big Ben with their #3 pass rush (23 sacks). PSPR makes Denver a solid 4 1/2 pt Fav. Relatively low Total and a 271 on YP%. L5 Steeler's G would have topped this number.
Assessment: Good role for rare HD on MNF that PSPR has favored. Total looks too low.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Denver $-line & Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+120 and 40 most places

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Baltimore @ Cincinnati	November 08, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Ravens avoided slipping below .500 LW with big W over Denver. Nice spot for Bengals off their bye as a divisional HD.
Objective: They already beat Baltimore on the road in Week 5, out-yarding them 404-257. Surprised Broncos played into Raven's hands LW trying to run and failing to test the secondary. Expect Cincy to have a different game plan. Even after LW, Baltimore's D still only #17 while Bengals is #4. PSPR encompasses all of this making the H team a 3 1/2 pt Fav.
Assessment: If Cincinnati can beat this opponent on the road, odds are they can do it @ H too.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Cincinnati $-line	Why wait?	4% BR	+121 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Arizona @ Chicago	November 08, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Well... we nailed Carolina LW as Cardinals caught with their pants down; expect they'll rebound off embarrassing L. Bears off underwhelming blowout of pathetic Browns.
Objective: Despite holding that pop-gun O to 3 pts their D still ranks only #25. They have 7 season's starters either out or < 100%. TO Gods certainly owe these two some big-time reversion-to-the-mean off a margin of 10 LW; Arizona -6, Chicago +4. Cardinals a perfect 3-0 SU/ATS Away TY. PSPR makes them a 1/2 pt Fav.
Assessment: Cardinals are the better team and should bounce back off LW's disparate results.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Arizona $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+124 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Bal-Cin, Hou-Ind, Ari-Chi, Det-Sea, SD-NYG, Dal-Phi	November 08, 2009	3 early, 2 later and SNF
Subjective: Looking for divisional Totals turnaround as Ravens-Bengals G1 went Under. Hou-Ind Over L8. Looks like Lions get best O player WR C. Johnson back. Eagles Over L8H.
Objective: All but 1G qualify on the >270 YP%. The remaining one (SD-NYG) qualifies on my O & D rating system. Giants missing LY DC Spagnuolo big time as their D is #32.
Assessment: Our Overs to Parlay.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Put them in 2-Team Round Robin Parlay	Monitor	1% BR for each of 15 Parlays	Best combo @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Houston @ Indianapolis	November 08, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Budding divisional rivalry as Texans on the verge of moving from average to good team status.
Objective: Colts swept season series LY, but it wasn't easy. It took a miracle in G1 with Indy scoring 21 late 4Q points, 14 of them off 2nd string QB Rosenfels' fumbles. In G2 same QB was Int'd @ midfield with Houston on the move in last minute for potential G-winning TD in 33-27 L. Of particular note is that YR LY was 333-233 in Texans favor. TY it will be Schaub @ QB. With SS Sanders and CB Jackson now on IR, Colts down to 1 remaining member of projected secondary and will start two rookie CB's. Houston is #4 in league in YPP.
Assessment: Looks like Colts more than have their hands full.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Houston $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+320 most places

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	KC-Jax, Wash-Atl, GB-TB, Car-NO	November 08, 2009	3 early, 1 later
Subjective: Normally I'm looking for good teams as Dogs. Here we have 4 mediocre-to-lousy ones, but each has something to recommend them. The 1st 3 qualify on a good long-term post-Bye system; a Dog off a L and a Bye. The team L and as a Dog is now supposed to L again; they typically are very focused in their 2 weeks off. The 4th (Saints) is a bet against I call the "Careless Win". This means a team that won despite having 3-plus TO's and more than their opponent. Having W and coming back as a Fav (i.e. supposed to W) they tend not to learn their lesson. New Orleans is now in this situation in B2B weeks. Incidentally, the careless winner as a Dog is a bet ON proposition. Since they're supposed to L, after a TO-filled W they tend to put extra emphasis on taking care of the ball. TW Houston qualifies.
Objective: Chiefs HC Haley has had 2 weeks to work on his O. Ditto for Redskin's new OC Lewis. Redskins fit the Dog off a bogus L system. Bucs the TO turnaround. Poor role for Jaguars who are on 7G ATS L streak as HF with 5 SU L and the 2W in OT. Their pass rush is dead last with 5 sacks TY. 2 big line swings from LY. About 11 pts to TB who W 30-21 here LY @ -1 1/2. And 14 1/2 to Carolina who was also -1 1/2 here in 33-31 W 9G ago. Panthers out-rushed Saints LY 377-165 and had 270 YR LW. PSPR in play for both KC and TB who are 1 pt Favs.
Assessment: A "quad" of semi-big to big Dogs. We'll limit downside risk by Parlaying.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Put them in 2-Team Round Robin Parlays; 1 set $-line and other set with the pts. 1% BR each.	Monitor	That's a total of 12% BR	Best numbers currently @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Army Black Knights @ Air Force Falcons	November 07, 2009	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Great spot for Army in this rivalry G. They're off 15 day break, while Air Force playing 10th straight week.
Objective: Black Knight's with 7 RS from the D that held Falcons to 10 FD and 174 yds in 16-7 LY. Air Force scored on "drives" of 3, 24, 32 and 34 yds. Army had 260 yds on O, but -2 TO. 4th FBS HG for Falcons and in 1st 3 their O scored a total of 39 pts.
Assessment: Given the scheduling, LY boxscore and what looks like a low scoring G, we'll take the almost 6:1 shot.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Army $-line	Why wait?	4% BR	+575 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Kansas Jayhawks @ Kansas St Wildcats	November 07, 2009	10:30 AM Mountain
Subjective: Always have to take a look at a revenging HD in a rivalry G. Given what's happened L6W, surprised to find we have one TG.
Objective: KSU on 5-1 ATS run and put 30 pts on a very good Sooner's D LW. Jayhawks continue to plummet (L L5 ATS) and starting Sr QB Reesing's mobility appears limited by a groin injury. They remain one-dimensional, were even out-rushed by pass-happy TT LW and must face Wildcat's #34 pass D. My numbers have KSU with an almost 2:1 YR edge.
Assessment: If it ain't broke, don't fix it; we'll continue On KSU and Against KU.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Kansas St $-line	Monitor	4% BR	At present I'd sell to -1, +124 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Illinois Fighting Illini @ Minnesota Golden Gophers	November 07, 2009	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Minnesota in good spot LW as they caught Michigan St in LD after last play HL to undefeated Iowa and were up 14 in about a minute (W 42-34). Illinois can still become Bowl eligible by running the table.
Objective: Big line swing from LY Illini -12 1/2 to TY +7. Gophers W despite 550-312 yd deficit. Will take LW 38-13 SU W (as 7 pt HD) with 377 YR that worm has turned for UI. WR Benn could have big day vs Minnesota's #86 pass D, while expect that TW Gophers will feel loss of leading WR Decker. My numbers have the significant Dog with YR edge.
Assessment: After awful start, Illinois now playing up to their potential and they have line value.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Illinois $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+245 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Ohio St Buckeyes @ Penn St Nittany Lions	November 07, 2009	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: At 4-1 in conf., both on heels of Iowa; loser out of Big-10 race. PSU W @ Columbus LY 13-6.
Objective: In that one it was 160-61 YR; think TY we have more of same as Nittany Lion's run D #6 in nation. That puts onus on inconsistent still-learning Buckeye QB Pryor (only 13-9 TD-Int ratio). Not good as PSU D also tied for nation's lead with only 3 TD passes allowed TY. It's November 7 and OSU playing only their 3rd true Away G. After beating 2-6 Indiana, you'll recall they L to Purdue. Much prefer PSU Sr QB Clark who has 18-7 ratio and likely to make better decisions. Line a reasonable mid-SD.
Assessment: We'll take the H team with what looks like the better D and QB.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Penn St	Why wait?	4% BR	-5 everywhere. For Pinnacle guys, I think the 47 cents from that to -7 1/2, +142 is worth it

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Oregon Ducks @ Stanford Cardinal	November 07, 2009	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Oregon played virtually a perfect G LW. Tough to gauge the amount of LD, but it should be significant as they probably spent part of week celebrating. Beware the RRHD.
Objective: Ducks needed a TD with 8 seconds left LY to W 35-28 as 14 pt HF. In Y3 Cardinal HC Harbaugh has a vet squad (17 RS) and they've W 9 of L10 @ H covering all of them. He's already pulled multiple upsets in his tenure. O balance will be key and my numbers have Stanford with at least 200 YR and YP. Their D allowing 15 ppg @ H TY.
Assessment: Good team and situation for upset.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Stanford $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+248 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Calgary @ Saskatchewan	November 07, 2009	5:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Showdown for #1 in West. Only G in Regina TY.
Objective: Giving anything on line risky as 6 of L7 in series decided by a grand total of 12 pts. Action tilted to Riders with OL of -1 now -2. PSPR has it +2. Not envisioning a shootout as it's #1 vs #2 D's on yds/pt. 5 of L7 would have been Under current Total.
Assessment: Line move and series history presents good Teaser opportunity.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Calgary and Under 6-pt Teaser	Monitor	4% BR	Pinnacle still +7 1/2, others +8

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Edmonton @ BC	November 06, 2009	8:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: With both 8-9, winner of TG in playoffs with 3rd in West. Loser will then have to hope for a Winnipeg L on Sunday to back into 3rd in East in cross-over format.
Objective: Surprising OL of H team Lions -3 calling these two about even; I made a Fair Line of -6. BC W L3 in series (all in Edmonton) averaging 39 ppg. They were favored by 5 and 6 in 2G here LY. Hard luck BC off last second and OT L's L2W. PSPR says they're the better team @ -8. Eskimos on 3-6 SU skid and 2 of those W's vs woeful Toronto. Lions not missing a beat behind Printers with 338 YP/G in his two starts vs D's better than Edmonton. BC leads league L5G @ 8.8 YPP. Playoff elimination G's tend to go Over as trailing team never gives up. That fits with series history as L3 averaging 66 ppg.
Assessment: We'll take surprising small HF and their #1 pass O.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
BC and Over Parlay	Monitor, some yet to post	4% BR	Currently I'd take the -3 1/2 and 53 1/2 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Virginia Tech Hokies @ E Carolina Pirates	November 05, 2009	5:45 PM Mountain
Subjective: Rivalry-in-the-making? ECU covered L2Y, including 27-22 SU neutral site W LY. At 5-3 off B2B SU L's as Fav, Hokies possibly looking at a minor Bowl bid. Revenge factor might be being over-rated.
Objective: VT currently laying 4 pts more Away than LY neutral site line of -9 1/2. This one would have been -2 end of LY. Only 3rd true road G for Hokies and they've yet to cover away from H TY. Vet Pirates (16 RS) had two extra days of prep. They've W 9 of L10 SU @ H. My numbers have total yds about even. LY G W by ECU on late 4Q blocked punt TD, but Pirates also had 369-243 yd edge.
Assessment: Solid mid-major conf. H team worth a shot @ >4:1.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
East Carolina $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+415 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Denver @ Baltimore	November 01, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Both off bye; that's even. Ravens off 3L, but we have a 6-0 team as a Dog; calling that about even too.
Objective: Amazingly, the team that is now 6-0 has been favored a grand total of one time TY; -3 @ H vs Cleveland. They've covered all 6 too. Bronco's D still #4 yds/pt, while Baltimore has slipped to a middle-of-the-pack #15. Their big problem is a pass D that's allowing almost 8 YPP; tied for #28 L5W (ahead of Miami/KC/StL/Cleveland). That's the large part of TG being a 273 on YP%. PSPR calls Denver a slim -1 Fav.
Assessment: We'll take the odds and the Total.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Denver $-line & Over Parlay	Monitor, 41 or less would be nice	4% BR	+155 and 41 1/2 everywhere

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Minn-GB, SF-Indy	November 01, 2009	2:15 and 11:00 Mountain
Subjective: Favre Bowl II. 49ers look to play like the 2H LW behind new starting QB Smith.
Objective: L2 270-plus YP% G's of weekend. 1st is highest of Week 8 slate @ 279. L2 in series in 50's including Week 4 TY. In 2nd G, Colts have #2 O and have scored minimum of 27 with an average of 33 ppg L5G. Both OT's have slid to or through key numbers.
Assessment: Both look like Overs.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
I'm going to Parlay them	Why wait?	4% BR	47 and 44 1/2 most places

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Carolina @ Arizona	November 01, 2009	2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective: One situation I look at is to bet on a Dog off a bogus L. Another is to bet against a Fav off a bogus W. Here I think we have both.
Objective: LW Panthers out-yarded Buffalo 425-167 and held them to 9 FD but were -4 TO in a 20-9 L. The Cardinals were out-gained by the Giants but got 4 TO (+2 margin) in their SNF upset W. Certainly a tale of two teams since a fateful kickoff in Charlotte this January as Arizona almost W SB and Carolina 2-5 SU. Including that G, the Panthers are on a -19 TO margin tear. No surprise they qualify for my TO turnaround system. Will they circle the wagons here or does Jake really just suck? In any event, forget for a moment which two teams are playing here and imagine it's simply Team A vs Team B. I will tell you that Team A L LY @ H in the playoffs and the rematch is this Sunday. The venue has changed and now Team B is home. However, the "price" for them has moved 20 pts (+10 AD to -10 HF). Which team has better value?
Assessment: Can the Cardinals cover this spread? Of course, it's football and sh*t happens. Are they a bargain? Hardly.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Carolina $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+420 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Houston @ Buffalo	November 01, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Houston looking to set franchise history for best record mid-season. Flip side of Carolina LW was the Bills who are now off B2B bogus W's.
Objective: LW they got 17 pts off "drives" totaling 50 yds. The week before they allowed 318 YR and still W. Their O has only 53 pts over L5G. Texans W 3 of L4 and almost forced OT in the 4th. Looks like they have shaken their rep as a poor road team as that near miss made them 2-1 SU Away. Their D improving and Bill's O only #28. After almost blowing 21-0 lead @ H LW, have to think if they get one here they won't let up.
Assessment: Hard to foresee Bill's incredible luck continuing vs a balanced team with some road confidence.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Houston	Monitor	4% BR	Line down from -3 1/2; at present I'd sell to -5, +129 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	NY Giants @ Philadelphia	November 01, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Another case of bogus loser vs bogus winner. Double revenge for G-men who L @ H in Week 14 and again in playoffs LY. HFA almost non-existent between these division rivals as Away team on 4G W streak.
Objective: Eagles with only 11 FD on MNF. They got 2 big play TD's from WR Jackson and 13 pts off +4 TO's. Philly's W's now over teams a collective 5-22 SU, they L @ Oakland and were waxed by the only good team they've played (New Orleans 48-22). Their O looking too one-dimensional @ 75% YP and they may be without Westbrook. Despite playing the high-powered pass O's of Arizona and New Orleans L2W, Giant's only allowing 5.7 YPP. PSPR makes NY a 3 1/2 pt Fav and they have a big difference of 4 on my TO turnaround system.
Assessment: Think all that adds up to a Giant's W.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
NY Giants	Why wait?	4% BR	I would sell to -2 1/2 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Seattle @ Dallas	November 01, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Rematch of a 34-9 Cowboy's W here LY. Beat-up Seahawks (#2 in injuries 2008) were on 4G L streak and had to play on 3 days rest on Thanksgiving night. TY they've got 2 full weeks and are off a blowout HL. Potential sandwich G for Dallas; off blowout W over Atlanta and huge revenge G @ Philly on SNF next week.
Objective: Off their bye, Seattle probably as healthy as they've been all year. Despite TY injuries D only allowed one 100 YR G. Cowboys inconsistent (as usual?) and it took post-bye scenario LW to get their 1st W vs .500-plus opposition. The other 3 were vs TB, KC and with +3 TO vs Carolina. All of Seahawk's L's to teams at least .500 and in two of them without Hasselbeck. Things look Over-ish with a YP% of 273.
Assessment: A number of small edges add up to potential upset.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Seattle $-line and Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+385 and 46 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Mississippi St Bulldogs @ Kentucky Wildcats	October 31, 2009	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Edge to small HF @ night on homecoming. Tough to imagine Bulldogs getting back up for this one after all-out failed upset bid for new HC (and ex-OC of Florida) @ H LW vs Gators.
Objective: 29-19 score flattered them somewhat as all but 6 of their pts came on pick-sixes and they were out-rushed 249-92. MSU on road after 4 of L5H. After expected B2B L's vs #1 Florida and #2 Alabama, UK on 3G ATS W streak including near-miss @ S Carolina and W @ Auburn. That despite loss of their #1 QB. They've done it on the ground with 224 YR/G. Wildcats W @ Starkville LY and should well remember 31-14 HL as -14 in 2007.
Assessment: Expect Kentucky run O success to continue and hard for Bulldogs to not be somewhat deflated after LW.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Kentucky	Monitor	4% BR	Currently -3 1/2, off a bit from OL of -4. Sell @ Pinnacle if no -3

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Wyoming Cowboys @ Utah Utes	October 31, 2009	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Shapes up as a good spot for Cowboys who are coming off a bye and have had this one circled since LY. Although 6-1 SU, @ 2-5 ATS these Utes are not at the same level as the 13-0 team of 2008.
Objective: Despite being out-FD'd 43-22 and out-yarded 645-594 they're off B2B MLF W's. Wyoming 4-3 SU so far, with W's 3 of L4 and looking significantly improved. Only L's @ Colorado and Air Force and vs Texas. LY their D (8 RS) held a better Utah team to 242 total yds. However, G was a 40-7 Ute W with +5 TO, a pick-six and blocked punt TD. Cowboys still out-rushed Utah 184-123.
Assessment: Utah's 6-1 TY looking smoke 'n mirrors and given Wyoming off bye with solid D upset a decent possibility.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Wyoming $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+700 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Midd Tenn St Blue Raiders @ Florida Atlantic Owls	October 31, 2009	2:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Both 2-1 in league play and still in running for Sun Belt title. Owls have had this one circled since LY.
Objective: They had a 363-323 yd edge despite -3 TO and dominated for 3 1/2Q. After one late 4Q TD, MTSU got another on a 32 yd Hail Mary on 4th and 6 to W 14-13 as time expired. Owls often start slow with a tough non-conf slate and no exception TY with L's @ Nebraska and S Carolina. Since then it's 2-2 (2 2-pt L's) and O kicking in with 25, 28, 44 and 51 pts with > 500 yds L2G. FAU gets the nod @ QB with Sr Smith.
Assessment: Looks like emotional edge and better O for tiny HF.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Florida Atlantic	Why wait?	4% BR	I'd sell to -4, +143 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Kansas Jayhawks @ Texas Tech Red Raiderss	October 31, 2009	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: KU looking to avenge a 63-21 HL LY. Off 3 straight blowout W's TT got a little full of themselves and L LW by 22 as a 21 1/2 pt HF.
Objective: Not surprisingly, their HC ripped his players (and himself?). Will the Red Raiders bounce back? If past history is any guide, probably, as they're 21-12 ATS off a SU L since 2000 under Leach. GBP says no taking OL of -7 1/2 through 7 to -6 1/2. End of LY this line would have been -13. LW TT L dropped the Big-12 South to 6-2 vs North TY (only other L by Baylor with #2 QB). Average margin of victory in the 6W is 28 pts. Jayhawks on 4G ATS L streak.
Assessment: We'll continue to fade them vs a better and embarrassed H team.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Texas Tech	Why wait?	4% BR	Safer to simply take < -7 now

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	USC Trojans @ Oregon Ducks	October 31, 2009	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: A Duck's W gives them the inside track to the PAC-10 title. Trojans need a W to pull even @ 4-1 in conf play. With this a night national TV G, Oregon fans will definitely rock the "Wok" *. * - nickname credit to my friend "Beeker"
Objective: UO on 6G W streak (covered L5) since the debacle @ Boise. Except for TY vs Cal (a 42-3 W), this will be their 2nd time as a HD L6Y. LY USC went for 443 YP @ H, but TY Oregon comes in with the #5 pass efficiency D. As the O's have gotten better, some cracks appearing in Trojan's D; 63 pts against L2G. USC on 1-5 ATS skid. My numbers give the Quack Attack the YR and total yds edges.
Assessment: We'll take the odds on the rare HD.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Oregon $-line	Why wait?	4% BR	+139 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Calgary @ BC	October 31, 2009	8:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Both still with a shot at 1st in West. Regardless of what happens the rest of the weekend, Calgary would still need to beat Saskatchewan next week and BC makes playoffs with a W here over Edmonton.
Objective: Can't ignore Stamps 6G series W streak. However, PSPR has Lions -6. That despite 4 of L5 Away, including L3. BC D has allowed 14, 10 and 5 pts L3 HG and is on 6G H Under streak. Calgary 2-5 ATS Away and L L3 as AF.
Assessment: We'll go with the PSPR on the small HD and ride BC's D.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
BC $-line and Under Parlay	Why wait?	4% BR	53 everywhere with $-line pending

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	W Virginia Mountaineers @ S Florida Bulls	October 30, 2009	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Bulls back H and on 0-2 skid after 5-0 start. WVU got a late TD and then a pick LW to survive UConn in 28-24 MLF W.
Objective: +2 TO helped as their D allowed > 500 yds. USF W 2 and covered L3 in series. Only L a 13-7 MLF LY; 356-280 yds, but -2 TO. Good match-up for Bull's D which has held Mountaineer's O to 153 YR/G L3Y (117/G below their average). They're a rare HD again. Although they L earlier TY in that role, there were numerous big plays that went against them and they were burned by a running QB for whom they didn't prep.
Assessment: We'll take the HD that has a track record of defending the WVU O well.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
S Florida $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+143 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Toronto @ Edmonton	October 30, 2009	7:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: 2nd chance in spoiler role for Argos who did not fare well LW. Eskimos able to W 2 weeks ago in Toronto.
Objective: PSPR of -6 1/2 calls the line of a TD about right. Tough to lay much with Edmonton who are 1-6 ATS TY as HF. They dumped their OC @ 5-4 and have gone 2-5 SU since. In fact, they've slipped to #7 in league on O YPP; Toronto is last. Those are not Over-ish stats. A L tonight and Argos can finish a perfect 0-8 vs West.
Assessment: Odds are they get it and I don't envision a shootout.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Edmonton and Under 6-pt Teaser	Why wait?	4% BR	-1 and 55 1/2 for 1:1 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	San Diego @ Kansas City	October 25, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Chiefs with a little momentum off 1st W. Chargers on short week looking to right the ship after MNF L.
Objective: Their post-bye effort could not be sustained and they were out-scored 17-3 2H. Problems continue @ LOS evidenced by being out-rushed every G TY. Always wary of laying points in divisional G's, especially on the road. KC on 7-1-1 ATS run as divisional HD L7Y. They can hold their own here and L each G in series LY by single pt. They'll remember the Week 15 2nd one in which they had a 21-3 lead yet L 22-21 and missed last play G winning FG. Chargers D #29 yds/pt and PSPR makes them a Dog of +4 1/2. G also qualifies for an Over with a 270 YP%.
Assessment: Given the stats, PSPR says SD doesn't warrant their divisional AF status.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Kansas City $-line and Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	Current best of +203 and 44, -105 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Green Bay @ Cleveland	October 25, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Edge Browns back H after another L to Pittsburgh. Packers off blowout divisional W and may be looking ahead a bit to next week's re-match with Minnesota.
Objective: They're in the unusual role of big AF. They've laid > TD once L5Y; a 35-7 L @ Chicago in 2007. Browns W L3 ATS and despite playing 4 of L5 Away PSPR makes them a 3 1/2 pt Fav. They had success LY as an inter-conference Dog beating the Giants outright and losing 10-6 on a 4Q fumble return TD to Indy. Browns have my #5 D yds/pt and their 5L include 2 to undefeated teams, 1 to SB Champs and 1 in OT. They also qualify on my TO Turnaround system. Doesn't look as though flu an issue.
Assessment: Based on PSPR, scheduling and point spread roles giving Browns a shot @ upset.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Cleveland $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+330 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	San Francisco @ Houston	October 25, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: One of the best Bye-related systems is to take a Dog off a L and a Bye. 49ers have had 2 weeks to stew over their 45-10 H blowout L. Only HG in 5 week span for Texans who LW caught Bengals in post-Baltimore/win-one-for-coach's-wife LD.
Objective: SF already has a W @ Arizona and a shoulda-won @ Minnesota in their 2 Away G's. Houston only 1-2 SU as HF TY. Think 49er's CB's can at least contain Houston's WR's. Under Singletary SF is 4-0 SU off a SU L since LY Bye. PSPR makes them a slim 1/2 pt Fav. Looks like an Over with YP% of 277.
Assessment: Emotional and PSPR edges to San Francisco.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
San Francisco $-line and Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+154 and 44, -105 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Indy-St L, Chi-Cin, Minn-Pitt, Ari-NYG	October 25, 2009	2 early, 1 aft., SNF
Subjective: Colts off Bye, Bears/Bengals both off L, Minny undefeated, Giants off blowout l.
Objective: All 4 are >270 on YP%, ranging from 273 to 287.
Assessment: Another set of Overs.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Put them in 2-Team Round Robin Parlay	Monitor	1.5% BR each for total of 9%	Take the best combo

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	New England vs Tampa Bay in London	October 25, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: With Patriots off a blowout W and a 2 TD-plus neutral site Fav and Buccaneers winless, must give the edge to Tampa Bay. L2Y two other veteran teams did not play well here as San Diego L as Fav and NY Giants eked out a 3-pt W vs eventual 1-15 Miami.
Objective: New England obviously not as good as 59-0. Once Titans got down in the snow, they seemed to roll over. Pats still with a number of new starters on D and perhaps a little ominous Tennessee was able to get 193 YR with a total lack of a pass O (-7 YP). Pats have only out-rushed 1 team TY and are 0-2 SU Away from Foxboro. Tampa Bay QB Johnson better than expected and dangerous with his legs. I think this lack of parity thing is not as bad as the GBP thinks.
Assessment: Bucs have the emotional edge as a huge Dog and all the quirks of this G are mitigating factors. It's a good chance for them to play their 1st complete G.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Tampa Bay $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+740 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Boston College Eagles @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish	October 24, 2009	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: No LD for Irish who've L L6 in "Catholic Bowl".
Objective: LY they were shutout 17-0 despite a 292-246 yd edge due to -5 TO including a pick-six. Chances of a repeat slim-to-none after LW 27 pt, 27 FD and 367 yds vs USC. Trojans #8 vs pass while Eagles #71. BC 5-0 @ H by total score of 175-72 and 0-2 Away by 73-21. GBP apparently impressed by LW blowout of NC St (OL of +9 1/2 now +7 1/2) although that was all on the ground with 293-79 YR. Don't believe they'll be able to run like that vs ND.
Assessment: Eagles not the same on the road and Irish QB Clausen should have another good day.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Notre Dame	Monitor	4% BR	If no -7 I'd sell to -9 1/2

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Tennessee Volunteers @ Alabama Crimson Tide	October 24, 2009	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Situation favors Vols coming off bye while Tide playing 8th straight with perhaps some LA to their bye next week. They might be little over-confident due to LY 29-9 W and TW promotion to #1 in AP poll.
Objective: 'Bama off sloppy 4 TO non-cover. Their O starting to look one-dimensional with QB McElroy only 26 of 55 for 246 (4.5 YPP) vs tougher D's L2W. Tennessee had nation's #3 D LY and the Kiffen father-son duo has had 2 weeks to prep them and they held Florida to 23 earlier TY. Vols 4-0 SU off bye L3Y.
Assessment: A half-decent G from QB Crompton who's 285 YP/G L2 (vs Auburn and Georgia) and who knows?
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Tennessee $-line	Why wait?	4% BR	+465 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Oklahoma Sooners @ Kansas Jayhawks	October 24, 2009	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Hard luck Sooners easily the best .500 team in the country. Without the Bradford re-injury they probably upset Texas LW. Have to believe they wanna take their frustrations out on somebody.
Objective: KU looks like a good candidate. Their weak schedule was exposed LW @ Colorado although some 4th down gambles and takeaways made us sweat. Strength vs strength as both have high level pass O's. Big difference is on D as OU has faced the nation's #2 and #4 slates of pass O's and scoring O's respectively and still ranks #9 in pass D (Jayhawks #64).
Assessment: Think Sooners have the O to get and the D to hold this margin.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Oklahoma	Monitor	4% BR	If no -7 sell to -9 1/2

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	TCU Horned Frogs @ BYU Cougars	October 24, 2009	5:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: We bet against BYU LW in anticipation of LA to this GOY. Cougars looking to avenge a 32-7 L that was their worst since 2005 and ruined any BCS aspirations.
Objective: Tables turned TY with Horned Frogs @ 6-0. Their secondary still solid and has 3 of the 4 RS on D. The F7 may be down a notch. TCU already has 2 near-miss L's in L2 AG (4 and 3 pt W's). BYU a HD for 1st time since 2005. D was at its best in G1 vs Oklahoma and a bit under-the-radar since allowing mainly garbage points.
Assessment: I like the turnaround TY of BYU as HD playing hunter with TCU the hunted.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
BYU $-line	Monitor	4% BR	At present you could also sell to -1, +126

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Auburn Tigers @ LSU Tigers	October 24, 2009	5:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Auburn playing 8th straight. Under HC Miles LSU 6-2 off bye and 10-1 off a SU L.
Objective: Some cracks showing in Auburn D what with 282 and 221 YR allowed L2W; their 1st 2L of season. Despite that, GBP looking to grab pts as OL down from -11 to 7 1/2. LSU's O not lighting it up, but they've faced a schedule of D's that rank #1, #10 and #7 in pass, run and scoring respectively. Auburn only 21 ppg L3W compared to 45 ppg 1st 4. LSU did hold Florida to only 13 in their LG.
Assessment: Auburn still looking a little over-rated and good situation for LSU as SD Fav off bye and HL.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
LSU	Monitor	4% BR	Babysit for a -7 or better and if not sell to -9 1/2

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Texas Longhorns @ Missouri Tigers	October 24, 2009	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Clash of fortunes with UT coming back vs a 2nd string QB and Mizzou off B2B MLF's. GOY for Tigers on national TV for homecoming.
Objective: In LHG Missouri blew 12-0 lead in TO-fueled 4Q collapse. LW it was 393-351 total yds @ Okla St, but -4 TO's. Tigers 19-3 SU @ H L4Y and a DD HD for 1st time since 2005. Longhorn O and/or D not quite doing enough with only 1 cover TY. Tigers have 6W over ranked teams L2Y.
Assessment: Lot of points/odds to be giving a capable Tier 2 team with big HFA.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Missouri $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+400 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Boise St Broncos @ Hawaii Warriors	October 24, 2009	9:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Broncos continue BCS-busting quest. GOY for Hawaii.
Objective: BSU far from a juggernaut L2G in non-covers vs FCS UC-Davis and @ Tulsa. UH has covered L4 in series including a SU W here in 2007. LY made it B2B that Warrior's only allowed 27 pts. In fact in 2008 it was 10-7 Broncos after 1H and their remaining pts all came off TO's. Lights may have go on LW in start #2 for back-up QB Moniz; 31 of 45 for 367 @ 6-1 Idaho. Travel a significant factor in Hawaii's 2-4 record. Boise St laying more Away than they did LY @ H.
Assessment: Huge odds and series history make big HD worth a shot.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Hawaii $-line	Why wait?	4% BR	+1250 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Montreal @ Winnipeg	October 24, 2009	12:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Tough call here what with Winnipeg now a half G out of playoffs and Montreal biding their time until they begin. Alouettes have kept bringing it despite locking up the #1 seed weeks ago until a poor D effort LW. Think they'll bounce back, and even more so if questionable QB Calvillo does not play.
Objective: GBP not seeing it that way with OL of -6 now 3 1/2 (3 1/2 pts less than LG here). PSPR of -6 says line was right initially. Series score 72-26 TY. Bombers blew a 14-0 1Q lead vs a 3rd string QB LW. Despite allowing 38 pts LW, Montreal has the league's #1 D by 134 pts.
Assessment: Whether it's Calvillo and/or MacPherson, that D likely to re-focus for this one.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Montreal and Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	-3 1/2 and 48 everywhere

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	BC @ Saskatchewan	October 24, 2009	3:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: More QB question marks here as BC goes back to the future with current 4th-stringer but prior 2004 league Most Outstanding Player Casey Printers. Winner a leg up in hosting at least 1 playoff G.
Objective: Lions arguably the hottest team in the league since their bye; 5-2 SU (only L's to Montreal/Calgary) and 6-1 ATS (only non-cover by 1 pt) with D allowing only 19 ppg. Nice O display by Riders LW who are 4-2-1 SU same span. However, 5 of those 7G (2 Winnipeg, 2 Edmonton, 1 Toronto) vs league's 3 worst teams. Riders currently laying 7 (OL -5 1/2) which is an 8 pt line swing from LG here. BC has W 5 of L6 in series SU and had 7 TO's in the only L. The LOS has been 392-202 YR the Lion's way in the 3G TY. Finally, PSPR makes it BC -4 1/2.
Assessment: Seems the value's in BC and expecting a simplified playbook for the new QB.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
BC $-line and Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	$-lines yet to be posted, but we should be able to get +250-ish at least

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	North Texas Mean Green @ Troy Trojans	October 23, 2009	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Hard trying NT off B2B 4 pt L's. Perhaps some LA from Troy who W 45-17 LY, are probably gonna face a #2 QB (Dodge doubtful) and have a showdown with the conference's only other undefeated team UL-Monroe next week.
Objective: Mean Green O averaging 480 yds in their 2G post-bye including 253 YR/G. Although nothing special, their D does have 9 RS. Troy D lost 1st and 2nd team Sun Belt conference safeties and a CB to graduation and have now lost 3 more CB's to injury TY.
Assessment: Could be a lot of pts/odds for a possibly unfocused team to be laying.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
North Texas $-line	Why wait?	4% BR	+850 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Tulane Green Wave @ S Miss Golden Eagles	October 23, 2009	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Bit of a sandwich G for S Miss as big Fav on homecoming with big G @ Houston next week. Their focus ? as teams have not played since 2006. Green Wave off B2B MLF's.
Objective: They simply need to turn their yards into points. It was 437 vs Houston LW (trailed only 9-6 after 1H) and 404 but 4 TO vs Marshall the week before. Also encouraged by 188 YR/G. Off 3 SU L's (L2 as Fav), Golden Eagles off MLF themselves; a 36-16 W getting out-yarded 425-360. Their O not quite getting the job done since loss of starting QB Davis. Tulane got us an upset already TY.
Assessment: At 8.5:1 giving them another opportunity.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Tulane $-line	Why wait?	4% BR	+850 everywhere

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Hamilton @ Toronto	October 23, 2009	5:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Obviously important G for Hamilton who are tied with Winnipeg for 2nd in East. Toronto officially out of playoffs, but with pressure now off and facing their biggest rival @ H, doubt they roll over.
Objective: TG looks like lesser of 2 evils. Ti-cats trying not to blow a 4-2 start as they're on 2-7 run. Will cut them a little slack as 4 of L5 were vs either Montreal or Calgary. Still, want no part of laying 4 1/2 on a team that's L L6 Away. Argos worse with L in 10 of L11, although the 1 W was here in OT vs Hamilton. These type of games tend to go Over as the team with nothing to lose is full of 3rd down gambles and other chicanery.
Assessment: Hopefully for our Futures bet Hamilton gets the W, but it probably won't be easy.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Toronto and Over 6-Pt Teaser	Monitor	4% BR	Not as big a point in the CFL, but I'd go with the +10 1/2 somewhere other than Pinnacle where that will probably take a 7-Pt Teaser @ -120

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Edmonton @ Calgary	October 23, 2009	8:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Edmonton with tenuous 1G lead for cross-over playoff berth. Calgary neck-and-neck with Saskatchewan for playoff bye, but must go there in week 19.
Objective: Edmonton put a stop to a 1-5 slide with LW W; although it was only a 3-pt non-cover @ Toronto. Stamps may have put an end to their O's woes LW after a 4G 15 ppg stretch. Those L5G have the PSPR @ Eskimos -1/2. Stamps have had no problem scoring on their provincial rival TY with 35, 32 and 35 pts. Current Total of 55 lower than L5G in series. Calgary only 3-5 ATS as HF TY.
Assessment: Despite the PSPR, think match-ups favor Stamps and they're the better team.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Calgary and Over 6-pt Teaser	Why wait?	4% BR	Pick 'em and 49 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Denver @ San Diego	October 19, 2009	6:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Little doubt we get the "A" game of both. Broncos looking to avenge LY Week 17 52-21 blowout L here that kept them out of playoffs. Chargers off bye and only 2-2.
Objective: Their W's over Oakland and vs Miami who L their QB. S.D. losing @ LOS big time; yet to run for 100 yds (54 YR/G) or keep an opponent under it (151 YR/G allowed). Denver the opposite with 155 YR/G vs 80 YR/G allowed. Broncos again TW have my #1 D (Chargers #28) and yet again are a Dog; 5th out of 6G TY. PSPR makes them a 9 pt Fav.
Assessment: We'll take the odds on what statistically is the better team.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Denver $-line	Why wait?	4% BR	+160 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Kansas City @ Washington	October 18, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: A pair of struggling teams, each with only 1 cover TY.
Objective: When TG kicks off the Redskins will break a record that has stood since 1954; for the easiest start to a season. This will be their 6th consecutive G vs an opponent without a W. Their 2 HW's by 2 and 3 pts are over teams that are now a combined 0-10 SU. That's why the PSPR factors in strength of schedule. With their raw ratings basically the same (-8.5 and -8) after adjusting with AFD/HFA and then opponent's ratings, we have KC a 4 pt PSPR Fav getting +6.
Assessment: L3 weeks they've had to run the NFC East gauntlet and this seems easily their best chance at a W.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Kansas City $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+224 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	St Louis @ Jacksonville	October 18, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Both teams L LW, I lean to the one off the MLF.
Objective: That would be the Rams who had 27 FD and 400 yds of O. They were killed by an early fumble return TD and then 3 TO's inside the Viking's 10-yd line. A great long-term NFL system is to bet against a team that's favored off being shutout. The rationale being that if they couldn't score at all, how are they going to score more than somebody else? Jags on a 0-6 ATS run as a HF (5 outright L's and an OT W).
Assessment: Doesn't look like they warrant laying almost DD here.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
St Louis $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+400 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Bal-Min, Phi-Oak, Ten-N.E., Chi-Atl	October 18, 2009	1 early, 2 aft., SNF
Subjective: Showdown in Minny, Raiders H off blowout L, Pats want to avoid going 3-3 and nice SNF match-up.
Objective: All but the Philly G are YP% Overs. Cannot bring myself to bet Oakland and to me the jury's out on Philly who has beaten teams a collective 1-13 and getting waxed by New Orleans. They have my #30 D with Raiders @ #26. Ravens-Vikings are #10 and #1 O's yds/pt. Titans have the #31 D and rookies in the secondary vs Brady & Co. Bears and Falcons #2 and #5 on O.
Assessment: 4 Overs to parlay
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Put them in 2-Team Round Robin Parlay	Monitor	1.5% BR each for total of 9%	46, 40 1/2, 40 and 45 1/2 respectively (getting < 41 in those middle two is the most important)

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Arizona @ Seattle	October 18, 2009	2:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Edge Seahawks who were swept by Cardinals LY with QB Hasselbeck missing both.
Objective: They righted the ship in a big way behind him LW. Should be lotsa footballs in the air what with Arizona gaining and allowing 83% and 81% YP respectively. Averaging 57 YR/G, will they even bother to run? Add in Seattle's YP% numbers and we have a YP% of 299 with all 4 above 65%; that's the highest number I can remember. Hard luck on our Overs in G's involving these two LW as if a 4th and goal from the one in each goes the other way we W both. PSPR gives Seattle a decent edge at -6 1/2. Liking the match-up of Seahawk's WR's vs Cardinals secondary.
Assessment: Stats point to a high scoring Seattle W.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Seattle and Over Parlay	Monitor closely	4% BR	-3, +100 and 46 1/2 may be the best we can get

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Detroit @ Green Bay	October 18, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Packers off bye but it's not a scenario (HF off L) that's been a long term winner. Lions still hard-trying and will give them the edge as it was Green Bay that sealed their 0-16 season in Week 17 here LY.
Objective: You'd have to agree that Detroit is improved, so surprised to see the Pack currently laying a FG more than in that one. A lot to lay with a #25 D allowing 22 ppg. Lions @ 1-4 SU but have lost to teams that are a collective 15-3. They're getting 2 TD's but PSPR makes them only +1. They also qualify on my TO Turnaround system. Total is an Over on 3 separate systems including the reliable YP%.
Assessment: We'll go-big-or-go-home on this one risking our 1 unit @ about 15:1 with a parlay.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Detroit $-line and Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+675 and 48 @ CRIS (may not be available @ Pinnacle)

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Oklahoma Sooners vs Texas Longhorns in Dallas	October 17, 2009	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Saddled with 2L, Sooner's goal has been down-graded. #3 Longhorns with more to lose.
Objective: Decent-sized line swing from what it would have been @ end of LY (OU -4) and from LY's actual line (OU -6 1/2) to UT -3. Sooner's led 21-10 until MLB Reynolds went down mid-3Q. QB Bradford solid LW in 1st post-injury G. Texas struggled a bit in post-bye non-cover @ H vs Colorado. QB'ing looks to be a wash. Longhorns get the nod on O, but it's Sooner's on D.
Assessment: Combo of some line value, better D, a little revenge and odds make OU the play.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Oklahoma $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+135 multiple places

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	BYU Cougars @ San Diego St Aztecs	October 17, 2009	4:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: It's starting to be the time of year when we take a hard look at the RRHD; Aztecs qualify. Off a blowout W, with TCU on deck (L LY 32-7) and LY score in this one of 41-12 might get some LA from Cougars.
Objective: SDSU off 2 covers and 2-0 @ H; although not much for competition. Away L @ now 5-1 Idaho not looking as bad and their D held Air Force to only 12 pts (no TD). Aztecs did out-rush BYU LY and it was 4.3 vs 2.8 YPC. A few holes in Cougar's D lately; 29 ppg allowed L4G.
Assessment: At > 6:1, we'll take a shot.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
San Diego St $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+650 multiple places

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Stanford Cardinal @ Arizona Wildcats	October 17, 2009	5:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Edge Wildcats who L in last minute LY and are off big MLF L LW.
Objective: Despite 26-14 FD and 461-256 yd edges, a late 4Q pass which bounced off a WR's foot gave "U-Dub" a pick-six and 3 pt W. OL of -6 1/2 now only 4. The Cardinal are run-dependent, but will have to go against an Arizona DL that returns its entire 2-deep. Significant advantage to Wildcat's pass D as well; #26 vs #65. Stanford D 15 ppg H and 31 ppg Away.
Assessment: Neither wants their 2nd PAC-10 L, but Arizona is the better team and only a small Fav.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Arizona	Monitor	4% BR	At present I'd sell to the original -6 1/2 that's now for +128

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	USC Trojans @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish	October 17, 2009	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: GOY in South Bend with both off bye.
Objective: Believe the week off more valuable to the Irish as some injured O play makers are close to 100%. Not the least of which is QB Clausen. He had a 41 YP, 2 Int performance in this TG LY and TY is on a pace to break the NCAA record for passer efficiency rating. This is the best O that the Trojan's youngish D (3 RS) has seen TY. USC O that averaged 38 ppg LY only scoring 22 ppg L4G with an 18 and a 13 before a 30 @ disappointing Cal.
Assessment: We'll take the relatively big HD with great QB'ing.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Notre Dame $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+325 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Texas A&M Aggies @ Kansas St Wildcats	October 17, 2009	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Rematch of LY 44-30 KSU W; their only one on the road for the season.
Objective: They were -3 in that one, so a significant line swing to Wildcats +6. Lines maker obligated to do something after their 66-14 spanking @ Texas Tech. Wildcats night-and-day Home-and-Away; 20-9 vs 4-19 SU 2005 to the present. Mid-October and this is Aggies 1st true AG and they're an AF for only 2nd time since 2006. These two both look mediocre and G is probably a toss up.
Assessment: I'm OK with about 2:1 on a team that plays much better @ H.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Kansas St $-line	Monitor	4% BR	Current best +200 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Kansas Jayhawks @ Colorado Buffaloes	October 17, 2009	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Geez, no nepotism in Boulder! HC Hawkins benches QB (and son) Hawkins to try and spark team. I think they'll respond.
Objective: This line of +10 probably based on SU records of the 2 teams; 5-0 @ 1-4. I cannot find the last time KU was a conf AF of this magnitude. They've been dodging bullets @ H lately with narrow escapes vs S Miss and Iowa St.; 32 ppg allowed. After disappointing 0-2 start, CU responded with H shutout and covers @ W Virginia and Texas (holding Longhorns to 46 YR and 313 total). Jayhawks too one-dimensional to the pass and their D is mediocre. Buffs 15-5 SU @ H vs Big-12 North since 2001.
Assessment: Looks like over-rated @ under-rated with a DD HD.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Colorado $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+320 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Ohio St Buckeyes @ Purdue Boilermakers	October 17, 2009	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Only 2nd AG for Buckeyes, GOY for Purdue.
Objective: MLF hat-trick has me looking at Boilermakers. LY their slightly less experienced D held OSU to 222 yds, 14 FD and no O TD in 16-3 L. LW Buckeyes out-gained 368-184 (87 YP) but got a kickoff return TD and 2 pick-sixes. Purdue gave up 2 and 30 yd TD drives off TO's, another off a 7 yd punt and had a 10 pt swing with a blocked FG return TD. Their now #30 pass D held Minnesota to 74 YP. Expecting Boilermakers to stack line to stop the run and rely on that pass D behind them. While only 1-5 SU they have 2 and 3 pt L's (to Oregon and Notre Dame) and 2 others by 3 and 7 pts.
Assessment: Hard to foresee a blowout and with a little good fortune upset a possibility.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Purdue $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+425 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Saskatchewan @ Calgary	October 17, 2009	1:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Game on for 1st in West.
Objective: McMahon practically a neutral site for this one as crowd likely about 60-40 Red-Green. Riders have W 4 of L6 here SU. Will call D's about even @ #2 vs #3 yds/pt. Not so with O's as Stamps stru-ggl-ing. It's #1 @ #7. PSPR makes Saskatchewan a 2 1/2 pt Fav. A little surprised to see the Total in mid-50's. Stamps D has only allowed 40 pts overall in L3 HG.
Assessment: Gotta go with the PSPR and this could be a defensive battle.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Saskatchewan $-line and Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+150 and 53 1/2

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Cincinnati Bearcats @ S Florida Bulls	October 15, 2009	5:45 PM Mountain
Subjective: A good one for ESPN with #8 @ #21. Battle of only 2 remaining unbeatens in Big East. Slight edge Bulls as relatively rare HD.
Objective: They're 3-0 ATS (2-1 SU) in that role L3Y. No stranger to the upset either having W L4 SU vs Top 25 opposition L3Y. Interesting game-within-a-game as Bearcat's fired DC Tresey now in same capacity @ USF. No doubt he has spent part of bye week outlining Cincy's weaknesses on D. Bearcat's stop unit has been on field for 65 of the 90 minutes L2G, getting out-FD'd 48-36 and allowing 290 YR to Fresno St @ H. Best unit in TG appears to be Bull's DL. USF should be able to play keep away and can limit Cincy's big pass plays.
Assessment: Think the value is on the proven HD that has the better D and some inside knowledge about the opposing D.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
S Florida $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+135 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	NY Jets @ Miami	October 12, 2009	6:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Jets off L while Dolphins off blowout HW. Miami got expected big effort in G1 for back-up Henne; most typically teams have some LD in G2.
Objective: Miami the most one-dimensional team to the run in the NFL by far @ 57% of total yds (Jets #2 with 44%). Their season-high TY is 164 YP in a G. Stop the run, you probably stop Miami. Jet's new HC Ryan able to do just that with his D schemes (21 for 52 YR) in 27-9 Baltimore playoff W here LY. On the other hand, N.Y. allowing only 177 YP/G despite playing a schedule that's included LY's #1, #3 and #12 pass O's. LW a semi-MLF for them as it was 10-10 between the O's with Saints getting 2 D TD's. Miami QB Henne only threw for 86 yds LW. Expect Jet's QB Sanchez to rebound from LW vs a Miami D ranked #31 in YPP.
Assessment: Seems the match-ups favoring the small AF.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
NY Jets	Why wait?	4% BR	At present, I'd take -3, +110 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Winnipeg @ Hamilton	October 12, 2009	2:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Resurgent Winnipeg now on heels of Hamilton. A Ti-Cat's W gives them a 2G lead and the tie-breaker edge and virtually clinches 2nd in East.
Objective: They W G1 here 25-13 and their D only allowed 6 pts. However, they move from 1 1/2 pt HD to 6 pt HF. PSPR makes them -3 1/2. Bombers have covered 4 of 6 as AD. Clear Totals patterns with both; Winnipeg 6-1 Under Away, Hamilton 6-1 Under Home.
Assessment: Hamilton the better team in what looks to be a lower scoring G.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Hamilton and Under 6-pt Teaser	Monitor	4% BR	Pick 'em and 53 is 1:1 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Calgary @ Montreal	October 12, 2009	11:05 AM Mountain
Subjective: Edge to Calgary looking to stay one step ahead of Saskatchewan for 1st in West and avenge Week 1 HL. Montreal has already locked up East's #1 seed.
Objective: They may sit star RB Cobourne. G pits #1 @ #2 D's by yds/pt. 13-plus pt line swing from Week 1 with Stamps -7 1/2 to +6; the most pts they've been given in at least 2Y. It's also a 5 pt line move from LY Grey Cup. Montreal had the emotional edge G1 TY as loser of that G and caught Calgary with multiple personnel changes on a D still a work-in-progress. Starting Week 3, Stamps are 8-3 SU with their 3L by total of 11 pts. They're 2-1 ATS with 2 SU W's as AD TY.
Assessment: Their D should play better than G1 and hard to see them getting blown out in G that means more to them.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Calgary $-line and Under Parlay	Why wait?	4% BR	+205 and 51 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	New England @ Denver	October 11, 2009	2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective: New Bronco's HC McDaniels hosts mentor Belichick; "can you snatch the pebble from my hand grasshopper?" Denver now a HD in B2B weeks and they get the edge given LY's 41-7, -5 TO MNF debacle @ N.E.
Objective: LW results pushed them to 4-1 ATS getting pts @ H this millennium. They continue to have my #1 D on yds/pt. In addition, they rank #4 in YPP allowed. Quite the turnaround in line value as LY it was Denver laying 3 away and now their getting that @ H. Another interesting tidbit is that semi-maligned QB Orton is an under-the-radar 17-2 SU @ H as a starter since 2005. PSPR says Broncos -8.
Assessment: You know what that means...
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Denver $-line	Why wait?	4% BR	+155 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Cin-Bal, Pitt-Det, Hou-Ari, Jax-Sea	October 11, 2009	2 early, 2 later
Subjective: Divisional match-up, Lions a DD HD off L, Cardinals off bye and looks like Hasselbeck back.
Objective: Like LW, all 4 qualify on YP% Over system. Reluctant to bet Over 50, but Hou-Ari is the highest @ 290.
Assessment: One more week of data, we'll bump the amount a bit
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Put them in 2-Team Round Robin Parlay	Why wait?	1.5% BR each for total of 9%	Best @ CRIS: 42 1/2, 44, 50 and 44 1/2

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Minnesota @ St Louis	October 11, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: 1st of two of the undefeated @ the winless match-ups. Off miracle and big divisional W's and with Baltimore and Pittsburgh on deck, this looks like an excellent LD spot for Vikings. Rams obviously eager to get off the schnide.
Objective: Only their 2nd HG and in 1st they were toe-to-toe with Green Bay into 4Q despite losing their starting QB and -2 TO. Previous 3 HG's were L's by 1, 3 and 4 pts. St Louis off at least a semi-MLF in which D allowed 14 pts and only 228 yds. We W with Minny on MNF, but it did not go quite as expected with only 63 YR. Vikings are #31 on D in YPP, while Rams #31 on O for same stat; something's gotta give. Doubt Boller vs Bulger makes much difference. PSPR gives small nod to Rams @ +7 1/2. GBP of course is pounding the Vikes.
Assessment: We'll bet against Vikings with 4.5:1 odds in a LD spot that nobody really seems to be talking about.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
St Louis $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+455 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Indianapolis @ Tennessee	October 11, 2009	6:20 PM Mountain
Subjective: Undefeated @ winless #2 and in this one blow outer @ blow outee. Titans on 4-0 ATS (3-1 SU) runs as divisional HD L3Y and they get the edge.
Objective: Often the best time to take a team is when nobody else wants them and that looks to be the case here as GBP took Tennessee from -1 to -3 are were burned LW. OL of +3 already +4 some places. Could be dueling mismatches with Colt's pass O vs Titan's suspect secondary and #6 run O behind league's leading rusher Johnson vs still Sanders-less Indy. TG qualifies on my YP% Over system at a 284. Line value definitely with Tennessee as they were minus 4 in 31-21 MNF W here LY. PSPR calls this one a Pick 'em and is evidence that these two are neither as good or as bad as their respective SU records.
Assessment: GBP on Titans a week too early?
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Tennessee $-line and Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+179 and 45 1/2 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Houston Cougars @ Miss St Bulldogs	October 10, 2009	10:30 AM Mountain
Subjective: Likely tough for Cougars to re-group after BCS-Busting Bubble Burst outintheWestTexastownofElPaso LW. Homecoming and 3rd straight HG for Bulldogs.
Objective: After B2B hard luck L's vs LSU and Georgia Tech, this looks like step down in class for them. L2G it was MSU with 374-263 and 487-479 yd edges, but -4 and -4 TO's. Both D's young (4 RS), but Houston's exposed LW allowing 581 yds (including 305 YR). Cougars able to catch Okla St off W over Georgia and then had bye to prep for Texas Tech after they'd played Texas. Their O prolific, but if they can't stop the run they'll have trouble keeping up. MSU out-rushed LSU 151-30 2 wks ago.
Assessment: Emotion and LOS edges go to the SEC small HF.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Miss St	Why wait?	4% BR	-1 available. Pinnacle guys can sell to -3 1/2, +125

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Oregon Ducks @ UCLA Bruins	October 10, 2009	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: With Ducks off 4 HW and in only 2nd AG, giving edge to Bruins off 1st L and as a HD.
Objective: They're stellar in that role going 11-2 ATS L6Y. They were killed by the option LY in 31-24 road L. Oregon went for 323 YR with QB Masoli getting 170 of it. That may not even be an "option" TY as he's ? with gimpy knee or it's pocket passer Costa. Bruins have #18 pass D and grounded quack attack LY; 5 of 19 for 42 yds. UCLA O mediocre, but if D up to snuff, they can do enough.
Assessment: We'll take better D and odds on a team in their best role.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
UCLA $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+140 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Fresno St Bulldogs @ Hawaii Warriors	October 10, 2009	9:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Off bye in triple-revenge and at 1-3 SU, Bulldogs itching for this one. Hawaii with a few extra days off a Wednesday-nighter.
Objective: Fresno St had the #118 pass D LY and yet despite it, held the Warriors to only 170 YP in MLF L. TY they are currently #45. Total yds were 522-342 but story of the game was 6 TO's and a kickoff return TD. Hawaii D with only 2 RS and allowed 352 YR LW. Bulldogs averaging 263 YR against the likes of Cincy, Boise St and Wisconsin L3W. Warriors down to 2nd-string QB, although with what looks like a dominant FSU run O, he may not get many opportunities.
Assessment: Combo of FSU's run O and improved pass D should allow them to pull away.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Fresno St	Why wait?	4% BR	Get -9 1/2 or sell to -11, +114 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Michigan St Spartans @ Illinois Fighting Illini	October 10, 2009	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Definite edge to Illini as HD on Homecoming as they attempt to keep their season from continuing down the drain. Possible LD for Spartans after OT W vs arch-rival Michigan.
Objective: Illinois 5-7 LY, but had 2nd best conf yardage differential and I expected their record to improve. So far their O can't seem to get untracked. Therefore, don't mind the switch @ QB to more accurate and speedier McGee. Will still cut them some slack as with B2B of Ohio St/Penn St, Illinois has now taken on the #7 and #8 toughest schedule of run and scoring D's respectively so far TY. My numbers give the H team a slight yardage edge.
Assessment: They need this one more and we'll take the odds they get it.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Illinois $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+166 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Alabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi Rebels	October 10, 2009	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Lotsa Rebel-haters TW as GBP figures Tide will roll @ current 83% clip. 'Ole Miss basically been hearing "over-rated" for 2 1/2 weeks off ESPN L to S Carolina and low-scoring W @ Vandy. Back H as Dog in their GOY, should be them that plays with chip on their shoulder.
Objective: Bama off semi-MLF LW using +4 TO to build 31-6 lead. QB McElroy only 148 YP in 1st true Away G. Rebel QB Snead faced #10 and #21 pass D's L2W. Both D's are great and believe 'Ole Miss DL can hold its own vs Tide run O. L4 in series decided by 3 ppg. Rebel's HC Nutt knows how to coach 'em up with 14-7 ATS (6 SU W's) vs Top 10 opposition since '98.
Assessment: More than happy with >2:1 odds on dissed H team in what looks to be a tight one.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Mississippi $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+210 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Miami-Ohio Redhawks @ Northwestern Wildcats	October 10, 2009	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Edge to Redhawks who are still winless, with Northwestern in Big-10 sandwich G.
Objective: Competing MLF's LW. Miami-Ohio held the ball for almost 41 minutes and actually out-passed Cincy. Unfortunately, 6-yard shanked punt, failed fake punt and Int on 3rd and goal from 3 were all followed up by Bearcat TD's. Wildcats rode 5 fumble recoveries (+5 TO) to upset @ Purdue despite being out-yarded 375-311. They're @ Michigan St next week. We'll see if N.W. can handle rare Big Fav role; they eked out a 27-24 W @ -21 1/2 vs E Michigan in Week 2. Their pass D suspect @ #95.
Assessment: With both off MLF's, Wildcats in an unusual role and odds about 7.5:1 think Miami-Ohio warrants another shot.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Miami-Ohio $-line	Why wait?	4% BR	+750 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Florida St Seminoles	October 10, 2009	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Jekyll and Hyde Seminoles off 2L and with bye on deck. Giving them significant edge in TG in what in essence will be a referendum regarding the status of their iconic HC.
Objective: Tech able to end 12G series L LY streak thanks to a FSU fumble into the end zone on 2nd and goal in last minute. Their triple option 2-0 since being shut down by Miami-Fla. They had +4 TO worth of help @ Miss St LW, allowing 487 yds. Yellow Jackets did not quite run wild LY (288 YR) and in 2nd go round vs this O, 'Noles D should do better. FSU QB Ponder had discarded the knee brace @ practice TW. Behind an outstanding OL with the threat of the run, believe he can do damage with his arm and legs.
Assessment: FSU does not want to be talking another L for the next 2 weeks and is laying only small SD.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Florida St	Monitor	4% BR	-3 everywhere. At present, I'd sell to -5 1/2, +140 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Navy Midshipmen @ Rice Owls	October 10, 2009	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Rice was a 10-3 team LY, but graduation losses on O and early season QB injuries have them 0-5 TY. That means possible LD for Navy off OT W over annual rival Air Force.
Objective: Rare AF role for Middies (4-4 ATS since 2000) and they failed in L2 attempts to cover when DD AF in 2007. Start #2 for Owl's back-up QB Lewis and he looks to have it easier than LW vs Tulsa (#23 pass D) as Navy has dropped from #108 LY to #114 TY vs pass. These two have not played since 2005, but Rice did see the triple option of Army LY. They have a vet D (9 RS) and can keep Middies below their YR average.
Assessment: With Navy in potential LD spot and with poor pass D, Rice can trade pts.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Rice $-line	Why wait?	4% BR	+343 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	BC @ Edmonton	October 09, 2009	7:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Winner moves into an at least temporary tie for 2nd in West with Saskatchewan.
Objective: Looks like two teams headed in opposite directions L5W. BC 3-2 SU (4-1 ATS, only L by 1 pt) with L's Away to each 1st place team. Edmonton 1-4 SU including 2 HL and LW L @ Winnipeg. Lines maker opened with almost a ditto of the -4 and 53 1/2 closer of LG in series; a Week 3 40-22 BC W here. Despite their respective recent performances, GBP likes the Eskimos with a move from -3 1/2 to -4. PSPR begs to differ with Lions @ -7. Their post-bye D improvement showcased again LW, holding Riders to only 284 yds (44 YR). BC Under L6. Edmonton a poor HF TY @ 1-5 ATS.
Assessment: Lines the same as Week 3 and Dog looks better/Fav worse.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
BC $-line and Under Parlay	No hurry, $-line pending	4% BR	Total 53 everywhere

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Green Bay @ Minnesota	October 05, 2009	6:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Favre Bowl 1; slight edge Minnesota who wants to see him do well vs old team. I think the whole "traitor" thing will work better in Green Bay.
Objective: Packer's new 3-4 D still a work-in-progress with 125 YR/G allowed and middle-of-the-Pack @ #16 yds/pt. Given MLF Week 1 vs Bears, they could easily be 1-2 SU with only W over St Louis. Speaking of MLF's: LG here a 28-27 GB L with +3 TO and a pick-six and punt return TD; they were out-yarded 361-184. In 2G LY, YR were 407-213 Vikings. Packer's 12 sacks allowed not a good sign. Minnesota actually has my #1 O yds/pt and newcomer Harvin looking dangerous.
Assessment: Looks like Vikings will control LOS and that should be enough to cover mid SD.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Minnesota	Why wait?	4% BR	-4 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Ten-Jax, Bal-NE, Det-Chi, SD-Pitt	October 04, 2009	3 early and SNF
Subjective: Think we're getting "A" games from all eight.
Objective: Not a ton of explanation here. It's now Week 4 and I have enough data to start looking @ Totals seriously. These are today's 4G that qualify for my YP% system as they're all >270. It's 75-43 ATS L2Y.
Assessment: Over plays
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Put them in 2-Team Round Robin Parlay	Why wait?	1% BR for each of 6 Parlays	Best numbers @ CRIS: 41 1/2, 44 1/2, 40 1/2 and 42

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	NY Giants @ Kansas City	October 04, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: G-men currently neck-and-neck with Cincy as TW GBP darling. Off 2 divisional W's and a shutout in 3rd straight AG this could certainly be a flat spot. An old NFL adage that teams are never as good as they looked off blowout W nor as bad as off a blowout L.
Objective: PSPR of +3 1/2 at least calling Chiefs competitive. Their 3L @ Baltimore with a back-up QB, @ an angry Philly and major H MLF (409-166 total yds). Despite LW white-wash of T.B. Giant's D only #22 yds/pt and a bit of a conundrum. They allowed 17 pts to a Redskin team that could not score a TD vs St Louis and 251 YR/31 pts to Dallas even with +4 TO. Chiefs were 2-14 LY but competitive @ 8-8 ATS with 6L by 7 or less. Lines maker's OL has them 3 pts worse than Bucs and this is most pts NY has laid on road since 2005.
Assessment: With a good game from Cassel and "B" game from Giants, giving KC a shot.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Kansas City $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+340 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	TB-Wash, NYJ-NO	October 04, 2009	1 early, 1 aft.
Subjective: Expect "A" game from Redskins after being Detroit's victim. NY off fortunate W.
Objective: Despite 1-2 record, Washington still has my #3 D and will face a rookie QB. G2 an interesting match-up of #2 D vs #2 O. Jets nicked up in secondary. PSPR makes H teams SD Fav's of -4 1/2 and -2 respectively.
Assessment: We'll cross the "7" and "3" on both.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Washington and New Orleans 6-pt Teaser	Why wait?	4% BR	-1 1/2 each @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Buffalo @ Miami	October 04, 2009	2:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Predicted some reversion to mean from my LY luckiest team, but didn't think it would all happen in 1st 3 weeks. Miami went -4 TO G1, dominated YR/TOP but L G2 and were up 6-3 2H LW until losing starting QB for year. As a LY playoff team back H @ 0-3 we get an all out effort.
Objective: Thought Bills would have problems on O with rebuilt OL, but D (24 ppg) could be in worse shape. Injuries could have a combo of up to 7 starters/back-ups out. Despite high winds that basically grounded Saint's pass O they allowed 222 YR LW. Not good vs Dolphins team that's out-rushed its opposition 484-198 TY. #2 QB Henne from Michigan and used to big stage so expect decent performance. GBP has taken this one from -1 1/2 to a Pick 'em so far. Miami out-scored Bills 41-19 LY and PSPR makes them -5.
Assessment: Seems most likely that each team will leave TG @ 1-3.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Miami	Monitor	4% BR	Pick 'em everywhere; I'll be looking to sell pts @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Dallas @ Denver	October 04, 2009	2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective: Both off W's, but Cowboys on short week and Denver a HD. Edge Broncos.
Objective: Denver's W's over Cincy/Cleveland/Oakland and with line opening and staying close to +3, GBP apparently not calling them for real just yet. PSPR (which includes strength of opposition BTW) is at -5. It's the NFL after all and holding 3 teams to a total of 16 pts is impressive regardless of who they are. Although a horrible HF, Broncos are a rare HD going 3-1 ATS this millennium. In retrospect, given what Bengals have done L2W, Denver's performance there looks good. Dallas had B2B big HFA opportunities but looked underwhelming and their D allowed 450 yds to lowly Bucs Week 1.
Assessment: PSPR calling Denver legit and we'll take them in unusual $-line opportunity.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Denver $-line	Why wait?	4% BR	+125 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	San Diego @ Pittsburgh	October 04, 2009	6:20 PM Mountain
Subjective: Rematch of LY AFC Conf Semi-Final which Steelers led 28-10 on route to 35-24 W. At 1-2 SU, giving defending champs the edge.
Objective: So are they an 0-3 team except for a couple Tennessee missed FG or a 3-0 team if not for a missed FG and a 4th down stop of their own? PSPR leans latter making them -10. Their D #7 while Chargers #26. S.D. has been out-rushed 427-199 in 3G TY and 289-81 by Pittsburgh in 2G LY. LOS does not look good for them with starting C and NT out. They're 2-1, but eked out W @ Oakland and trailed 6-3 3Q LW until Pennington went down. Steelers W L7H SU.
Assessment: With combo of emotional, PSPR and LOS edges, think they can cover a single score tonight.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Pittsburgh	Why wait?	4% BR	I would take the current -6

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Tulane Green Wave @ Army Black Knights	October 03, 2009	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Rare HF role for Army (4-5 ATS L9Y) on Homecoming in this battle of Tier 4's. Black Knights ruined Tulane's Homecoming with 44-13 MLF W LY. TU would like to return favor.
Objective: Line swing of the weekend here with Green Wave going from 19 1/2 pt HF in that one to current 6 1/2 pt AD. Yards were 486-334 TU in 2008, but they were -4 TO and had 2 kicks blocked. Possible post-bye "buy signal" for Green Wave who racked up 42 pts and 427 yds (17 YPP) in W over FCS #9 ranked McNeese St LW.
Assessment: Line swing from LY MLF puts Army in poor role.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Tulane $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+230 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Kansas St Wildcats vs Iowa St Cyclones @ Kansas City	October 03, 2009	1:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: I'm calling this Tier 3 vs Tier 4 on neutral ground and it's Tier 4 that's favored.
Objective: Neither that impressive with KSU losing @ Louisiana and UCLA; ISU beat lowly Kent St and then Army LW. However, my numbers have the Wildcats with both the YR and YP edges. Believe that in year 1 of the 2nd Snyder era, he's been prepping for this conf opener.
Assessment: A Tier 3 team with better pedigree getting odds.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Kansas St $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+135 most places

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Ohio Bobcats @ Bowling Green Falcons	October 03, 2009	2:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Conf opener for both. Road team W L2Y.
Objective: Bobcats a deceptive 4-8 SU LY with 4 hard-luck L's to start and eventual -12 TO margin. TY they have acquitted themselves well in L's to UConn and LW @ Tennessee. Bowling Green going south @ 1-3 SU after Week 1 upset of Troy. A young D (3 RS, only 1 of F7) that initially looked better than advertised is losing @ LOS; 217-694 YR L3W. Ohio has a vet F7 so should be more of same TW.
Assessment: Team with LOS edge getting odds.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Ohio $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+125 most places

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Arkansas Razorbacks vs Texas A&M Aggies @ Arlington	October 03, 2009	5:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Crowd should be about evenly split in 1st meeting since 1991 of old SWC rivals.
Objective: Don't think SU records of 1-2 vs 3-0 mean much here. Aggies beat up on UAB and a New Mexico team in midst of major rebuild and were in tough vs Tier 4 Utah St. Off L's vs UGA and 'Bama, with Auburn/Florida/'Ole Miss to come, this is almost a breather for Razorbacks. Although improved, weakest link on field is still an Aggie D that allowed 37 ppg LY and was #103 vs pass. Arkansas put 408 YP on Georgia.
Assessment: We'll take the better D and the team that's played the tougher sked.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Arkansas	Monitor	4% BR	Pick 'em everywhere

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Cincinnati Bearcats @ Miami-Ohio Redhawks	October 03, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: GOY for Redhawks in this rivalry. At already a > 4 TD Fav, possible Bearcats have chalked up the SU W and are looking forward to their bye.
Objective: That's the most Cincinnati has laid vs FBS competition as far back as my records go (1995). They come in off the CFB version of MNF Indy@Miami; 290 YR allowed, 15-25 FD, only 16:18 TOP, but a 28-20 W. Lights went on for Redhawk O LW; 552 yds, but -5 TO along with a punt blocked and allowed kickoff return TD in 29-19 MLF L. Miami-Ohio returns all their O skill players vs Cincy D with 1 RS. Key likely to be whether Redhawk secondary (3 RS) that had 8 different starters due to injury LY has improved enough to contain Bearcat's dangerous WR's.
Assessment: This one has at least the makings of a shocker.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Miami-Ohio $-line	Monitor	4% BR	Only Pinnacle so far @ +2500

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Auburn Tigers @ Tennessee Volunteers	October 03, 2009	5:45 PM Mountain
Subjective: SEC West @ East crossover G on ESPN. Good litmus test for two 1st year HC's. Tigers got non-covering 14-12 HW LY as 6 1/2 pt HF.
Objective: It's 4-0 SU @ 2-2, although 1st AG for Auburn. UT looks more battle-tested having faced a #16 D in UCLA and then @ the #2 D of Florida. Despite a 5-7 SU record LY, the Vol's D actually finished tied for #3 in country with Alabama. GBP may be impressed with Tiger's O, but like LW I'm looking at their D. It was 30 pts allowed for 2nd consecutive week and YR against is now 173/G L3. My numbers have Tennessee with significant YR edge and small YP edge.
Assessment: With small line that's enough for a play on H team with better D.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Tennessee	Monitor	4% BR	-2 some places; at present I'd sell to -4, +132 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Oklahoma Sooners @ Miami-Fla Hurricanes	October 03, 2009	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Now that each has 1L, virtual NC elimination G. The "U" a HD for only 4th time this millennium.
Objective: Perhaps a combo of LA to TG and reading their own press clippings after shutting down Georgia Tech led to large egg-laying in the rain @ Blacksburg LW (31-7 L). GBP has taken OL through 6 1/2 to +7 1/2 or more despite OU QB Bradford being ruled out. That gives us a look at "virgin" Jones making his 1st hostile road start. With what BYU has done since, Sooner's Week 1 L looking worse not better. Tough to gauge what, if any, improvement their young OL has made as 2 HG were vs a 1-11 '08 FCS team and a Tulsa team with only 1 DL RS. In any event, Hurricane's D ranks #1 in toughest scoring and rushing O's faced through 1st 4 weeks.
Assessment: Basically, I like the odds on a potential mismatch of a still unproven OL in front of a "virgin" facing a good F7.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Miami-Fla. $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+265 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Hamilton @ Calgary	October 03, 2009	5:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Ti-Cats off humiliating HL which would normally give them the edge, but Stamps played poorly @ Hamilton 2 weeks ago and get sole possession of 1st in West with W; call it a wash.
Objective: Looks like rain/snow mix with some wind @ McMahon which could hamper scoring. Calgary has the more reliable run O and would expect Burris to play better than his 10 of 25 for 114 in Hamilton. Ti-Cats on 4G Away L streak and PSPR makes it -14, but after LW doubt they'll roll over.
Assessment: Given the circumstances and possible weather factor, Teaser looks like best way to play it.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Calgary and Under 6-pt Teaser	Monitor	4% BR	We might get -1/2 and 57 @ Pinnacle for 1:1

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Edmonton @ Winnipeg	October 02, 2009	5:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Despite Esks off L and Bombers off W, things still more desperate for Winnipeg who trail BC by 1G in playoff race. In Week 1, last second G-tying FG missed by kicker Serna after making 1st attempt just after timeout had been called and Esks held on 19-17. Only 2nd AF role for Edmonton since beginning of LY.
Objective: Bombers finally got around to holding on to the ball LW (a little late for us after -14 TO margin previous 3 weeks) and got a W. Breakout G for QB Bishop (312 YP) or aberration? Eskimo's pass-heavy O grounded by high winds LW and only scored 13 pts. Expect better production from Ray and Co. tonight. Interesting stat is that on YPP Winnipeg's D is best and Edmonton's worst. Bombers out-rushed Esks 162-33 G1. About a 6 1/2 pt line swing as Bombers were -2 1/2 in LY's G. PSPR makes them a slim 1/2 pt Fav. This is the lowest Total on an Edmonton G TY. Although 6-1 Under Away, Winnipeg now 4-1 Over @ H.
Assessment: Assuming they again protect the ball, with the better pass D and O balance, I'm giving Bombers a decent shot @ upset in higher scoring G than Week 1.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Winnipeg $-line & Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+155 and 51 with Pinnacle yet to post

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Saskatchewan @ BC	October 02, 2009	8:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: If Winnipeg W, a BC L would put them temporarily out of the playoffs; edge Lions.
Objective: Riders come in off sloppy -3 TO W that keeps them in tie for 1st in West. Key play was a muffed punt TD late 1H. Serious uptick in BC D since Week 9 bye, especially @ H where they have allowed only 15 pts L2G. They are now #3 in league (Cal., Mon.) L5W - all Unders, with Under L5H. Lions have taken LOS in 1st 2G with Riders TY; 252-158 YR. Current Pick 'em has them at 2 pts less than LG between these two, which was a 35-20 BC HW.
Assessment: TG more important to BC and their D is improved.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
BC and Under Parlay	Why wait?	4% BR	Pick 'em and 54 1/2 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	San Francisco @ Minnesota	September 27, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: TW only battle of 2-0 teams and good litmus test for both.
Objective: 49ers on 7-2-1 ATS run since new HC Singletary used LY Week 9 bye to put his stamp on team. Vikings living dangerously 1st 2 weeks down 13-10 and 10-0 1H before flipping switch in 3Q. However, that was vs LY #29 and #32 run D's. S.F. allowing 106 YR 1st 2G. Minnesota's pass O mediocre at best with only 238 YP and < 5 YPP. Vikings 6-2 @ H LY, but 4 W's by 7, 2, 1 and 1.
Assessment: Assuming 49ers D can hold their run O in check, one-dimensional Vikings are in tough.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
San Francisco $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+260 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Tennessee @ NY Jets	September 27, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Double edge Titans. They're 0-2 after blowing 21-7 lead as HF, while Jets off signature W over N.E. Tennessee also looking to avenge LY G in which Jets ended their 10-0 season-starting run.
Objective: Significant line move as end of LY this one would have been Titans -5. It puts Fisher and Co. in their best role; 17-5-1 ATS run as a Dog L3Y. They were victims of a major NFL anomaly LW. Got an email from a fellow handicapper that since start of LY Teams with > 200 YR were 37-2 SU. LW it was 2-3 as these Titans (and Dallas, Miami) all L. Despite being Haynesworth-less, Tennessee D only allowed 99 YR 1st 2G. Expecting they'll be able to put onus on rookie QB Sanchez.
Assessment: Hard to fathom Titans equaling LY's 3 regular season L in 1st 3 weeks.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Tennessee $-line	Why wait?	4% BR	+125 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Chicago @ Seattle	September 27, 2009	2:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Bears able to bounce back LW from MLF L to Packers. But let's face it, without some help from the weather, normally reliable kicker Reed and +2 TO they probably lose. Off divisional L and now a HD with #2 QB, expect huge effort from Seahawks.
Objective: Chicago by far the GBP's favorite TW at a red-flag raising 80-plus%. That despite a 1-5 SU Away run with the only W over St. Louis. Seattle has my #3 D yds/pt and they should bounce back after allowing 2 long Gore TD runs LW. Bears now L6G at < 100 YR and barely topping 2.5 YPC TY. Subjectively adjusted PSPR makes it H team -7 1/2.
Assessment: We've got both emotional and PSPR edges with small HD.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Seattle $-line	Monitor, could see this one going higher	4% BR	Current best +125 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati	September 27, 2009	2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective: You'd think with Steeler's pedigree that they'd have a great record off a SU L - not-so-much @ 9-8 ATS L3Y. Well aware of Cincy's 8 straight HL in series. However, this is looking like a Bengals team ready to contend again.
Objective: Pittsburgh struggling to find O balance since LY with > 100 YR only 3 of L9G. Pressure continues on "Big Ben" with 6 sacks allowed 1st 2G and Bengals have 9 sacks through Week 2. Cincy now has my #1 D on yds/pt basis and LW held Packers to only a FG for game's last 47-plus minutes. Palmer still a little rusty LW with 2 1H gaffes, but led 80 and 62 yd TD drives later. Bengals W 4 of L5 and should have W the 5th. PSPR makes them only +1.
Assessment: With what looks like a coin flip G, we'll take odds on a Cincy team with solid D and ready to turn the corner.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Cincinnati $-line	Why wait?	4% BR	+162 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Indianapolis @ Arizona	September 27, 2009	6:20 PM Mountain
Subjective: Both off W, but Colts on short week; edge to small HF on SNF.
Objective: Interesting match-up of LY #5 and #2 pass O's and #31 and #32 run O's. Indy 2-0 almost entirely based on Manning's "laser-rocket-arm" but it's been against 2 rebuilt secondaries that ranked bottom 3rd LY. They are now easily the league's most one-dimensional team with 81% of O through air L5G. As you see in the Titans-Jets write-up, they dodged a major bullet Monday night with 239 YR allowed. Their D is allowing the 2nd highest % on ground @ 47 (Cleveland 51%). Cardinals actually averaged 111 YR in their 3 playoff W's prior to SB and believe they can run tonight. Of course they also have a better passing complement than Miami or Jax. Adjusted and unadjusted PSPR makes them -3 1/2 and -6 1/2.
Assessment: Seems we have PSPR and match-up edges with the pumped-up SNF small HF.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Arizona	Why wait?	4% BR	Think the full 50 cents (-115 to +135) for selling through 3 to 4 is worth it, otherwise get -2 1/2.

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Buffalo Bulls @ Temple Owls	September 26, 2009	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Bulls one of the NCAA's luckiest teams LY using +19 TO margin to go 8-6 despite having the #8 conf yardage differential. They eked out a 2 pt HW over Temple LY on last play miracle "Hail Mary" - edge Owls.
Objective: Temple's vet D (9 RS) acquitted itself well LW allowing only 359 yds @ #5 Penn St. Giving them the edge over a Buffalo O that has lost 96 career starts from the OL and their career passing leader and star RB. Owl's OL probably HC Golden's best in 4Y and my numbers have them with better than 2:1 YR edge with YP about even.
Assessment: That's enough to take a small HF with the emotional edge.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Temple	Why wait?	4% BR	You can get -2 1/2 @ CRIS - I'm selling to -4, +125 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	UL-Monroe Warhawks @ Florida Atlantic Owls	September 26, 2009	2:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Relatively new series, but visitor a perfect 5-0 SU. Edge ULM as LY they missed a 4Q FG to go up 8 pts and then allowed a last minute TD in 29-28 HL.
Objective: LOS looks to be theirs as well with 9 of 12 RS (OL/F7) vs 4 of 12. In fact, FAU's D has only 3 RS in total and lost their top 6 tacklers. Warhawks a vet squad with 17 RS and plenty of depth as they led the FBS in starters lost to injury LY. They excel in conf play with a 20-8 ATS record L4Y.
Assessment: Given series history and LOS edges we'll bet on the small upset.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
UL-Monroe $-line	Why wait?	4% BR	+145 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ Boston College Eagles	September 26, 2009	Noon Mountain
Subjective: Conf opener and 1st AG for Wake. BC looking to avoid 0-2 conf start after LW blowout L @ Clemson.
Objective: Lines maker posted a token -3 for HFA and GBP calling Deacs the better team with move to -1 some places. Both teams have solid OL's, but believe BC warrants the edge on D with new HC (and former DC) Spaziani. Despite 4 TO's on O and only 4 FD, they held Clemson to only 253 yds (< 4 YPP). Tigers have arguably the best ACC D and Wake's is a definite step down. My numbers have the Eagles with YR and YP edges. BC on 29-5 SU run @ H L5Y.
Assessment: With that HFA and the better D, small SD line looks like a bargain.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Boston College	Monitor	4% BR	At current numbers, I'd sell to -3, +125 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Illinois Fighting Illini @ Ohio St Buckeyes	September 26, 2009	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: HFA almost non-existent in this series with visitor on 8-1 SU run. That includes an Illini 28-21 W in 2007 over the then-ranked #1 Buckeyes as +15 pt AD. UI off bye and OSU able to bounce back LW off USC L.
Objective: Despite laying an egg vs Missouri in G1, I'm still calling Illinois Tier 2 and they're in their best role as AD; 6-0 ATS (3-3 SU) L3Y. Must admit to being a little leery of how a F7 with 1 RS will handle Buckeye's OL. However, with QB Williams having had 3 weeks to recover from Week 1 quad bruise, an O with 8 RS that posted a season-high 455 yds on the OSU D LY should make up for it.
Assessment: We'll take the almost 5:1 that UI can keep series history going.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Illinois $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+475 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	S Mississippi Golden Eagles @ Kansas Jayhawks	September 26, 2009	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Step up in class for both 3-0 teams off 1st 3 weeks. S Miss on 8G SU W streak, so as they swing from -14 LW to +14 TW, giving them the edge.
Objective: Golden Eagles one of the most veteran FBS teams (19 RS) and HC Fedora (former Okla St OC) should have them well-prepped for this Big-12 trip. With all 5 OL returning in front of start RB Fletcher vs a KU LB corps wiped out by graduation, we should have a big dog that wins the YR battle. Key likely to be whether LY #51 pass D that returns intact can hold Jayhawk QB Reesing and his excellent WR's in check. LW closer-than-expected HW over UVA has us a little line value as end of LY this one would have been only about -8.
Assessment: With YR edge and confidence of an 8G W streak, S Miss worth it @ > 4:1 to make it 9.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
S Miss $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+450 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	San Diego St Aztecs @ Air Force Falcons	September 26, 2009	Noon Mountain
Subjective: Conf opener for SDSU under new HC Hoke. Falcons perhaps a little over-confident as Fav in high teens 2nd week-in-row?
Objective: Aztecs went 2-10 SU LY, although injuries a significant factor with 7 DL having season-enders. Their pass D finished #116, no doubt in part to a pass rush that generated only 5 sacks L8G. TG a bit reminiscent of LW GT-Miami as Falcons had 401 YR LY in 35-10 away W. Key factoid is that new DC Long has switched from a 4-3 to his 3-3-5 scheme. When @ New Mexico, that D held Air Force below their YR season average in 9 of L10Y. Aztec's vet QB Lindley has above average WR's and Falcon's returning DL combined for only 6 sacks LY.
Assessment: Suspect SDSU prep has been pointing to TG all off-season. Almost 6:1 looks appealing.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
San Diego St $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+575 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Ball St Cardinals @ Auburn Tigers	September 26, 2009	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Auburn off ESPN revenge W in 4th straight HG with Tennessee on deck. Good chance that adds up to a "B" game from them.
Objective: Amazingly, at LY's end this line would have been -2. I know these 2 teams have headed in opposite directions since, but is the current 31-plus pt line move really warranted? MLF's collide with Cardinals having out-yarded Army 375-265 LW, but done in by 4 TO's including the game-losing pick-six. Meanwhile, the Tigers survived vs WV in large part due to a +5 TO margin. Their D allowed 509 yds LW and 22 ppg TY. Not the scenario you'd like when trying to cover an almost 5-TD spread.
Assessment: With their non-"A" game probably forthcoming and what looks like a non-shutdown D, this looks like too many to lay.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Ball St	Monitor	4% BR	+33 1/2 everywhere

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Texas Tech Red Raiders @ Houston Cougars	September 26, 2009	7:15 PM Mountain
Subjective: GOY on ESPN for Houston in what we'll call the "Run 'n Shoot Bowl". Cougs off bye off upset of Okla St. However, believe Tier 1 TT will take it as insult that they're a dog.
Objective: Red Raiders far from over-matched LW in what was viewed as a write-in blowout revenge W for now #2 Texas (-18 1/2). It was 414-340 yds for TT and their secondary held McCoy to 6 YPP. Saw little drop-off in QB'ing from Harrell to Potts (46 of 62-420 yds). A Houston secondary that finished #94 vs pass LY with only 1 RS will have it's hands full. This one would have been -12 Red Raiders end of LY.
Assessment: Cougars caught Okla St off their big HW over Georgia; as small dog TT will be ready.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Texas Tech	Monitor	4% BR	At present I'd sell to -1 1/2, +107 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Louisville Cardinals @ Utah Utes	September 26, 2009	5:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: LW near-miss L vs rival Kentucky keeps Louisville's Kragthorpe on perhaps the hottest coaching hot seat; Cardinals desperate for a W. Suspect it will be tough for Utah to bounce back from LW L that sent their nation-leading W streak and BCS-busting hopes down the drain.
Objective: Now at 0-3 ATS TY, they seem to be feeling the loss of both OC and DC, starting QB and top 3 WR's. Louisville's B7 improved and new DC Guy (ex-HC Utah St) should bring some inside knowledge. Cardinal's have one of the Big East's best WR corps and they'll face a Ute's secondary that sent its CB's to the NFL. Despite the above, GBP has taken OL from -11 1/2 to 14.
Assessment: Looks like Louisville has the emotional edge and some match-up advantages.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Louisville $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+416 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	TCU Horned Frogs @ Clemson Tigers	September 26, 2009	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: With BYU and Utah L LW, TCU is MWC's last chance as BCS buster. Tigers should be on alert.
Objective: Major step up in class for Horned Frogs in their G3 after winless UVA and a FCS opponent. Clemson's G4 and they already have 2 conf G's under their belt. Been baby-sitting TG and it now looks like the 4 players from Tiger's OL/F7 are recovered from the flu. That restores their LOS advantage as Horned Frogs return only 2 OL and 1 from F7. My numbers have H team with YR and YP edges. Current line of < -3 makes TCU the better team on a neutral field. To me it looks other way around.
Assessment: We'll take small BCS conf HF with LOS edge.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Clemson	Why wait?	4% BR	Get -2 1/2. Pinnacle guys sell to -4, +132

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Toronto @ Winnipeg	September 26, 2009	7:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Clearly the league's two worst teams; winner gets out of the cellar.
Objective: Can't bring myself to bet on either. I'll make the case for a 9th consecutive series Under. In L7G for each TY (14G combined), only 3 times have the O's topped 20 pts. They've scored a total of 49 pts in 1st 2G TY. Both are missing multiple WR's. Total a relatively low 44, but in only 1 of L8G in series would the final have been Over that number.
Assessment: Odds are TG another snoozer.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Toronto-Winnipeg Under	Monitor	4% BR	44 everywhere

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	BC @ Calgary	September 25, 2009	8:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: BC looking to avenge a Week 4 48-10 blowout HL, but Calgary off a come-from-ahead 4Q L.
Objective: Stamps also on 5G series W streak. Main key has been an average of 171 YR over that span. Expect QB Burris to bounce back from dismal 114 YP (4.5 YPP) performance LW. BC D starting to get their act together since 37 pt 393 YR debacle vs Winnipeg 3G ago. Lines maker has tacked 3 pts on to -5 spread of LG here. That's Calgary's average margin of victory L4G of series prior to TY.
Assessment: We'll take spread out of it with Teaser.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Calgary and Under 6-pt Teaser	Monitor	4% BR	1:1 for -2 and 60 1/2 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Montreal @ Hamilton	September 25, 2009	5:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Even though catching Montreal for 1st in East may not be possible, this is still a statement G for Hamilton. On a 5W ATS/SU streak @ H (including all 3 as Dog) they should be a confident bunch.
Objective: Once again they're a Dog (+4) which is a little higher than PSPR of +1 1/2. Ti-Cats have done it @ H with D allowing only 13 ppg since a 20 pt 1Q in Week 1 vs Toronto (5 of L6 Under). GBP has taken OT of 48 1/2 to 50 and not 1 of Hamilton's HG TY would have topped that. 1st G TY between these two a hard-fought 21-8 Alouette W. TG pits league's top 2 D's on yds/pt basis, so another lower scoring G no surprise.
Assessment: Think the value's on Hamilton and Under.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Hamilton $-line and Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	Pinnacle yet to post; +155 and 50 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Indianapolis @ Miami	September 21, 2009	6:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: As MNF HD off L vs team off W, giving Dolphins the edge.
Objective: After yesterday, Indy's non-covering HW over Jacksonville looking less impressive. Meanwhile, Miami was -4 TO and still held Atlanta to only 19 pts. Interesting to see how their rebuilt secondary shapes up vs Manning & Co. (or is it simply Manning & Wayne?). Believe Colt's D off a notch, yet GBP likes Under taking OT of 44 to 42 so far. PSPR has this one Indy -1.
Assessment: We'll go Teaser route, getting Miami > TD and Total below most key number of 37.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Miami and Over 6-pt Teaser	Monitor	4% BR	1:1 @ Pinnacle for +9 and 36

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Cincinnati @ Green Bay	September 20, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Edge Bengals as big AD off G they should have W with Packers off MLF they could easily have L without a lot of help from Cutler.
Objective: Cincy dominated 1H @ H LW, but combo of dropped passes, penalties and special team's screw-ups left them scoreless. QB Palmer should now have the rust shaken off. Week 2 for GB's new 3-4 D (out-gained by 115 yds LW) - advantage Bengals who see it at least 4 times/yr (Baltimore, Pittsburgh). Going back to LY, Cincy has my #3 D on yds/pt basis, allowing only 31 pts L4G. Subjectively adjusted PSPR says TG Pick 'em and Pack's HFA not big as they were only 4-4 SU LY.
Assessment: With almost 4:1 available, that's a play.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Cincinnati $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+395 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Carolina @ Atlanta	September 20, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Reversion to the mean time? Absolute difference of 9 in TO margin LW with Panthers -5 and Falcons +4. Carolina players all lining up behind beleaguered QB Delhomme.
Objective: Although 38 pts were allowed LW, Panther D wasn't on field for 14 of them (punt & fumble return TD's) and 17 more were off "drives" of 1, 9 and 10 yds. Philly was held to 82 YP. Similar story with Atlanta who got 3 scores off "drives" of 13, 20 and 38 yds. Looking like excellent line value for Carolina who would have been Pick 'em at LY's end and went off @ only +1 here in week 12. Panthers out-yarded Falcons in both G LY.
Assessment: LW results based almost entirely on TO's.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Carolina $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+224 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Arizona @ Jacksonville	September 20, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Both off L, but Jags was expected and Cards was not. Arizona learned the hard way that LY rep won't get it done and should bounce back.
Objective: Unusual to see a Super Bowl team as a dog to a 5-11 team in Week 2. There's a 7 pt swing from what this line would have been @ end of LY. PSPR makes Cardinals a small Fav. Jaguars gave Indy a run for their money LW, but were +2 TO and even though Colts were basically down to 1 WR (Gonzalez injured), still allowed 294 YP. That doesn't bode well vs tandem of Fitzgerald/Boldin. Jacksonville a run-first O, but Arizona has not allowed 100 YR in L6G.
Assessment: Like Arizona's match-up edges and the plus odds.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Arizona $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+145 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	1. Baltimore @ S.D. and 2. NY Giants @ Dallas	September 20, 2009	2:15 and 6:20 PM Mountain
Subjective: 1. Good litmus test for Flacco @ Co. as Chargers return H off underwhelming G1. 2. Well-publicized season-opener of "Jerry Dome" so Cowboys pumped. That tempered by fact G-men were awful here in 20-8 L only back in Week 15 and looking to make amends.
Objective: 1. Match-up of my #2 D @ my #1 O. Believe Sproles can fill in ably for LT, but concern is a S.D. OL down 2 starters with a 3rd < 100%. 2. Concern in TG is fact Cowboy's rebuilt D allowed Tampa Bay 174 YR and now face LY #1 run O.
Assessment: Both G looking like coin flips - we'll get dogs @ > TD.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Baltimore and NY Giants 6 pt Teaser	Why wait?	4% BR	Both +9 everywhere

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	1. Houston @ Tennessee and 2. N.O. @ Philly	September 20, 2009	Both 11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: 1. Given loser goes 0-2 and 0-1 in division, "A" G from both. 2. We all know what kind of effort to expect from a team in G1 without their starting QB, right?
Objective: 1. Would have to expect a bounce-back performance from Texans who can't possibly be as bad as they played LW. Titans allowed 321 YP to Pittsburgh so the back door could be open for a garbage TD and PSPR only -3 1/2. 2. You'll see in Car-Atl write-up that Eagle's G1 a MLF. However, they did hold Panthers to 83 YP. Made a Fair Line of -4 1/2 with McNabb, so looks like we're working on a 6 pt swing @ present. From my previews you know that I do like New Orleans TY.
Assessment: Good Teaser opportunity.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Tennessee + Philadelphia Teaser	Monitor, CRIS is now Saints -1 1/2; others likely to follow suit	4% BR	6-pointer at CRIS: -1 and +7 1/2

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Winnipeg @ Montreal	September 20, 2009	11:05 AM Mountain
Subjective: Alouettes off hard-fought revenge W vs BC and Away showdown with 2nd place Hamilton on deck. Despite the Barrin Simpson thing, rotating QB's and a coach on the hot seat must give edge to Bombers.
Objective: Things could not have gone much worse for them LW with 8 TO's (-7 margin) after a -4 TO margin the preceding G. Winnipeg a bit of an enigma, playing their best when the least is expected of them (5-2 ATS as Dog with 3 SU W) and vice-versa (3 SU L as Fav). They're catching 2 TD-plus which is 4 pts more than LY when they pulled a SU upset here. Earlier TY, they bounced back from being blown out by blowing out BC (393 YR). PSPR has it Als by only -6 1/2.
Assessment: Given the circumstances, we'll take this long shot.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Winnipeg $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+475 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Nevada Wolf Pack @ Colorado St Rams	September 19, 2009	3:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Last meeting '06. Looks like a good spot for Nevada off a bye and itching to bounce back from their -3 TO shutout L @ Notre Dame. CSU off MLF W vs FCS Weber St.
Objective: They were out-FD'd 25-12, allowing 11 for 21 3rd-down conversions. After LW, Ram's Week 1 upset of Colorado not looking as impressive with Buffs allowing 54 pts @ Toledo. Wolf Pack warrants edges on both sides of LOS with Vet OL and DL. CSU L 5 from F7 including #2 and #3 tacklers. My numbers have Nevada with big YR and significant complementary YP.
Assessment: That should give them the cover as small AF.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Nevada	Monitor	4% BR	Right now I would sell from -3, -102 to -4 1/2, +127 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Tulsa Golden Hurricane @ Oklahoma Sooners	September 19, 2009	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: 3rd straight Away G for Tulsa. Sooners have bye on deck.
Objective: In-state rivalry (of sorts); OU 9-1 SU since '79 with an average margin of 32 ppg. First 2 weeks results definitely getting us line value what with Hurricane beating two bottom-feeders and OU's BYU L. Current 16 1/2 is fewest Sooners will have laid @ H vs non-BCS conf. opponent since 1997. Tulsa L their QB, top RB, top WR and 3 OL. Think they are over-matched vs the OU D. Back-up QB Jones had a nice "scrimmage" (64-0) LW and Tulsa's pass D ranked #97 LY with a brutal 32-9 TD-Int ratio.
Assessment: This is Tier 3 @ Tier 1 with a very manageable spread.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Oklahoma	Why wait?	4% BR	Get < -17 or you Pinnacle guys sell to -18, +112

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Northwestern Wildcats @ Syracuse Orange	September 19, 2009	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: 3rd straight G vs Big-10 for Syracuse - and easiest opposition so far. Rematch of LY G1 in which NW pulled away 2H for 30-10 W after trailing 10-9 3Q. Shift from Noon to 7:00 PM start should increase Orange's HFA.
Objective: Despite 0-2 record, they're looking much improved, what with near-miss OT L @ H followed by holding Penn St to barely over 300 yds in road cover LW. Wildcats 2-0 with W over a FCS doormat and then a 3-pt squeaker vs E Michigan @ -21 1/2. Along with top 2 RB's, NW O also lost top 3 WR's who accounted for 73% of LY receptions. My numbers give H team slight YR and YP edges.
Assessment: Syracuse a bit better than a coin flip here, so must take the +130-plus odds.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Syracuse $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+134 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Temple Owls @ Penn St Nittany Lions	September 19, 2009	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Obvious David vs Goliath. To bet on David, we'd like Goliath to be comfy @ H vs an opponent they do not respect. Believe that's the scenario here. A bonus GBP is over them.
Objective: 3rd of 4 HG to start season for PSU and they have big revenge LA to Iowa who handed them only regular season L that knocked them out of possible NC G LY. Lions got 45-3 W vs Temple @ H LY. Owls come in off a bye, preceded by an MLF 27-24 L. They out-yarded FCS power Villanova (L in quarter-finals 2008) by 99 but were -4 TO. With 9 RS, best D in years for Temple. PSU O not as explosive TY with loss of top 3 WR's. They're laying 30, but have only scored 31 and 28 pts 1st 2G.
Assessment: Odds are Goliath takes this SU W for granted, giving Temple good shot @ cover.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Temple	Monitor, we might get 31-plus	4% BR	At present, I'd take the +29 1/2, +100 @ Pinnacle. I'll put perhaps 10% of unit on $-line (if I can find one)

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Florida St Seminoles @ BYU Cougars	September 19, 2009	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Hurdle #2 for potential "BCS-buster" Cougs. Last meeting 2000.
Objective: Off LW uninspired 19-9 W over Jacksonville St (FD's 15 a piece), surprised FSU did not garner some line value; OL of +7 1/2 down to a TD some places. Seminole secondary (#60 LY) that allowed 386 YP to Miami Week 1 will have its work cut out for them. You'll recall BYU O was able to put 329 YP on LY #11 pass D in G1. Cougar F7 that held Sooner's in check can certainly make FSU one-dimensional. Venue also a plus as sea-level Seminoles try to deal with 4 quarters of altitude. BYU comes in riding 18G HW streak.
Assessment: With the better D and pass O and a significant HFA BYU should be able to get a TD margin.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
BYU	Monitor	4% BR	-7 currently available @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Toronto @ BC	September 19, 2009	8:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Both off H&H with Argos needing 2 OT to avoid being swept and Lions narrowly missing sweep of Montreal. Possible playoff implications as at present it looks like BC is who Toronto might need to catch.
Objective: Series history not on their side as they've L L9. #9 was come-from-ahead about a month ago when a 22-3 BC 4Q wiped out a 22-7 Argo lead. Lions covered as 3 1/2 pt AF with goofy last play fumble return TD. 4 pts added to that spread and PSPR says BC -9 1/2. Their D played well in B2B vs Alouettes.
Assessment: We'll take potential late game garbage pts out of it with Teaser.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
BC and Under 6-pt Teaser	Why wait?	4% BR	1:1 odds for -1 1/2 and 54 1/2 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Boise St Broncos @ Fresno St Bulldogs	September 18, 2009	7:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: GOY for Bulldogs as they were waxed 61-10 in Boise in LY season finale.
Objective: However, Broncos only 2 conf L since '02, although 1 was here in 2005. That makes them winners of 7 of L8 in series. Reluctant to lay TD-plus as BSU a mediocre 7-7 as a Fav away from Smurf-turf. We saw their D in action in season opener holding quack-attack to 6 FD. FSU D improved with 8 RS, although weakness still a secondary that ranked #116 LY with 20-5 TD-Int ratio.
Assessment: We'll just bet that Boise St gets another conf W.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Boise St and Under 6-pt Teaser	Why wait?	4% BR	-1 and 59 1/2 available @ CRIS for 1:1 odds

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Miami-Fla. Hurricanes	September 17, 2009	5:45 PM Mountain
Subjective: B2B Thursday nights for GT. Hurricanes have had TG circled since 41-23 L LY.
Objective: That was one of several G in 2008 where the Yellow Jacket's new triple option O caught their opposition by surprise. No G more so than vs Miami as Tech piled up a season-high 472 YR. Doubt that happens TY as 'Canes have the benefit of 9 days of prep and a better, more veteran D (only 4 RS LY). LW a semi-MLF for GT as they took on a "virgin" QB (1st hostile road start) and got up 24-0 off an 82 yd TD run and subsequent punt return and fake FG TD's. They were out-scored 27-6 over last 40 minutes. Expecting great O balance from Hurricanes, as they should be able to take advantage of a GT DL that lost 3 of 4 starters and we know they can pass (386 through air vs Florida St). Line reasonable @ mid-SD.
Assessment: With that O balance and the extra time for D to get ready, Miami likely to win on both sides of ball.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Miami-Fla.	Why wait... think this one likely to go higher	4% BR	Already -5 @ CRIS. I'd sell to -6 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Buffalo @ New England	September 14, 2009	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Bills try to avoid NFL infamy of being 1st team to L 12 straight vs an opponent in Brady's return.
Objective: Even with series history, not gonna lay DD in Week 1. What about Total? Perhaps because of Brady and (T.O.?), lines maker has posted high 40's. LY teams had 43 pts combined in their 2G with Totals of 37 1/2 and 35 1/2. Bill's new O definitely a work-in-progress with starters scoring 3 pts in the 15 series of their 5 pre-season G's. In their 11G L streak vs NE, Buffalo averaging 9 ppg.
Assessment: Seems to me there's value on Under.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Buffalo-New England Under	Monitor	4% BR	47 everywhere. I'm going to sell to 45 1/2 (currently +112) @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	San Diego @ Oakland	September 14, 2009	8:15 PM Mountain
Subjective: Another divisional match-up in part 2 of MNF DH and NFL infamy part 2 as well as Chargers look for 12th series win-in-a-row.
Objective: Still... want no part of SD bandwagon that has taken a divisional AF from -7 to DD. Oakland had 15-0 1H lead here in eventual Week 4 28-18 L. These two finished 2008 as my #2 and #6 O's and #26 and #30 D's respectively on yds/pt basis. As a 5-11 team LY, you'd think the Raiders would take pre-season pretty seriously; but they allowed the 2nd most pts @ 107. Typically GBP leans Over, however this Total down a couple from opener of 44. If behind, Oakland plays to bitter end.
Assessment: Number of factors pointing to Over.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
San Diego-Oakland Over	Monitor	4% BR	42 @ CRIS, but @ present, better to sell to 43 1/2, +109 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	NY Jets @ Houston	September 13, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: 2 teams heading into '09 off different directions. Jets went 1-4 SU (0-5 ATS) to end LY, while Texans finished 8-4 including 6 of L7H.
Objective: TG is one of Week 1's versions of the NFL "virgin" as a Jets teams that has not played in a dome since 2006 starts rookie QB Sanchez. With Houston returning the league's #3 O completely intact, they get significant edge there. Both D's have been revamped and that could be a wash. NY was LY's most injury-free team and still missed playoffs. Texans posted 8-8 despite a -10 TO margin. PSPR makes them -9 and looks like line is back to OL of -4 again.
Assessment: A bet on a great O and against a rookie starter.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Houston	Monitor	4% BR	For now another one I'd sell to -5 1/2

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Minnesota @ Cleveland	September 13, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Gonna call this one "B-B-B-Brettie and his ex" for a little rendezvous between Favre and LY HC Mangini. Might give Vikings an edge as they can pick their QB's mind for possible O tendencies of their opponent.
Objective: Favre not what he once was, but obviously ahead of whomever the Browns start. Minny also warrants big LOS edge with league's #1 run D 3 yrs running. Brown's run D only held 2 opponents to < 100 YR LY and it was the #31 and #29 run O's of Indy and Cincy. Good day for Peterson? Cleveland finished '08 losing L6 without an O TD in any of them. Vikings should be able to hold them in check. With Favre's signing, OL of -2 1/2 went through 3 as high as 4, but has drifted back. Line would have been -7 at LY's end and PSPR makes it -10.
Assessment: With QB edge and bigger one @ LOS, I'm OK with an AF.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Minnesota	Monitor	4% BR	Doubt we'll see -3, so would sell to -5 1/2 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Chicago @ Green Bay	September 13, 2009	6:20 PM Mountain
Subjective: Nice divisional match-up to kick off SNF. H team W both LY.
Objective: Bear's Week 16 W a MLF, evidenced by season series total yds of 752-444 GB. That L one of 6 by a total of 21 pts down the stretch that made the Pack a deceptive 6-10 LY. Beware their #8 O as the 1st-stringers did not punt the entire pre-season. Packers switching to a 3-4 with a solid NT and their secondary is healthy again. Much ado about Cutler coming to Chicago, but he was only the #16 rated QB LY (Rodgers #6), threw the 2nd most Int's and is 17-20 SU as a starter. Few changes to their #21 D (#30 vs pass) as it looks like they still don't match up well against GB.
Assessment: GB dominated statistically LY and doesn't look like much has changed.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Green Bay	Monitor, although we may not do better than -4	4% BR	Unless there's a drop in line looks like another sell to -5 1/2

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	San Francisco @ Arizona	September 13, 2009	2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective: 1st of L6G on this week's card - all divisional match-ups. Slight edge 49ers who were swept LY.
Objective: A closer look reveals a very competitive series as total yds in the 2G were only 627-659. Cards W basically because they were +8 TO's. SF was a team on the rise after new HC Singletary used the bye week to put his stamp on the team - 5-3 SU (6-2 ATS) despite a 4-in-5 Away run. Those of you who were with me might recall a Bad Break L on a big MNF parlay when 49ers couldn't put it in vs Arizona from inside the two in last seconds. The Cardinals L both coordinators in off-season, are possibly a little gimpy @ WR and I won't totally write off an 0-4 pre-season with only 53 PF and 100 PA. Expect both series and season TO reversion to mean for SF; -8 and -17 respectively.
Assessment: With > 2:1 odds, we'll take them to get the upset in Arizona this time.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
San Francisco $-line	Monitor	4% BR	Current best +227 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Saskatchewan @ Winnipeg	September 13, 2009	2:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Last of TW 4 rematches, sweeps not the norm; edge Winnipeg.
Objective: Series history on their side as they're on 11-3 H run vs Riders. As predicted LW, Saskatchewan loaded up vs Blue Bombers run O and were successful (37 YR allowed). On other hand, somewhat disconcerting that they allowed QB Bishop a season-high 329 YP and benefited from +4 TO. With expected adjustments to run blocking, Bombers could find some O balance. Rider's D still last in league on yds/pt basis. At half-way mark of CFL season, Winnipeg has played the most unbalanced schedule (only 3HG) and are coming off 4-in-5 on road. Despite that, PSPR makes them -2 1/2.
Assessment: Series history, PSPR and a TO turnaround favor different SU and Total results than LW.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Winnipeg and Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	No parlay Pinnacle (so far?), others are -1 and 50 1/2

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Stanford Cardinal @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons	September 12, 2009	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: 2nd Away and 2nd H G's respectively. 1st meeting.
Objective: Re: match-ups? Can pretty much copy & paste LW Baylor-WF write-up. Vet O (9 RS) vs a green B7. For some reason, GBP going back to the well on Deacs taking OL of Pick 'em to -3. My only concern would be the 9:00 AM Pacific kick-off. However, given the publicity of LW Maryland-Cal start time deal, think fellow Pac-10 Cardinal will "Wake up" early :)
Assessment: We will go back to the well against poor Fav Demon Deacons.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Stanford $-line	Monitor	4% BR	Current +135 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Iowa Hawkeyes @ Iowa St Cyclones	September 12, 2009	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: In-state rivalry that ISU has owned ATS-wise with 10-1 run. LY they covered a semi-MLF 17-5 L with a late safety as 13 1/2 pt AD.
Objective: GBP seems all over that trend as OL of +8 already through 7 and down to 6. End of LY it would have been 17. Both teams played FCS teams LW with disparate results. Iowa needed 2 last second blocked FG's to escape 17-16 vs a team they had beaten 13 straight times. However, NIU made FCS playoffs and L to eventual Champ Richmond. Cyclones defeated mediocre NDSU 34-17; a rush-happy team that did not expose a secondary that ranked dead last LY. My numbers have Hawkeyes with significant YR and total yds edges and a comfy W.
Assessment: Looks like a case of Tier 2 vs Tier 4 @ < a TD spread.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Iowa	Monitor	4% BR	Given above, @ current prices I'd sell through 7 to -7 1/2, +127 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Air Force Falcons @ Minnesota Golden Gophers	September 12, 2009	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Minny comes H @ 1-0 (23-20 OT) barely escaping a L vs 3-9 Syracuse. Not sure whether opening of their new open air on-campus stadium will be a boost or distraction.
Objective: With Utah LY and BYU LW, certainly have to give Air Force's Mountain West conf. some credit. They basically had a scrimmage in Week 1 beating Nicholls St 72-0. Gophers were a lucky team LY finishing a 3rd worst -109 yds/G in conf. play, but +12 in TO's. It's been a while since Minny has seen a triple option, which gives Falcon's the match-up edge. Air Force also returns a vet secondary that should be able to handle Gopher's pass O.
Assessment: We'll take small AD Falcons vs an over-rated team that has not seen their O.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Air Force $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+135 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Vanderbilt Commodores @ LSU Tigers	September 12, 2009	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: SEC opener for both, but no rivalry - last meeting 2005.
Objective: One of my favorites is to look to bet against a MLF winner if they're favored the following week. LSU certainly qualifies being out-yarded 478-321 and out-FD'd 25-17 @ Washington (0-12 SU LY). GBP not caring as OL of -12 through 14 to 14 1/2. Tiger's DL a little suspect with only 1 RS and one thing you need with a big dog is the ability to run. I deem Vandy a legit Tier 3 team and they return 17 starters with a great F7 and LY #13 pass D. AD is their stellar role; 17-4 ATS L5Y and 3-2 SU LY including a W over current #6 ranked 'Ole Miss.
Assessment: Don't expect them to win, but we'll take the >5:1 odds on it.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Vanderbilt $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+527 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Arkansas St Red Wolves @ Nebraska Cornhuskers	September 12, 2009	Noon Mountain
Subjective: Hoping for a li'l LA from 'Huskers who have rematch with VT on deck; L 35-30 as 7-pt HF LY.
Objective: Nebraska also off a MLF. With 49-3 score, on face it looks like they demolished Ark St's fellow Sun Belt conf. member Fla Atlantic, but D gave up 22 FD and 358 yds. Red Wolves will not be intimidated having beaten Big-12 Texas A&M SU LY @ +19 AD. They are probably their conf best team with 12 of top 14 in F7 back along with LY #14 pass D, a vet QB, top 2 WR and Sun Belt's leading rusher.
Assessment: Upset definitely worth a look @ 10:1 or more.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Arkansas St $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+1100 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Memphis Tigers @ Middle Tennessee St Blue Raiders	September 12, 2009	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Tigers should be ready for renewal of in-state rivalry after 21-7 HL in LG in 2007.
Objective: Flip side of the bet against MLF winner is the bet on MLF loser. LW Memphis was toe-to-toe with 'Ole Miss gaining 434 yds before 3 late 4Q TD's made it look like a blowout. My numbers have them with YR edge as Blue Raiders have an inexperienced LB corps.
Assessment: This looks like Tier 3 @ Tier 4 with the better team a small dog.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Memphis	Monitor	4% BR	At present, I'd sell to as high as -2 1/2 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	USC Trojans @ Ohio St Buckeyes	September 12, 2009	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Early season potential NC elimination G. Rematch of LY 35-3 USC HW that got ugly for OSU after late 1H pick-six.
Objective: Time of year we're looking to bet against "virgins". I don't mean those on sorority row, but those QB's making their 1st hostile road start. Trojans going with true frosh Barkley and game's key likely to be whether an improved Ohio St DL can put the onus on him by stopping the run. USC D with only 3 RS and likely down a notch. LW results (Buckeye nail-biter vs Navy, 'SC blowout) getting us line value with OL of +4 1/2 now a TD. My records go back to 1993 and this will be most pts Ohio St has got since then in what will be only their 5th time as a HD. They are 46-1 vs non-conf opposition with the only L in 2005 to eventual NC Texas 25-22.
Assessment: Lotta pts/odds to give a Tier 1 team @ H.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Ohio St $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+250 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Hamilton @ Toronto	September 11, 2009	5:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Edge to Toronto off their -5 TO (including on downs) L 4 days ago.
Objective: However, want no part of a team on 10G H L streak. We'll look to Total. Won on Teaser Under Monday primarily based on Argo O's road woes - they've been much better @ H averaging 24 ppg. Ti-Cat D also a contrast away as they're allowing 28 ppg and going back to LY are on 10-3 Over run. Both teams left a few points off the board LW.
Assessment: Given change in venue and basically no change in the number, looking Over.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Hamilton-Toronto Over	Monitor	4% BR	CRIS has dropped to 47 1/2

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Tennessee @ Pittsburgh	September 10, 2009	6:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Recent tradition continues with season's kick-off featuring defending SB Champs @ H; they're on 7-0-1 ATS (8-0 SU) run in G1's. TY its rematch of 2008 Week 16 battle for AFC #1 seed W by Titans 31-14 as 2 1/2 pt HD. Expecting "60 minutes" from league's #1 D as that was their most pts allowed in all 19G LY. Not that it was all their fault...
Objective: ...Pittsburgh allowed 21 pts off -4 TO's (including a pick-six) giving Tennessee the ball at their 41, 39, and 37. The Titans were out-yarded 374-322 and out-FD'd 23-16. Had TG been played at the end of LY, the line would have been -7; same as my Fair Line. Current -6 looks reasonable as its only about a FG more @ H than Steelers laid on road. You'll recall that Tennessee was LY #2 luckiest team. TY they lose their DC and linchpin DT Haynesworth whom they are 2-5 SU without (21-4 with). Their #27 pass O ought to be shut down by Pittsburgh's #1 pass D. Off-season adjustments to my PSPR make it Steelers -9 1/2.
Assessment: Not a big fan of laying 6-plus in NFL, but analysis points to another G1 W by defending champs and a probable cover.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Pittsburgh	Monitor	4% BR	-6 everywhere. If there's no movement our way, I'd sell to -7, +109 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Edmonton @ Calgary	September 07, 2009	5:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: "Labor Day Classic" likely to live up to it's billing as recent series history has been of the see-saw last team with ball wins variety.
Objective: 4 of L5 decided by 5 or less pts which is also < current -6. Stamps only -2 on PSPR and their average D has them 1-5 ATS as Fav TY. G matches league's #2 vs #1 and #1 vs #2 O's overall and passing respectively. Still... a little reluctant to bet Over a Total in the 60's.
Assessment: I'll call for Calgary to just get the W with score in upper 50's.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Calgary and Over 6-pt Teaser	Monitor	4% BR	Pick 'em and 54 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Toronto @ Hamilton	September 07, 2009	2:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Teams skid in on 4 and 2G L streaks respectively in rematch of 2009's G1. Little edge either way.
Objective: 1Q of that G looking like the highlight of the season to this point for Argos as they were up 20-0. In ensuing 3 3/4G away they have added a mere 38 more pts. I would suggest they try and find some balance on O as in L3G they have a grand total of 30 rushing attempts. Ti-Cats actually now have a HFA of sorts as after winning rest of G1 17-10 they're on 3G SU/ATS H W streak allowing only 43 pts. However, lines maker has tacked on an additional 3 pts to the spread and -6 will be most Hamilton has laid in a long time. Total is down 4 pts from G1.
Assessment: Another Teaser, as we'll use it to add back a little more than lines maker has taken away.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Hamilton and Under 6-pt Teaser	Monitor	4% BR	Pick 'em and 53 @ Pinnacle for 1:1

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Miami-Fla. Hurricanes @ Florida St. Seminoles	September 06, 2009	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Interesting $-line in-state rivalry as Dog W 6 of L7 SU.
Objective: That would seem to make 6-plus pts significant. Hurricanes on road after L LY as HF. Both teams’ DL’s have injury issues, but FSU’s may be more serious as they’re to the interior. QB'ing looks solid, as do the OL's. Believe Miami gets slight edges in both B7 and playmakers as FSU loses their top 3 tacklers, RB and 2 WR's.
Assessment: Given series history and off-season changes will take >2:1 odds on another Dog W.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Miami-Fla $-line	Pinnacle's dropped today	4% BR	Still +230 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Cincinnati Bearcats @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights	September 06, 2009	2:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Week 1 conference showdown between defending Big-East Champ Cincy and Rutgers - another pre-season Fav (best conference yardage differential LY).
Objective: GBP leaning to AD as OL of -6 now 4 1/2 some places; perhaps their focus is on Rutgers losing their starting QB and best WR's. However, I like LOS match-ups as Scarlet Knight's return all 5 starters from what is now probably the Big East's best OL. Their F7 should be better than the unit that held Cincy to an "O-fer" 11 on 3rd downs and only 15 FD LY in 13-10 road L. Worm turned on that G as RU finished LY on 7G W streak. On flip side, Bearcats have a new DC who inherits a D with 1 RS. The entire F7 was wiped out and 3 NFL draft choices were lost from the secondary.
Assessment: With what appear LOS edges on both sides of ball, we'll take the small HF.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Rutgers	Monitor	4% BR	At present, I'd sell to -6, +106 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Winnipeg @ Saskatchewan	September 06, 2009	2:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: With Winnipeg off blowout W and Saskatchewan off MLF L, giving Riders slight edge in 1st of H&H.
Objective: They have W L6 here in series (although 2 of L3 by 5 or less). Blue Bombers about as one-dimensional as it gets in CFL with 48% of yds via ground (other 7 teams averaging 29%). With bye LW, Rider D has had 2 weeks to figure out how to stop the Winnipeg run O and held them to 162 YR total in 2G LY. They should also know LY team-mate and current Bomber QB Bishop's tendencies. Still semi-wary of their #8 ranking in yds/pt. PSPR of only -2 1/2 leans a little to Bombers.
Assessment: Think the way to go is ask Riders to ultimately prevail @ H again and bump up the Total.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Saskatchewan and Under 6-pt Teaser	Monitor	4% BR	Best @ present is 1:1 odds for -1/2 and 57 1/2 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	BYU Cougars vs Oklahoma Sooners @ new Cowboys Stadium	September 05, 2009	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Top 20 neutral site match-up of aspiring "BCS-Buster" vs NC contender.
Objective: Most predominant fact is that D's (17 RS) have edge on O's (9 RS). G pits teams with 6 and 7 RS from F7 and OL's that rank #117 and #107 in career starts. With a high 60's Total and a 3TD-plus spread that has me looking Under and Underdog. We have 2 top-notch QB's, but both WR corps look down a notch from LY.
Assessment: Probably tough for Sooners to extend the margin in what looks lower scoring G.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
BYU and Under Parlay (if possible, otherwise 2 straights @ 2% each)	Get > +21	4% BR	It's early Thurs. AM and so far only CRIS will let me parlay. I'm putting 20% of the 4% on $-line.

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Virginia Tech Hokies vs Alabama Crimson Tide @ Atlanta	September 05, 2009	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: A nice #7 vs #5 showdown.
Objective: Push Score of 22-16 'Bama calling for likely war between 2 top-10 D's of Tier 1 teams. That usually means that QB'ing, TO's and special teams will be magnified. VT is known for the latter and is +51 TO L5Y. 1st start for Tide QB McElroy, while Hokies Taylor has 15. GBP knows RB Evans done for year, but VT may be a little ahead on OL as 'Bama L their best 2 from LY.
Assessment: With odds in our favor and what look like a number of other small potential edges we'll bet on upset.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Virginia Tech $-line	Monitor	4% BR	Current best of +230 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	W Michigan Broncos @ Michigan Wolverines	September 05, 2009	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Upper level MAC team travels to the "Big House". A tight 16-6 W and 13-10 L to MAC schools were part of Michigan's nightmarish 3-9 (2-10 ATS) 2008 season, so no way they take TG lightly.
Objective: Could it be deja vu for 2nd Y HC Rodriguez? He started 3-8 @ WV only to go 9-3 (9-2 ATS) the next year. Looks to be big mismatch @ LOS as Wolverine OL that returns intact takes on a WMU DL with only 1 RS. New UM DC Robinson is switching to a 3-4 to take advantage of a LB corps that has the team's #1, 2 and 4 tacklers. The secondary was iffy LY, but the Broncos lost 3 of top 4 WR. A Michigan O with 10 RS has now had a full year to learn the system.
Assessment: Expecting LOS dominance and that means < 2 TD not too much to cover.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Michigan	Why wait	4% BR	-12 1/2 everywhere, I'd sell to -14, +108 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Georgia Bulldogs @ Oklahoma St Cowboys	September 05, 2009	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Tables turned a bit for these 2 TY. Whereas "UGA" was LY pre-season #1, they're a bit under the radar. The Cowboys are AP #9 and trying to defend it.
Objective: Personally, I consider the Bulldogs Tier 1 and OSU Tier 2 and the higher team is getting almost 2:1 odds. Granted they lost the overall #1 draft pick, RB Moreno and #2 WR Massaquoi. However, the OL is back intact and they have 8 RS off a solid SEC D. QB Cox is lightly experienced, but does have a career 5:1 TD-Int ratio. He will face a #64 pass D that L 3 of 4 starters. OSU allowed 44 ppg L4G LY. Meanwhile, the Cowboy's O looks great again. Georgia is a dog for only the 2nd time L17G and HC Richt is 30-4 SU away in his tenure.
Assessment: We'll take the odds on proven Tier 1 road warrior.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Georgia $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+180 most places

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Maryland Terrapins @ California Golden Bears	September 05, 2009	8:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: What goes around come around? LY the Terps scheduled a Noon (9:00 AM Pacific) start and had the still-hibernating Bears down 21-6 end 1H and held on 35-27. They were out-yarded 461-297. TY Cal returns the favor as with a 7:00 PM local start TG will end about 1:30 in the morning for Maryland.
Objective: Cal has a vet QB, RB Best (8.1 YPC LY) and its top 2 WR's behind a solid OL. In addition, LY #3 pass D returns its entire secondary and the DL is intact. Maryland looks to be in rebuilding mode with only 1 true RS in the F7, their top WR (Heyward-Bey) gone and an OL that ranks #113 in career starts. My numbers have the Bears with >YR than the Terps total O.
Assessment: With those kind of stats and the scheduling in their favor TY, believe they want to and can cover 3 TD's.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Cal	Monitor	4% BR	Pinnacle has -21, -103

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Baylor Bears @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons	September 05, 2009	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Rematch of LY G1 in which WF got 21 pts off 5 Baylor TO's for 41-13 W. Bye on deck for Bears who have likely been focused on TG since Spring.
Objective: At 8-2 ATS after LY G and with 16 RS they look to be on the verge of moving past "Charlie Brown" status. Main reason is QB Griffin: 2934 total yds with 15-3 TD-Int ratio in 2008. He'll face Wake D that lost 7 starters, including 6 of B7 and top 5 tacklers (4 NFL draft choices). Bear's D has 8 RS with 5 of F7 plus Penn St transfer DT Taylor. While Deacs excel as dog under HC Grobe (32-21-2 ATS) they've been a poor Fav going 13-28-1 ATS (only 8-19-1 @ H).
Assessment: With the Wake D down a couple notches we'll take rising Baylor program in mild upset.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Baylor $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+116 @ Pinnacle is current best

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Montreal @ BC	September 04, 2009	8:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Giving significant edge to Lions in 1st of a H&H as they're off blowout L and now bringing up the rear in the West while Alouettes have 3G lead in East. 2 systems in their favor: 1. They are HD off L as HF and normally teams who lose @ H when they're "supposed" to W come back with a big effort when they're supposed to lose. 2. Als are Fav off MLF being out-yarded 423-291 LG, but +5 TO (counting on downs) and often such teams are a little complacent.
Objective: Line value too as BC was -6 here LY and at present are catching 5-plus points. With combo of Simon/Jackson they torched Montreal pass D for 725 yds in 2G LY. Als have not W here since 2000.
Assessment: Like emotional edge and line value on the upset.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
BC $-line	Monitor	4% BR	Current best is Pinnacle's +198

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Oregon Ducks @ Boise St Broncos	September 03, 2009	8:15 PM Mountain
Subjective: Compelling G2 of ESPN DH as Ducks look for revenge of 37-32 L LY as -10 HF. Broncos are trying to make it 50 SU W in-a-row on the "smurf turf".
Objective: GBP's $ is saying "I don't think so" as OL of -5 1/2 hitting a FG some places. That would be the least BSU has laid here since last L in 2001. Had TG gone off end of LY, line would have been -10. Both F7's took a hit with only 3 & 2 RS. O LOS edge goes to H team with 3 RS vs an Oregon OL that loses 6 of their top 10 including the 2 best. LY the Broncos topped 10 YPP in their W and gets to go vs a secondary that's less experienced. This venue is not the best place to break in a new HC.
Assessment: Boise St is a legit Tier 1 team laying only a FG where they have not L in about 8 years.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Boise St	Monitor (closely)	4% BR	-3 available @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Hamilton @ Edmonton	August 29, 2009	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Seems longer due to intervening byes, but these 2 teams met just 2G ago. The Eskimos L a 28-21 MFL (442-304 total yds) so they'll be ready. After laying 23-0 1H egg in LG, expecting "A" game from Ti-Cats as well.
Objective: Hamilton took G1 due primarily to +3 TO's, one of which was a pick-six as they overcame 12-0 1H and 21-14 3Q deficits. In Edmonton's LG they finally broke even in TO department (1-1) after going -16 Weeks 1-6. Despite a -13 PSPR, once again reluctant to lay 7-plus in CFL as only 1 of Esks 4W by >5 pts. Edmonton's O getting progressively better @ H with 19, 22, 33 and 38 pts. Their D ranks #6. Teams are on 10-3 and 9-4 Over runs Away and Home respectively.
Assessment: Another G where Teaser option looks best.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Edmonton and Over 6-pt Teaser	Why wait?	4% BR	1:1 again @ Pinnacle with -1 1/2 and 48

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Calgary @ Toronto	August 28, 2009	5:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Both off bye and L's. Rematch of Week 3 44-9 semi-MLF in which Calgary W 2H 31-0.
Objective: Despite only 418-341 edge in total yds, Stamps got 3 D TD's with 1st on last play 3Q. That G ran series W streak to 4 and Toronto L L9H. See no line value on Calgary who @ current -6 1/2 are laying only 1/2 pt less on road than @ H. Push Score of about 31-24 and Argonauts have scored a total of 39 pts in L4G vs Calgary. Still skeptical of Stamps run D, but series history in favor of them keeping Argos #8 O somewhat under wraps.
Assessment: Looks at least like the 2 streaks will continue and we'll add some cushion to Total.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Calgary and Under 6-pt Teaser	Why wait	4% BR	Prefer the 1:1 of Pinnacle's -1 and 60

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Winnipeg @ BC	August 21, 2009	8:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Winnipeg off blowout HL, while BC eked out W (and then last play miracle cover) @ Toronto. A better BC team swept a H&H vs a better Winnipeg team LY.
Objective: TY lines maker has kept OL about the same (-8 1/2 vs -7 1/2). PSPR at only -4 1/2 and reluctant to lay that many with Lion's #7 ranked D. Meanwhile, it looks as though Bomber's D was more lucky than good as after getting +13 TO's in 1st 5G (20 ppg) they're 34 ppg L2 (-4 TO). However, their O too inconsistent to bet Over outright.
Assessment: We'll go Teaser route instead.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
BC and Over 6-pt Teaser	Monitor, BC may go up/Total may go down	4% BR	1:1 @ Pinnacle with -1 1/2 and 44 1/2

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Hamilton @ Saskatchewan	August 16, 2009	5:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Hamilton riding 5G ATS W streak, while Saskatchewan looking to bounce back off L @ BC that made them 1-3 SU L4 after 2-0 start.
Objective: Riders eked out 1 and 5 pt W's LY to push series W streak to 10G. However, will minimize that as this seems like a different Ti-Cat team. At 4-2 SU TY they've already W 3G they probably would have L LY. Big difference has been a D that ranks #2 on yds/pt basis. Rider D is dead last. D's have allowed 92 vs 155 pts respectively L5. G also pits league's #1 Run O (122 YR) vs #8 Run D (139 YR). While PSPR makes Hamilton a 1 pt Fav, GBP has pushed opener of Riders -5 to -6. So far TY, these teams are headed in opposite directions.
Assessment: We'll accept almost 2:1 odds that Hamilton can keep it going.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Hamilton $-line	Monitor	4% BR	Pinnacle yet to post with +190 elsewhere

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Montreal @ Winnipeg	August 15, 2009	6:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Winnipeg has a chance to move ahead of Toronto, while Montreal has Hamilton on their heels. LY Alouettes took 1st 2G handily (by 14 and 28) before meaningless 1 pt HL in Week 18. Fact they allowed 153 YR in that one should have them focused.
Objective: It was total of 90 YR allowed in prior 2G of 2008. Montreal has #1 D by far in pts/100 yds at 4.1 (Riders #8 @ 8.7) and has only 1 >20 pt G. After LW Blue Bomber O has 2G of >20 pts - although vs Calgary 20 were in 2H garbage time. Push Score is 28-20 and tough to foresee Winnipeg getting their share. PSPR is Alouettes -6 1/2, but no favors from lines maker with current -8 (LY they were -2 here). He's adjusted Total as well given L2 of LY went off @ 55.
Assessment: We'll take Montreal under a FG and add some cushion to Under.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Montreal and Under 6 Pt. Teaser	Why wait	4% BR	Current best is 1:1 odds on -2 and 53 1/2 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Calgary @ Edmonton	August 13, 2009	7:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: 1st incarnation in 2009 of CFL’s “Battle of Alberta”. After being swept in ’07, Edmonton took 2 of 3 LY with Labour Day H&H ending in split (as usual). HFA not large with Away team 3-3 L2Y. However, as small HF off semi-MLF LW (442-304 total yds) giving slight to Eskimos.
Objective: Despite LW L, things looking up for Edmonton as they seem to have finally found a running game; 312 yds L3G. Red flag for Stamps who still have DL issues (Labinjo is ?) and allowed 232 YR in non-covering HW vs Winnipeg. PSPR says Calgary -2, while I made a Fair Line of Edmonton -3 (they were -4 in G2 of H&H LY). Both teams @ 3-3 and in 3-way tie for 1st in what, at least for now, seems to be the mediocre West. They have got there in different ways as evidenced by an incredible discrepancy of 25 in TO margin (+9 vs -16). We’re 6G in TY and the Eskimos have 1 recovered fumble and 0 picks! That looks like a worm overdue to turn.
Assessment: In this basically pick-the-winner G its H team that looks under-rated.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Edmonton	Monitor	4% BR	-1 everywhere. I suppose we could try to wait for a possible line move up, but with a better attached $-line @ Pinnacle.

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Toronto @ Montreal	August 07, 2009	5:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Montreal is looking to bounce back off 1st L of season. However, gonna give edge to Toronto who dominated stats-wise LW @ H vs. Winnipeg in our "Dumb Luck" W. Another instance of a team that feels it should have won showing up the following week as a dog.
Objective: And big dog they are as GBP has pushed OL of -13 1/2 to 2 TD. That's a full TD higher than G here LY. Will point out that in H&H split with Blue Bombers, Argos outyarded the league's best rushing team 322-121. Possibility of nice balance exists as Toronto had 400 YP in LG of 2008 vs. Alouettes. Argos also owed a few breaks off -6 TO LW and they are a rare net 4 on my TO turnaround system.
Assessment: Not a game we expect Toronto to win, but they look under-rated.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Toronto $-line	Monitor	4% BR	As I write (it's 6:27 AM as boat approaches Linz, Austria) only $-line is the +450 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Saskatchewan @ BC	August 07, 2009	8:35 Mountain
Subjective: Ups and downs of CFL seem to favor Lions here. Off 2L, Saskatchewan W big upset 4Q nail-biter in their H-away-from-H (crowd in Calgary LW probably 40% Rider fans). Meanwhile, BC is -7 TO L2G and out-scored 78-28 after their road blowout of Edmonton.
Objective: G1 TY was ugly 15 TO see-saw match-up where a wide open Lion’s WR dropped last minute G-winning over-the-shoulder catch. That broke 3G series W streak. BC W ground war 114-75 yds as Rider’s have not out-rushed an opponent yet TY. Venue has changed, but line has not with Lions the same small Fav they were in Week 1.
Assessment: Don’t foresee Riders being able to bring same emotion to this early season rematch that they did LW as big dog.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
BC	Monitor	4% BR	Current best is Pinnacle's -1 1/2, +100

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Winnipeg @ Toronto	August 01, 2009	11:05 AM Mountain
Subjective: G2 of H-and-H and must give edge to G1 losing Blue Bombers. Away team has W 4 of L7 in series.
Objective: After LW, those 7 all Under as well. Total down 6 pts, but even so only 1G of L7 would have topped it. Teams combined for 210 YP LW which is less than the average of all but 1 team in the league. Looking like former Argo QB Bishop will get start. His extra arm strength may help Winnipeg's struggling O (9 pts L2G). PSPR makes it Toronto only -1/2 and hard to justify Argos laying significant pts when they're on 7G H L streak.
Assessment: H&H CFL sweeps are rare and we'll continue to ride series Under streak.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Winnipeg $-line & Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	Best likely to be @ Pinnacle once they post it

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Montreal @ Edmonton	July 30, 2009	7:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Edge to H team off comeback W (from 22-0 hole) looking to avenge Week 2 50-16 blowout L.
Objective: One of those G's where emotions and stats conflict with PSPR @ Montreal -16. My TO turnaround system also favors Eskimos. You'll recall our earlier "Bad Break" L in TG as it was only 19-9 early 4Q before all Hell broke lose for the 66 pt final score. Alouette's D has allowed 50 pts all year, including a last minute garbage TD to Edmonton. Eskimos W LW in part due to finally showing some run O, but can they repeat it? (Montreal 57 YR/G allowed TY). Lines maker has added 2 1/2 to OT of G1.
Assessment: Think GBP thinking more about what G1 score was rather than how it got there.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Mon-Edm Under	Monitor	4% BR	Pinnacle has 54 1/2 @ +100

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Calgary @ BC	July 24, 2009	8:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Battle of LY Western finalists and loser is going to 1-3. Slight edge to BC as rare HD.
Objective: Calgary swept all 4G LY although 3 were @ H and last a semi-MLF (317-422 total yds). PSPR has them +4 1/2 with a current line of -2 1/2, but huge BC bandwagon ought to raise a (beet-) red flag. After poor early play, Stamp's D seemed to gel LW (36 YR allowed). BC D only allowing 22 ppg TY. A 2nd Over bandwagon has bet OT of 58 up to 60 which ties highest Total of entire 2008 for all 8 teams! That one went Under by 16 pts BTW.
Assessment: Another Under - basically on principle.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Calgary-BC Under	Monitor	4% BR	60 most places

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Toronto @ Winnipeg	July 24, 2009	5:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Both off disappointing, poorly played L's - winner ties Hamilton for East's #2 @ .500.
Objective: Conflicting signs on side. PSPR has Bombers -10, but Argos get nod on TO turnaround system (Winnipeg +7 TO margin so far TY) and I have them winning on yds/pt score prediction. Also hard to lay pts with an O that has only scored 6 and 8 pts in 2 of 3G. Their QB LeFors continues to struggle and is making them about as one-dimensional to the run (only 151 YP/G) as Edmonton is to the pass. Both teams were already down multiple WR's and suspension of Toronto's pass leader Bruce III adds to that. L6 in series Under including all 4 LY with an average of 35 pts and a high of 48.
Assessment: Current Total 50-plus, so see no reason not to ride series history.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Toronto-Winnipeg Under	Why wait?	4% BR	51, -110 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Hamilton @ Montreal	July 23, 2009	5:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Will call motivations equal in early season battle between East's current top two teams.
Objective: No fan of laying 2 TD's in CFL where garbage pts potential is huge. On other hand, although we're only 3G in, PSPR is Alouettes -20 1/2. We'll have a look @ Total. In LY series' 4G closing number went progressively up: 45 1/2, 52, 55 1/2 and 58. Lines maker has taken middle ground with OT of 54 1/2 and GBP likes Over as current line is 56. Both D's improved with Montreal allowing 44 pts on D TY, while Ti-Cats allowing 44 in L11Q. Push Score of 35-21 asking for significantly more than either team's average.
Assessment: GBP perhaps a little too focused on Montreal O and not enough on respective D's.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Ham-Mont Under	Monitor	4% BR	Pinnacle has 56, -105

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Montreal @ Saskatchewan	July 18, 2009	1:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Lotsa parity TY as winner TG will be only undefeated team after only Week 3.
Objective: Therefore, we'll look @ line value. Rare HD role for Riders who went 1-0 SU/ATS getting pts LY (vs Calgary). Current +4 1/2 represents a 9 pt swing from 2008 - an 8 pt Saskatchewan W. Their QB Durant now 6-0 as starter. Figured this one a coin flip with Fair Line of Pick 'em. Adjusted and unadjusted PSPR's are Sask. +1 1/2 and -2 1/2.
Assessment: Taking the odds on Riders as substantial HD.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Saskatchewan $-line	Monitor	4% BR	Current best of +170 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Toronto @ Calgary	July 17, 2009	7:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Are 2 wake-up calls enough for defending champs? Argos looking to smarten up after ugly 5 TO/141 penalty yds performance @ H vs Saskatchewan.
Objective: Want no part of laying 7-plus with a Calgary D that can't stop the run (160 YR/G allowed) or rush the passer (2 sacks TY). DL even more of a work-in-progress now with 2 DE out tonight. Toronto O looked dangerous early vs Hamilton Week 1 and early and late LW (465 TY) when they weren't shooting themselves in the foot. Their D seems farther along than Stamp's with only 217 YP/G allowed. Adjusted and unadjusted PSPR's reflect the above with Calgary only -3 and -1/2 respectively. My Totals numbers point to Over.
Assessment: We'll take a shot with parlay.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Toronto $-line and Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	Current best of +250 and 55 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	BC @ Edmonton	July 16, 2009	7:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Will call things about even with Lions @ 0-2 and Eskimos off blowout L.
Objective: BC L semi-bogus (444-377 TY, 26-16 FD) @ -2 TO including G turning late 3Q pick-six. Teams normally perform well as dogs off games they think they should have won and Lions were 5-0 ATS (3 SU W) as AD LY. Little HFA in 2008 series with each going 1-1 away for 2-2 split. Team that W TO margin W all 4G. Edmonton one-dimensional (as usual) with 212 vs 454 YR. Eskimos pass O not looking as dangerous (only 1 TD TY) without deep threat Campbell. In 2G here in '08 it was BC -2, then +3 1/2 - and now they're hitting +5 some places for tonight. Adjusted and unadjusted PSPR's of Edmonton -2 1/2 and -1 respectively.
Assessment: BC somewhat cheap and in their best role - TO's the story again?
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
BC $-line	Monitor	4% BR	Pinnacle's up 1st @ +173

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Saskatchewan @ Toronto	July 11, 2009	11:05 AM Mountain
Subjective: Final Inter-divisional G of week as East goes for 4-0 sweep. Saskatchewan W both G LY.
Objective: They did it @ LOS with 349-200 YR edge. LOS will likely be key here as well. Argonauts got up 20-0 LW and were able to coast, but their rebuilt OL will face an aggressive Rider D that totaled 9 sacks Week 1. Saskatchewan's O was better than expected LW with 313-186 YP edge vs BC. Lines maker and I had this one basically a Pick 'em with OL of Toronto -1 and PSPR of Saskatchewan -1. GBP thinking otherwise as current line now -3 1/2. That represents a 13 pt swing from the +9 1/2 here in LG of season LY.
Assessment: Argos have played 1G since - is 2 TD line move really warranted?
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Saskatchewan $-line	Monitor	4% BR	Current best of +145 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Calgary @ Winnipeg	July 10, 2009	5:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Both off disappointing L's - expect defending champ Stamps have better bounce back potential than rebuilding Blue Bombers.
Objective: However, Calgary still trying to get DL figured out (176 YR allowed, 0 sacks LW) and will point out that going back to LY Winnipeg is out-rushing their opponent's 165-68 L6G. New QB LeFors could benefit from some play action. Believe driving rain and slick field a significant factor in helping Bombers keep it close LW. We'll see how their D stacks up vs. a Calgary O with a more solidified OL and the return of WR's Rambo and Thelwell.
Assessment: Stamp's O should be more in sync, while both D's a work-in-progress.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Calgary-Winnipeg Over	Monitor	4% BR	52 everywhere

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Edmonton @ Montreal	July 09, 2009	5:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Both @ 1-0, but Montreal off bigger revenge W vs. Calgary. Additional slight edge to Edmonton who are looking for playoff revenge themselves after 36-26 L here in Eastern Final LY.
Objective: My adjusted PSPR favors Alouettes @ -10, but current price of -7 (OL -6) does not. They were only -5 1/2 and -3 1/2 @ H vs. Eskimos in 2008. Only 1G, but Edmonton still missing semblance of O balance with 15 for only 33 YR LW. Both D's looked improved in Week 1 allowing 8 and 20 pts respectively. In addition to Montreal, early action on Over which is up a half point to 52 1/2.
Assessment: We'll take point spread out of it and hook to Under.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Montreal + Under 6 Pt. Teaser	Monitor	4% BR	-1 & 58 1/2 currently paying 1:1 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	BC @ Saskatchewan	July 03, 2009	7:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Roughriders looking to start season by avenging a 33-12 HL in LY Western Semi-Final.
Objective: However, that made it 3 straight for Lions over Saskatchewan. They did it primarily with D, limiting Roughriders to 19 ppg. BC returns their secondary intact and led league with interceptions, while Saskatchewan led league in throwing them. Will give BC the nod @ QB and WR. Lion's D did take a hit with loss of sack leader Wake, but it may not show tonight as Riders patchwork OL may have 4 different starters. They struggled in pre-season with only 12 and 19 pts. Rider D also has 4 changes in back 8. Had a look @ Over, but L5 in series Under and can't bank on Saskatchewan getting their share. GBP has taken OL of BC -1 1/2 to Pick 'em.
Assessment: A few edges add up to a BC play.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
BC	Monitor	4% BR	Pick -110 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Toronto @ Hamilton	July 01, 2009	5:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Rivalry G between CFL's two worst teams LY.
Objective: Ti-Cats turned the series around in 2008, taking 2 of 3 after L L7. Hamilton dominated LOS averaging 260 YR/G, while outscoring Toronto 108-68 in 3G. Their rebuilding started mid-season LY with coaching change and should be ahead of the Argos who waited until off-season and have key addition Moreno listed as ?. Ti-Cats return the core of their O and the D looks improved. QB Porter could be the real sleeper as he was #3 LY in passing efficiency closing out with 72% completions and an 8:2 TD:Int ratio L4G. Toronto has L L9G since winning a 34-31 squeaker here as +3 AD. Surprisingly, they opened -2 and despite a line move to +2, Hamilton is still cheaper than LY. My subjective adjustments to LY PSPR have them -6 1/2. Hamilton gets my nod for most improved team yet they have the lowest season W Total and its 1W < LY. A couple early wins would help them lose the "Charlie Brown" psychology. Think they can win at least a third of their G's and we'll take 10:1 shot @ winning East.
Assessment: See no reason series LOS dominance won't continue.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
1. Hamilton 2. Hamilton Over Season W's and W East	Why wait	1. 4% BR 2. 2 & 1% BR respectively	-2, -103 and Over 5 1/2, -121 @ Pinnacle. +1000 @ BetUS.

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFL	Montreal @ Calgary	July 01, 2009	8:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Lean towards defending champs who know they have target on their back and get pumped at least for G1. Stamps also on 6G H W streak and took all 3 from Montreal LY.
Objective: However, a huge move from a -3 1/2 OL through the numbers 4, 6 and 7 is making this look like a Lemming Line. Alouette's problem vs Calgary LY was an inability to balance their O, gaining only 58 YR/G. They might fare better here as Stamps lost 3 of 4 DL including top sack man. G pits LY's 2 most efficient O's and Montreal was mediocre vs pass LY. Calvillo and Co. averaged well over 300 YP/G vs Calgary. The 2G in Montreal saw 42 and 36 pts, but it was a different story here with 71 (closing Total 58). GBP has bet OT of 55 down to 52, making it the lowest Total in L14 Montreal G's.
Assessment: Two superior O's, a Calgary D perhaps down a notch and relatively low Total.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Mon-Cal Over	Monitor	4% BR	52 1/2, +110 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	LA @ Orlando	June 14, 2009	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Magic have made a living bouncing back from close L's TY in playoffs - hard to see them rolling over @ H here. They've also had an extra day to refocus.
Objective: After G4, this series now a made shot by Lee and a miss by Fisher (or a made FT by Howard) from being 3-1 the other way. Expecting Orlando to be smarter (-14 IQ LG), shoot a higher FT% (59% LG) and get a reversion to mean from Lewis (2 of 10, 6 pts G4). Lines maker has stopped swinging the pendulum as OL of -2 1/2 only a 1/2 pt more than LG closer.
Assessment: Magic have the emotional edge and are laying fewer pts than in G3.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Orlando	Monitor, some Laker $ as the day moves on?	4% BR	Currently -3 everywhere and again like selling pts @ Pinnacle (-4, +112)

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	LA @ Orlando	June 11, 2009	7:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Clash of trends here as Lakers 6-0 ATS/SU off playoff L, while Magic W L5H. Orlando also W 8 of L9H (only L by 1 pt) since playoff opening buzzer-beater L to Philly.
Objective: Despite posting a G3 OL of -4, lines maker still able to get GBP to pay through the nose (and for many through their wallets) for Orlando as spread closed @ -4 1/2. Bookies perhaps a little grumpy as Lewis' 2 FT with 0.2 seconds remaining resulted in some pushes. Final made LA 3-1 ATS (2-2 SU) as AD. With a 2 1/2 pt G4 line adjustment (OL Orlando -2) where's the value tonight? Will make a not-so-startling prediction: Unlike G3, Magic will not shoot a higher % from the field (63%) than Lakers from FT line (62%). However, LA also unlikely to hit 51% and go +14 in FG attempts either. TG and series could be a case of who has figured out who(m). In 1st 6Q of regulation, Magic averaging 18/Q (110 pts) and in L6Q it's 27 per for 161 pts. Howard's shooting has gone from 17% to 50% to 83% and with a respectable 68% FT's (28 of 41), he's getting > 1 1/2 pts per FG attempt. Orlando is spreading it around as in LG only 1 player (Gortat 0 for 1) shot < 50%. Meanwhile, after a 40 pt G1, Bryant has gone for 29 and 31 with far fewer FT's than Howard (21 for 28). Given LG's 212 pts OT up 3 to 201 1/2. Teams may re-focus on D, but with Orlando's O on a roll passing on Total. Current line is fewest pts Lakers are getting as playoff AD TY. Pivotal G for our series plays, but not yet a good hedging opportunity.
Assessment: Thinking lines maker has swung the pendulum back a little too far and unlike G3, value now with Magic.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Orlando	Monitor, more Laker $ coming?	4% BR	At present I like selling from -2, -108 to -3 1/2, +119 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	LA @ Orlando	June 09, 2009	7:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Magic get the edge - back H after missing good opportunity to split 1st 2G in L.A.
Objective: Will do a little "comparison shopping" to see if there's value in Orlando. Current line of -4 a 10 1/2 pt swing from G2. It's a 5 1/2 pt move from the +1 1/2 Magic got vs Lakers in regular season G here. Looking @ last series, Orlando was only -1 1/2, +1 1/2 and -2 at H vs Cleveland. I made a Fair Line of -2 1/2 and PSPR has it Magic -1/2 pt. Add that all up and I don't want LA because Orlando has subjective edge, but I don't Magic either as in a number of ways they look too pricey. Total-wise, line of 198 is now off 7 1/2 pts from G1 closer. However, after low scoring 1H LG, we got a 101 pt 2H (OT excluded). Don't see value in another Under and my numbers not right for an Over.
Assessment: Given our 2 still live series bets, cheering for a Magic W - otherwise my wallet's sitting this one out.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
No Play	N/A	N/A

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Orlando @ LA	June 07, 2009	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Edge Magic off G1 blowout - they're 6-1 SU off playoff L so far TY.
Objective: Orlando could not have shot much worse LG @ < 30%. In fact, they were an incredible 18% for the remainder of the G after going up 33-28 3 1/2 minutes into 2Q. A lot of those missed shots were open looks. The norm would be to move the line against the team looking to bounce back, however it's the Lakers that are a 1/2 pt higher than G1. Expect some subtle spacing adjustments and better passing from Howard out of double-teams. Magic HC Van Gundy admitted to making a mistake by leaving just-off-injury Nelson on court for whole 2Q. We may see some "twin towers" with a Howard/Gortat combo @ times. Magic got to line more LG (29-18 FT attempts) and W IQ battle by +4.
Assessment: With a reversion to mean in Orlando shooting in the offing, will take almost 3:1 odds they make it 7-1 off L.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Orlando $-line	Monitor	4% BR	Current best +290 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Orlando @ LA	June 04, 2009	7:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Scheduling not an issue as teams have 4 and 5 full days rest respectively.
Objective: As evidence of the rule-of-thumb to not place too much emphasis on any trend - unlike LY when series' G1 H teams were 13-2 SU (10-5 ATS), TY they're only 7-7 SU (6-8 ATS). In that mix is a Laker's G1 L to Houston and an eke-out non-covering W vs Denver, along with Magic's G1 W's both @ Boston and Cleveland. Orlando is 3-1 SU in season series L2Y getting sweep TY by virtue of only HW L4G. Thinking H court may not be worth as much as usual given we have NBA's #1 (Lakers 29-12) and #2 (Orlando tied with 2 others @ 27-14) Away teams. GBP biased towards Laker's and Western conference with OL of -6 that's 1 1/2 pts higher than LG between these two; a 109-103 Laker HL. However, East W 3 of L5 Finals and at 22-8 SU vs West, Magic a notch better than LA's 21-9 vs East. Orlando obviously solid with #5 D, #3 D Rebounding % and #3 Away 3's %. Current PSPR has them +3 1/2 G1 and they'd be -1 1/2 @ H. Given all the above it's Orlando that has the value with current $-lines giving them only 28% and 30% shots @ G1 and series respectively. Rather than take them in overall series at lower odds we'll simply play them to W G1. 2-3-2 format makes for a different series dynamic and can minimize H court advantage. But since the change in 1985, only 2 H teams have swept G3-5 and they were both from the East in L5Y ('04 Pistons, '06 Heat). We'll play series by taking equal shots @ Orlando in 5, 6 and 7G; all of which are paying about 10:1. Assuming a back-and-forth series there will be hedging opportunities along the way. Finally, there is a starter that's averaging 15.2 ppg in playoffs and the lines maker has posted a proposition bet of Over/Under 15.5 pts for G1. I'll tell you that he's also averaging 12.3 ppg @ H (Median of 11, with only 2G > 15 pts). However, on the road it's 17.7 ppg (Median of 16 with 7G of at least 15 pts). Guess who?
Assessment: 1. Magic looking under-priced given series history, PSPR, their records Away and vs West and team's respective G1 playoff performances. 2. Think lines maker may have overlooked Turkoglu's H-A playoff scoring split.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
1. Orlando to W G1 and series 2. Turkoglu Over G1	Monitor	1. 4% BR G1 and 3 @ 1% BR series. 2. 2% BR	1. +255 @ Pinnacle. Orlando 4-1 +1200 @ BetUS, 4-2 +1000 and 4-3 +950 both @ Pinnacle. Turkoglu Over 15.5, -103 @ Pinnacle.

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	LA @ Denver	May 29, 2009	7:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Edge Nuggets back H off L with serious series pattern of loser 4-0 SU/ATS in next G.
Objective: Lakers pretty much don't step up unless they have to with 3-5 SU/1-7 ATS record off playoff W. Denver 4-0 SU/ATS off playoff L. Even though Lakers covered G5, they were -4 O Reb's and -7 IQ. Nuggets had 7 more FG attempts, but were a cold 38%. Much like G3 to G4, expecting reversion to mean in their shooting particularly back H. They W G4 by 19 pts despite a 3 of 16 performance by 'Melo.
Assessment: H court should fuel a W/cover and a G7.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Denver	Why wait	4% BR	Right now we can sell to just < -7; -6 1/2, +116 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Orlando @ Cleveland	May 28, 2009	6:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Hard to fathom a team with a 44-3 record TY bowing out of playoffs @ H.
Objective: However, with a (probably inflated) PSPR of -5 and their series L streak now @ 9G, want no part of Cav's. Orlando covered by minimum of 2 1/2 and average of 7 1/2 ppg in those 9W. Think the way to play TG is to hone in on Push Score of 99-91. History says Magic will get theirs as L10G in series they're averaging 103 ppg with a low of 93. As Lebron put it after G4, "We're breaking down in areas we haven't broken down all year... We got to give up something". Magic likely with nothing-to-lose mentality and currently shooting 3's with #3 %. Current line of 7 1/2 just above key number of 7. That still leaves significant room for a potential Cleveland W but with a 10th straight series non-cover.
Assessment: Orlando's O match-up edges favor them in Over parlay.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Orlando & Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+7 1/2 & 190 everywhere. I'm going with 20% (of the 4%) on $-line

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Denver @ LA	May 27, 2009	7:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Off G4 blowout L, edge reverts back to Lakers. So far, they have been up to the challenge every time in playoffs TY.
Objective: In fact, these 2 teams are a collective 9-0 SU/ATS off a playoff L. LA has done it primarily with D allowing 87 ppg going 4-1 Under. Expect that to be their focus here - along with defending the backboard as Nuggets had 20 O Reb's LG. With 3 ATS L's in series, Laker $ looks gun-shy as GBP about 60:40 Denver. LA price no higher than G's 1 & 2. Monday's final total of 221 a little deceptive as teams were scoring 47 pts/Q until wacky foul-filled 78 pt 4th. However, current Total of 209 1/2 is now 4 1/2 pts off G1 closer and 1st 2G here averaged 208 1/2.
Assessment: "Zig-Zag" likely to continue with a Laker W & cover.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
LA	Monitor	4% BR	At present we can sell just up to key number of -7 from -6, +100 and get an additional 21 cents (+9 & then +12) @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Cleveland @ Orlando	May 26, 2009	6:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Cav's trying to avoid 1-3 hole. However, with Magic a HD for only 2nd time TY and Cleveland G Williams guaranteeing a series W, any edge looks largely watered down.
Objective: Allowing 4 pts for H court advantage, current line of Cleveland -1 1/2 (3 pt swing from LG) means GBP content to call Cav's better by 5 1/2 on neutral floor. Yet Orlando W 6 of L8/L4H SU and covered 8 straight in series. Given that, seems to me match-ups distinctly favor Magic. Granted James had off night G3 (11 of 28). On the other hand, #3 scorer Turkoglu only 1 of 11 and Howard limited to 27 minutes by foul trouble and Orlando still W by 10. In only other HD role TY, Magic beat Lakers. Line of 188 and L2G scores of 188 and 191 equals a pass on Total.
Assessment: With series history such as it is, value lies in plus odds for H team.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Orlando	Monitor	4% BR	Best deal right now is to sell to -1, +112 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	LA @ Denver	May 25, 2009	7:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Ebb and flow of emotion swings edge back to Denver here.
Objective: Lakers 1-6 ATS off playoff W, Nuggets 3-0 SU/ATS off playoff L. Laker D or poor shot selection by Denver G3? Probably a bit of both. Nuggets got full of themselves and went 39% from field. That epitomized by sub Smith who hoisted 10 3's - making only 2 of them, but getting T'd up for his antics after 3Q buzzer-beater. Ensuing FT began the game-winning 32-18 4Q run. Nuggets came into G with #2 3's % but went 5 of 27 (Anthony/Billups 3 of 14). Said Chauncey... (we) "shot some bad 3-point shots at bad points of the game, just taking chances, trying to hit the dagger". Reversion to mean in offing. Current Total already 4 pts lower than LG closer. We'll pass cuz if Nuggets get hot from downtown could finally get an Over.
Assessment: Combo of series back-and-forth and reversion to mean favor Denver.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Denver	Monitor, there might be Laker money yet to come	4% BR	Once again like selling a pt @ Pinnacle to -5 1/2, +114

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Cleveland @ Orlando	May 24, 2009	6:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Magic back H off buzzer-beater L #4 TY playoffs. They have rebounded with strong effort each of 1st 3 times.
Objective: LG result brings their series ATS W Streak to 7G. 3 of those @ H with margins of +29, +11 and +14 @ prices of -3 1/2, -5 and -6 1/2 respectively. Made a Fair Line of -3, so somewhat mystified by OL of -1. League history clearly on Orlando's side as teams returning H off SU L now 43-14 SU TY/LY. Taking my PSPR of Cleveland -2 1/2 with grain of salt as it was built in part by blowouts of Atlanta/Detroit. Magic have #3 H D, #5 D Rebounding % and #3 H IQ. Cav's D couldn't slow their O enough to maintain a 23 pt lead @ H LG (out-scored 75-53 L 31 minutes).
Assessment: No surprise if Magic pick up where they left off and laying less than a hoop looks cheap given series and league history.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Orlando	This one may not get any better	4% BR	I like selling 1 pt to -2 1/2, +113 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	LA @ Denver	May 23, 2009	6:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Nuggets have been great @ H, but perhaps slight edge to Lakers looking to regain H court advantage.
Objective: Bored stiff with blowouts in this round of playoffs! :) H teams only 2-2 SU with margins of +2, -1, -3 and +1. Another coin flip tonight? While "can't-stand-prosperity" Lakers now 3-4 SU/1-6 ATS off playoff W they're 4-0 SU/ATS off a playoff L. They are the NBA's biggest "public" team and we've made a lot of $ TY (and LY) by looking to bet against them. Could they finally have some value? GBP looks to have at least partially abandoned them with OL of -3 now -4 some places. 1st time as dog in playoffs and they were 7-1 ATS/6-2 SU (L vs S.A. & Port.) as AD regular season. This will be the 3rd most pts they have got all year (+7 @ Bos., +5 @ Cle.). Possessions at a premium in rare match-up of #1 A vs #1 H IQ's. Lakers get D nod with #4 vs #18. Teams split here TY with total scores of 201 and 169. Lakers Under L6 and throwing out Dallas G's (Mav's were 8-2 Over in playoffs), Nuggets Under L5. Over-loving GBP sending OT of 211 up again.
Assessment: Another nail-biter no surprise and for a change it's Lakers that look to be cheaper.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
LA $-line & Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	Although not posted yet, best may be @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Orlando @ Cleveland	May 22, 2009	6:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Obvious edge Cav's looking to avoid 0-2 hole going to Orlando. Expecting a big effort on D end.
Objective: However, tough to lay almost DD when Magic's series ATS W streak now @ 6G. Cleveland W only 3 of L10 SU and by margins of 4, 7 and 3 pts. PSPR of -7 1/2. Total-wise, looks subjectively like an Under and current 189 up 5 pts from G1 closer. Unfortunately, Push Score calling for 99-90 and Orlando averaging 103 ppg with a low of 90 L9G in series.
Assessment: When handicapping turns up conflicts like this I like to pass and avoid kicking myself later for a Bad Bet.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
No Play	N/A	N/A	N/A

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Denver @ LA	May 21, 2009	7:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Kobe to the rescue in Nugget's G1 near-miss. Slight edge to confident Denver who feel they let one get away.
Objective: That could be difference as Nugget's 2-0 SU/ATS off SU L in playoffs, while Lakers 3-3 SU/1-5 ATS off SU W. Denver out-shot LA 49% to 41% LG and W IQ battle by +2. That gives them #2 IQ to go with #1 3's % and they have covered every G in playoffs. With O Rebounds Lakers had 52 FG attempts 1H, but down to 38 2H. Both teams on record saying they have to play better D. Current Total only 2 pts < G1 opener.
Assessment: With G1 basically a coin flip, like 2:1 or better on Denver; still enough room for another Under.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Denver $-line & Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	Current best +200 & 211 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Denver @ LA	May 19, 2009	7:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: We'll see if Lakers can maintain G7 intensity vs rested Nuggets.
Objective: H team W all 3G post-Billups trade in regular season. Current line is 2 pts < the 8 1/2 LA laid @ H twice. PSPR has it 8 1/2 too, but Denver on 10G ATS W streak - passing on side. Posted Totals in 2G in LA were 205 and 210. Surprised to see a playoff OT that's higher than that (213) and been bet up to 215. Push Score calling for 104 from Denver (Lakers haven't allowed >100 L10G) and 111 from Lakers (Nuggets allowed that many in only 1 of L12G).
Assessment: Don't think teams getting sufficient credit for their D's.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Den-LA Under	Monitor	4% BR	Would sell pts @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Houston @ LA	May 17, 2009	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: LA with H court ad & after G4/6 looks like they need it.
Objective: Not laying DD in G7 and leery of Rocket's dead last #30 away 3's % and IQ. However, with nothing to lose, have to think they'll shoot better than G5 32%. Jekyll n Hyde Lakers 112 ppg in 3W and 86 ppg in 3L. GBP banking on D struggle with current Total 5 pts less than G5 closer. Push Score of only 104-91.
Assessment: Lakers likely to get their share and if Rockets shoot half-decent Over worth a shot.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Hou-LA Over	Monitor	4% BR	Would sell pts @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Orlando @ Boston	May 17, 2009	6:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Like both Celtic's recent experience (3-0 H G7's LY/TY) and history (franchise 17-3 SU H G7's).
Objective: Made a Fair Line of -3 1/2 so current 2 1/2 looks cheap. Much ado about Howard's 23 pts LG, but most of it on put-backs (10 of team's 16 O Reb's) as "Big Baby" limited to 25 minutes due to foul trouble. Magic 24-10 in 2nd chance pts and 28-3 in pts of TO's G6, yet still needed to overcome 10 pt deficit to eke out W. Boston will play smarter @ H and also have stat mismatch of #3 H D Rebounding % vs Orlando's away O Rebounding % of #29. If close down to wire, Celts have huge #5 vs #28 FT% edge.
Assessment: Rare to see G7 H team favored by less than 1 hoop.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Boston	Monitor	4% BR	Again would sell @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Boston @ Orlando	May 14, 2009	5:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Although Orlando may be better from neck down, Boston perhaps even more so from neck up as evidenced by 17-3 run come crunch time to close G5. Magic's team unity in question as Howard publicly criticizing HC Van Gundy.
Objective: See no value in laying what is currently 2 more pts than either G3 or 4 line. In fact, Celtics catching 2nd most pts all year - only 1 pt less than @ Cleveland in meaningless LW regular season G. D's, Rebounding %, IQ's all about even with PSPR only -3. Magic a distressing #27 in 3's % and Pierce/Allen yet to play well in same G this series.
Assessment: We'll take almost 3:1 shot mentally tougher Celts might close it out tonight.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Boston $-line	Monitor, this one likely to keep going our way	4% BR	Current best +270 @ http://www.pinnaclesports.com/?refer=xbetdoctor

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	LA @ Houston	May 14, 2009	7:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: I'm not exactly going out on a limb here by predicting that Lakers will not W by 40 (G5) and Rockets will not lead by 29 (G4).
Objective: Question is where is the value? Looks like a pay-through-the-nose scenario as 82% of GBP on LA @ an even higher line than G4. Will point out Houston's #2 H D, Lakers #27 away D rebounding % and PSPR of Pick 'em. Rockets 10 of 11 SU after DD L TY and think we'll get again get their typical frenetic effort. Whether they can hang likely to come down to IQ. They were +1 in G4 (even with a sloppy garbage time 4Q) but -13 in LG.
Assessment: Don't expect a Rockets W, but what will likely be a > 8:1 shot worth it.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Houston $-line + Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	Couldn't argue with part of that amount on point spread/Under Parlay

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Dallas @ Denver	May 13, 2009	7:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Dallas able to stave off elimination LG - want no part of them here. Nuggets upset with Mav's fans on several counts, blew a significant lead and now return H...
Objective: ... where they W L15 SU. Denver also on 9G ATS W streak and W 1st 5 HG in playoffs by minimum of 12 pts. With PSPR of -11, that seems to give us sufficient cushion. Nuggets shooting 3's with #2 % and have #1 H IQ. After only previous playoff L, they bounced back to W by 58. Looks like they're playing Lakers, so any extra days off valuable.
Assessment: Nuggets likely to ride crowd to another DD HW.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Denver	Why wait	4% BR	I'd sell pts @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Denver @ Dallas (with Cle-Atl)	May 11, 2009	7:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Now down 0-3, hard to gauge Mav's psyche. They're virtually done in series; will they go all out to avoid being swept @ H? Concerned they had a few opportunities to put Nuggets away before last second rip-off and couldn't.
Objective: Teams combined for 89 trips to the charity stripe LG. It was the first NBA regulation-length playoff game in nearly four years in which each team attempted 40-or-more free throws. With 72 made FT's the score barely eked Over by a pt. There were only 139 non-FT pts and the FT's made were 28 pts more than the sum of the two team's respective averages. Despite all that, GBP has taken OT of 209 1/2 up. No fan of laying DD on road in close-out G, but Cleveland W 1st 5 in playoffs by at least 11 and are just rolling.
Assessment: We'll increase potential pay out on Under by > 30% with addition of Cavs money line.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Den-Dal Under & Cleveland $-line Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	-645 & 210 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	LA @ Houston	May 10, 2009	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: With Yao now toast, can Rockets circle the wagons for at least 1G?
Objective: They were done in by uncharacteristically low IQ G3 (-20 on steals/TO's) and Laker's hot 3 shooting (11 of 20). 202 pt final score a little deceptive given 66 pt 4Q. Current +7 already a 5 1/2 pt move from LG closer and by far the biggest line TY. Houston 22-10 SU when "Yao-less" L2Y.
Assessment: Expect huge effort from big HD, so going back to the well with...
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Houston $-line + Under Parlay	Monitor, surprised if $-line doesn't go higher	4% BR	Pinnacle has +280 & 195

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Boston @ Orlando	May 10, 2009	6:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Advantage Celtics looking to bounce back and avoid 1-3 hole.
Objective: Hard to fathom defending champs laying another egg on D like Friday night. A repeat of Magic's shooting (60% overall, 50% from 3) also doubtful. Boston actually had 13 more FG attempts, yet L by 21 pts. Current line (and $-line) higher than LG with 4 pts added to Total.
Assessment: Back to the well #2...
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Boston $-line & Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+195 & 193 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Denver @ Dallas	May 09, 2009	3:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: 3-plus days off a bonus to Mav's who were a bit banged up. They look to get back in series.
Objective: Dallas 16-1 SU @ H since All-Star break. That 1L was to Nuggets - but combo of hot vs cold shooting (56 to 36 %), no Howard or Kidd and Denver still only able to W by 2 pts. Dallas currently a little less than PSPR of -5, with #1 D Rebounding % and #2 FT %. Both G1 & 2 were close until 4Q surges by H team. Mavs likely to get that TG. My Totals numbers calling for around 200 pts.
Assessment: Lay off helps reasonably-priced H team.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Dallas + Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	-4 & 209 1/2 most places

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Boston @ Orlando	May 08, 2009	5:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Combo of Magic complacency and House's 11 of 14 shooting (31 pts) allowed Boston to bounce back convincingly in G2. Orlando looks to re-group tonight.
Objective: Will reiterate that typically an injury (suspension) favors the dog which ever team that is. In addition, injuries are important betting-wise when either over or underrated. Magic without starting PG (and #3 scorer) Alston and unlike Howard's suspension which brought a 10 pt line move, the line here is off a 1/2 pt from OL of -5. Don't like match-up of aging Johnson/little used Lue vs Rondo/Allen and PSPR already had TG as Pick 'em. Should get better D effort @ H from Magic. Boston Away/Orlando Home a collective 55-33 Under TY.
Assessment: See value in Celts as decent dog with what looks to be an under-rated suspension in lower scoring G.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Boston $-line & Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	Current +165 & 189 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	LA @ Houston	May 08, 2009	7:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Rockets showed they "belong" with G1 W and 32-18 bounce back G2 after Lakers big 1Q. Yao's foul troubles (26 minutes) and Artest's mid-4Q ejection likely cost cover.
Objective: Like early G we have another starting PG (Fisher) suspended. Once again it looks underrated as GBP still all over LA. Current line makes Houston a HD for only 3rd time TY. They have #2 D and are much smarter (IQ #7 H vs #28 A) and W L9H. PSPR makes them 1 pt favorite. Push Score would be Lakers 97-96 - however Rockets allowing only mid-80's L15H (79 ppg L5) and L5 Under.
Assessment: Playing suspension situation again and Total looks high given Houston's H D.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Houston $-line + Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	Even & 194 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Orlando @ Boston	May 06, 2009	6:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Edge Celtics looking to avoid 0-2 start @ H.
Objective: In similar position series #1, they needed buzzer-beater to W by 3. With Boston now only 1-4 ATS @ H (2-3 SU) in playoffs/Magic 13-3 ATS as AD/PSPR of Pick 'em/OL up a full pt to -4, passing on side. Do expect a carry-over of Celtic's D which held Orlando to 30 pts L21-plus minutes of 2H. Boston should still find scoring opposition as Magic #2 D & #2 D Rebounding %. L4 in series Under and Total only down 1/2 pt from G1.
Assessment: Room for another Under.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Orl-Bos Under	Why wait	4% BR	Value in 186, +112 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Houston @ LA	May 06, 2009	8:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Edge Lakers after Rockets ended their H and series W streaks in G1.
Objective: However, point spread a big equalizer here. PSPR only -4 LA. Houston solid with #4 D and #3 D Rebounding %. Lakers only 11-19 ATS in this range TY and could cover only 1 of 3 @ H vs inferior Jazz.
Assessment: Rockets a tough team to blow out.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Houston	Monitor	4% BR (with perhaps 10% of that on $-line long shot)	Big extra payoff for selling to +8 1/2, +118 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Orlando @ Boston	May 04, 2009	6:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Magic played one fewer G and have two more days of rest. They likely gained some confidence from Howard-less G6 blowout W.
Objective: Season series split 2-2, but Orlando W L2 when Garnett either out or limited minutes. PSPR makes Magic a 2 pt dog. Like their #3 D, #1 D Rebounding % and #9 IQ - all of which are higher than Boston's numbers. 3-pt shooting also woke up LG. L3G in series Under with a maximum pts scored of only 170 - well below current Total of 188 1/2.
Assessment: Celts likely to really miss Garnett vs Magic's inside/outside O balance.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Orlando $-line & Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+120 & 188 1/2 everywhere

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Miami @ Atlanta	May 03, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Slight edge Atlanta with H court G7.
Objective: Series of blowouts so far, but with PSPR @ only -6 and Wade as opponent passing side. GBP all over Under taking OT from 183 to 180 1/2. LG went Under mainly due to margin with a 36 pt 4Q in blowout. Think we'll get more competitive G7 and much like last night, if at all close down stretch then fouling favors Over. Heat scored 108 here G2 and Hawks 106 G5.
Assessment: Worth another shot @ Over.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Mia-Atl Over	Monitor	4% BR	At present, sell to 182, +111 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Chicago @ Boston	May 02, 2009	6:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: With LY H G7 success, must give edge to Celtics.
Objective: However, given 5-0-1 ATS record of dog in series and PSPR of -5, passing on side. Current Total about same as LG which topped 200 in regulation. My numbers calling for that again. If we have a greater than one possession G down stretch, fouling favors Over. Of course a 5th OT G would likely do the job as well.
Assessment: Value in another Over.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Chi-Bos Over	Monitor	4% BR	At present, sell to 198, +110 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Atlanta @ Miami	May 01, 2009	6:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Big edge Heat who return H off blowout L in which Hawks rubbed their nose in it with 4Q All-Star G dunk attempt.
Objective: Miami dismal in G4 here shooting 37% with Wade's bad back for a 36 pt drop-off from G3 output. The latter closer to their average of 103 ppg L15H. Two concerns for Hawks are Heat's #3 IQ and their own D rebounding % of #22 (and leading rebounder Horford is ?). 3 of 5 in series would be Over current Total of 182 which is down 6 pts from G4 OT.
Assessment: A reversion to mean in Heat shooting coupled with their emotional edge should take this series back to Atlanta.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Miami & Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	-5 & 182 everywhere

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Boston @ Chicago	April 30, 2009	5:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Teams go for 4th OT G of series?
Objective: Point spread pts @ a premium here as dog in series is 4-0-1 ATS (1-1-3 SU in regulation). Only W by >3 pts was sole series blowout by Celts here in G3. PSPR has it Boston -1, they have the better D (#4 vs #21) and are #1 in 3's %. Expecting bounce back from Allen who fouled out of G5 with only 10 pts in 26 minutes. Total currently a full 6 pts lower than G4 closer.
Assessment: We'll go with dog and now see value in Over.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Boston $-line & Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+140 & 195 1/2 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Portland @ Houston	April 30, 2009	7:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Rocket's chance to finally W a series and avoid G7 road showdown.
Objective: They faltered down stretch G5 as Yao/Scola with only 2 pts each 4Q. Are Blazers on verge of breakthrough? They could be relaxed as they're expected to lose. Neither HW easy for Houston and they could be considered fortunate to have got G4. Portland has covered L3 in series and this one looks to again be close with #1 @ #2 D. PSPR only Houston -2 1/2 and my numbers favor Under.
Assessment: It's parlay night.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Portland $-line & Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+185 & 179 1/2 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Orlando @ Philadelphia	April 30, 2009	5:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Obvious point of emphasis is fact Magic are without two starters. Typically the absence of a marquee player favors the dog regardless of which team it is. Can Orlando suck it up for one G?
Objective: GBP not playing it that way as current line of Philly -5 1/2 a 3 pt move from OL and 10 pts from G4 closer. Howard missed 2 meaningful regular season G and both were SU away W's, including 103-94 @ Utah, a very tough venue. Magic 11-3 ATS as AD TY. Lines maker has knocked 7 pts off G4 OT, but which will suffer more, Magic's O or D? Likely key is whether or not Orlando wakes up from beyond the arc.
Assessment: Given big line moves, going with somewhat contrarian parlay.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Orlando $-line & Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	Should be able to get > +200 & 184

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Dallas @ San Antonio	April 28, 2009	7:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Assuming you are down on Dallas for 4-2 series W, so we are "cheering" for Spurs here. They'll obviously go all out to avoid elimination @ H.
Objective: However, disconcerting for them that Parker/Duncan combined for 68 pts (76% of total) LG and they still L. PSPR makes them only -3. Think best way to play this is with small hedge on Dallas winning tonight.
Assessment: A Spurs W by 5 or less and we W tonight & can still W again in G6.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Dallas with points	Monitor, try to get +5 1/2	1% BR (i.e. half of series bet amount)	+5 1/2, -116 currently available @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Houston @ Portland	April 28, 2009	8:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Hard luck Blazers worthy of at least 1W in Houston, but gave up 1 or 2 too many 2nd chances 4Q G4.
Objective: Teams back H off SU L are on 30-8 SU playoff run (5-2 TY). Given that emotional edge and PSPR of -5, think mid SD not much to lay. Portland has big IQ edge @ #5 vs #28. Rocket's O rebounding a G4 aberration and Yao likely to wear down without subbing by Mutombo. Lowest OT yet here, 1st two went Over and my Totals numbers calling for low 190's.
Assessment: Blazer O better @ H and they're likely to take this back to Houston.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Portland & Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	-5 1/2 & 182 everywhere

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Denver @ New Orleans	April 27, 2009	6:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Slight edge Nuggets who blew 20-6 1Q lead G3.
Objective: Denver had 40% sub-par shooting (Billups 3 of 10) and allowed 32 pts by Paul and still barely lost. 69% FT shooting also hurt. PSPR makes them a 1 pt Fav. With average shooting from Nuggets, Hornets look to be in trouble.
Assessment: Will take plus odds on better team.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Denver $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+122 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Utah @ LA	April 27, 2009	8:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: 70% 2Q shooting by Lakers enough to do in Jazz LG.
Objective: Like some streaks here. Utah Over L9A, L5 in series in LA Over, LA W L11H vs Utah. OT of 209 the lowest yet of 3G in LA in series TY. Jazz HC Sloan has propensity for playing to bitter end, so if halfway close last minute or two, could be a foul-fest.
Assessment: We'll parlay for added payoff.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
LA $-line & Over Parlay	Why wait, don't think either going lower	4% BR	-1300 & 211 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Cleveland @ Detroit	April 26, 2009	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Pistons with no realistic hope in series, but believe we get their best G here in attempt to avoid being swept on national TV.
Objective: With an OL of -8 (3 pts higher than G3), lines maker basically daring GBP to bet Cav's and they're obliging taking it to 9 some places. Detroit biggest HD TY and since who knows when. They do have better D stats @ #7 (Cleveland #12) and were able to hold Cav's to 9 3Q pts Friday.
Assessment: While don't expect a Piston W, think their shot is better than 20% of current $-line.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Detroit $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+400 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Orlando @ Philadelphia	April 26, 2009	4:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Despite 1-2 series hole, giving little or edge to seemingly dysfunctional Magic who are on 4G away and 8G overall ATS L streaks.
Objective: PSPR once again has TG as coin flip and Orlando laying more than G3. Philly's IQ advantage still pertains and Magic continue struggles from downtown @ #26 %. LG squeaked Under and lines maker has repeated Total of 191. Doubt we get 61 pt 2Q like G3. My numbers have score in 180's again.
Assessment: 76ers look like team more likely to rise to occasion.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Philadelphia $-line and Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+170 & 191 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Portland @ Houston	April 26, 2009	7:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Young Blazers now up to playoff speed with G2 W and near miss in G3. Give them slight edge in attempt to reclaim H court.
Objective: Action to this point on Rockets with OL up a half point to -4 1/2. Foresee another close one as Portland's D and D rebounding will keep them in it. Their role players stepped up Friday as big two went only 12 of 33. A little reversion to mean in order for Roy/Aldridge.
Assessment: We may get as much as 2:1 odds on upset.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Portland $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+183 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	San Antonio @ Dallas	April 25, 2009	2:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Spurs try to bounce back after "uncle" LG and avert 3-1 hole.
Objective: Not a stretch to say they'll play better, but will that be enough? Mav's currently favored by same amount as G3 which they led by 33 end of 3Q. Dallas now on 16-1 SU H streak. Think they bring same intensity as LG.
Assessment: Numbers favor another Dallas W (and cover).
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Dallas	Monitor	4% BR	At present, would sell to -5 1/2, +109 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Atlanta @ Miami	April 25, 2009	4:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Hawks look to steal back home court advantage, while Heat want carry over from G2.
Objective: Series' Totals pattern changed LG as Atlanta looked over-confident. Their D away not what it is @ H - 102 ppg vs 91 L15. Miami averaging 103 ppg @ H. Surprising Under bandwagon as GBP has knocked 2 1/2 pts off OT of 188. My Totals numbers calling for score around 200.
Assessment: This one looks like another Over.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Atlanta-Miami Over	Monitor	4% BR	185 1/2 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	LA @ Utah	April 25, 2009	7:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: To have any chance in series, Jazz need this one.
Objective: GBP looking Lakers, as they're already favored by 2 1/2 pts more than LG. PSPR has it basically a coin flip again. Utah now 3-1-1 (an OT L) @ H vs LA. Rebounding, IQ's and 3's all about even. Jazz back court (Williams, Brewer, Korver) only 11 of 32 LG and they still got W. Passing on Total that's had 6 pts knocked off LG.
Assessment: $-line 65 cents higher than G3.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Utah $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+171 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Cleveland @ Detroit	April 24, 2009	5:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Advantage Pistons back H in 0-2 hole and size of Cav's bandwagon a red flag.
Objective: However, not willing to trust Detroit to get job done as they're only 13-28 ATS overall and 2-4 as HD. While great @ H, Cleveland D only mediocre away @ 98 ppg. Pistons scoring mid-90's @ H and expecting better production from starters as LG (excepting Hamilton) they shot only 33% (12 of 36).
Assessment: Total same as G2 - doesn't seem to account for change of venue.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Cle-Det Over	Monitor	4% BR	178 everywhere... at present would sell pts @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Orlando @ Philadelphia	April 24, 2009	6:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Magic bounced back somewhat LG, but it wasn't easy. Can 76ers solidify their road split?
Objective: Made a Fair Line of Philly -1 and PSPR agrees at Pick 'em. Think there's value in a $-line that's only giving H team a 40% chance to W what looks like a coin-flip G. Orlando on 7G ATS L streak and have #22 vs #2 IQ deficit. Both my Totals stat systems calling for score in 180's.
Assessment: Will go for big pay day
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Philadelphia $-line and Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+150 & 191 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Portland @ Houston	April 24, 2009	7:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Pivotal G after Blazers woke up to what playoff basketball is all about in G2.
Objective: Their big two (Roy/Aldridge) scored 69 of 107 pts LG. Believe we'll get re-focus from league's #2 H D. Meanwhile, Portland no slouch with #1 away D. G2 Total (210 pts) deceptively high as Rockets bombed a number of late 3's to cover in 66 pt 4Q. Teams should limit 2nd chance pts with #2 and #9 D Rebounding %'s and allowing <90 ppg A & H respectively.
Assessment: Looks like a defensive battle.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Por-Hou Under	Monitor	4% BR	184 1/2 everywhere

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	San Antonio @ Dallas	April 23, 2009	6:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Edge Mav's who return H off blowout, but with series split.
Objective: Expecting TG to resemble G1 more than LG. Dallas averaging 110 vs 95 ppg H vs A L15G respectively. They're on 15-1 SU run @ H since All-Star break. If G close down stretch, they can rely on league's #1 FT shooting to hold margin. LY playoff teams returning H off SU L were 18-11 ATS (25-6 SU). Total only 1 pt more than LG.
Assessment: Edge to Dallas @ H and no Totals adjustment for change of venue.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Dallas + Over Parlay	Why wait	4% BR	-4 1/2 + 190 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	LA @ Utah	April 23, 2009	8:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Edge Jazz who return H and were within 3 pts late LG.
Objective: They W 1st two here in LY playoffs before losing by only 3 pts in G6. Their D much better @ H with 95 ppg allowed vs 109 away. Add #4 D rebounding % and #4 IQ. Utah 2-0 ATS TY as rare HD, while LA 0-5 ATS as AF of -3 1/2 or less. Current total is 2nd highest of L8G in series.
Assessment: Jazz will be much tougher @ H.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Utah $-line + Under Parlay	Why wait	4% BR	+105 + 214 1/2 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Miami @ Atlanta	April 22, 2009	6:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Adjustments in order for Heat after G1 embarrassment.
Objective: Still, this Hawks team looking better than the team that Celtics could not beat here in 3 cracks LY playoffs. PSPR makes them -8 and Miami - who were basically overwhelmed - need 22 pt turnaround from G1 to cover. Will reiterate that Total currently 10 pts above highest score these two have posted in 5G TY.
Assessment: Going back to the well with...
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Atlanta + Under Parlay	Why wait	4% BR	Take -5 + 184 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	New Orleans @ Denver	April 22, 2009	8:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Expect Hornets to play and shoot better (37% FG G1). However, with vet PG Billups @ helm, Nuggets again likely to control tempo.
Objective: Denver averaging 112 ppg L15H and W L11 SU. PSPR makes them -13. They're launching 3rd most 3's and hitting #2 %. 'Melo had off night (4 of 12, 13 pts) G1 and blowout led to only 41 pt 4Q. Nuggets available for 1/2 pt less and Total only 1 1/2 pts more than LG.
Assessment: Enough cushion for parlay
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Denver + Over Parlay	Why wait, Total up 1/2 pt @ Pinnacle	4% BR	-5 1/2 + 196 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Det @ Cle, Utah @ Lakers	April 21, 2009	6:05 and 8:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Slight edges to road teams coming off G1 blowout L's.
Objective: Tough hunt for value tonight. Think lines makers have Totals about right and PSPR almost or actually equal to point spread in all 3G. How about $-line on Fav's? Cleveland has only 1L @ H all year (to Lakers - I'm throwing out LHG) and Lakers have beaten Jazz 10 straight @ H. * - as an aside, emotional edge to Portland after G1 debacle. However, a 33 pt turnaround required to cover... not betting on that.
Assessment: Although they both have shot at a cover with DD lines, think either away team's odds of SU W slim to none.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Cle + L.A. $-line Parlay	Monitor, Pinnacle yet to post	4% BR	Currently paying about 1:4 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Chicago @ Boston	April 20, 2009	5:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Celtics look to bounce back after being 1 FT from W in G1.
Objective: Lines maker has dropped LG OT by 2 pts. Teams shot a combined 21% from downtown, Celtics 39% overall with Allen 1 of 12 and they still got 194 in regulation. Boston D suffering without Garnett.
Assessment: With a reversion to mean in shooting % in 3's and for Allen, value in Over.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Chi-Bos Over	Why wait	4% BR	Prefer current 198, +102 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Sunday's Games	April 19, 2009	Quadruple-header starts 1:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Unusual yesterday of 3 of 4 SU G1 away W's puts H teams on alert.
Objective: Jazz with #26 D and likely without #2 scorer/rebounder Okur. Philly O-fer vs Magic TY and on skid. Hawks 3-0 LY @ H in playoffs vs Celts. Nuggets -10 by PSPR and W L10H.
Assessment: We'll go contrarian looking for some reversion to mean after yesterday
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
2-Team Round Robin Parlay on the 4 H Fav's	Monitor	1% BR for each of 6 Parlays	Current best @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Miami @ Atlanta	April 19, 2009	6:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Wade returns to playoffs off 1Y absence. Atlanta looks to put LY experience to use.
Objective: TY's 4G all went Under with a high of 174 pts scored. Surprised to see current Total 12 above that.
Assessment: Likely sufficient cushion for another Under
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Mia-Atl Under	Why wait	4% BR	186 everywhere

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Detroit @ Cleveland	April 18, 2009	1:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Pistons have been in some disarray and yet to get it together since the whole "AI" thing. Slight edge to Cav's in G1 as H team.
Objective: However, point spread the great equalizer as Detroit now catching a dozen with PSPR @ +10 and Pistons 4-0 ATS as DD AD. G pits #4 @ #1 D and L8 in series Under. Cleveland on 6-0-1 Under roll L7H. 2nd chance points at a premium with #13 and #3 D rebounding %. Lines maker has made the common 4 pt playoff adjustment to the total with an opener of 175 1/2. Mar 31 G went way Under the closer of 179 1/2 (Cleveland 79-73).
Assessment: Respective D's and series history favors another Under.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Det-Cle Under	Down a 1/2 pt @ Pinnacle	4% BR	At present favor 173 1/2, +108 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Dallas @ San Antonio	April 18, 2009	6:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Teams split season series and each with 1W away. ATS-wise, H court has not meant a lot in series with dog 15-5 and away team 14-6 L20G.
Objective: However, Spurs only 2-8 ATS L10H, while Mav's on 15-1 SU H run. Teams similar statistically with great D rebounding % and above average IQ's. Dallas shoots FT much better. My ratings have each favored by 3 1/2 @ H at present. Expecting playoff D from both and Spurs 12-4 Under LY in post-season. Both Unders in S.A. and Overs in Dallas in regular season.
Assessment: Ginobili's absence and Mavs current H dominance gives them shot @ mild upset.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Dallas G1 and series	Why wait	See to Right	We'll start this with G1 Dallas $-line + Under Parlay (current best +160 and 185 @ CRIS) for 4% BR and separate 2% BR on Series Correct Score of Dallas 4-2 (+450 @ BetUS).

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NBA	Houston @ Portland	April 18, 2009	8:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: I'm discounting Rockets current run of 7W in L8 of series, as only G here TY was way back on Nov 6. Yao yet to deliver a playoff series W.
Objective: Blazers D #3 H and big IQ edge @ 9 vs 27. Almost unbeatable @ H with 18-2 SU streak including 2W (by 8 and 15 pts) over Lakers*. Also on 7-2 SU away streak, one of which was an OT L in Cleveland. Their #1 away D coupled with #1 away D rebounding % makes them fully capable of winning on road. PSPR has them -8 1/2 @ H and only +2 1/2 away. * - Portland W L8H vs L.A.
Assessment: Playoff experience the only question mark for a solid well-coached team.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Portland	Monitor	See to Right	Blazers: 4% BR G1 (-5 1/2, +106 @ Pinnacle), 2% BR W Series (-140 @ BetUS) and given record vs Lakers 1% BR flyer to W West (+1400 @ BetUS).

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Pittsburgh vs Arizona @ Tampa	February 01, 2009	4:20 PM Mountain
Subjective: As semi-big Dog giving slight edge to Cards whose HC Whisenhunt is Steelers ex-OC. He used some inside knowledge of Pittsburgh O to help in 21-14 HW LY.
Objective: Looks like lines maker has got it about right on side here with OL of -7 exactly what I'd have made it and a PSPR of -5. Total looks playable. For starters, we have an aggregate YP% of 273 (>270 is 74-43 Over L2Y). Teams are +1 and +5 for an Over-ish O+D rating of +6. Lastly, I'll let you in on another system. We simply add up my O and D yds/pt rankings; L2Y a sum of <40 has gone 17-10 Over (sums of >80 are 52-43 Under BTW). Pittsburgh has #13 O and #13 worst D, while Arizona is #4 and #4 - that's a quite Over-ish sum of 34. Steeler D in bottom half efficiency-wise partly due to a penchant for giving up garbage points; good news for the Over if they get a lead. Arizona averaging 30 ppg L4. Not gonna lose 3 in a row betting against Cards as Dog, but with the PSPR edge will risk lesser amount with a Teaser.
Assessment: Over has edges, Steelers at least likely to get SU W.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Over and Pitt + Over Teaser	I'm not waiting as Total probably going higher	4% and 2% BR respectively	-6 1/2 and 47 everywhere. At present, I'd sell Total to 48 1/2, +119 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Super Bowl Props	February 01, 2009	4:20 PM Mountain
Subjective: My "take" on props is to 1st handicap the game and then sift through the possible bets looking for ones that align with that analysis and have "plus" money lines.
Objective: 1. It will most likely be a competitive back-and-forth G with Arizona more likely needing the 4Q comeback: Team To Score Last in Game. Arizona +124 Pinnacle. Will There Be 3 or More Unanswered Scores in Game? No +180 CRIS. Will There Be a 2-Pt Conversion Attempt in Game? Yes +270 Pinnacle. 2. Teams Have Aggressive TO-forcing D's; 20 so far in 5G in playoffs. Arizona's Special Teams (except kicker) are poor; #31 overall, #25 on KO returns (Pitt #29) and #30 KO coverage (Pitt #1). The FG kickers are excellent; collectively 52 of 59 made (including 1 blocked) and 16 of 20 from 40+ yds: Will There Be a D or Special Teams TD? (Already 1 TD in 3 of 5G in playoffs - 1 Cards, 2 Steelers) Yes +156 Pinnacle. Team To Have Longest KO Return. Pittsburgh +141 Pinnacle. Will Both Teams Make a 33+ yd FG? Yes +160 CRIS. 3. Both teams have a propensity for gadget plays and with 2 wks of prep and the coaching familiarity there will almost certainly be some "trickeration": How Many Yds Will 1st TD Be? Take a shot @ 40-59 and 60+, +1000 and +926 respectively @ Pinnacle. Total Number of Players to Have Passing Attempt. Over 2 1/2 +142 Pinnacle.
Assessment: I think the lines maker missed the boat on that last one.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
8 plays as above	Monitor	1% BR for each, except 2% on pass attempts	As above

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Philadelphia @ Arizona	January 18, 2009	1:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Cards an improbable but solid H team in this Super Bowl semi-final. Eagles are road warriors @ 6-1 ATS away in playoffs under HC Reid.
Objective: Philly raced out to 21-0 lead in Week 13 48-20 HW scoring on 8 of 1st 11 possessions. At present, line value not theirs as they're laying 1/2 pt more on road TG than @ H G1. However, key to handicap appears to be one's opinion on whether Arizona has found a D. I keep a 5 wk moving average which says no. In fact, L5W it's Eagles @ #1 and Cards @ #32 on yds/pt basis. Arizona got a rookie QB on the road in his 1st playoff start and then were spoon-fed 6 TO's LW (9 takeaways in playoffs). Interestingly, they're +24 TO in 11W and -17 in 7L. Philly D has #7 CB rating and L5W allowing 160 YP/G with 0-5 TD-Int ratio. A couple cracks in Cards are their #29 CB rating and #31 special teams.
Assessment: Going with D wins championships here and Arizona due for some reversion to mean in the TO department.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Philadelphia	Monitor	4% BR	At present, I'd sell to -5, +116 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Baltimore @ Pittsburgh	January 18, 2009	4:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: G3 TY between AFC North rivals. Been hearing "it's hard to beat a team 3 times in the same year". Actually, it isn't...
Objective: ... this is about an every other year occurrence since 1970 (i.e. 2G sweep in regular season with G3 in playoffs) and the potential "sweeper" is 11-7 SU. Ravens lucky to be here off major MLF LW; out-gained 256-94 in 1H but tied 7-7 in eventual +3 TO W. That makes them +4 to zero in my TO Turnaround system (15-6 ATS TY). In all the years I've been keeping it, can't ever remember a team @ +4. QB Flacco garnering some praise but he's barely had to do anything; 20-45 (44%) for 296 YP... in L2G combined. He struggled mightily @ H vs Steelers in Week 15; 12 for 28 with 2 picks and only 3 yds/pass. Playoff attrition a factor for Ravens D as 5 of 2-deep are out/doubtful/? and they look to be down to their #3 and 4 CB's. Pittsburgh healthier as RB Parker (146 YR LW) missed G1 vs Baltimore and <100% for G2. Titan's RB Johnson had 72 YR on only 11 carries LW before 1H injury.
Assessment: If Baltimore's incredible TO streak doesn't continue, believe their banged-up D TW will be "bend and break".
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Pittsburgh	Monitor	4% BR	At present, I like selling to -7 1/2, +134 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Philadelphia @ NY Giants	January 11, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Rubber match on the year in divisional series with little HFA; road team W L3 and 5 of L6.
Objective: Quite simply going with PSPR here which has Philly -1. In G's where PSPR has an at least 3 pt Dog favored, their record is 36-17 ATS and 22-31 SU (equivalent to a +141 $-line) L2Y. We can have Eagles @ > +180. Their D #1 on yds/pt basis and my yds/pt predicted score system has them winning SU as well. They dominated in Week 14 with Giant's only points off blocked FG and with 15 seconds left in garbage time. NY doesn't seem to have the weapons through air to hurt Philly if they stack to stop the run.
Assessment: Nice historical edge on decent sized Dog that PSPR has as the Fav.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Philadelphia $-line	Why wait	4% BR	+183 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	San Diego @ Pittsburgh	January 11, 2009	2:45 PM Mountain
Subjective: 4th rematch of weekend. G1 a close one @ 11-10 Steelers.
Objective: An MLF however as Pittsburgh dominated with 410-218 TY. Steelers only scored 6 pts off 3 drives inside SD 14 and had 115 yds of penalties. Chargers able to pull one out LW without LT who is doubtful here. Sproles filled O void ably, but @ 5'6" how will he be in blitz pickup vs league's #2 sackers TW? Steelers with #4 D and #4 CB ranking.
Assessment: Odds are they turn their yards into points this time.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Pittsburgh	Why wait	4% BR	-6 1/2, -108 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Baltimore @ Tennessee	January 10, 2009	2:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Rematch of Week 5 Raven's come-from-ahead 13-10 L. They gave up 2 80-plus yd 4Q drives for 10 pts.
Objective: D still held Titans to 210 TY, 47 YR and only 1 rushing FD. Tennessee now without Pro Bowl C Mawae. On other hand, is some reversion to mean in order for Baltimore? LW Flacco became 1st rookie QB ever to W road playoff G being spoon-fed 5 TO's. He was only 9 for 23 - 135 yds (2 completions for 14 yds 2H). G pits #2 vs 4 D's and #1 vs 2 CB units. O&D ratings a -8 with run predominance reflected in 243 aggregate YP%. PSPR calls it about even @ Titans -1.
Assessment: Let's get >TD and move total through 2 key numbers
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Baltimore + Under 6 pt Teaser	Monitor	4% BR	+9 and 40 everywhere

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Arizona @ Carolina	January 10, 2009	6:15 PM Mountain
Subjective: In G1, scheduling greatly favored Cards who were off bye, while Panthers had bye on deck after 2 divisional G's. Much different TW with Carolina off bye and Arizona off big HW.
Objective: G1 was only East Coast G Cards covered TY and they are on 1-21 SU and 6-15-1 ATS runs away outside their division. Panthers with perhaps league's best HFA @ 8-0 SU, have #3 O vs Cards #31 D and PSPR makes them a huge 19 1/2 pt Fav. With extra week to review 1st G, believe their D will play much better vs NFL's most 1-dimensional team (79% TY via pass L5W). GBP pounding the Over anyway - 46 1/2 to 48 1/2. G1 did hit 50, but with "drives" of 5, 18 and 19 yds for 17 pts. That G had an aggregate YP% of 278 while this one a much less Over-ish 258. We'll pass on total.
Assessment: Arizona's playoff run should be one and done.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Carolina	Monitor	4% BR	At present, I like the sale to -11 1/2, +125 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Florida Gators vs Oklahoma Sooners @ Miami	January 08, 2009	6:15 PM Mountain
Subjective: Teams on 8G and 5G ATS W streaks respectively and have collectively covered 21 of L24. OU perhaps has the edge as a Dog for 1st time since mid-2006, with some saying it's Texas that oughta be here instead.
Objective: Been looking for other edges and they seem to break down as O vs D even though both have top notch units on each side of ball. Sooner's O rolls in having topped 60 pts L5G, averaging 569 yds/G with 89 TD on year and a QB with 48:6 TD:Int ratio. OU G's averaging a total of 80 pts. Gator G's only 55 pts per and their O significantly less at 440 yds/G. UF D only 276 yds/G and only 16 TD's allowed all year. In higher scoring Big-12, OU allowed 387 yds/G and 42 TD. Then come the similarities with #5 vs 11 pass efficiency D's, #12 vs #9 sked, +19 vs +24 TO margin and conferences 5-2 vs 4-2 in Bowls TY. Both can protect (16 vs 11 sacks allowed) and rush (32 vs 42 sacks) the passer. Gators do have a significant special teams edge. Given the above, if this were one of many G's on a typical weekend, I would probably pass and move on to the next. However, it is the CFB "Super Bowl" (we only have to be disciplined 99% of the time) and I am struck by the one-sidedness of the GBP's opinion. An OL and OT of UF -1 1/2, 73 is now -5 and 69 1/2.
Assessment: LG of season... for me the low-risk/high-return value play is...
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Oklahoma $-line + Over Parlay	Monitor	1-4% BR; whereever you feel comfortable	Current best +188 and 69 1/2 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Ball St Cardinals vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane @ Mobile	January 06, 2009	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Both looking to right the ship after 5 and 7 TO performances in L's as 15 1/2 and 12 pt Favs in their respective conf champ. G's. Perhaps edge BSU who will try for school's 1st Bowl W ever. Tulsa may be a little overconfident after beating MAC rep 63-7 in this Bowl LY.
Objective: 12-1 and 10-3 records deceptive as these 2 have played easiest and 3rd easiest skeds in nation. No surprise MAC the only winless conf in Bowls so far (0-4). However, leery of laying any pts with Tulsa's #108 pass efficiency D; 32:8 TD:Int ratio! Both O's are well balanced, have multiple dangerous point producers and are lead by vet QB's. Total high, but probably not high enough... weather permitting. Current forecast is for heavy thunderstorms @ G time - wind only low DD's. If lightning, they're will be a delay.
Assessment: You may have to watch pre-kickoff TV... play Over as long as no increase in wind and it's not a driving rainstorm.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Ball St-Tulsa Over	Monitor, total probably drops all day	4% BR	74, -101 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Baltimore @ Miami + Philly @ Minny	January 04, 2009	11:00 AM + 2:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: 1. Rematch of Week 7 27-13 Raven's W. Saw-off of rookie HC's. Rookie QB #1 (Ryan) did not fare well yesterday... how will rookie #2 (Flacco) do? 2. Interesting match-up of HC Reid vs former OC Childress. Eagle W 23-16 here LY as 1 pt AF.
Objective: 1. PSPR makes it Baltimore by 4 1/2. However, line value all Fish who were a 3 pt HF in G1; 6 1/2 pt swing. With SD W yesterday, Wild Card round HD's now 10-2 ATS all time. G1 went Over a 35 1/2 pt total with help of a pick-six. Surprisingly, each team had >8 yds/pass - that will get fixed. OT of 37 now 38, while all my totals systems point Under. Aggregate YP% of 243, O&D ratings a -10 and yds/pt predicted score in high 20's. #3 vs #4 D's. 2. LW results predictably creating a large Philly bandwagon; see "Bet Tracker". They have obvious edge @ QB and current #1 D on yds/pt basis. But, good old PSPR says Vikes -2.
Assessment: 1. Value in opposite totals result from G1. 2. Like yesterday we'll take home teams to > +7
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
1. Bal-Mia Under 2. Mia + Minny Teaser	Monitor	4% BR each	38 everywhere. +9 1/2 and +9 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Atlanta @ Arizona	January 03, 2009	2:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Despite Cards late season struggles, must give them an edge based on solid HFA, QB Warner's and HC Whisenhunt's more extensive playoff experience.
Objective: Perhaps some line value too as when teams met in Week 16 LY it was -10; a non-covering 30-27 OT W for Arizona. Cards most obvious flaws are a #29 CB ranking and #32 D L5W on yds/pt basis. Still, as one-dimensional as it is (74 YR/G), there O is dangerous with 3 WR >1,000 YP. Falcons O more balanced but how will rookie QB perform in playoffs? Their D middle-of-the-road; at least 20 pts allowed in 11G and 27 to lowly Rams LW. Due to recent blowouts of Cards, PSPR actually has it Atlanta -9 1/2.
Assessment: Foresee close higher scoring and Teaser opportunity.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Arizona + Over Teaser	Why wait, Atlanta line dropping as I write	4% BR	+7 1/2 and 45 available @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Indianapolis @ San Diego	January 03, 2009	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Coin flip. 4th meeting (3rd here) in a little over a year with one a 4 pt G and other 2 decided on missed and made last second FG's.
Objective: PSPR agrees with SD -1 1/2. Most interesting match-up probably Charger's #1 O vs Colt's #2 D. Or is it league's 2nd most pass-dependent team (77% of yds L5W) behind newly-crowned MVP Manning vs SD's new Rivera-lead D (19 ppg since bye)? Believe familiarity favors D's and L3G totaled 43, 52 and 44. G1 TY went Under a 48 1/2 total, but lines maker has added a couple pts for the GBP anyway.
Assessment: Another Teaser play
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
San Diego + Under Teaser	Why wait	4% BR	May have to go 6 1/2 pts @ Pinnacle; currently +7 1/2 and 56 1/2

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Buffalo Bulls vs Connecticut Huskies @ Toronto	January 03, 2009	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Nice Cinderella story for upstart Bulls; but they have already met their season goals of a MAC title and playing in school's 1st Bowl ever. UConn's O stunk in their Bowl LY (barely topped 200 TY) and given they're facing a conf. champ that beat a previously undefeated Ball St, they'll be ready.
Objective: Buffalo was a lucky team TY finishing +16 in TO margin with 3W in OT and another on a Hail Mary. Their D allows 4.6 YPC and faces the nation's leading rusher in RB Brown and the Huskies average 4.8 YPC. LOS looks to be a mismatch with UConn +17 in sacks and UB -16. In addition, the Huskie's pass D is #12 and they have the sked edge @ #48 vs 87.
Assessment: UConn simply the better team and a <1 score line doesn't look like much.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Connecticut	Take < -7 now	4% BR	-6 1/2 everywhere

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Mississippi Rebels vs Texas Tech Red Raiders @ Dallas	January 02, 2009	Noon Mountain
Subjective: Ole Miss obviously excited for 1st Bowl since '03. Prevailing opinion seems to be that TT is disappointed to be here. However, given QB Harrell's Heisman snub (not invited to ceremony) and blowout L @ OU, feel they think they have something to prove in front of in-state crowd.
Objective: Action so far decidedly one-sided to Rebels (OL +7 now 4) and under (72 to 65 1/2). Red Raider O has scored at least 35 pts in all but 1G TY. Rebel D great vs run (2.5 YPC), but only #61 vs pass and has not seen a TT-style O recently. Red Raider D can be run upon and think Rebels can do so. Both OL's solid with only 16 and 11 sacks allowed.
Assessment: We'll make contrarian play using parlay; good if I'm right, not bad if wrong.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Texas Tech + Over Parlay	Monitor, both lines might get better yet	4% BR	-4 and 65 1/2 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	E Carolina Pirates vs Kentucky Wildcats @ Memphis	January 02, 2009	3:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Although both excited, giving edge to the SEC team that's a Dog to CUSA rep.
Objective: Although excellent as a Dog themselves, ECU is on 0-6 ATS run as AF. Best unit on field likely the UK D which got healthy during break. They allowed 12 ppg 1st 7G before injuries set in. Pirate's O had 4G November streak of 12 ppg before TO-fueled outbursts L2G. Wildcats with big sked edge @ #53 vs 88.
Assessment: With D healthy again, taking odds on SEC team vs a mid-major opponent in poor point spread role.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Kentucky $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+135 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Clemson Tigers vs Nebraska Cornhuskers @ Jacksonville	January 01, 2009	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Perhaps slight edge to NU who missed Bowling LY.
Objective: At only 7-5 SU with 2W over FCS teams, surprised to see GBP taking Clemson from +1 to -2 1/2... so far. Coaching edge goes to 'Huskers Pelini (an interim in '03 and LSU Ass't LY) vs "virgin" Swinney. 1st true well-balanced pass O that Tigers have faced TY. My numbers give Nebraska YR & YP edges. Huskers +9 sacks vs Clemson's -15. QB Ganz (3332 YP with 69% completions) should have significantly more time than counterpart Cullen.
Assessment: Seems wrong team is favored.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Nebraska $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+115 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Virginia Tech Hokies vs Cincinnati Bearcats @ Miami	January 01, 2009	6:15 PM Mountain
Subjective: Edge VT who are playing in 2nd straight Orange Bowl looking to avenge LY semi-MLF. 1st ever NY day Bowl for Bearcats.
Objective: Despite that, GBP has moved Cincy from 1 to 2 1/2 pt Fav. Both can sack (34 vs 36) and be sacked (39 vs 30). However, it's Hokies that run better and have made fewer mistakes (+10 vs -6 TO margin). Their #39 pass efficiency D allowing only 170 YP/G.
Assessment: Will take odds on team with D/special teams pedigree that has been there-done that in BCS Bowls.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Virginia Tech $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+126 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Penn St Nittany Lions vs USC Trojans @ Pasadena	January 01, 2009	3:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Solid edge Penn St who are playing in 1st BCS Bowl since '05 and 1st Rose bowl in 14 years. This 4th straight Rose Bowl may have become "ho-hum" for 'SC who were on record as wanting to play an SEC or B-12 team somewhere else. Nittany Lions a Dog (and significant one @ that) for 1st time in 16G.
Objective: "Joe Pa" can obviously coach-em-up; 23-10 ATS in Bowls. G pits 2 fierce D's - #4 vs #1 - 13 vs 8 ppg. They've allowed a combined 10 TD passes TY. Key factor in ultimate outcome may be QB mobility... remember Vince Young in 2005? PSU's Clark is team's #3 rusher TY with career 4 YPC and 14 TD's on ground. Trojan's Sanchez' with 17 YR in career.
Assessment: Like odds of higher motivated Penn St making a few more plays in probable defensive battle.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Penn St $-line + Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+290 and 45 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Pittsburgh Panthers vs Oregon St Beavers @ El Paso	December 31, 2008	Noon Mountain
Subjective: Pitt excited for 1st Bowl since '04, OSU was thinking Rose Bowl until blowout HL to Oregon in LG.
Objective: However, Beavers played #2 sked (Pitt #23) and their HC is 4-0 SU in Bowls. Panthers HC Wannstedt a Bowl "virgin" but does have extensive NFL experience. Team's O's averaged a combined 62 ppg, yet GBP has already taken total down 5 pts. Both with O balance @ nearly 5 YPC and QB's completing about 60%. A nice calm 60 degrees for kickoff.
Assessment: We should get enough O to get Over low 50's.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Pitt-OSU Over	Monitor	4% BR	51, +102 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Boston College Eagles vs Vanderbilt Commodores @ Nashville	December 31, 2008	1:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Vandy ecstatic to be in 1st Bowl since 1982 in what is basically a HG. For 2nd straight year, BC L ACC title G to fall out of BCS Bowl.
Objective: Eagles will once again depend on backup QB Davis; fumble returned for TD and 2 picks LG. Vandy D allowing <4 YPC with #12 pass efficiency D. Their dangerous running QB Nickson looks to be 100% again. Commodores with significant sked edge @ #14 vs 52.
Assessment: Taking odds on more excited team in virtual HG.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Vanderbilt $-line	Why wait	4% BR	+145 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Air Force Falcons vs Houston Cougars @ Ft Worth	December 31, 2008	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: 2nd of Bowl rematches TY and circumstances much different. G1 in Week 3 was a UH HG moved to Dallas' SMU campus due to hurricane Ike. On Friday afternoon the start time was then moved up 4 1/2 to 10:00 AM. That favored more regimented service academy who jumped out to 31-7 lead.
Objective: In addition, 25 MPH winds helped to hold Coug's new HC's pass-based O in check as Falcons able to rely on triple option (0-7, 0 YP). Still, UH eventually woke up for 29 FD and 534 TY in semi-MLF 31-28 L. Their D will get 2nd crack @ AF O. Meanwhile, in calmer conditions expect Houston O to roll as they have since late September; 40-plus pts 7 of L8 and 43 TD passes on year.
Assessment: Teams may trade points a while, but expect Houston to eventually pull away.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Houston + Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	-3 1/2 and 64 1/2 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	LSU Tigers vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Atlanta	December 31, 2008	5:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: After L's '05-07, GT excited to be in New Year's Eve Bowl in home town. Obvious step down for Tigers after LY, but LSU fans travel well and as defending National Champs the team will be pumped as a significant Dog.
Objective: Extra prep time valuable for speedy LSU D (only 111 YR/G) in facing GT triple option. They weren't problem on year as it was mistakes of inexperienced QB's that couldn't be overcome. Yellow Jacket D slid down stretch allowing 29 ppg L5. Tigers with large sked edge @ #22 vs 50. No surprise if their huge special teams advantage leads to pts. GBP bandwagon has pushed OL of -2 1/2 through 3 and heading for 4 1/2.
Assessment: Betting the odds on chance for defending National Champs to salvage their season with Bowl W as Dog.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
LSU $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+162 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Nevada Wolf Pack vs Maryland Terrapins @ Boise	December 30, 2008	2:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Both L Bowls LY, but Nevada's an ugly 23-0 whitewash. They're familiar with this conference venue and colder weather and Maryland will have little crowd support.
Objective: Terps L 3 of L4 and went 1-4 ATS down stretch with star RB Scott being held to minus YR twice. LOS a problem as Nevada with #1 run O (6.2 YPC) and #3 run D (2.6 YPC). Wolf Pack also able to pressure opposing QB's (34 sacks). No surprise my numbers give Nevada huge YR edge and Maryland with #88 pass efficiency D to boot.
Assessment: With LOS and subjective edges, Nevada should cover < FG.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Nevada	Why wait	4% BR	-2 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	N Carolina St Wolfpack vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ Birmingham	December 29, 2008	1:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Who will stay hottest as 7-0 ATS meets 5-0. Giving slight edge to NC St in 1st Bowl since '05 and for proximity.
Objective: Wolfpack improved all year and finished 4-0 SU to get here. Ditto RU, but it was vs softer sked as NC St has big #16 vs 66 advantage. Despite that, rFr Wolfpack QB Wilson with 16-0 TD-Int ratio L8G. NC St HC O'Brien 6-1 SU/ATS in Bowls and has outright W's in 8 of L12 as Dog.
Assessment: Enough reasons to take odds on upset.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
NC St $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+225 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Northwestern Wildcats vs Missouri Tigers @ San Antonio	December 29, 2008	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Large edge NW who have not Bowled since '05. Rare to see a 9W team getting DD. Starting mid-season, goals dropping like flies for Tigers who are on 1-4 and 2-5 ATS runs. First it was National Championship, then B-12 Champ., then major Bowl, to leave them here.
Objective: Achille's heel a #84 pass efficiency D that allowed 26 TD passes and 30 ppg. Tigers found they couldn't outscore everybody. Expect Wildcat no huddle O to do some damage. They're well coached and went 4-1 SU away from home. Missouri only 3-3 SU and 2-4 ATS same scenario.
Assessment: Going for home run here with parlay.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Northwestern $ + Over	Why wait	4% BR	+400 and 66 1/2 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	NY Giants @ Minnesota	December 28, 2008	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Something being made of Giant's all-out vs NE in Week 17 LY, however that was @ H vs an undefeated team. Minny off a -4 TO bogus HL LW.
Objective: There's playoff premium in line, but PSPR has it Vikes -7. Doubt G-men can run and likely QB Carr/2nd string WR's combo not scary.
Assessment: Expect Vikings to clinch division with comfy W.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Minnesota	Monitor	4% BR	-7 everywhere, we might get 6 1/2

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Chicago @ Houston	December 28, 2008	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Lucky Bears off B2B bogus H OT W's. Texans eager to knock them off after embarrassing no-show @ Oakland as rare big AF.
Objective: Doubt Bears can handle Houston's pass O in dome conditions. Chicago's limited O facing #4 D on yds/pt basis. Texans 5-2 H with only L's to Indy, Balt.
Assessment: Bears luck likely to run out on road vs motivated H team
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Houston	Monitor	4% BR	At present prefer the -4 1/2, +146 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Carolina @ New Orleans	December 28, 2008	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Saints motivated as revenging divisional HD as Brees goes for Marino's season YP record. Off SNF L, Panthers need W to secure #2 seed.
Objective: If they get it, it'll be 1st road W in division for any team TY. NO undefeated @ H but for MLF MNF L to Vikings. Banged-up Carolina D allowing 27 ppg L6 and Saint's O #3. Panthers laying on road what they laid @ H in G1. 1st HD G for NO since '06.
Assessment: Believe Saints has it Over vs injured Carolina D.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
New Orleans $-line + Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+120 and 51 possible

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Tennessee @ Indianapolis	December 28, 2008	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Basically a preseason handicap here - who cares more? Indy a revenging divisional HD and doubt they want to be swept TY - if seeding holds in playoffs they'll face Titans in Round 2.
Objective: Tennessee off semi-bogus +4 TO HW in which they sucked it up as HD for injured DL. Colts on 8G W streak with last L to Titans on MNF. They're getting same 3 pts @ H they got on road. (Rusty?) QB Young likely to play most of G vs Colt's #3 D.
Assessment: Good LD spot for Titans as AF vs division opponent that cares more.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Indianapolis $-line	Why wait?	4% BR	+133 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Denver @ San Diego	December 28, 2008	6:15 PM Mountain
Subjective: Winner in, loser out; Broncos looking to avoid huge choke.
Objective: They're big Dog off bogus MLF L (532-275 TY, -2 TO) and on right side of my TO system. GBP favoring Chargers and likely remembers "Hochuli" play of Week 2. What they're forgetting is Denver's 34-19 FD edge and 341 YP vs SD's 325 CB's.
Assessment: Chargers no shoe-in here and like 3:1 odds of upset.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Denver $-line	Monitor	4% of BR	+295 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Dal-Phi + Mia-NYJ	December 28, 2008	2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective: With TB W, Eagles are done - believe we still get their "A" G anyway vs divisional foe. Dolphins W and in vs sinking Jets who need W combined with a NE or Baltimore L.
Objective: PSPR has Philly -3 and Fish -1; not enough of an edge.
Assessment: We'll use teaser to cross "3" and "7".
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Dallas + Miami Teaser	Monitor	4% of BR	+7 1/2 and +8 1/2 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	W Virginia Mountaineers vs N Carolina Tar Heels @ Charlotte	December 27, 2008	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: While both 8-4, NC excited about 1st Bowl since 2004 in virtual HG. WV underachieved TY after 5 straight major Bowls.
Objective: Despite that, GBP has turned them into a 2 1/2 pt Fav from a 1 pt Dog. Mountaineer O off a whopping 16 ppg from LY (40 to 24) due primarily to lack of WR threat. Tar Heels have QB Yates healthy again and averaged 36 ppg in those circumstances. Like last night, we have another HC with Bowl pedigree in NC's Davis (4-0 SU/ATS). Tar Heel D saw the option O of Georgia Tech in Week 11 and held them to season-low 7 pts.
Assessment: We'll take more excited "home" team with proven Bowl HC.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
N Carolina $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+118 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Miami Hurricanes vs California Golden Bears @ San Francisco	December 27, 2008	5:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Another "home" G, but probably mixed blessings for Cal. With preseason major Bowl hopes and now a DD Fav, some complacency likely. Not so for the "U" who are Bowling again after LY's 1st losing season in 10 years. With 6 players suspended (including starting QB) suspect they'll have us-against-the-world attitude.
Objective: However, Cal HC Tedford (4-1 SU in Bowls) matched vs "virgin" Shannon. Wary of Fr 'Cane QB Harris facing Cal's #2 pass efficiency D (#3 in nation with 23 picks). Miami quick and athletic, but young. Foresee them with the early edge, but Bears likely to prevail.
Assessment: All that favors Over
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Miami-Cal Over	Monitor	4% BR	50 1/2 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Florida Atlantic Owls vs Central Michigan Chippewas @ Detroit	December 26, 2008	5:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: After 1-5 start, Owls happy to be Bowling at all. Chips L showdown with Ball St and then to rival E Michigan L2G to land here for 3rd straight year.
Objective: GBP all over them anyway as OL of -4 now 7. They're betting against the Bowl coaching pedigree of FAU HC Schnellenberger; 5-0 SU/ATS including 44-27 W LY. Lotsa points to lay for a CMU D that allowed 36 ppg L4 and has #107 pass efficiency D. Owls well-balanced on O (RB Pierre >100 yds/G L6) and vet OL gave up only 12 sacks all year. Post-bye epiphany for their QB Smith - 5 TD-9 Int before and 18-5 ratio after.
Assessment: Will take odds on biggish dog behind coach that knows Bowl prep vs permissive D.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Florida Atlantic $-line	Monitor	4% BR	Current best +240 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Green Bay @ Chicago	December 22, 2008	6:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Bears still alive in playoff hunt and looking to avenge G1 37-3 L. Pack will try to play spoiler.
Objective: They beat Chicago 5 weeks ago via 200-83 YR edge. Expect Bears D to scheme to take that away and force Pack to throw. With injuries, Pack D recently being hurt by pass (33 ppg L4). Forecast is cold (5 degrees) but calm. GBP pounding OT of 45 through two key numbers (44, 41) to 40, but cold in and off itself does not mean Under.
Assessment: With both expected to pass more than G1, Over is the play.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
GB-Chicago Over	Monitor	4% BR	At present I'd sell to just less than 41 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Miami @ Kansas City	December 21, 2008	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Fish in AFC East dogfight. Expect "A" game from Chiefs in LHG. Believe 10 degree kickoff temperature gives an edge to KC.
Objective: Miami favored off semi-bogus W; out-FD'd 24-11 with < 22 minutes time-of-possession. Chiefs out-played rested Chargers for over 58 minutes. Dogs on 11-1 ATS run in Miami games. Dolphins have played league's easiest sked L5G and PSPR has it KC -1. We'll see if Miami's TO luck (only 10 giveaways TY) keeps up in cold and wind.
Assessment: Odds are KC gets W they should have had LW
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Kansas City $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+169 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	New Orleans @ Detroit	December 21, 2008	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: All Lions here as they try to avoid infamy; Saints eliminated from playoffs in OT L LW.
Objective: While 6-1 SU @ H, New Orleans a mirror image 1-6 on road allowing 28 ppg. Why are they laying a full TD? Their injury-thinned D is #29. Aware Detroit's a little worse @ #31. Teams combine for a +14 on O&D ratings with predicted score in low 70's.
Assessment: Will take big odds that Lions can prevail in probable high scoring affair
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Detroit $-line + Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	+260 and 49 1/2 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	San Diego @ Tampa Bay	December 21, 2008	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Chargers hanging by playoff fingernails after LW miracle W @ KC. Bucs thinking Home-Sweet-Home for L2G where they are 6-0.
Objective: SD run O not what it was LY and doubt they can throw vs TB #6 CB's. Chargers 2-5 SU away and should be 1-6. TG almost a breather for Bucs after 3 straight vs division, including L2A where no one has won. PSPR has TB -5, but will add to that based on Home-Away discrepancies. After a week off Garcia officially ?, but likely a go.
Assessment: TB should get another HW.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Tampa Bay	Monitor	4% BR	At present, I'd sell to -5, +109 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Carolina @ NY Giants	December 21, 2008	6:15 PM Mountain
Subjective: Winner takes #1 seed in NFC. Hard to fathom G-men laying a 3rd consecutive egg that would be B2B in prime time.
Objective: While 8-0 @ H, Panthers only 3-3 away with 2 being MLF's (Oakland, GB) and have not beaten a .500 plus team. Believe Giant's D can handle Carolina's power running game and pressure Delhomme while their #5 CB's hold WR Smith in check. Both OL and RB Jacobs look to be healthy. QB Manning much more familiar with what is predicted to be high DD MPH winds. PSPR again says -5 and again will add to that based on Home-Away records.
Assessment: Giants circle the wagons @ H.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
NY Giants	Monitor	4% BR	Appears a legit -3 unlikely, so would sell pts @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Pitt-Tenn + Hou-Oak	December 21, 2008	1 early, 1 aft.
Subjective: Battle for #1 AFC seed. Steelers off controversial W, Titans try to bounce back and suck it up for injured DL. Texans on mission for 1st .500-plus season, Raiders off H blowout L.
Objective: GBP has taken Tennessee from a 1 pt Fav to 2-plus pt Dog. PSPR calls that about right @ +1 1/2. Titans will be pumped as HD. Houston an AF for 2nd time in franchise history - can they handle it?. PSPR says -8 1/2 and Raiders cannot stop run. Still think some insurance in order.
Assessment: We'll cross the "3" and "7" in both.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Tennessee + Houston Teaser	Monitor	4% BR	+8 1/2 and -1 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Baltimore @ Dallas	December 20, 2008	6:15 PM Mountain
Subjective: "A" game from both with serious Wild Card implications on line.
Objective: G pits #1 @ #4 D's yds/pt L5G. Cowboys allowing only 12 ppg since bye and Ravens #3 on year in points against. Teams combine for a -10 on my O&D efficiency ratings. Yds/pt predicted score system calling for total in low 20's. We'll see if Romo's back lasts the game.
Assessment: With high 30's total, enough cushion for Under
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Baltimore-Dallas Under	Why wait	4% BR	Current best of 39 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	BYU Cougars vs Arizona Wildcats @ Las Vegas	December 20, 2008	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: AU ecstatic to end 10 year Bowl drought. Mid-season, BYU was thinking "BCS-Buster" but closed on 1-7 ATS run and starting with being exposed by TCU on national TV their young D allowed 32 ppg L6. Will they be excited by 4th straight trip to same Bowl?
Objective: Wildcat HC Stoops a Bowl "virgin", but has past experience as Big-12 DC. Teams operate similar O's, but AU gets YR edge. Clincher is pass D's, with Wildcat's @ #14 and Coug's only 91.
Assessment: More excited team with better D should cover FG.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Arizona	Monitor	4% BR	Again prefer sale to -4 1/2, +124 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Navy Midshipmen vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ Wash. DC	December 20, 2008	9:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Proximity for Navy who are expecting 30,000. Unusual Bowl scenario of a rematch of regular season G...
Objective: ... W 24-17 by Middies as 17 pt AD in Week 5. Victory keyed by 6 Wake TO's, 5 by normally reliable vet QB Skinner. His 4 Int's were more than those in rest of season combined (3). Lines maker and GBP have done Deac's a favor as OL of -3 1/2 off almost 2 TD's from G1 and now -3. That's line LY when WF @ Navy. So 3rd look at triple option in a little over a year for Deac's D (9 RS) with extra prep time - 328 YR LY, 292 TY. We should see further decrease. Navy D improved, but Wake has sked edge (43 vs 81) and has seen better D's in ACC.
Assessment: Given TO aberrations of G1 TY and huge line move, must take Wake in rematch.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Wake Forest	Monitor	4% BR	At present I like the 30 cents for selling to -4 1/2, +127 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Fresno St Bulldogs vs Colorado St Rams @ Albuquerque	December 20, 2008	12:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: Having not "Bowled" since '05, and in apparent rebuilding year, CSU simply excited to be here at all. I tend to shun Bowl HC "virgins", although Fairchild has some experience as an assistant . Want no part of FSU either; what with their current 1-10 ATS run and HC Hill 0-3 ATS as Bowl Fav.
Objective: Believe O's have it over D's in this one. Neither can stop run (almost 200 YR allowed) and pass efficiency D's at #69 and 102 respectively with 39 TD to 13 Int's combined. Bulldogs last in nation with 4 picks and Ram's D #119 in sacks.
Assessment: Foresee the run and play-action working for both in back-and-forth G so low 60's doable.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Fresno St-Colorado St Over	Monitor	4% BR	60 1/2, -105 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls @ St Petersberg	December 20, 2008	2:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: No way Bulls expected to be in this minor "newbie" Bowl at season's start. However, LY Sun Bowl debacle (353 YR allowed in 56-21 L as 6 pt Fav) will have them fully focused in what is a virtual HG (campus across the bridge in Tampa).
Objective: GBP on other hand playing the minor Bowl DD dog theory as OL of -14 now 12. 6-6 Tigers have not beaten a .500-plus team TY and played #117 sked. Doubt they can run vs stout USF F7 (2.9 yds/carry) and that leaves too much burden on their pass O. Memphis D yet to see a running QB of Grothe's caliber.
Assessment: Not a big fan of laying DD's, but that's contrarian play here.
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
South Florida	Monitor	4% BR	At present I'd sell to -13 1/2, +110 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Detroit @ Indianapolis	December 14, 2008	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Lions still going all out to avoid O-fer season. Colts off H blowout with trip to Jax on Thursday. Believe they'd be happy with an injury-free SU W, but have little incentive to play the full 60 it would take to win by 3-4 TD's.
Objective: Detroit with almost zero HFA, but W L4A ATS losing by only 9, 4, 7 and 2 pts. Looks like back to Orlovsky @ QB.
Assessment: Too much parity in NFL (even with Lions) for 17 pt lines
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Detroit	Monitor	4% BR	+17 everywhere; I'll put 10% of bet on 4 digit $-line

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Tampa Bay @ Atlanta	December 14, 2008	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Bucs on shorter week after MNF bashing. Falcons off semi-MLF L and need TG more.
Objective: NFC South now 24-2 SU @ H and division visitors are winless TY. TB W Week 2 G1 in Ryan's 1st road start - he's different QB now. Bucs choose between a gimpy Garcia or an already less mobile Griese. Believe Falcons (142 YR/G L6) can run like Panthers did. Hard to ignore PSPR of Atlanta -12 1/2.
Assessment: Looks like emotional, LOS and PSPR edges for Falcons
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Atlanta	Why wait	4% BR	Right now I'd sell to -4 1/2, +112 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Pittsburgh @ Baltimore	December 14, 2008	2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective: Big divisional match-up with Steelers looking to clinch and Ravens trying to pull even.
Objective: G1 went to OT and Baltimore actually had 243-237 TY and 16-11 FD edges. Pittsburgh off bogus 5 TO-aided W and has L L5 here. Doubt they can run and Big Ben faces league's #2 CB rating. Baltimore D #1 and O #4. PSPR says Ravens -6 1/2.
Assessment: Looks like Ravens ready to split season series
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Baltimore	Monitor	4% BR	For now value's in -4 1/2, +147 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	San Diego @ Kansas City	December 14, 2008	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Not going overboard based on Chargers blowout of Raiders. Chiefs 4-0 TY as division dog with 2 SU W's. G1 could have gone OT, but KC tried 2 pointer for W after late TD.
Objective: That G and LW SD only 2 W's L7. Chargers 1-5 SU away and yet laying 6 pts some places. Their CB rating still #26 and not good vs Gonzalez/Bowe combo. PSPR makes Chiefs a 1 1/2 pt Fav.
Assessment: KC certainly has good shot @ upset
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Kansas City $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+220 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Minnesota @ Arizona	December 14, 2008	2:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Possible LD in order for Cards after clinching 1st division title since 1975. Vikes need W to stay ahead of Bears and should suck it up for back-up QB.
Objective: Minnesota better balanced and their #3 O faces Arizona's #31 D. Vikings run D has ability to make Cards completely one-dimensional. Minny a solid 7 pt PSPR Fav. Teams combine for +10 on O&D ratings with a 274 on aggregate YP%.
Assessment: Stats and emotion favor Minny in higher scoring game
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Minnesota $-line + Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	Pinnacle has yet to post lines in their Parlay section

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	GB-Jax, Sea-StL, Buff-NYJ, Ten-Hou, NYG-Dal	December 14, 2008	4 early, SNF
Subjective: G1 & 4 qualify for the "'Ole In-Out", while in other 3 we're looking at series angles.
Objective: Pack and Jags currently with #27 and #29 D's respectively and Jax without best cover CB. GB still with a pulse in NFC North. Rams with #32 O and yds/pt predicted score in low 30's. G1 of Bills-Jets needed 2 pick-sixes to squeak Over 42 and aggregate YP% a low 247 here in G2. L5 in Titans-Texans series Over. G1 of Giants-Cowboys totaled 49 pts, but there were some short fields and teams combined for only 221 net YP.
Assessment: A combo of Overs and Unders
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Sea-StL, Buf-NYJ, NYG-Dal Unders and GB-Jax, Ten-Hou Overs in 2G Round Robin Parlays	Monitor	1% BR for each of 10 Parlays	Current best combo @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Den-Car + NYG-Dal	December 14, 2008	1 aft, SNF
Subjective: Denver with 3G divisional lead, while Panthers wary of MNF LD. Cowboys more desperate, but tough to see Giants having B2B bad games.
Objective: Carolina has some PSPR cushion for SU W @ -9 1/2 and has #1 O. PSPR makes NY -3 1/2 in probable lower scoring G.
Assessment: We'll tease across key #'s
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Carolina + NYG Teaser	Monitor	4% BR	-1 1/2 and +9 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Tampa Bay @ Carolina	December 08, 2008	6:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: Edge to revenging H team on MNF.
Objective: Even bigger edge given NFC South teams are collectively 23-2 SU @ H TY, including Panthers @ 6-0. Bucs used big 1Q of blocked punt TD and TD after TO to build 14-0 lead and cruise in G1. Should be Carolina that gets good start tonight. Their #2 O goes vs TB D which is #20 on yds/pt. Buc's D allowing 21 ppg away vs 13 @ H.
Assessment: SU W for H team likely, so low SD not much to lay
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Carolina	Monitor	4% BR	At present, would rather -4 1/2, +112 than -3, -120 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Houston @ Green Bay	December 07, 2008	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Emotion should be all Pack here with them off come-from-ahead HL and Texans on short week after big HW in MNF debut. GB angry off MLF (438-300 TY, 25-15 FD).
Objective: They're 3-5 SU L8, but with 4 of 5L by total of 11 pts. PSPR makes them -9. They still have #2 CB rating to control Texan's pass O. Houston needed 5 TO's from Cleveland in LAG to break 8G road L streak. Looks like Schaub back @ QB after missing 4G and 15 degree temperatures not going to help him be less rusty.
Assessment: Motivation, PSPR and elements say big Pack W
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Green Bay	Monitor	4% BR	Right now I'd take the 36 cents and sell to -7 1/2, +135 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	NY Jets @ San Francisco	December 07, 2008	2:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: No doubt we get Jet's best after egg they laid @ H LW to Denver. 49ers off bogus MLF W - 195-350 TY.
Objective: Even after LW, Jets still with #1 D yds/pt and have #5 O. PSPR has them -5 1/2. Aggregate YP% a steep 280. NY Over L6 and SF Over L4H.
Assessment: Expect higher scoring Jets bounce back W
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
NY Jets + Over Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	-3 1/2 and 44 1/2 everywhere

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Miami vs Buffalo @ Toronto	December 07, 2008	2:05 PM Mountain
Subjective: Bills look to bounce back @ Pick 'em after MLF L as HF. Much ado about roof being closed, etc.; Buffalo still has HFA.
Objective: They blew 16-7 3Q lead in G1 primarily due to 4 TO's. Fish 3-1 SU L4, but those W's by grand total of 8 pts over teams a collective 7-30. No surprise they're on 4G ATS L streak. Buffalo D almost fully healthy again. Losman for Edwards @ QB basically a wash. PSPR has Bills -4 1/2.
Assessment: Bills a bargain in Canada
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Buffalo	Monitor	4% BR	We may get small $-line; for now I'd sell to -2 1/2, +114 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Minn-Det, StL-Ari, Dall-Pitt, TB-Car	December 07, 2008	1 early, 2 aft., MNF
Subjective: 1st 2 are the 'Ole In-Out. A little LD possible for Steelers after LW 5 TO revenge W @ NE. MNF for division lead.
Objective: Also time of year to look for opposite totals result in G2 of divisional series and 3 of 3 above went Under G1. Vike's #3 O vs Lion's #32 D. Detroit Over L5G. Rams-Cards pits #29 vs #31 D's with 272 aggregate YP% and Arizona Over L7H. Cowboys-Steelers even better @ 277 YP% and "4-way" (i.e. all 4 components > 65%). In MNF G teams are +10 on O&D ratings and we have #10 vs #2 O's with yds/pt predicted score in low 50's.
Assessment: Will add MNF Over to other 3 for some potential hedging should things go well today
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
4 Overs in 2G Round Robin Parlays	Monitor	1.5% BR each for total of 9%	45 1/2, 48, 38 and 38 respectively @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Navy Midshipmen vs Army Black Knights	December 06, 2008	10:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Neutral site with both off bye; Army trying to end series longest 6G L streak.
Objective: With their switch to triple option, believe this is best chance yet. Although 3-8 SU, they're on 6-2 ATS run and playing solid D. Only L in that span by DD was to red-hot Rutgers. Semi off year for Navy O (26 ppg vs FBS) after 39 LY. Expecting team's YR to be about the same.
Assessment: Army with motivational edge, SU result could come down to TO's and other breaks
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Army $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+340 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	USC Trojans @ UCLA Bruins	December 06, 2008	2:30 PM Mountain
Subjective: 'SC trying to score BCS points, GOY for UCLA.
Objective: LW 34-9 Bruin L ought to be MLF-of-the-Year winner as they out-gained Arizona St 306-122 but gave up an unbelievable 4 D scores including 3 pick-sixes. That gets us some line value with UCLA @ almost 5 TD dog, 3 TD's more than they would have been to begin year. Their D has held Trojan O to 9 and 24 pts L2Y and is #20 vs pass.
Assessment: A little reversion to mean with TO's and solid D and Bruins might even have a shot
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
UCLA	Monitor	4% BR	+33 @ BetUS; I'd put at least 10% of it on $-line

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Arizona St Sun Devils @ Arizona Wildcats	December 06, 2008	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Arizona in triple revenge and has added advantage of bye LW.
Objective: ASU is other side of MLF-of-the-Year. Sun Devils with little running game and face #21 pass efficiency D. Wildcats go all out to deny ASU a Bowl bid.
Assessment: Looks like one of those times it's OK to lay low DD's in rivalry G
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Arizona	Monitor	4% BR	If no -10, sell to < -13 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Boston College Eagles vs Virginia Tech Hokies	December 06, 2008	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Rematch of LY ACC Championship G which VT W 30-16.
Objective: Surprising to see them a little dog when line would have been about -13 to start year. They're off MLF having out-yarded UVA 392-249 in 17-14 W. Trial by fire for BC rFr QB Davis in only 2nd start. LW Eagles had 175 to -6 YR edge so he had to do very little - think TW will be different.
Assessment: Will take more proven QB'ing in probable defensive struggle
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Virginia Tech	Monitor	4% BR	At present I'd sell to as much as -2 1/2 @ Pinnacle if possible

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Missouri Tigers vs Oklahoma Sooners	December 06, 2008	6:00 PM Mountain
Subjective: Another rematch of Championship G. OU knocked #1 Mizzou out of BCS title G and they'd love to return favor.
Objective: Few giving them chance after LW's upset L to Kansas and Sooner's 61 pts @ OSU. That's adding to line value as Tigers getting 2 TD more than in TG LY. Thinned OU F7 allowed almost 200 YR LW and stayed ahead with fluky deflected pass TD and 4th down recovered fumble TD. Mizzou a vet squad with plenty of O and nothing to lose, while OU has all the pressure.
Assessment: 6:1 odds enough to shot @ upset
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Missouri $-line	Monitor	4% BR	+600 @ BetUS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Oakland @ San Diego	December 04, 2008	6:15 PM Mountain
Subjective: Although mathematically alive, both look to be realistically out of playoffs. Still... divisional G in prime time, should get best from both.
Objective: In G1, Chargers got 25 4Q pts to erase 15-pt mid-3Q Raider lead. They had 13 and 6 yd "drives" and then near last minute 44 yd LT TD run to cover. SD held to 154 YP, while Russell had one of his better G's going for 251. CB ratings currently #10 @ #28... more of same? YP% a low 239, Raider D currently #2 on yds /pt and my yds/pt score prediction total in high 20's. Teams on 5 and 4G Under streaks respectively. Aware Raiders on 10G series L streak, but they're also on 7-1 ATS run as divisional AD and W both SU TY (@ KC, @ Den) so far. PSPR has them only +4.
Assessment: Like big odds on Raiders in lower scoring G
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Oakland $-line + Under Parlay	Why wait	4% BR	+350 and 41 1/2 @ CRIS

Sport	Game	Date	Time
CFB - College Football	Louisville Cardinals @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights	December 04, 2008	5:45 PM Mountain
Subjective: UL needs W for Bowl eligibility, RU looking to improve Bowl positioning and avenge blown 18 pt 3Q lead in LY's eventual 41-38 L. Both off bye and we'll see if time off changes course of 2 teams going opposite directions; Cards O-fer L4 SU/ATS, Knights W L5 SU and L4 ATS.
Objective: RU QB Teel 13 TDP, 1290 yds and 68% completions L4G. Bad news for Cards already #85 pass efficiency D now without top cover CB, leaving them with only 1 of season's 4 starters in secondary. No surprise my numbers have Scarlet Knights with big YP edge. In addition, their D ought to limit UL rush O.
Assessment: Enough D and big pass plays to cover low DD's
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Rutgers	Monitor	4% BR	If no -10, sell to < -13 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Jacksonville @ Houston	December 01, 2008	6:35 PM Mountain
Subjective: 1st MNF dud of year? Probably not, as it's a divisional G and MNF debut for Texans - both should be pumped.
Objective: Jags 3-8 ATS on season, but all 3 covers away with 2 as dog. They're off -4 TO semi-MLF L @ H. Houston 1-3-1 ATS @ H. PSPR of Texans -2 1/2 right about current line of -3. L3 in series Over with 54, 70 and 54 pts. Total a relatively high 48, however Houston on 9-2 Over TY and on 13-3 Over run.
Assessment: Bottom line: I'd like a little Teaser insurance
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Jacksonville + Over 6-Pt Teaser	Monitor	4% BR	+9 and 42 paying 1:1 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	SF-Buff, Mia-StL, Den-NYJ, Pitt-NE	November 30, 2008	2 early, 2 later
Subjective: Bills out-yarded by KC LW, but +5 TO. Fish-Rams another 'ole In-Out (see Tenn-Det write-up). Off B2B big road W's (@ NE and vs undefeated Tenn) possible LD for Jets. Steelers trying to avenge a blowout here LY.
Objective: G1 above a nice 280 on aggregate YP% with +8 on O&D ratings. G2 @ 272 YP% and expect even Rams to be able to throw some on Miami's #27 CB's. G3 pits Jets #3 O vs Broncos #29 D and NY averaging > 30 ppg L5G with all Overs. G4 a huge 290 on YP%. 3 of 4 may get snow showers, but little wind.
Assessment: Over time!
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
4 Overs in 2G Round Robin Parlays	Monitor	1.5% BR each for total of 9%	Best line combo currently @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Houston @ Cleveland	November 23, 2008	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: MNF W keeps Browns 2G out of playoff tie-breakers. Texans toast @ 3-7.
Objective: Will continue to look against Houston on road with any reasonable spread; they've L L8 and 25 of L29. Browns #2 O gets their #29 D. Like match-up of their WR vs Texan's #26 CB's. Cleveland W here handily 27-17 LY. Expected a Fair line of -3 1/2 and PSPR has it -6.
Assessment: Houston likely to add to their road L streak
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Cleveland	Monitor	4% BR	At present, I'd take the extra 38 cents and sell to -4 1/2, +143 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	New England @ Miami	November 23, 2008	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Pats victimized by "Wildcat" O in G1 in LD spot after Cassel's 1st start...
Objective: ... YR was 216-67. Belichick a master at having his D take something away from opposing O, so Fish will need different plan. NE on 15-2 ATS run off divisional L. Despite playing 4 of L5 H Miami O only #29. We currently have 13 pt line move from G1 and 5 pt increase to total. My yds/pt predicted score 20-15 Pats.
Assessment: Pats W and divisional G2 totals turnaround in offing
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
New England $-line and Under Parlay	Monitor	4% BR	Even and 42 everywhere

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	Carolina @ Atlanta	November 23, 2008	2:15 PM Mountain
Subjective: Divisional revenge for Falcons off 1st HL of season. Panthers off 2 iffy W's vs 2 teams a combined 2-18 SU.
Objective: Their O totaled 155 YP in those 2G. It shows in PSPR as Atlanta -7. QB Ryan now much farther along than he was in 2nd road start vs Carolina.
Assessment: Motivational edge and PSPR advantage Falcons
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
Atlanta	Monitor	4% BR	Sell to -2 1/2 @ Pinnacle

Sport	Game	Date	Time
NFL	TB-Det, Min-Jax	November 23, 2008	11:00 AM Mountain
Subjective: Fact Bucs L here LY should keep them fully focused even though Lions winless. Minny off hard fought L, but in thick of divisional race. Jags now 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS @ H after blowing 14-3 1H lead LW.
Objective: TB's 2007 L an MLF with 422-278 yd edge. PSPR makes them -7. Other G looks like toss up with Vikes -1 1/2.
Assessment: Teaser time
Plan:
Who or What	When	For	Where
TB + Minnesota 6-Pt Teaser	Why wait	4% BR	-1 1/2 and +8 1/2 @ BetUS